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XAGUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge drop supported by large institutional volume, which means that the smart money pushed the price down. Volume Zones: We need to point out the support level 14.58 - 14.65. The price is currently trading near it. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 75% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). c.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may reckon a scenario of the breakdown of the support level. The sink must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more accurate signal for entering the market. A stop loss should be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 70 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by VARIANSE
1
EURUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair continued rising. Moreover, the growth was sharp and supported by the large volume, that means that institutional players pushed the price further up. Volume Zones: We need to allocated an important level of support 1.0938 - 1.0951, which contains the large volume. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 71% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). d.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of opening long positions after a smooth downward correction of the price, in order to get a better entry point. A stop loss should be placed below the new support level. Profit Potential: More than 120 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
Still Bullish on Tesla but Elon Musk is Losing his MindFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or as financial advice. As always this is on opinion basis. That being said, let me get into a few insights. The spread of the buy and sell today is over 154, and Tesla's price passed a high today of over $869. Why, the price crash? Well, Mr. Musk decided to get creative and tweet, " Tesla stock price is too high imo ", which made it all tumbling down. There is a reason why many people have been mostly setting short targets for Tesla's stock price. Yes, I'm still bullish on Tesla, but someone really needs to describe to this guy how Twitter works.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by gamer456148
10
GBPUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth supported by the huge volume, which means that institutional players pushed the price up. Moreover, the large positive delta implies a huge dis-balance of long positions. Volume Zones: We need to allocated an important level of resistance 1.2600 - 1.2615, which contains the large volume. Now the price is trading near it. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 61% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). d.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The growth must be sharp and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 170 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
1
USDCAD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a sharp drop, hence the local downtrend is going on. Moreover, increased negative delta implies a presence of the dis-balance of sales. Volume Zones: This formed a new level of resistance, which contains large market participants volume and was created during this move from 1.3825– 1.3837. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 64% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). b.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we should consider exceptionally short positions. We can enter the market after a smooth upward correction, in order to get a more profitable entry point. A stop loss may be placed above the new resistance. Profit Potential: More than 150 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
AUDUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth supported by the increased volume, so that we may assume that the smart money pushed the price up. It increases the possibility of the further surge. Volume Zones: It is necessary to point out the new volume support level 0.6485. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 83% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). a.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we should give preference to long positions. We may enter the market after a smooth downward correction of the price, in order to get a better entry point. A stop loss should be placed below the new support level. Profit Potential: More than 120 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Long
by VARIANSE
USDJPY SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price tested the support level, but could not break it down and corrected upwards. However, the pair has already resumed falling. Volume Zones: It is necessary to point out the level of support 107.06, which is being tested now. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 67% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). b.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may reckon a scenario of the breakdown of this mark. The drop must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss should be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 150 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
1
USDJPY SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge drop after the appearance of the large volume in the market. It shows the huge dis-balance of sales (shorts>longs). Volume Zones: We need to point out the level of support/local minimum 107.06. Now the price is trading near it. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 65% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). b.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may reckon a scenario of the breakdown of the support level, which will allow us to open short positions. The drop must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss should be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 150 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
Coronavirus vs. the Economy: Covid19 Recovery High HopesCurrently, the Coronavirus growth have resulted in one of the steepest negative correlations ever seen for a variety of different things. I comparatively looked at: the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, the VANGUARD MALVER/SHORT-TERM INFLATION, S&P Global Inc's stock price, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and an Oil Gas Index and seen steep downward spirals, as well as a positive correlation curve right afterwards. Even with the ADR being 1.68 as a decline ration, this is quite good. This means that people are starting to reinvest in the economy, and the steep downwards trend has likely been a result of panic selling. Behavioral psychology is a huge part of this. Even as Coronavirus is expected to hit the 3 million mark soon (and I have been analyzing the entire Covid19 history looking at growth rate), I can see within few month it hitting 5 million and so on. This is with it being curved. Herd immunity also can play a role in slowing everything down as places open back up. Again, don't take what I say seriously or at face value, but I think that the supply and demand curve for most of the economy's assets should stabilize, and expect everything to go back up. It is a slow recovery process, but not looking too detrimental. People could have been making decent gains during the Coronavirus period, but also huge losses. The best trading strategies do well in both a bullish and bearish market.
CLong
by gamer456148
EURUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The demonstrated a sharp drop supported by increased institutional volume and negative delta. Moreover, the previous growth was totally swallowed by this fall, which points the weakness of buyers at the moment. Volume Zones: We need to allocate the support level/lower boundary of the consolidation 1.0780 - 1.0791. Now the price is testing this mark. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 65% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). b.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may reckon a breakdown of the support level, which will allow us to open short positions. The breakdown movement must be supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss should be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: Around 130 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
Short
by VARIANSE
XAGUSD SHORT on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bearish Signal: The price demonstrated a huge drop supported by large institutional volume. The large negative delta shows that sellers are dominating the market, hence supply>demand. Volume Zones: We need to point out the new volume level of support 14.58 - 14.65. The price is currently trading near it, which shows that buyers don't have enough power to propel the pair up. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 64% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). b.radikal.ru Consider Short Positions: Given all these factors, we may consider a scenario of the breakdown of the support level. The breakdown movement must be keen, confident and supported by the large volume, which will be a more accurate signal for entering the market. A stop loss should be placed above the breakdown volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 70 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by VARIANSE
NATGASUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The price demonstrated an abrupt growth supported by the large volume, which means that the smart money shoved the price up. Moreover, the huge positive delta shows a large dis-balance of purchases. Volume Zones: We need to allocated an important level of resistance 1.930 - 1.950. The price is currently trading near this mark. Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The growth must be sharp and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 150 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:NATGASUSDLong
by VARIANSE
EURUSD NEUTRAL on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Current situation: The pair showed a sharp growth, however, it is still located within the local consolidation right now. We should point out that the large volume accumulation is concentrated inside it. Therefore, the smart money are gaining there positions before the next sharp movement. Volume Zones: The boundaries of the consolidation are the support level 1.0780-1.0791 and the resistance level 1.0965. Sentiment: This technical indicator shows equality between purchases and sales among retails traders. This is a regular situation for instruments, that are trading in consolidations. Thus, we should watch this indicator, especially in case of the exit of the price from the range. d.radikal.ru Consider New Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard new positions only after the exit of the price from local consolidation. The breakout movement must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
by VARIANSE
USDJPY NEUTRAL on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Current situation: The price tested the upper boundary of the local range yesterday, but could not break it out. Now the price is still locked within this local consolidation, where the large volume is concentrated. Hence, we may assume that institutional clients are gathering liquidity for the new sharp momentum of the pair. Volume Zones: The boundaries of the range are the support 107.31 and the resistance 108.05. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 60% retails traders are in long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). Nevertheless, we should wait for the exit of the price first. c.radikal.ru Consider New Positions: Given all these factors, we can regard new trading positions only after the sharp exit of the price from the range. Moreover, the breakout movement must be abrupt, confident and supported by the large volume. It will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
by VARIANSE
USDOLLAR Holds 50-Day Moving Average SupportThe left chart show's the daily chart of FXCM's dollar index, USDOLLAR. The instrument is holding support at the black 50-day moving average. The RSI is also looking to cross above 50, which is the bullish side of the oscillator. The right chart shows the hourly time frame. Here the RSI is already bullish and if the EMAs start moving upwards (green ellipse), the greenback is likely bid. If this is the case and the sentiment transfers to the daily time frame, the market will be moving towards a risk-off sentiment.
FX:USDOLLARLong
by FXCM
XAUUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth and tested the new level of resistance. The price did not break it out, but is still trading nigh this mark. Moreover, given the recent sharp growth and the presence of the local uptrend, we still should give a slight advantage to long positions. Volume Zones: We need to allocated an important level of resistance 1740.50-1745.00, which contains the large volume. Nevertheless, the price is still trading near it, which shows that sellers don't have enough power to propel the price down now. Sentiment: This indicator shows that retail traders have even interest in short and long positions (due to the general volume). However, the number of short positions is almost twice as high comparing to long positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). a.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The growth must be sharp and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 400 points. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VARIANSE
1
XAGUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth and tested the level of resistance. The price did not break it out, but is still testing it. The move was on the increased volume, so that we may assume that the smart money pushed the price up. It increases the possibility of the further surge. Volume Zones: We need to allocated an important level of resistance/local maximum 15.50-15.55. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 60% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). a.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may reckon a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The rise must be keen and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 100 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by VARIANSE
SPX Probability Forcast.I have 3 possible outcomes that I am speculating. The first out come is the V bottom which is labeled with the dotted line. I give this outcome only a 5% chance because of the current market environment. We are currently at around 0% interest rates so the Fed can't give any more relief dropping rate any lower. The Fed has also has printed 6 million in stimulus to help the market which inflates the dollars buying power and really is only a temporary fix short term that is going to hurt the Economic market in the long run.The Fed can't continue inflating this artificial market with things they have in the past QE and stimulus it's becoming a very synthetic bubble. It's also projected that 60 million Americans are going to be out of work which adds up to 30% which is more than the great depression which had 25%. The only reason i give the V bottom a 5% chance is because I could see the Fed doing something extreme that has never been done before like printing money to buy stocks. This would maybe create a false support in the stock market. But you just can't keep printing money to put band aids on historical monetary problems that have progressed to the situation of where we are it's gotta give eventually. The second outcome is the double dip. I give the double dip a 35% chance because as stated above the Fed might take extreme measures to give false synthetic support to the market that has never been done before. Also Chart Structural wise it could make sense to have less of an extreme fall on the next sell off and we could find support at the bottom of the channel. Another reason I weighted this possibility to 1/3 is if in the case we get back to work sooner than we think and enough small businesses don't go under and the unemployment rate of 60 million quickly becomes less and with the fed synthetic stimulus and life getting back to normal buyers might come in around the time we reach the bottom of the channel support. The third outcome is a market depression. I give this a 60% chance because everything that has been building up from the past will come to light. Poor monetary policy and fake synthetic market corrections with the fed always relying on dropping interest rates printing money and QE has been a ticking time bomb to pop eventually and this is the perfect storm to make it happen. 60 million Americans are expected to be out of work which like I said before is 30% to the great depression's 25%. Banks will have to be bailed out for 2nd time in 12 years small business will go under and there is pretty much nothing the fed can do because interest rates are already at 0% as they were just before the great depression. In 2008 we were at least able to drop rates from 5% to 0% interest rates have stayed low through this entire synthetic QE market bull run. Unless some weird new crooked policy from the FED comes out I really don't see this going any other way. If our economic markets never had new synthetic policy's this would be weighted a lot higher. Also the virus can be easy scapegoat to finally let the market crash and reset and not continue the madness of synthetic market stimulus. Good luck out there hope everyone is doing alright through the madness that is going on.
SP:SPXShort
by ziler
8
XAUUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The price showed a sharp growth and is testing the level of resistance now. The move was on the large volume, so that we may assume that the smart money pushed the price up. It increases the possibility of the further surge. Moreover, increased positive delta shows the dis-balance of purchases (long positions>short positions). Volume Zones: We need to allocated the new level of resistance 1690.00, however, the price did not show any sharp reaction on it and now is testing this mark. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 64% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). b.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The growth must be sharp and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 300 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VARIANSE
XAGUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair resumed rising and is currently testing the level of resistance. The price did not break it out, but is still trading near it, hence, we may state that sellers don't have enough power to push the price down. Moreover, the local uptrend is a good bullish signal for us. Volume Zones: We need to allocated an important level of resistance 15.12-15.22, which contains an increased volume. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 61% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). a.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of the breakout of the resistance, which will be a great bullish signal. The growth must be sharp and supported by the large volume, which will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss may be placed below the breakout volume bar. Profit Potential: More than 100 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by VARIANSE
XAUUSD LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The pair showed a sharp growth and broke out the level of resistance. Moreover, the movement was supported by the huge volume, which shows that large dis-balance of purchases. It implies the large exceed of demand over supply. The increased positive delta only confirms our statement. Volume Zones: Unfortunately, the volume was evenly spread across the chart, hence, we ca't allocate any new volume levels or zones. Sentiment: This indicator shows that 64% retails traders are in short positions, which is a good additional signal for us (trading against the "crowd"). d.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, should give preference to long positions. We can enter the market after a continuation of this rise supported by the large volume, which will be a more precise signal for entering the market. Furthermore, it will give us a good location for a stop loss - below the beginning of this surge. Profit Potential: More than 400 pips. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VARIANSE
AU: Holds Bearish SentimentAUD/USD set for another drop this week with immediate support at 0.59600..I'm currently holding short from last week, but am looking to add to my short position on a break of that level. Australian data indicating a sharper economic slowdown DXY showing broad strength as risk-off remains in the markets. Still a lot of uncertainty over COVID-19 as the virus continues to spread. *Preservation of capital is crucial, especially these days - so trade with proper money/risk management. -Krecioch
Short
by Krecioch
1
USDWTI LONG on Order Flow - Follow the smart money! Strong Bullish Signal: The price demonstrated an abrupt growth and broke out the previous resistance level. Moreover, the surge was supported by the large volume, which shows that the smart money pushed the price up. Volume Zones: Unfortunately, the volume was evenly spread across the chart, hence, we can't allocate any new volume levels or zones. Sentiment: This indicator shows the equate sharp of sellers and buyers, hence we need to wait for further changes in it. b.radikal.ru Consider Long Positions: Given all these factors, we may regard a scenario of opening long positions. We may enter the market after the continuation of the sharp growth supported by the large volume. It will be a more reliable signal for entering the market. A stop loss should be placed below the beginning of this move. Profit Potential: Our first target is the level 33.00. To learn more about order flow based volume trading, sentiment analysis and trading against the retail crowd see the educational article below -
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by VARIANSE