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AUDUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge and sharp fall supported by the large institutional volume, which means that there is a significant sales imbalance. Volume Zones: This formed a new level of resistance, which contains large market participants volume and was created during this move from 0.7098 - 0.7110. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 53% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). b.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we should consider exceptionally short positions. We may enter the market after a smooth upward correction, in order to get a more profitable entry point. A stop loss may be placed above the new resistance. Profit Potential: Around 70 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
1
EURUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price had demonstrated a keen drop and tested the support level, but could not break it down. However, the price has already resumed falling and now is testing this mark once again. Volume Zones: We need to allocate the new support level 1.1734 - 1.1738, which contains the large volume. Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may reckon a breakdown of the support level, which will consent us to open short positions. The sink must be abrupt and supported by the large volume, which will be a more precise signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: Around 100 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
USDCAD - Buy BiasI am extremely interested in buys on most XXXCAD pairs but USDCAD in particular. After analyzing the DXY I have a strong feeling that bullish pressure is imminent. I would like to see a pullback into the key area marked followed by significant rejection before I consider my buy position. We need to ensure we see signs of rejection because if we don't we could simply be witnessing a liquidity grab from sellers before the bearish trend continues. COT Data - 79% Long IG Client Sentiment Data - 79% Long
Long
by AlkalineFX
1
USDCAD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price corrected upwards after the test of the support level, however, the pair is still trading nigh this mark. Moreover, we have to allocate a strong local downtrend. Volume Zones: We need to point out the support level/local minimum 1.3106, which has already been tested by the price. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 81% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). b.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may ponder a breakdown of the support level, which will allow us to open short positions. The breakdown move must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more precise signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 100 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
GBPJPY - Get that Wick EntryWe managed to pull off an amazing stunt last week with that lovely wick entry on GJ, we are now looking for more potential buying opportunities. I have marked out a zone in which I think price will tap into before continuing to the upside, you may want to consider setting some orders at that region if it fits your analysis. GBP is proving to be very tough to trade recently giving us a yo-yo of price action movement so make sure you tread carefully when trading it. COT Data - 53% Short IG Client Sentiment - 53% Long
Long
by AlkalineFX
XAUUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth and tested the level of resistance. The price did not break it out, but is still trading near it. Besides it, we need to point out the presence of the local uptrend. Volume Zones: It is necessary to allocate the level of resistance 1926.30 - 1929.00, which contains the large volume. Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may reckon a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will consent us to open long positions. The rise must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 250 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VARIANSE
1
EURUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The price had corrected down, but after the formation of the new volume zone at the daily low, the price resumed rising. The move was sharp and confident. It shows the weakness of sellers. Volume Zones: It is necessary to point out the resistance level 1.1802. The price is trading near this mark at the moment. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 72% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). b.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The growth must be sharp and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 80 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
AUDUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair continued rising after the test of the support level. It is necessary to allocate the presence of the local uptrend. Volume Zones: We need to point out an important level of support 0.7137 - 0.7145, which contains the large volume. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 68% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). c.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, should give preference to long positions. We may open purchases after a smooth downward correction, in order to get a better entry point. A stop loss should be placed below the new support level. Profit Potential: More than 70 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
October 4 Market Update | Technical, Fundamental, NewsDescription: An analysis for the week ahead. Points of Interest: Low-Volume Area Below $3,320; High-Volume Area At $3,370; NDX, RUT, and SPX divergence. Technical: Broad-market equity indices ended the week higher with the S&P 500 retracing 50% of the sell-off. During Last Week’s Action: Participants defended the low-volume area -- which denotes upside directional conviction -- below $3,320. Most notable was what happened after Thursday’s failure to extend past responsive selling at the $3,370 high-volume ledge. The lack of conviction resolved itself in Friday's overnight liquidation on news that U.S. President Donald Trump contracted COVID-19, thus returning the market back into balance. Defense of the low-volume area, alongside the development of low-excess highs during the U.S. cash session, suggests the potential for further upside. Auctioning through the low-volume area, however, may trigger downside follow-through, with the S&P 500 moving as far as the $3,198 swing low. Scroll to bottom of document for non-profile charts. Fundamental: ARK Invest CEO and CIO Catherine Wood suggested another stimulus bill would be released prior to the election, with Airlines being one major beneficiary. A problem with such a bill is that the economy has hit escape velocity and some of the stimulus included may not be necessary. bit.ly “We also, in terms of fiscal policy, hope that these policies are not going to get in the way of so-called creative destruction. What we mean by that is disruptive innovation tends to take off during difficult times. But, if companies and industries are being subsidized just to hang on a little longer, that’s probably not good for anyone.” Simply put, Wood theorizes the government's stimulus of dying industries is a disservice, as it diverts resources to less productive areas of the economy. Key Events: Monday: Fed Barkin Speech, ISM Non-Manufacturing, Fed Evans Speech, Fed Bostic Speech. Tuesday: Balance of Trade, Fed Chair Powell Speech, Fed Harker Speech, Fed Kaplan Speech. Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, Fed Barkin Speech, EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change, EIA Distillate Stocks Change, FOMC Minutes, Fed Williams Speech, Fed Kashkari Speech, Consumer Credit Change, Fed Williams Speech, Fed Evans Speech. Thursday: Initial Claims, Continuing Claims, Fed Barkin Speech, Fed Kaplan Speech. Friday: Wholesale Inventories. Recent News: U.S. election to supercharge structural trends, increased focus on sustainability. bit.ly Azerbaijan (Turkey-backed) and Armenia (close to Russia, Iran) conflict flares. bit.ly If the president holds onto Florida, then the entire election grows far closer. bloom.bg The Treasury market’s size to outstrip dealer capacity to safely intermediate. bloom.bg Uber Technologies Inc (NYSE: UBER) granted a London license after battle. reut.rs FAA Chief conducts two-hour evaluation of Boeing Co (NYSE: BA) 737 MAX. reut.rs Technology companies cozy up to Biden campaign with cash and connections. reut.rs U.S. auto sales stay on a path to recovery despite the tighter inventories. reut.rs Boeing Co (NYSE: BA) to move 787 production to South Carolina in 2021. reut.rs Fed’s Kaplan says he wants to be careful about further quantitative easing. reut.rs U.S. job growth slows; nearly 4 million Americans permanently unemployed. reut.rs Ford Motor Company’s (NYSE: F) auto sales recover on a demand pickup. reut.rs Uber Technologies Inc (NYSE: UBER) logistics division has raised $500M. reut.rs House Speaker Pelosi says airline aid deal is near, asks for halt to job cuts. reut.rs Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) reports record deliveries, Model 3 underwhelms. reut.rs Lawmakers pressure U.S. trade representatives to strike Taiwan trade deal. bit.ly Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) cut price on Chinese Model 3 with CATL battery. bloom.bg Wall Street is preparing its systems for the election trading surge, volatility. bloom.bg The COVID-19 vaccines further along in clinical trials are hardest to deploy. bit.ly China’s support for infrastructure investment will aid the economic recovery. bit.ly Structural shifts triggered by the pandemic to benefit a tech subsectors. bit.ly Senator McConnell cancels scheduled senate floor votes for two weeks. on.mktw.net ‘I wasn’t feeling so well. I feel much better now’: Trump’s address to America. on.mktw.net China’s economic recovery from the pandemic helps drive its stocks higher. on.wsj.com COVID-19 will lead to lasting behavioural changes in consumption and work. bit.ly Key Metrics: Sentiment: 26.2% Bullish, 30.7% Neutral, 43.1% Bearish as of 9/30/2020. bit.ly Gamma Exposure: (Trending Lower) 921,593,487 as of 10/2/2020. bit.ly Dark Pool Index: (Trending Higher) 44.7% as of 10/2/2020. bit.ly Product Snapshot: S&P 500 (ES): Gold (GC): Crude Oil (CL): Treasury Bonds (ZB): Disclaimer: This is a page where I look to share knowledge and keep track of trades. If questions, concerns, or suggestions, feel free to comment. I think everyone can improve, especially me. In no way should this post be construed as investment advice.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by Physik
USDCAD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price showed a sharp sink supported by the large institutional volume last week. It means that the smart money shoved the pair down. Volume Zones: It is necessary to point out the new resistance level 1.3330, which contains the large volume and has already been tested by the pair. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 67% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). c.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we should ponder exceptionally short positions. We may enter the market after a slight upward correction, in order to get a more profitable entry point. A stop loss may be placed above the beginning of the keen drop of the price. Profit Potential: More than 150 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
USDJPY SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge drop supported by the huge volume and negative delta. It means that the smart money propelled the pair downwards, which means a significant imbalance of sales. Volume Zones: It is necessary to point out the new volume level of resistance 105.65 - 105.70. The price started falling exactly after its creation. Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we should ponder exceptionally short positions. We may enter the market after a smooth upward correction, in order to get a more profitable entry point. A stop loss may be placed above the new resistance level. Profit Potential: More than 80 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
AUDUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The price showed a sharp and confident growth supported by the large volume and positive delta. Both mean that the smart money pushed the price upwards. Volume Zones: It is necessary to point out the new support level 0.7150 - 0.7158, which contains the large volume. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 69% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). c.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we should ponder exceptionally long positions. We may enter the market after a smooth downward correction of the price, in order to get a better entry point. A stop loss should be placed below the support level with a little margin. Profit Potential: More than 70 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
EURUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth and tested the level of resistance. The price did not break it out, but is still trading near it. The move was on the large positive delta, so that we may assume that the smart money pushed the price up. It increases the possibility of the further surge. Volume Zones: We need to point out the level of resistance 1.1729 - 1.1735. The price is testing this mark at the moment. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 71% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). a.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The growth must be sharp and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: Around 140 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
USDCAD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth and tested the level of resistance. The price did not break it out, but is still trading near it. Moreover, the strong local uptrend implies the probability of the further growth. Volume Zones: We need to allocated an important level of resistance/local maximum 1.3410. Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the resistance level breakout, which will consent us to open long positions. The rise must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 120 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
1
AUDUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price showed an abrupt sink supported by the large volume and broke through the previous support level. Moreover, the large negative delta implies that there is a huge sales imbalance. Volume Zones: We have to allocate the new support level 0.7012 - 0.7020. The price is trading near this mark now. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 55% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). c.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we should ponder exceptionally short positions. We may enter the market after the keen breakdown of the support level. The move must be supported by the large volume, which will be a more precise signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: Around 80 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
3