TSM broke out but retracted belowTSM the largest chip producer just broke out from their resistance point and retracted below this point during Friday's session. Due to the shortages of 2021 those stocks are poised in my opinion for a great 2022, another point is that its not a US company and will not be affected as much as the US based companies with all of the inflation and FED announcement that are going to take place this year. I have opened a small long position as I believe the stock will push to the upside next week but I would like to know if there is something I am missing. (no financial advise just looking for feedback)
Semiconductors
QCOM - Qualcomm Inc.Bought position into break of pivot from the previous earnings-gap run. This is the fourth attempt to breakout from this pivot. Stop loss below the low of the day.
Bigger picture, the stock is breaking out from a large base to new all-time highs and remains one of the leaders in the market. It has big growth numbers and is in one of the strongest areas of the market.
Applied Materials Is Fighting HigherTechnology stocks have struggled this week as interest rates rise. However, the selling has mostly targeted classic “growth stocks” like high-multiple software makers. Some of the more cyclical hardware/equipment names have fared better -- including Applied Materials.
AMAT more than doubled between November 2020 and April 2021. It spent the next half a year consolidating those gains. Prices tested and held their 200-day simple moving average (SMA) in October, followed by a new breakout in early November.
Notice how the stock then came down to test the old highs around $145. Buyers quickly stepped in, turning old resistance into new support.
Next, AMAT has made higher lows along its rising 50-day SMA and is now back above its 21-day exponential moving average (EMA).
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IntelI like historical pattern of this company. This an opinion based on an article I've just read but it seems as if the semiconductor issue is simmering down a bit relative to how unsure this issue was late last year. We also see a bunch of car companies having increased deliveries as well. Although Intel isn't the end all, be all within this sector, I can see at least a retracement of about 45% of the previous high seeing how price has reached this point up to 5 times since 2018's May. Let's see what happens! They also have enough cashflow to compensate for a hike in interest rates.
Semicondoctuctors are the "Transports of the 21st century"Bespoke Research firm says "Prior to the digital revolution that began in the 1990s, the Dow Transports were viewed as a “leading” indicator for the broader stock market. In the digital age, there’s hardly an industry group that doesn’t rely on semiconductors in one way or another. A modern car can easily have more than 3,000 chips. We view the semiconductor group as the “Transports of the 21st century,” making the price action for semis important to monitor."
I agree and will be monitoring the SMH/SPY
looking for entry points on $AMDAMD still has a long runway until INTC starts to crank out chips from the 2 fabs in Arizona. Looks like there is a little bit more give in AMD but it could result in better entry points.
RSI looks like it could fall more before it truly becomes oversold on the daily.
MACD curling up for a potential cross.
Long NVDA HereBeautiful consolidation is occurring here with $NVDA after the Fed clarified tapering decisions today.
Nice bounce off the 0.618 Fib level with RSI curling back up as well after hitting lows on the daily timeframe. It appears to be a great entry if NVDA can clear the 0.786 Fib level next.
Just my personal opinion, not investment advice!
AMD Short Setup - With Timing Lines This RoundFor those that followed the original idea, the look of the path seems correct, but the unexpected super-parabola was not. Even now, this chart looks wrong when zoomed out, due to the excessive price action at vertical levels.
This next leg will probably be more than your average mean reversion, which is the only reason why I would ever follow up such a poorly-timed idea with the same exact idea. This line of thinking is something I try to avoid under most circumstances because it is the same concept as "averaging down" your cost basis when immediately proven wrong.
I'm a permanent pig with few morals and no time for averaging against a whipsaw. But this is no whipsaw (unless you seriously cannot see the forest for the trees here).
-Semi-Correct-Pig
NASDAQ:AMD
NASDAQ:NDX
CURRENCYCOM:US100
NASDAQ:SOX
NASDAQ:IXIC
12/12/21 RMBSRambus, Inc. ( NASDAQ:RMBS )
Sector: Electronic Technology (Semiconductors)
Market Capitalization: 3.156B
Current Price: $28.86
Breakout price: $29.30
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $28.50-$27.00
Price Target: $29.70-$30.20 (1st), $30.70-$31.20 (2nd), $34.40-$35.60 (3rd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 18-19d (1st), 39-41 (2nd), 104-110d (3rd)
Contract of Interest: $RMBS 1/21/22 29c, $RMBS 2/18/22 30c, $RMBS 5/20/22 30c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.20/contract, $1.30/contract, $2.20/contract
two different directions for NVDAthe thought that NVDA could bear flag is upsetting to some, but the price could be lower, in which case rsi, stoch, macd would diverge bullishly. like wise a gap down that is bought, and confirms 4hr higher lows could be another trip to overbought levels on multiple timeframes
$MU sniper edition #4*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Recap: My team entered $MU at $72.92 per share. Our first take profit is $92.
My team averaged up on our position today at $82.5 per share bringing our share average up to $77.71.
OUR FIRST ENTRY: $72.92
OUR 2ND ENTRY: $82.50
FIRST TAKE PROFIT: $92
2ND TAKE PROFIT: $103
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