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EURUSD TRADE on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Technical overview: The price demonstrated a significant growth after the formation of the new support level. The move was sharp and supported by the large volume, however, the price is trading inside the local range right now. Volume Zones: It is important to point out the boundaries of the local consolidation. They are the support 1.1824 and the resistance 1.1952. Consider New Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard new positions only after the keen and confident exit of the price from the range. The breakout move must be supported by the large volume, which will be a more prcise signal for entering the market. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
by VARIANSE
AFRM Long - Affirm Holdings, Inc. - The Triple Affirmed PlayAFRM Long - Affirm Holdings, Inc. - The Triple Affirmed Play (Flow, Dark pool, and Capital Inflows into Tech) This long biased thesis is based on the following factors: An aggressive series of short term bullish call option flow totaling $413.5k with a strike price of $70 coming in within the last 20mins of the day (July 1st) that exceeded Open Interest. Approximately $20M in dark pool activity placed at key levels mid day. Although we do not know the nature of this we were able to see it act as respected levels through out the day and are currently trading above these levels. Also one of the dark pool prints came in at a respected fib level, further showing consistency with price action. Continued upside price action will further increased the probability that these trades were a buy. Price action has been consolidating for around two months and is primed for a move, making the timing of the the options flow orders and dark pool activity that much more relevant to an upward move. Bank of America Flow Show report released today (July 1st) showed an inflow of $1.1bn into the tech sector. Bank of America comments came out with AFRM as a high conviction short-term recommendation. Possible Threats: The $212.62 fib defined level may show support where price action may struggle or bounce from. Price has been rallying for the last two months and a half and a double top pattern had formed mid June, but continued price action may have already shown the pattern to have met its price potential. Short term tactical sentiment for the tech sector is coming to an overheated area and a bearish downtrend may soon show up to push tech stocks, in general, downward. That nature of the large dark pool trades are unknown and can only be inferred. The July 1st dark pool levels are being used to define the following trade parameters: Short Entry: price levels above, but in close proximity of the $68.27 (dark pool print) Stop Loss: The invalidation of the ascending channel support line (conservative) or the break of lower dark pool level of $67.75 (aggressive) Possible Targets: $72.81 (currently) - Anchored VWAP (from all time high) $79.30 - A support / resistance level that has been respected by prior price action $85 - A fib level that may coincide with a ascending channel resistance line $96.80 - The 50% retracement fib level from all time highs to all time lows Other targets can be based on the fib levels show in the chart or by drawing support lines This thesis/idea is just my opinion based on the information discussed within. None of it should be looked as a recommendation or as financial advice. AFRM Daily Chart
NASDAQ:AFRMLong
by Rhythmic
1
BUY EURCHF On this chart we see quite impressive market structure. Overall I am looking to short this currency pair but at the moment we need more liquidity in order to go short. Where is this liquidity? Its above the previous highs look to the left at 1.1544 area. So I am currently long, expecting price to take out the high ( my take profit). I have access to market makers and big players positions for those interested. Enjoy your trading and remember to use proper risk management. Forex is a risky business
Long
by GeminiWealthGroup
CAT Short - Caterpillar, Inc. - The Double Top DropNYSE:CAT Short - Caterpillar, Inc. - The Double Top Drop This short biased thesis is based on the following factors: A double top that was recently formed and confirmed A Bearish Three Black Crows candle stick pattern followed the second top (of the double top) A large series of dark pool prints totaling around $882M came in on June 25th, all around the $216.31 price level. Although we do not know the nature of this trade, we are currently trading under this level and continued downside price action will further increased the probability that this trade was a sell. Possible Threats: The $212.62 fib defined level may show support where price action may struggle or bounce from. Short term tactical sentiment for XLI is starting to recover from a bearish downtrend and may show upward momentum from here that could lift CAT up enough to hit the Stop Loss. That nature of the large dark pool trades are unknown and can only be inferred. The June 29 Bar is being used to define the following trade parameters: Short Entry: $214.58 Stop Loss: $218.71 Possible Targets: $207 - First meaningful fib level $200.17 - A previous trend high that was used as a fib definition point $197 - Based on a fib level that has show to have acted as reasonable resistance and support $190 - Based on the rounding to a whole number on the closest fib level Other targets can be based on the fib levels show in the chart or by drawing support lines This thesis/idea is just my opinion based on the information discussed within. None of it should be looked as a recommendation or as financial advice. NYSE:CAT Daily Chart NYSE:CAT Weekly Chart
NYSE:CATShort
by Rhythmic
1
XAUUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge drop supported by the large institutional volume and broke through the previous support level. It means that exactly the smart money pushed the price down. Volume Zones: It is necessary to allocate the new volume level of support 1752.50 - 1755.50. The price is trading nigh this mark now. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 69% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). d.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a breakdown of the support level, which will allow us to open short positions. The move must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 400 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VARIANSE
GBPUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price tested the resistance level, but could not break it out. Moreover, the large volume is concentrated within the test, which implies that the smart money has positions inside this zone. Volume Zones: It is necessary to allocate the resistance level 1.3925 - 1.3934, which contains the large volume. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 59% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). c.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we should consider exceptionally short positions. We may enter the market after a smooth upward correction, in order to get a more profitable entry point. A stop loss may be placed above the new resistance. Profit Potential: Around 100 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
AUDUSD bulls struggle between 50-SMA and previous supportDespite failing to cross the previous support line from May 13, AUDUSD holds onto bounce off 50-SMA amid early Monday. Given the pair’s risk barometer status amid the current cautious markets, AUDUSD is likely to remain heavy. Hence, a clear downside break of 50-SMA level surrounding 0.7570 should back the bears targeting the yearly low of 0.7478. During the fall, the last Monday’s swing high near 0.7545 and the 0.7500 threshold could offer intermediate halts. Should the market sentiment improves, backing the AUDUSD beyond the 0.7610 trend line hurdle, the early month low of 0.7645 and lows marked during late May, as well as mid-June, may test the pair buyers near 0.7675. In a case where the quote stays bullish above 0.7675, the 0.7700 round figure and the monthly peak of 0.7775 will be in focus. Overall, AUDUSD consolidates the monthly losses but the key resistance tests the upside momentum.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
BTC to 11k (?)I'm still not here, but honestly - this is it. I published a private version of this in May and thought to myself "nah". Welp. Now that this is basically coming to a head, and the last part of hope is on the horizon, honestly - what it looks like could happen to the crypto market is dark winter. It won't take much to invalidate this. A meteoric rise to break $40,000+ from here would spark the market back on to the heels of a moon trip, but as we're closer now to $10k than ATH by a long shot, I'm going to heir on the side caution on this one and wait for the earliest indication of bullish reversal, downward trend rejection that I can find to get long on this market again.
by cryptonrek
USDJPY LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The price continued rising and totally absorbed the previous fall, which shows a weakness of sellers. Volume Zones: We need to point out an important level of resistance/level of resistance 110.81. The price is testing this mark at the moment. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 79% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). a.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The growth must be sharp and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 120 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
Bitcoin deciding its futureAfter the big selloff from the all-time highs, BTCUSD is now consolidating in the 30k – 40k area. In particular, the pair is trading within a channel (blue lines) that typically signals and trend continuation. The bearish outlook is backed by the major resistance displayed by the Levels and Zones indicator, and which sits at around 40k. Should the price drop, it can move quite rapidly as low as 12k to complete an H&S pattern. To contrast this view, the price could continue to move sideways until it eventually breaks above the current consolidation channel. To support this upward move, though, the Sentiment Index indicator at the bottom of the chart must spike to the upside and continue to stay positive for a prolonged period of time. Remember to be patient and never trade impulsively. Always check confirmation from the indicators.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by a.b
XAUUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price tested the support level once again, however the price did not break it down and is still trading nigh this mark. It shows that buyers don't have enough power to push the price up. Volume Zones: The price is trading near the level of support/local minimum 1770.00 - 1774.60. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 63% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). c.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a breakdown of the support level, which will allow us to open short positions. The move must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more secure signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 300 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VARIANSE
XAUUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge drop supported by the large institutional volume and broke through the previous support level. It implies that the smart money pushed the price down. Volume Zones: It is necessary to point out the support level/local minimum 1770.00 - 1774.60. The price is still trading nigh this mark. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 74% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). a.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we should consider exceptionally short positions. We may enter the market after a keen breakdown of the support level supported by the large volume. It will be a more precise signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 400 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VARIANSE
EURUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge drop supported by large institutional volume and broke through the previous support level. Moreover, the large negative delta means that sellers are prevailing the market now. Volume Zones: This formed a new level of resistance, which contains large market participants volume and was created during this move from 1.2015 – 1.2025. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 70% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). a.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we should consider exceptionally short positions. We may enter the market after a smooth upward correction, in order to get a more profitable entry point. A stop loss may be placed above the new resistance with a little margin. Profit Potential: Around 100 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
GBPUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge drop supported by the large institutional volume and broke through the previous support level. However, the pair resumed rising after the creation of the new volume level. Nevertheless, the price is still trading nigh this mark. Volume Zones: It is crucial to allocate the new volume support level 1.4036 - 1.4052. The price is trading near this mark at the moment. Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a breakdown of the support level, which will be a great bearish signal. The move must be keen and supported by the large volume. A stop loss may be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 150 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
AUDUSD stays directed towards 2.5-month-old support lineAlthough AUDUSD keeps Monday’s recovery moves around 0.7700, the pair bulls have a bumpy road ahead. That said, a 100-day SMA level of 0.7725 and a monthly falling trend line near 0.7760 probes the short-term recovery moves amid sluggish MACD. It should also be noted that an absence of directional signals from the RSI also challenges the pair’s corrective bounce inside a symmetrical triangle formation between 0.7760 and 0.7660. While the absence of bullish signals isn’t enough to back bears, the market’s anxiety ahead of tomorrow’s US Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting adds to the sellers’ favor. However, a clear downside below an ascending support line from April 01, near 0.7660, becomes necessary for the AUDUSD bears to retake controls. Following that, the monthly low near 0.7645 and the mid-April bottom surrounding 0.7585 should gain the market’s attention.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge drop supported by the large institutional volume and broke through the previous support level. This move shows that sellers are currently dominating the market. Volume Zones: This formed a new level of resistance, which contains large market participants volume and was created during this move from 1.2123 – 1.2130. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 67% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). a.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we should consider exceptionally short positions. We may enter the market after a smooth upward correction, in order to get a more profitable entry point. A stop loss may be placed above the new resistance level with a little margin. Profit Potential: More than 100 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
2
XAUUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth yesterday. The move was on the large volume, so that we may assume that the smart money pushed the price up. It increases the possibility of the further surge. Moreover, we have to allocate a presence of the strong uptrend. Volume Zones: We need to point out an important level of resistance 1909.00. The price is currently trading near this mark. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 63% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). c.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The growth must be sharp and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 300 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VARIANSE
XAUUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The price continued rising after a recent sharp surge supported by the large volume and positive delta. Moreover, this move has totally absorbed the previous fall, which is a good sellers weakness indicator. Volume Zones: We need to point out the new level of support 1880.30 - 1883.30, which contains the large volume. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 63% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). a.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may ponder long positions after a smooth downward correction of the price, in order to get a more profitable entry point. A stop loss may be placed below the new support level. Profit Potential: More than 250 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VARIANSE
1
USDJPY LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The price showed a huge and keen growth supported by the large volume. Together with the large positive delta, it means that buyers among institutional players are dominating the market at the moment. Besides it, the pair broke out the previous resistance level. Volume Zones: We need to allocate an important level of support 109.90 - 109.93, which contains the large volume. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 78% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). c.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may open purchases after a smooth downward correction of the price, in order to get a more profitable entry point. A stop loss may be placed below the beginning of the sharp surge. Profit Potential: More than 100 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE