ON SEMICONDUCTOR ($ON): Will ON be Having an OFF Day?✨ New charts every day ✨
Like, Comment & Follow to help the community grow 🎉🎉
---
Expectations of Q2 earnings are low for ON Semiconductor, and last quarter performance was underwhelming as well. There is likely a short setup here, and with earning only a few days away on May 14th, it makes sense to find our short now.
Resource: www.earningswhispers.com
---
1. Fractal Trend is signaling downtrend (Maroon bar color) on the 4 hour chart. While this downtrend started a while back, it is still technically in play and that means we want to look for short setups with our strategy.
2. With the strategy, we are looking to open a short position after a reaction from either a bearish orderblock plotted by Orderblock Mapping or a S/R level plotted by Directional Bias.
3. R1 and R2 are looking like probable resistance and could result in a continuation of the downtrend after they are retested.
4. Our entry for R1 depends on what the open looks like Monday. If the entry makes sense with Monday's open, we have a target of S1. Our stop for the R1 entry is set in a way that gives us roughly a 3:1 risk to reward ratio here since there aren't a lot of levels of interest to use for stop placement.
5. Our entry at R2 will be in play if our R1 entry fails. With R2 we have placed our stop right above the bearish order block above our R2 entry. The target for our R2 entry is S1 as well.
6. The overall market might be in recovery mode, and ON might be recovering too, but this chart is still in a bear trend. Thus, taking this short at resistance into what is likely a bearish earnings makes sense.
Semiconductors
Nividia Poised for ATH Test!Exhibiting signs of exhaustion, U.S. equities gave up nearly all their gains from the morning, closing today's session flat. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained +0.56%, the S&P 500 +0.90% and the Nasdaq 100 led the way with +1.09%. Interestingly, a number of heavy hitters are roaming around resistance. One name of note is Apple which finally entered a region where I'd suspect sellers to begin coming in between 301-308. I'll touch upon Apple tomorrow morning. Today, we take a look at Nividia Corp. ahead of earnings May 21st.
All-Time High Bound?
With Nividia Corp. (NVDA) reporting their quarter one earnings on May 21st and yesterday's news that it acquired Cumulus Networks, a deeper look into the charts was deserved. Below is the 4-hour chart of NVDA.
NVDA has rallied 68% off the March lows and has been consolidating at its highs for just over two weeks, a bullish sign. Additionally, resistance at 300 has been tested a third time, as NVDA posts higher lows on declining volume, also bullish. Notice the ascending triangle taking shape. Although, known as a bullish continuation pattern, it is not confirmed until a breakout to the upside. With a breakout the projected target would would propel NVDA to all-time highs of 340 per share.
There is a lot of positive going for NVDA heading into earning's. That said, could NVDA be setting up as a sell the news candidate? The ascending triangle set up is poised to breakout prior too May 21st earnings. It is something to keep in mind if taking on the bullish trade. With fundamentals and technicals aligning heading into earnings, its hard not to be bullish NVDA. Bias: Bullish .
Flat Week Continues
Today was the second straight day U.S. indicies posted flat gains. It's really not a surprise. There is a log of uneasiness in the market and tomorrow may shed some light on that uneasiness. Tomorrow the ADP unemployment report is released and should offer some insight on Bureau of Labor Statistics unemployment rate announcement this Friday. Spoiler, the the report won't look great. Until then, have a great evening!
Advanced Micro Devices: The Bears Are Trying, But…Advanced Micro Devices was the top-performing member of the S&P 500 in both 2018 and 2019. Its last earnings report on April 28 was very middle-of-the-road. Results beat, and then management tried to talk down demand. Other chips like Intel and Qualcomm have struck a similarly cautious tone.
However, investors know some positives lay in the future. They may see the bigger chip cycle (cloud, AI, 5G, mobile) resuming sooner rather than later, and not want to remain negative on a company that’s repeatedly shown leadership.
This sentiment may be evident on the chart because AMD has refused to make new lows after earnings.
The key level seems to be the April 21 close of $52.92. Remember that was a big negative session for the S&P 500, one day after oil went negative.
Buyers defended AMD during that volatile day. The stock actually had more volume on April 21 than yesterday, following quarterly results.
Let’s see if this price area continues to provide support. It also gives potential buyers a decent risk-management level in case the shares break to the downside.
AMD - Reverse head and shoulders formationAMD is forming a reverse head and shoulders. If we can break the ATH resistance on good volume, AMD will probably keep rallying.
RSI has been trending higher, but it is not as high as it was in its past peak. (short-term bear).
OBV has been trending higher, and its current value is slightly higher than its previous peak (short-term bull).
Keeping on a watchlist.
XILINX #XLNXAfter brokeout the daily 50SMA pulled back and holded above. It has been for 4 days above 50SMA which is a good signal to be long.
ON Semiconductor $ONAnalysts expect that ON Semiconductor Corp will report earnings of $0.16 per share for the current fiscal quarter, $ON posted earnings per share of $0.43 in the same quarter last year, which suggests a negative year over year growth rate of 62.8%.
It is forming ugly double bottom if it breaks above $15.20 and gartley, bearish