$INTC has its biggest run in a long timeNASDAQ:INTC has hit the 1st level.
We are being strategic and locking in some gains. We are over 10% profit mark in a few days & Intel is above the gap fill area, which was the 1st tranche of selling.
Still have a good sized position and wrote covered calls on 1/4 of the position.
NASDAQ:SMH NASDAQ:SOX
Semiconductors
ARM Long Position TradeHello sorry my camera did not pick up this time but next time I should get the camera working. Here is a different strategy for today that I haven't shared with anybody on TradingView where I simply put on a large position and ride the market up in a high performing stock or sector. I use my VIX Rank Percentile histogram indicator "that you'll see in this video you can download from my profile " which tells me that the VIX is calm or not calm green bean safe time to hold the position and red being a riskier time to hold the position. I will hold this long position whenever my histogram is green, and I will take the trade off whenever I feel like it's a good time to take it off or maybe partially take it off if the market's getting a little shaky.
Broadcom - Just be careful...NASDAQ:AVGO is quite overextended and retesting resistance so you have to be careful.
Broadcom is rallying. This is a pretty obvious fact, considering that Broadcom is up roughly +330% over the past 1.5 years. Eventually we will see a correction, the only question is when and where. Currently, Broadcom is retesting a resistance trendline which has been pushing price lower for over a decade. Maybe this is a good area to close partials and monitor price closely.
Levels to watch: $1.840, $1.140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
NVIDIA 176% YTD GAINS 2024 NASDAQ:NVDA 🚀 NVIDIA’s Stellar Ascent: A 176% YTD Surge! 🚀
In the high-stakes world of tech stocks, NVIDIA has emerged as the year’s undisputed champion, boasting a jaw-dropping 176% increase in its stock price year-to-date. Here’s a snapshot of why NVIDIA is the talk of Wall Street:
Market Cap Milestone: NVIDIA has not only skyrocketed in stock value but also achieved a monumental market cap of $3.335 trillion, surpassing tech giants like Microsoft to become the most valued company in the world.
Stock Split Magic: The company’s recent 10-for-1 stock split has made its shares more accessible to a broader range of investors, fueling the fire of its already impressive rally.
Generative AI Gold Rush: NVIDIA sits at the forefront of the generative AI revolution, with its GPUs being the powerhouse behind the scenes. This sector is projected to reach a staggering $967.6 billion by 2032, and NVIDIA’s leading-edge technology is poised to reap the benefits.
ETF Rebalance: A leading tech ETF has shifted its balance, significantly increasing its stake in NVIDIA. This strategic move involves a massive $23 billion stake exchange, highlighting the confidence investors have in NVIDIA’s future.
Wall Street’s Vote of Confidence: Analysts are bullish, with predictions that NVIDIA’s stock could soar to $200. The consensus is clear: NVIDIA is expected to dominate the computing market for the next decade.
AVGO, Split coming? On it's way to 1550?The chart for Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) on the NASDAQ shows a bullish breakout from a falling wedge pattern, indicating a potential upward price movement.
After the breakout, the price has consolidated around the $1,406.64 level, suggesting a healthy pause before the next move.
The RSI at 57.48 indicates neutral to slightly bullish momentum, and increased volume during the breakout adds credibility to this move.
The projected path suggests the price will consolidate around $1,407.78 before breaking out to $1,419.17 and potentially reaching $1,438.35 and $1,445.40. Considering these factors, entering a long position if the price breaks above $1,419.17
with strong volume could be beneficial, with a stop loss below $1,391.91 to manage risk and targets at $1,438.35 and $1,445.40.
This could easily tun to 1550 with a 10% implied move on earnings.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Upcoming soonSuper Micro should follow Nvidia. Price is bouncing off the uptrend line support. I think is going to start to consolidate within the triangle to finally break up. I just bought some, I'll keep adding at every pull back. It might take a few more weeks. SL triggers if a weekly candle breaks down and closes below the lower vortex.
Adobe, a beast hiding in plain sight! Adobe Inc. (ADBE) on the 1-hour chart illustrates a recent decline from a swing high, followed by a recovery forming a harmonic pattern labeled with points A, B, C, D, and E.
Key Fibonacci retracement levels are highlighted, including the 0.618 level at 455.67 and the 0.5 level at 451.53, along with Fibonacci extension levels at 1 (469.07) and 1.23 (477.14).
The chart features a Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) line from the previous month's swing high, which may act as a dynamic resistance around the 469.07 level.
Volume analysis reveals lower recent activity compared to previous spikes, indicating a possible consolidation phase.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) currently reads around 53.78, suggesting neutral to slightly bullish momentum. Key support levels are identified at 433.97, with resistance levels at 469.07 and 477.14.
The harmonic pattern suggests a potential bullish scenario if the price moves beyond 469.07 towards 477.14, while the downside risk includes a possible drop to support levels at 455.67 or 451.53 if the price fails to sustain current levels.
NVIDIA $NVDA - Will NVIDIA hit $1,000 Today?NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA - Will NVIDIA hit $1,000 Today? What's next after that? Will Shorts come in? They say 'what goes up ,must come down.' Will this hold true for a juggernaut like NVDA? Also could this turn into a short squeeze? Will non-farm payroll fuel some volatility today? Will it be the perfect storm or just another day in the books? What are your thoughts?
$SMH ETF Algorithm Momentum Indicator Started Accumulating on May 6, with our buy alert from our proprietary algorithm momentum indicator. ### Algorithm Momentum Indicator
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Taiwan Semiconductor - Unknown stock with trading potentialNYSE:TSM is one of the rather unknown stocks with an impressive market capitalization of 680 billion dollars.
Just a couple of months ago TSM finally broke above a major previous resistance level and confirmed the bullish triangle breakout. Momentum is quite strong so far so maybe we will never see the previous structure again. In this case there is no need to actually chase the all time high. However, a pullback might still be quite likely and this might present an interesting long opportunity in the future.
Levels to watch: $130, $100
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
The Long Case for SemiconductorsThe long thesis for SOXL, Semiconductor 3x Long.
With Crypto, AI, Automation etc we will soon come to view Semiconductors as a fuel for computational power. Just like we need gas for cars and electricity for all the rest the next phase of the economy is running off of Computational Power at a mass global scale.
The internet was the mass explosion of collective knowledge onto the world. This next phase will be the democratization of computational power to go with that knowledge.
As things are the semiconductor industry is well insulated through its extreme specialization.
Governments will move to increase their own semiconductor production but this is 5-10years out and will most likely end up contracting/subsidizing Established semiconductor manufacturers.
This all points Up for Semiconductors.
NVDA: Is the incredible run coming to an end?NVDA chart is as bullish as it can get. Monthly close is as strong as it can get. There is nothing bearish about this at this moment. And this is where I get my spidey senses tingling. I am looking at a couple little things to be cautious.
1. Price hit the 2.618 fib extn from cycle wave 1 and 2. This is as good place as any to complete primary wave 3. Regardless of what the future holds, this extension is a great resistance. The reaction from this spot has been pretty sharp, but there is no sign of deeper damage yet.
2. RSI negative divergence: On the monthly timeframe the divergence is very clear. On daily timeframe, things are very frothy. There is no indication of a macro turn yet, but this is where things get unpredictable.
We need to see where the weekly closes. At this point no bearish setup until we see a weekly close below 900. After stock split things might start to get interesting.
Looming AI Power Stock?
NASDAQ:MRVL The Chip Designer Company is a must watch stock especially this week with the upcoming earnings report.
This is my strategy:
Using Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci Retracement, we see a consistent trade volume and slight increase in volatility as the price drops below the SMA and nears the lower band. The price is currently $76.68. We can expect it to reach a price target of $77.75 (test strategy here) for uptrend confirmation.
Semiconductor Bull Run: Is it OVER?AMD is experiencing a breakout from the falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish signal. Currently, the stock is above its immediate support zone and ended the last trading session with a bullish harami candle.
Although sell pressure seems unlikely given the current levels, keep an eye on the medium-term support zone to reassess your trading strategy if needed.
These levels are suitable for options trading and could result in excellent swing trades based on liquidity analysis.
The price target is between $185 and $190, with the potential to reach $200 if the bullish momentum continues.
Let's monitor how this develops.
Earnings Strength before Slight PullbackHello everyone, happy Monday. Here I am presenting my idea of a strong bullish continuation by NASDAQ:AMD going into tomorrow's earnings. Despite the already strong momentum upwards, I believe we see further buying action after tomorrow's earnings into the lower $200s along with strong buying action across broader tech in $PYTH:QQQ. I believe both these securities will top out short-term in the upcoming 4-6 weeks before a brief pullback to the $149 price point before a further continuation upwards.
Position: Shares (added between 2018-2020); holding long-term.
Please let me know your thoughts and feedback and happy trading!
Technical Study of Fundamental Support for NVDA EarningsNASDAQ:NVDA is the NYSE:GE , NASDAQ:MSFT , or NYSE:GM of prior Great Bull Markets of the past. It is overly influential; when it moves so too do most of the other semiconductor, electronic components, gaming stocks, etc. Too much importance is placed on this one lone stock. It is just one of many companies that are leading this new Great Bull Market.
However, NVDA has an earnings report due out Wednesday May 22. The black line defines the support that has held the stock even when the overall sentiment of retail groups was selling other stocks down more steeply than this one. The sideways trend is not developed enough at this time to pattern out any excessive pricing above fundamentals.
The question is where are the fundamentals right now--obviously well above the lower level outlined in blue, which was the previous fundamental support level.
The sideways support of February, outlined in orange, was the start of a fundamental support level before retail traders and smaller funds went bonkers on their excitement about NVDA beating expectations.
One good indication that fundamentals are within the current wide sideways trend is the fact that this stock has been trending back up to a narrow sideways trend, outlined in green.
Watching this stock this week can provide some more information for pre earnings run activity. Holding through to the earnings date poses higher risk as HFTs are gapping stocks down on earnings news that is not bad news but a minor weakness somewhere in the earnings report.
Intel - What is going on?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Intel Corporation.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In April of 2022 we saw a major break towards the downside on Intel stock which was then followed by more bearish continuation of roughly -65%. Then Intel retested a multi year long structure and created a pretty decent bullish reversal and a strong (short covering rally). At the moment Intel just rejected previous structure and is now in a massively bearish market soit is best to just wait for this volatility to calm down.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)