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GBPUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: THe price continued rising, moreover, the growth was rapid and supported by the increased volume. The large positive delta denotes that there is a significant purchases imbalance. Volume Zones: The volume was evenly spread across the movement, hence, we can't allocate any new volume levels or zones. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 74% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). b.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard long positions, but only after a smooth downward correction of the price. It will give as a better entry point. A stop loss should be placed below the strong bullish signal. Profit Potential: More than 130 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
USDJPY - VisionThis pair is depreciating more and more, the previous daily candle closure was a huge bearish engulfing candle suggesting that we could potentially see more selling pressure leading into next week. Now that price has broken the small ascending trend line marked, I would expect a slight pullback followed by more aggressive sells. I have marked the levels I am interested in as well as a potential SL placement zone, this is simply a forecast we would need to see how price opens and reacts on Monday before considering any selling opportunities. According to COT data source - 36.8% are short (This does not change my bias because COT has not been very accurate with the current market conditions)
Short
by AlkalineFX
USDCAD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge drop supported by increased institutional volume and large negative delta. It denotes that sellers are prevailing the market at the moment. Volume Zones: We need to point out the support level 1.3137. The price is currently testing this mark. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 79% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). a.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of its breakdown, which will allow us to open short positions. The move must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more precise signal for entering the market. A stop loss should be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 100 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
1
USDJPY LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth and broke out the previous level of resistance. The move was on the large volume, so that we may assume that the smart money pushed the price up. It increases the possibility of the further surge. Volume Zones: We need to point out the new level of resistance 106.45-106.49, which contains the large volume. The pair is currently trading near this mark. Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The growth must be sharp and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: Around 80 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
1
Gold - Different ApproachI urge you to take a second look at gold as this could be the potential next move. I was very obvious that gold created a supportive area where price began consolidating, many people would have looked at this area and saw a ranging area at a supportive zone, they would have gone ahead and placed there buys. If you would have placed there SL's like the majority of people do they would have been stopped out with the first spike marked in the box. Buyers furious that this happened would have placed another buy once the price was back at the desired zone only to be stopped out once again at the marked box 2. This may have now created enough liquidity for the banks to really drive the price where they want, which in my view is to the upside. This is simply my opinion on the XAUUSD, but its definitely a thought you should consider. We don't personally trade it due to the heavy manipulation. IG Client Sentiment Gold - 79% Long According to COT Data source - 52% Long
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AlkalineFX
Allstate should make a bullish trend line breakAllstate is one of my top picks in terms of both value and sentiment. In terms of technicals, it's a classic potential trend line breakout play. Value After a significant selloff this year, Allstate is still trading near the bottom of its 3-year valuation range in P/E, P/S, and P/D terms. The company is financially healthy, with a 78/100 score for financial health from S&P Global. It pays a solid, but sustainable dividend; I estimate 2.37% dividend return in the next 12 months, assuming the dividend gets bumped up to 58 cents in the first quarter of next year. In the last 12 months, the dividend was only 16% of GAAP EPS, which is a very comfortable level. The PEG ratio of 2.77 is pretty good, and the PSG ratio of 0.25 is extremely good. (Admittedly, analyst coverage is a little thin, so we're not working with very many different estimates of future earnings and sales.) In fact, the only value metrics by which Allstate looks a little lackluster are its ESG score and earnings surprise history, both a little below the market average. Sentiment Sentiment on Allstate has been improving over the last month, with a large increase in the Equity Starmine Summary Score to its current rating of 9.7/10. Allstate got a hefty settlement from PG&E last month, so the news environment looks good. The put/call ratio on Allstate is bullish, but not strongly bullish, at 0.69. (A put/call ratio under 1 is bullish; a put/call ratio over 1 is bearish.) Technicals Technicals are somewhat negative for now, but given the improvement in analyst ratings, I expect that Allstate will soon make a bullish trend line cross. For a swing trade, I am setting my profit target in the 105-106 range. I will go ahead and buy ahead of the trend line cross, but another way to play this would be to wait for a confirmed cross to place a buy.
NYSE:ALLLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
EURUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price showed a sharp and keen drop supported by the large institutional volume and broke through the previous support level. Moreover, the large negative delta shows that there is a significant sales imbalance now. Volume Zones: This formed a new level of resistance, which contains large market participants volume and was created during this move from 1.1840 – 1.1846. Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we should consider exceptionally short positions. We can enter the market after a smooth upward correction, in order to get a more profitable entry point. A stop loss may be placed above the beginning of the slump. Profit Potential: Around 100-110 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
2
XAUUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge drop supported by large institutional volume and now is testing the support level. The large negative delta shows that sellers are prevailing the market. Volume Zones: It is necessary to point out the new support level 1926.60 - 1934.50, which contains the large volume. Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may consider a scenario of the support level breakdown. It will be a great bearish signal and will allow us to open short positions. The drop must be keen, confident and supported by the large volume. A stop loss should be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 400 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VARIANSE
2
EURUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge drop supported by large institutional volume and broke through the previous support level. Moreover, the movement was supported by the large negative delta, which means a significant sales imbalance. Volume Zones: This formed a new level of resistance, which contains large market participants volume and was created during this move from 1.1893 - 1.1907. Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we should consider exceptionally short positions. We can enter the market after a smooth upward correction, in order to get a more profitable entry point. A stop loss may be placed above the new resistance. Profit Potential: Around 120 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
AUDUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth and now is testing the level of resistance. The surge was on the large volume, so that we may assume that the smart money pushed the price up. It increases the possibility of the further surge. Volume Zones: We need to point out an important level of resistance 0.7252 - 0.7262. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 80% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). c.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The growth must be sharp and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 70 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
1
EURUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth and is testing the level of resistance now. Given that there is a strong local uptrend, we still should prefer long positions. Volume Zones: We need to point out an important level of resistance/local maximum 1.1900. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 80% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). b.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may reckon a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The rise should be abrupt and supported by the large volume, which will be a more secure signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 100 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
1
AUDJPY - Sell IdeaIf we manage to see a break of this mini support marked blue, we will be looking for further confirmations to get involved in a long term sell position. We have marked the areas of interest and levels that we will be taking partial profits at if the set-up comes to light. The overall bias of the AUD is bullish, so we must treat this pair as bullish until the market shows us otherwise. COT DATA - 72% of commercial players are short according to our COT source. 59% are net short according to the IG Client sentiment data.
by AlkalineFX
GBPUSD NEUTRAL on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Current situation: The price corrected down after the test of the resistance level. Now the pair is located within the local consolidation, where the large volume is concentrated. Hence, we may assume that the smart money is opening new positions. Volume Zones: The boundaries of the consolidation are the support 1.3013 and the resistance 1.3136 - 1.3165. Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may reckon new positions only after the keen exit of the price from the range. The breakout movement must be supported by the large volume, which will be a more accurate signal for entering the market. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
by VARIANSE
1
CVAC Proves Why I Love IPOsCVAC had a $16 IPO entry price and peaked at $65 today. This shows why I love IPOs for stocks that enter into the market. This also proves why I hate many traditional broker accounts. Lots of traditional broker accounts don't give you access to the early level IPO price for the first hours the stock hits the market, and this is one of the most annoying things in the world in the eyes of a traditional investor wanting to get into IPO investing for stocks. There is still decent profit turnover opportunity for latecomers. That being said, I might shorten Curevac or put a sell target off at most for $65 if I were you and I were holding it. Once something rises that much for IPOs, the crash can be double digit percentage points sometimes. That being said, everything I say is on an opinion based basis. Invest at your own risk and do your own due diligence.
NASDAQ:CVACShort
by gamer456148
1
GBPUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The price is still trading near the local maximum. Given the strong local uptrend, we still should give preference to long positions. Volume Zones: We need to point out an important level of resistance/local maximum 1.3135-1.3165. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 66% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). c.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The growth must be sharp and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 150 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
1
NZDUSD - Highly InterestedVery interested in this pair, it is not often you see a bullish doji candle respecting the previous structure and this indicates to me that the one final bullish move may be around the corner before the big sell-off and USD resurrection, let’s see what happens throughout today, we may be looking at a buy position on the lower time frames. 60% of commercial players are short according to our COT Data source 69% are net short according to IG Client Sentiment
Long
by AlkalineFX
USDCHF - Sticky OneWhen we take a deeper look into this pair from the daily time frame we can see that in reality it is caught within a small range. We closed with a bearish engulfing candle which may indicate more sells but we cant sell immediately without getting confirmation from the lower time frames. I have indicated how you could potentially trade this pair, although it would be going against the COT and Sentiment bias it still looks like a great set-up and I have found that trading against the majority more often than not works! Let’s see how this trade unfolds, remain patient. 78% of commercial players are short according to our COT Data source 78% are net-long according to IG Client Sentiment
by AlkalineFX
EURUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The price resumed rising and now is trading near the resistance level. The rise was supported by increased volume and positive delta, which means that buyers regain the lead. Moreover, the strong local uptrend, we should give preference to long positions. Volume Zones: We need to allocate an important level of resistance/local maximum 1.1887. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 78% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). c.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The surge must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more secure signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 120 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
USDJPY LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth and broke out the level of resistance. The move was keen and on the large volume, so that we may assume that the smart money pushed the price up. It increases the possibility of the further surge. Moreover, given the large positive delta, we may state that there is a significant purchases imbalance. Volume Zones: We need to highlight the new volume level of support 106.33 - 106.43. Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard long positions after a smooth downward correction of the price, in order to get a better entry point. A stop loss should be placed below the new support level. Profit Potential: Around 80 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
1