Nvidia - The tide is (finally) turning!NASDAQ:NVDA is about to create a bearish reversal which will lead to a -60% correction!
Charts just don't lie at all - instead fundamentals are always an illusion. Nvidia was retesting a major resistance trendline and is starting a significant bearish reversal. Nothing changed fundamentally but Nvidia is already down -25% over the past couple of days. This is just the beginning of another potential bear market, like we saw it back in 2018 and 2021...
Levels to watch: $55
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Semiconductors
NVIDIA - Levels to Watch NVIDIA - NASDAQ:NVDA
The chart demonstrates a pattern of rising parallel channels for durations of approx. 142 - 152 weeks followed by 36 - 46 week corrections.
We are currently in a defined rising parallel channel and we are at week 92 of that bull trend, with a further 50 weeks probable based on the historic repeating timeframes. This does not guarantee a repeat timeframe of 142 - 152 weeks, but it does make it more probable.
⚠️What to watch out for?
▫️ Price breaching down and out of the short term parallel channel. This would be an initial warning.
▫️ Price falling below the 50 SMA would be a confirmation of a trend shift to bearish (blue line).
▫️ Otherwise, a roughly 142-152 month bull trend out to mid 2025 looks probable for now.
Another option to consider is that we trend sideways for 36 - 44 weeks like we did from Jan - Oct 2018. This type of sideways movement could travel along the top of the long term parallel channel (in blue).
Lets keep an eye on the short term parallel channel for that initial warning, otherwise happy trading the trend.
You can come back here at anytime and press play and you will get the price updated in terms of the levels marked.
PUKA
Micron Technology - Patience and price action!NASDAQ:MU is literally creating so clear and repetitive market structure, this is textbook.
Bullish break and retest, cycle and correction. Micron Technology has been repeating this price action for over a decade and is about to enter another correction phase. If you don't want to trade this anticipated correction, you can instead wait for another retest of previous resistance, bullish confirmation and a rejection. Following the cycles, a bullish move there is quite likely.
Levels to watch: $140, $95
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
AMD - Correction of -40% over?NASDAQ:AMD just created a new all time high, however we have to be quite careful now.
Volatility is the basis of every major trading position and trading profit. Advanced Micro Devices is just such a stock which offers volatile swings every now and then. Currently Advanced Micro Devices is retesting the previous all time high which is now acting as support. I do expect a move higher but there is simply no good risk to reward setup at the current levels.
Levels to watch: $155, $110
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Marvell Technology (MRVL) Analysis Market Position and Growth Drivers:
Marvell Technology, a leader in semiconductor infrastructure solutions, is set for substantial growth due to increasing demand across sectors such as game consoles, printers, enterprise workstations, and AI servers.
AI and Data Center Expansion:
A key driver for NASDAQ:MRVL is the rising adoption of AI technology, fueling demand for data centers—Marvell's largest business segment, which accounted for 40% of its revenue last year. As AI infrastructure spending increases, Marvell is well-positioned to benefit, enhancing its revenue growth and stock performance.
Technological Edge:
Marvell's products are critical for AI-optimized data centers, offering interconnects and data transfer solutions necessary for high-performance computing systems. The company's custom AI component business is expected to ramp up significantly in the latter half of this year, with high-volume production anticipated in fiscal 2026.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on MRVL above the $65.00-$66.00 range.
Upside Potential: With an upside target set at $103.00-$105.00, investors should consider Marvell's strategic position in AI and data centers as key drivers for future stock appreciation.
📊🔧 Monitor Marvell Technology for promising investment opportunities! #MRVL #Semiconductors 📈🔍
$INTC has its biggest run in a long timeNASDAQ:INTC has hit the 1st level.
We are being strategic and locking in some gains. We are over 10% profit mark in a few days & Intel is above the gap fill area, which was the 1st tranche of selling.
Still have a good sized position and wrote covered calls on 1/4 of the position.
NASDAQ:SMH NASDAQ:SOX
ARM Long Position TradeHello sorry my camera did not pick up this time but next time I should get the camera working. Here is a different strategy for today that I haven't shared with anybody on TradingView where I simply put on a large position and ride the market up in a high performing stock or sector. I use my VIX Rank Percentile histogram indicator "that you'll see in this video you can download from my profile " which tells me that the VIX is calm or not calm green bean safe time to hold the position and red being a riskier time to hold the position. I will hold this long position whenever my histogram is green, and I will take the trade off whenever I feel like it's a good time to take it off or maybe partially take it off if the market's getting a little shaky.
Broadcom - Just be careful...NASDAQ:AVGO is quite overextended and retesting resistance so you have to be careful.
Broadcom is rallying. This is a pretty obvious fact, considering that Broadcom is up roughly +330% over the past 1.5 years. Eventually we will see a correction, the only question is when and where. Currently, Broadcom is retesting a resistance trendline which has been pushing price lower for over a decade. Maybe this is a good area to close partials and monitor price closely.
Levels to watch: $1.840, $1.140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
NVIDIA 176% YTD GAINS 2024 NASDAQ:NVDA 🚀 NVIDIA’s Stellar Ascent: A 176% YTD Surge! 🚀
In the high-stakes world of tech stocks, NVIDIA has emerged as the year’s undisputed champion, boasting a jaw-dropping 176% increase in its stock price year-to-date. Here’s a snapshot of why NVIDIA is the talk of Wall Street:
Market Cap Milestone: NVIDIA has not only skyrocketed in stock value but also achieved a monumental market cap of $3.335 trillion, surpassing tech giants like Microsoft to become the most valued company in the world.
Stock Split Magic: The company’s recent 10-for-1 stock split has made its shares more accessible to a broader range of investors, fueling the fire of its already impressive rally.
Generative AI Gold Rush: NVIDIA sits at the forefront of the generative AI revolution, with its GPUs being the powerhouse behind the scenes. This sector is projected to reach a staggering $967.6 billion by 2032, and NVIDIA’s leading-edge technology is poised to reap the benefits.
ETF Rebalance: A leading tech ETF has shifted its balance, significantly increasing its stake in NVIDIA. This strategic move involves a massive $23 billion stake exchange, highlighting the confidence investors have in NVIDIA’s future.
Wall Street’s Vote of Confidence: Analysts are bullish, with predictions that NVIDIA’s stock could soar to $200. The consensus is clear: NVIDIA is expected to dominate the computing market for the next decade.
AVGO, Split coming? On it's way to 1550?The chart for Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) on the NASDAQ shows a bullish breakout from a falling wedge pattern, indicating a potential upward price movement.
After the breakout, the price has consolidated around the $1,406.64 level, suggesting a healthy pause before the next move.
The RSI at 57.48 indicates neutral to slightly bullish momentum, and increased volume during the breakout adds credibility to this move.
The projected path suggests the price will consolidate around $1,407.78 before breaking out to $1,419.17 and potentially reaching $1,438.35 and $1,445.40. Considering these factors, entering a long position if the price breaks above $1,419.17
with strong volume could be beneficial, with a stop loss below $1,391.91 to manage risk and targets at $1,438.35 and $1,445.40.
This could easily tun to 1550 with a 10% implied move on earnings.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Upcoming soonSuper Micro should follow Nvidia. Price is bouncing off the uptrend line support. I think is going to start to consolidate within the triangle to finally break up. I just bought some, I'll keep adding at every pull back. It might take a few more weeks. SL triggers if a weekly candle breaks down and closes below the lower vortex.
Adobe, a beast hiding in plain sight! Adobe Inc. (ADBE) on the 1-hour chart illustrates a recent decline from a swing high, followed by a recovery forming a harmonic pattern labeled with points A, B, C, D, and E.
Key Fibonacci retracement levels are highlighted, including the 0.618 level at 455.67 and the 0.5 level at 451.53, along with Fibonacci extension levels at 1 (469.07) and 1.23 (477.14).
The chart features a Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) line from the previous month's swing high, which may act as a dynamic resistance around the 469.07 level.
Volume analysis reveals lower recent activity compared to previous spikes, indicating a possible consolidation phase.
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) currently reads around 53.78, suggesting neutral to slightly bullish momentum. Key support levels are identified at 433.97, with resistance levels at 469.07 and 477.14.
The harmonic pattern suggests a potential bullish scenario if the price moves beyond 469.07 towards 477.14, while the downside risk includes a possible drop to support levels at 455.67 or 451.53 if the price fails to sustain current levels.
NVIDIA $NVDA - Will NVIDIA hit $1,000 Today?NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA - Will NVIDIA hit $1,000 Today? What's next after that? Will Shorts come in? They say 'what goes up ,must come down.' Will this hold true for a juggernaut like NVDA? Also could this turn into a short squeeze? Will non-farm payroll fuel some volatility today? Will it be the perfect storm or just another day in the books? What are your thoughts?
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Taiwan Semiconductor - Unknown stock with trading potentialNYSE:TSM is one of the rather unknown stocks with an impressive market capitalization of 680 billion dollars.
Just a couple of months ago TSM finally broke above a major previous resistance level and confirmed the bullish triangle breakout. Momentum is quite strong so far so maybe we will never see the previous structure again. In this case there is no need to actually chase the all time high. However, a pullback might still be quite likely and this might present an interesting long opportunity in the future.
Levels to watch: $130, $100
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
The Long Case for SemiconductorsThe long thesis for SOXL, Semiconductor 3x Long.
With Crypto, AI, Automation etc we will soon come to view Semiconductors as a fuel for computational power. Just like we need gas for cars and electricity for all the rest the next phase of the economy is running off of Computational Power at a mass global scale.
The internet was the mass explosion of collective knowledge onto the world. This next phase will be the democratization of computational power to go with that knowledge.
As things are the semiconductor industry is well insulated through its extreme specialization.
Governments will move to increase their own semiconductor production but this is 5-10years out and will most likely end up contracting/subsidizing Established semiconductor manufacturers.
This all points Up for Semiconductors.