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Semiconductors

How to BRR 101Refer to my prev AMD post back in Jan for credibility - I predicted run to 158-165 when it was in the 130s (result: ran to 180s). Now we have a buy the dip opportunity after earnings sell off. There is still too much demand for this to tank yet, it wants one more high (at least). Path to targets is the solid black line. Bullish channel its respecting is the dashed blue channel, every time it dips outside of that it gets bought up fast: - Initial target = 187.50 by 2/9/2024 - After that hits it will pullback to around 176 - If 176 can hold as support it will make one final run to 192-199 by early March 2024 Trailing Stop loss is 2 consecutive closes below the dotted red line. Entered Feb 16 175 calls for 3.50 on 1/31/2024 (underlying 167.67)
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by JerryManders
10
Nvidia - How Long Will It LastHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nvidia. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: All the way back in February of 2014 we saw a breakout of a long term symmetrical triangle on Nvidia. This breakout was followed by an insane +9.500% rally towards the upside. Right now Nvidia is trading in a solid ascending channel and is approaching the upper resistance trendline. I do expect a (short term) pullback from there to retest the support mentioned in the analysis. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:AMD
by basictradingtv
9
AMD EXTENED LINE'S EXTENDED LINE EDITION (CONTINUE OR FALL)If you've been following me with AMD, we're pretty much out at this point, as we've been targeting the trade since 93, and there isn't much point to miss a few extra percentage points on the topside at the risk of losing all or much of the profits. HOWEVER, there are still trades to the topside, as far as trades heading to the bottom side. Marked in thick green and thick red are the TWO STRONGEST support and rejection trends I could find. Do more exist? Maybe, but you'll need a better analyst that me to find those. Light red are steep support trends that have been building on top of each other (stacking) Think of this like a skyscraper being built. All indicators point that we are nearing a top. However, this means nothing as short term indicators can theoretically keep pumping the price over the long term targets, which would see numbers at 200+ Notice the time frame of the chart, 2h, meaning it won't last for more than a couple weeks and you'll likely have a whole new set of trends. A move like this into earnings is going to be the big question. 179 189 are two really strong rejection lines. May not be exact, but close. You really need to analyze in real time at this point because move will happen faster and faster. I would say, should the price not hold 171.00, I would wait to see what happens in the short term, and try and buy the dip if it occurs pre earnings, with a potential trade before, on or right after earnings. I would then be waiting on topside for a short entry rather than pushing my luck as a bull. If you follow me with trades, you'll know that we essentially speak in probability. Meaning, at or above 189, I'm more likely to screw up than make a good trade, and if I screw up, there is a lot of downside showing, which will do absolutely nothing to cover the mistake (loss). Having said that, if you're a short term trader and familiar with short term trading, yes there are absolutely still chances to trade above this level should it occur. We would also say, there is a better than average chance that should I wait for some of these topside targets to hit and enter short, I have a better than average chance to both profit, and make more overall money, than trying to time out more really short term trades. It's all about profitability, risk, percentages, and patience. Waiting for the RIGHT trade IS 1000% better than jumping into a trade you missed because you have FOMO. There will almost always be another buy, there will almost always be another stock moving up the percentage you missed. Idk, what it would be called in formal terms, but I call it the sniper strategy. Good luck!! I've attached all previous AMD charts to this chart.
NASDAQ:AMD
by nicktussing77
1
Cup with Handle on IBM Attempting to Break $140 Resistance LevelWe have a nice looking Cup with Handle on IBM and it's currently Challenging the $140 Psychological Resistance Level, if it can get above that i think we will see IBM's stock price push towards the $175-$180 measured move. On a side not i also believe the Dow will be the strongest performing Maor US Index and reach all time highs before any other index and that IBM will be one of the more major stock leading the way along with Microsoft and Intel.
NYSE:IBMLong
by RizeSenpai
1
AMD - All Time HighHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of AMD. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: In 2016 AMD broke out of a long term triangle reversal pattern. This breakout was then followed by a pump of +5.000%. After the 2022 pullback of 70%, perfectly retesting previous structure, we are not certainly back to a bullish market on AMD. If we see a retracement back to the structure mentioned in the analysis, I am certainly looking for more long setups on AMD. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:AMD
by basictradingtv
7
Wolfspeed Forge Strategic Alliance to Power the FutureInfineon Technologies AG (OTC: OTC:IFNNY ) and Wolfspeed, Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:WOLF ) have extended and expanded their long-standing silicon carbide (SiC) wafer supply agreement, first established in February 2018. This strategic collaboration aims to meet the soaring demand for SiC semiconductor products, particularly in sectors such as automotive, solar, electric vehicles (EVs), and energy storage systems. A Pioneering Partnership: The extended partnership solidifies Infineon's commitment to a multi-source strategy, ensuring a reliable supply of both 150mm and 200mm SiC wafers. This approach supports the growing adoption of SiC-based power solutions, renowned for enabling smaller, lighter, and more cost-effective designs with superior energy efficiency. Jochen Hanebeck, CEO of Infineon Technologies, highlighted the significance of the two-decade-long collaboration with Wolfspeed ( NYSE:WOLF ) in advancing SiC technology across automotive, industrial, and energy markets. The partnership stands as a pivotal element in promoting decarbonization through energy-efficient technology. Wolfspeed's Role as a Catalyst: Gregg Lowe, President and CEO of Wolfspeed, emphasized the company's role as a catalyst in the industry's transition to SiC. Wolfspeed, recognized as the world leader in silicon carbide production, plays a crucial part in supplying high-quality materials to key customers like Infineon. With an eye on the future, the company aims to scale its capacity footprint to meet the burgeoning demand for SiC devices and supporting materials. The SiC Revolution: The adoption of SiC-based power solutions is witnessing rapid growth across diverse markets. These solutions empower smaller, lighter, and more cost-effective designs, unlocking new possibilities for clean energy applications. Industry estimates predict substantial growth in demand for SiC devices and supporting materials through 2030, representing a staggering $20 billion annual opportunity. Infineon's Supply Chain Resilience: As the demand for SiC devices continues to surge, Infineon's CEO, Jochen Hanebeck, affirms the importance of following a multi-source strategy to secure access to a high-quality, global, and long-term supply base of SiC wafers. The extended partnership with Wolfspeed is a testament to Infineon's commitment to supply chain stability and resilience in the face of growing demand. Looking Ahead: The strategic alliance between Infineon and Wolfspeed is poised to address the increasing demand for SiC devices, playing a pivotal role in applications ranging from electric vehicles to renewable energy solutions. The collaboration sets the stage for a silicon carbide odyssey, where advancements in technology will drive the transition towards cleaner, more efficient energy solutions. Conclusion: As the semiconductor landscape undergoes a transformative shift towards SiC technology, the extended partnership between Infineon and Wolfspeed ( NYSE:WOLF ) emerges as a beacon of innovation and collaboration. Together, these industry leaders are not only meeting the current demand but also shaping the future of energy-efficient technology, marking a significant milestone in the journey towards a sustainable and decarbonized world.
NYSE:WOLFLong
by DEXWireNews
NVDA: Bearish ABCD above the Trading Range Targeting $272.42NVDA has risen above the trading range but has started to print weaker Bearish candlestick patterns on the Daily as it approached the PCZ of a potential Bearish ABCD pattern. At this point in time it seems like NVDA will fall short of $600 then come back down to its last official support level which was at $272.42, if 272.42 doesn't hold then it could go into the one hundreds or even below $100 to around $80 but $272.42 is the main target.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by RizeSenpai
8
Nvidia - Higher, Higher And HigherHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nvidia. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: All the way back in 2014 Nvidia broke out of the long term symmetrical triangle formation and entered a crazy bullrun. With the current channel formation on Nvidia, there is a high chance this stock will push higher even more to retest the upper resistance mentioned in my analysis. From there I do expect a correction which could be similar to the one of 2022. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by basictradingtv
5
SPELS Semiconductor about to "Spell-Out" MagicSPELS Semiconductor is one of the first stock in India venturing into the Semi-Conductor space and with the recent push for Make-in-India scheme and the Growing demand of Semi-Conductor worldwide + the Anti-China policy (China+1) adopted by many countries, India has become a Favourite Hotspot for Semi-conductor manufacturing Let's look at the Technicals of SPELS: Getting ready to Blast. 3 Amazing Bullish Structures 1. Monthly - Large C&H - BO above 105 WCB for target of 200++ (2x opportunity) 2. Weekly - Inv H&S - BO already done target 99 3. Daily - Flag Pole BO - Happening - buy above 80 WCB for Target of 102 Each lower timeframe BO will take to the next Higher Timeframe BO zone. Multibagger pick. already 40% up from our Recommended Levels Disclaimer: 3+ Years Teaching Experience in Stock Market - Technical Analysis, Advanced Patterns, Emotional Management, News based Trading... We are NOT SEBI Registered Our focus is NOT providing Buy/Sell Recommendations/calls Primary Objective is to provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi--timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide irrespective of its Side" *** Important *** Consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments -Team Stocks-n-Trends
BSE:SPELSLong
by Stocks-n-Trends
AMD - Approaching All Time HighsHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of AMD. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: After the massive breakout in 2016 we saw a rally of more than 4.500% on AMD. This rally was perfectly followed by a correction of 70% in 2022. As mentioned in my analysis, I am now waiting for a retracement back to the previous structure and if we have enough bullish confirmation, I will then look for potential trading opportunities. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:AMD
by basictradingtv
24
#NVDA ready for another push higher? Techs look sexyNvda.. couple of reasons why this is a big level and high probability to be long (1) Divergence on RSI (2) Test volume VPOC shelf and held (3) Demark 9 exhaustion signal on daily (4) Gliding off the 50dma (5) Held 50% fib from most recent swing low and high (6) Back above the Main Pivot Putting this all together suggests there is a high probability setup here with a stop below the recent lows at 450. Initial targets 480, 500, then if we break out the channel , much higher..
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MarcoOlevano
1
ARM: Good Share, Bad DerivativeOverview Arm Holdings PLC ( NASDAQ:ARM ) recently had its IPO back in September 2023. Since then it has bounced around between $46-$78 and I think it's gearing for a rally. Unfortunately there is not much room for a confident technical analysis because of ARM's minimal chart history but I believe this company is definitely worth adding to the Watchlist. ARM supplies semiconductor technology and has made it a company mission to lower carbon emissions. From my understanding they are attempting to lower their technology's carbon footprint by maximizing the processing power of their chips per every one watt of energy. Imagine this as the equivalent of increasing a vehicle's total miles per gallon (MPG). I have come under the impression that their technology is delivered to a plethora of companies including NVIDIA and Google who, in turn, use it to develop A.I. projects. It is this aspect that makes me speculatively bullish on the company's outlook. Speculative Projections According to their official website ARM technology can be found in nearly every modern device and is used by "70% of the world's population." ARM's market cap currently rests around $69 billion USD which places it around 1B shares. Since its technology is fueling what is essentially an artificial intelligence bubble within the stock market, it is my personal opinion that a $500B market cap is reasonable if not conservative. This would place ARM's share price around $500 which is a 631% upside from the current share price of $68.34. If you read my other idea on NVIDIA, I've mentioned that outsourcing may become an issue for NASDAQ:NVDA and so I believe that ARM may be able to fill that vacuum should a semiconductor crisis ever occur. A catalyst like this would definitely have the potential for propelling the stock to new highs. Risk Management If picking a good company out of a lineup wasn't enough, now the potential gains to losses needs to be considered. For every dollar risked, I believe at least three dollars should be the reward. With ARM I believe those types of gains are possible however this is the one of those exceptions where I would consider holding shares instead of trading derivatives. I picked through several option contracts, specifically Calls, and noticed that Open Interest was severely lacking on most contracts except for a few expiring within 90 days. Typically 90 days would suffice however with the lack of trading patterns -- and a sense of direction -- I believe this makes derivative trading too risky for ARM. To top matters off, the contracts with high open interest (>1000) would potentially only deliver 1:1 at best case scenario. All that said, the lack of direction and amount of share value that would have to be gained within a short period of time leads me to believe that investing in ARM Calls would be reckless. The Calls worth owning and that have an expiration greater than 6 months out have a near non-existent Open Interest. While that could always change if ARM starts getting some attention from the market, this may lead to illiquidity and an inability to unload the contract. Fundamental Analysis Current ratio (current assets / current liabilities) = 4.33 * Any ratios under 1.00 are considered a financial risk. Retained earnings = $2.440B which was a slight decrease from $2.457B in March 2023. * Allows the company to invest in itself (repurchase shares, expand, etc) Net income 6 Months Ended September 30 = ($5M) loss * The majority of the loss appears to have come from escalated operating expenses within the second quarter. This is a drastic 101.5% decrease from September 30, 2022 which had a net income of $339M. I'm experiencing some difficulty interpreting the Q2 Earnings Call. I am a self-taught analyst and learn on-the-go so I will need to process this information more before coming to a confident conclusion on the fundamental analysis. However, it does seem that operating expenses increased significantly (approximately by 171.8%) in the second quarter alone. I will make sure to provide any updates to my findings as a comment on this idea.
NASDAQ:ARM
by Shepherd_Investor
3
The SOLID State Battery Revoloution is upon us - QuantumScapeTarget 1: $15.32 Major Resistance Level: $18.48 Target 2: $26.77 Target 3 / Resistance Level: $36.10 Long Term Target 1: $53.92 Long Term Target 2: $79.65 Major Resistance Level: $95.82 (Disclaimer - After today's massive jump on Volkswagen news, it's likely we will see at least a small pullback. But in the grand scheme of things if this technology is actually what we are hearing, this is just a drop in the grand bucket) Investing in the Future: QuantumScape Corporation and the Solid-State Battery Revolution In the fast-evolving landscape of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy, QuantumScape Corporation (NYSE: QS) is emerging as a trailblazer with its groundbreaking solid-state battery technology. Recent developments have sent the company's stock soaring, underlining the potential transformative impact of QuantumScape's innovations on the future of energy storage. Milestone Achievement with Volkswagen Collaboration QuantumScape's recent surge is attributed to a significant milestone achieved in collaboration with Volkswagen. The company successfully tested its anodeless solid-state lithium-metal cells technology, confirming its capabilities through an A-sample test. PowerCo, an independent entity, validated the test results, revealing that QuantumScape's solid-state cell not only met but exceeded the requirements of the test. Impressively, the solid-state cell completed over 1,000 charging cycles, equivalent to a remarkable half a million kilometers of travel for an electric car with a WLTP range of 500-600 kilometers. Even more compelling is the fact that the cell demonstrated minimal aging, retaining an impressive 95% of its capacity or discharge energy at the end of the test. PowerCo CEO Frank Blome expressed his optimism, stating, "These are very encouraging results that impressively underpin the potential of the solid-state cell." The successful completion of this test positions QuantumScape as a frontrunner in developing a battery cell that could offer extended ranges, rapid charging capabilities, and minimal degradation over time. Technical Advancements Driving QuantumScape's Success QuantumScape's technology addresses critical challenges faced by traditional lithium-ion batteries, which are approaching the limits of their energy density. The company's innovations include an anodeless architecture and a proprietary solid ceramic separator, leading to notable improvements in energy density, charging speeds, and safety. Key advantages of QuantumScape's solid-state battery technology include: Energy Density: Significant increase in volumetric and gravimetric energy densities by eliminating graphite/silicon anode host material. Fast Charge: Enables less than 15-minute fast charging (10-80%) by eliminating the lithium diffusion bottleneck in the anode host material. Extended Life: Eliminates capacity loss at the anode interface, thereby extending the useful lifetime of the battery. Enhanced Safety: Replaces the organic separator with a solid-state separator that is nonflammable and noncombustible, significantly improving safety. Cost Efficiency: Lowers costs by eliminating the anode host material and associated manufacturing costs. Investment Considerations QuantumScape's recent success and technological advancements position the company as a key player in the future of energy storage. The collaboration with Volkswagen further strengthens its industry standing, and the positive test results underscore the viability of its solid-state battery technology. Investors should note that QuantumScape's stock has experienced a notable uptick, reaching its highest level since early August. However, with short interest at 15.6% of the total float, some volatility may be expected. As QuantumScape continues to perfect and scale its manufacturing processes, investors have the opportunity to align themselves with a company at the forefront of revolutionizing energy storage. The upcoming Q4 earnings report, expected in the middle of February, will be a key indicator of the company's financial health and growth trajectory. In conclusion, QuantumScape Corporation presents a compelling investment opportunity for those seeking to participate in the transformative shift toward more efficient, safer, and longer-lasting energy storage solutions. As the world increasingly embraces electric vehicles and sustainable energy practices, QuantumScape stands poised to play a pivotal role in shaping the future of the industry.
NYSE:QSLong
by Helios_Capital_Investment
$NVTS showing technical strength into Q4.$NVTS:1W Small cap semi-conductor company and Seeking Alpha darling NASDAQ:NVTS is showing signs of strength, holding the 0.5 Retrace with a bullish outside bar on the weekly time frame. For NASDAQ:NVTS to breakout from the downward wedge being formed on the weekly chart, I would need to see strong consolidation above the 1.382 (9.12) price level and for an extended period of time (4-6 weeks) After a prolonged and recent selloff, I believe market clarity stemming from the ‘fog of war’ will provide a catalyst for NASDAQ:NVTS to reclaim the 1 Ret (7.46) which is roughly 20% higher than the current price at time of publication. It is also quite possible that this could be the beginning of a longer cycle 3rd wave on the weekly time frame. The technical risks that I see here are the bearish price to RSI divergence (dotted trend lines) that is emerging on the 1 week time frame. This comes on the heels of the recent rally in price that came directly after a bullish price to RSI divergence (solid bottom trend lines) and provides me an element of technical confliction in the analysis that warrants caution. As a result, I’m cautiously bullish here with a minimum price target of 7.46 and a secondary target of 9.12 before the end of the year. Not financial Advice. All stocks can go to zero.
NASDAQ:NVTSLong
by Firewalker_Charts
1
$ON poised to fill the upside gap...Update: NASDAQ:ON +177% since the start of 2020. Signal comes back in line at 73.32 and fills the gap at 80.51. I would look at an upward retrace to the 0.5 (81.38) the same as an upside gap fill. Given the depth of oversold on the 1D RSI in combination with an extremely high central tendency illustrated by the Pearson's R^2 of 0.94, a 'dead cat bounce' to the upside is not unreasonable to expect in the near term. As long as price remains above the RET 1 (61.47) I believe NASDAQ:ON will retrace the 0.5 at 81.38 by the end of the year. If price does not remain above the 61.47 level and further selling pressure is applied to the 'EV economy', a spill down to the 1.382 (46.26) is not out of the question. 130 day volume index flows (bottom indicator) remain constructive despite the recent sell off, implying a market willingness to absorb price at these levels. Not financial advice. All stocks can go to zero.
NASDAQ:ONLong
by Firewalker_Charts