Get started

Sentimentalanalysis

From Sideways to Soaring: Gold's Path to $2700Gold has finally broken out of that sideways range, and what’s even more important, it did so in the direction we were expecting. It took a bit longer than we initially thought, but hey, the market doesn’t care about our timelines—it moves for its own reasons and motives. Right now, Gold is heading towards the $2700 mark, where we’ve got the first block of buy and sell orders lined up. Honestly, there’s nothing surprising about that, especially since round numbers tend to attract a lot of orders in commodity trading. The sentiment from the options market isn’t throwing any clear opposing signals, so the base scenario is still pointing upwards. That’s the scoop for now!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ClashChartsTeam
Yen Futures Set to Soar: Are You In?Hey traders! 🌟 Have you been watching the yen futures on CME? There’s some serious action brewing, and it looks like we could see those quotes climbing to 0.73 and beyond in the next 60 days! With new options portfolios aimed at boosting these futures, now's the time to get in on the action. What Does This Mean for You? If you're in the trading game, you know that such movements can create fresh opportunities. Options strategies could be your secret weapon, so don’t miss out! Why Should You Pay Attention? Consider using options not only to hedge your risks buy set goals for future movements too/ Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s discuss how we can capitalize on this situation! 💸📊
Short
by ClashChartsTeam
Gold's Game: Bouncing Back from Key LevelsLet’s talk about Gold for a sec. I mentioned before that this level would be attractive for Gold because there’s liquidity and a local minimum that traders all over the world are eyeing and will be trading around. And that’s pretty much what happened. But then Gold dipped lower and 'knocked' on another level of accumulated liquidity—what some folks call the 'triangle,' or whatever works for you. It knocked and then bounced back up, leaving those bears who got stuck in short positions in a bit of a tough spot. So, bottom line, the sentiment is bullish for now, but it’s more like a 'borderline' bullish vibe, to be honest..
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ClashChartsTeam
Copper - The impact of China's support packagesCopper is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. As long as copper is in the range, selling at the ceiling and buying at the bottom of the range will be recommended. If copper falls due to the release of today's economic data, we can see demand zone and buy within that zone with a suitable risk reward. If the upward trend starts and the ceiling of the range is broken, it is possible to sell copper in the specified supply zone. Chinese banks have recently reduced interest rates on existing mortgage loans, which amount to a total of 25.2 trillion yuan. This move aims to support the real estate market and bolster China’s economy. Meanwhile, the CEO of Maersk stated that they do not expect to navigate the Red Sea efficiently until 2025. Additionally, they see no signs of a decline in global demand or transaction volumes in the coming months. Maersk, one of the largest shipping companies in the world, was founded in Denmark in 1904 and is known for its extensive operations in maritime shipping, logistical services, transport, and financial services. On Tuesday, the World Bank reported that global commodity prices are projected to drop to their lowest in five years by 2025. In its latest Commodity Markets Outlook (CMO), the bank noted that despite this decline, overall commodity prices will remain 30% higher than five years before the COVID-19 pandemic. Although forecasts vary by commodity, improved supply conditions are cited as a key factor in the overall price reduction. A Reuters survey predicts that the global economy will grow by 3.1% in 2024 and 3.0% in 2025. These figures mark a change compared to the July survey, which projected 3.1% growth for both years. According to a recent analytical note from Bank of America, U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) for this month are expected to increase by around 100,000 jobs, a significant decrease from the 254,000 jobs added in September. This decline is primarily attributed to disruptions caused by Hurricane Milton and the Boeing workers’ strike, which likely reduced job opportunities and working hours.
CAPITALCOM:COPPER
by Ali_PSND
AUDUSD - Inflation in Australia, under control?!The AUDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bearish channel. In case of an upward correction due to the release of today's economic data, we can see a supply zone and sell within that zone with a suitable risk reward. Yesterday, China urged the United States to change its stance on Taiwan’s independence, asking it to clearly state “we oppose Taiwan independence” instead of “we do not support Taiwan independence.” The United States, however, refused to make this change and continues to maintain informal relations with Taiwan, providing support and military supplies to the island. Additionally, reports indicate that China’s top legislative body is reviewing a new financial package valued at over 10 trillion yuan, likely to be announced on November 8. China plans to raise 10 trillion yuan in new debt over the coming years through special treasury and local government bonds. This financial package includes 6 trillion yuan to mitigate local government debt risks and up to 4 trillion yuan for purchasing idle lands and properties. Should Donald Trump win the U.S. presidential election, China may unveil an even stronger financial package. Moreover, China is planning to issue over $1.4 trillion in additional debt in the coming years. A poll by Ipsos shows that the popularity gap between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump among registered voters has narrowed to one percentage point, with Harris at 44% support, just one percent ahead of Trump at 43%. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has predicted that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at least once more in 2024. He also remarked that the decline in U.S. interest rates will be less than people expect. Australia’s inflation data largely met expectations and was insufficient to prompt any change in the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) rate decision. Annual inflation for the third quarter stood at 2.8%, slightly below the expected 2.9%. The monthly rate was 2.1%, with the total inflation at 2.8%. This annual inflation rate is the lowest since early 2021; however, core inflation remains above the RBA’s 2-3% target. The reduction in annual inflation is mainly due to government subsidies and lower gasoline prices, although service inflation remains high. The RBA will hold a meeting on November 4-5, and given these figures, no rate cut is expected during this session. The final meeting will be on December 9-10, and no rate cut is anticipated for that session either. February remains the anticipated timeframe for analysts, though if the labor market remains strong and core inflation is high, a rate cut may be delayed until April or May.
Short
by Ali_PSND
Is the Euro Looking for Support?It seems like the euro is on the hunt for some support. Could the bulls finally take charge and pull the euro out of its steep decline? The indicators are sending mixed signals. And when I say "indicators," I’m not talking about stochastics, moving averages, or that kind of stuff. I’m referring to the data from COT reports (show sentiment leaning towards a stronger dollar), analysis of options trades (not signaling a reversal), and retail sentiment (which is firmly bearish). And sure, we’ll throw in some chart analysis, but not just for the euro—I'm also looking at the 10-year Treasury yield chart. What’s particularly important is how the quotes react at the 4.28% and 4.38% levels (marked as 1 and 2 on the chart). So, what do I mean by "how they react"? If the quotes hit resistance at these levels and turn south, the Dollar will likely correct, giving the euro bulls a breather. I highlighted the levels in the euro, the correction to which is very justified for finding liquidity. But if the quotes 10Y Bonds start to "chop" through those levels, then the Dollar is headed higher and beyond.
by ClashChartsTeam
Platinum Insider Stays in the Game, Anticipating Higher PricesA platinum Insider hasn't changed portfolio yet, so there's still potential for more growth. Let me remind you, on September 4th, an insider came into the Platinum market and went long, which caused the price of Platinum (and other precious metals) to go up. Now, prices are getting close to his target levels. This is important because it shows the market's future direction. The Insider know when to get in and when to get out. And we can watch them to see what he is doing. If you don't have the time or inclination to read stock reports, just follow us. We cover all the important stuff and provide valuable insights every day.
OANDA:XPTUSDLong
by ClashChartsTeam
The GOLD bears are stuckThese circles (on the chart) show where bears are stuck. Such levels have a great inductive element to them. And how they're crossed, whether they hang around for a while or rebounce quickly, gives a good indication of what the market price will do next. Moreover, according to publicly data, the average retail positions level is approximately $2,580. In other words, the market appears to be trending upwards, with average bulls positions already in the positive field
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ClashChartsTeam
Recent Trends in Crypto Options MarketWell, he crypto options market is experiencing a surge in growth, driven by increasing adoption and maturation. Key trends include short-term turbulence versus long-term growth, with a focus on short volatility on elections and long positions on new all-time highs by the end of the year. Whale Activity Whales are taking a protectionist approach, with a focus on long-term optimism: Puts: $40K is the most popular strike price, with 2562.5 contracts Focus: November 8, 2024, and March 28, 2025 Calls: Bets on FWB:65K -$100K by the end of the year Currently: Selling volatility at 60K-65K (November 8) Retail Activity Retail traders are taking an aggressive approach, with a focus on optimism: Puts: Weak protection $60K-$61K (October 2024) Calls: Focus on $95K-$100K (December 2024) Summary Short-term Turbulence vs Long-term Growth: The crypto options market is experiencing short-term turbulence, but long-term growth is expected. Long on New ATH: Whales are taking long positions on new all-time highs by the end of the year. Data Source for Analysis: Deribit
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ClashChartsTeam
Harnessing the Power of Artificial Swarm Intelligence in TradingI) Introduction Artificial swarm intelligence (ASI) has come in as the latest disruptor in trading and other industries in this world. This advanced technology, inspired by the sociobiology of social organisms like bees, birds, and fish, leads to the latest innovations and efficiencies found in the financial markets. Herein lies an informative overview of ASI, underscoring its principles and its utilities and advantages in trading. II) What is Artificial Swarm Intelligence? Artificial swarm intelligence makes one mimic the decision-making behavior of natural swarms. Swarms of bees, schools of fish, or flocks of birds in nature make group decisions that are often superior to those made by individuals in the same field. It exploits this relationship through algorithms and dynamic sharing of data to allow collaborative decision-making in artificial systems. III) How Does ASI Work? ASI has three basic components : 1) Agents: These are members of the swarm, often represented by single algorithms or software programs that take part, such as trading bots or software applications that analyze the market for many different data sources. 2) Communication Protocols: These protocols enable agents to relay information and together make decisions. Thus, good communication will enable all agents to receive the most current data and thus be aware of market trends. 3) Decision Rules: These are predetermined rules that guide agents regarding how to interpret data and make decisions. These rules usually imitate the simple behavioral rules present within the natural swarms-for example, either to align with neighboring swarming agents or to strive for consensus. IV) Applications of ASI in Trading 1) Market Prediction: ASI systems can process enormous market datasets, recognize historical patterns, and analyze real-time news to make informed market predictions. By providing agents with a common perspective, this system is capable of forecasting stock prices, commodities, or any other financial instruments much more effectively compared with conventional techniques. 2) Risk Management: In trading, effective management of risk is a very important aspect. ASI facilitates the comprehensive examination of the volatility of the market and how individual investors behave to identify possible risks. In this way, the risk assessment will benefit from the wisdom of the crowds and its falling human error rate. 3) Algorithmic Trading: ASI controls technological trading as it is in constant evolution by the market and the traders. This evolution is beneficial in the aspect of lowering the costs of the trading algorithms concerning the costs of the transactions carried out. 4) Sentiment Analysis: ASI technologies monitor and examine the social networks, news, and traders’ discussions within trader communities to analyze these markets. Such up-to-date information avails the traders of the present atmosphere of the markets which is useful in making forecasts at the right time. V) Merits of ASI in Trading 1) Increased accuracy: The inherent ASI decision-making characteristics increase the accuracy of market forecasts and trading decisions. 2) Greater efficiency: ASI digests material far more rapidly than older methodologies – enabling quicker actionable measures and therefore earning better trades by the traders. 3) Ongoing learning: ASI systems can learn and refresh their knowledge of the markets on an ongoing basis further increasing their adaptability. 4) Lower subjectivity: The incorporation of crowds helps to curb individual limitations and therefore results in a more objective analysis of the market that is devoid of personal bias. VI) The Future of ASI With the development of artificial swarm intelligence, its application in trading will surely diversify. More sophisticated agent communication systems will probably be necessary, faster information processing systems in real-time and systems with more capacity. All these will see the integration of ASI more into trading. VII) In conclusion Artificial swarm intelligence is a revolutionary method for making decisions in trading. The collective intelligence of the system allows traders to form better predictions accurately, increase their efficiency, and manage their risks. With future technological advancement, the role of ASI in trading will continuously see increased emphasis, leading the financial market into the future. - Ely
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by Elysian_Mind
Sentiment: Option Traders Take Bearish Bets on Silver and CopperNegative option flows were found for two metals at the same time: silver and copper. Portfolios that want prices to fall appeared at the same time as the market is growing, which is interesting. The positions are quite large, but they cannot be called "Insider positions", so we will be careful with forecasts. Of course, we need chart confirmation that agrees with the sentiment in options. Option traders like to flip trends too, so we need more signals. If you're long right now, though, that's something to consider. Like I said, option trades in Silver and Copper are significant.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSDShort
by ClashChartsTeam
Option market predicting a drop in AUD Hey everyone! We've got some data from the CME Exchange for August 13th. We're looking at option sentiment, which is meant to fall quotes in the 0.63 area within 30-40 days (the option portfolio's shown in the screenshot). It makes sense because there's a lot of bearish liquidity in that area, as confirmed by the price action there.But keep in mind that retail activity's contrarian indicator is still showing market bullish sentiment. You need to wait for the graphics to confirm it's time to lower the prices.
Short
by ClashChartsTeam
1
Unlocking the Power of Option Analysis for Forex TradingFiltering Options by Sentiment: A Key to Profitable Trading As traders, we're constantly on the lookout for ways to gain an edge in the markets. Option portfolios analysis is not a magic solution for success itself, but it can and should be a great tool to add to your trading strategy. Learning how to analyze the option portfolios of big and successful players on one of the world's biggest exchanges can really improve your market awareness and give you more confidence when reading the current market trends. The Power of Option Analysis Option analysis is not just about identifying bullish or bearish sentiment. It's about understanding the nuances of market psychology and identifying opportunities that others may be missing. By filtering options by sentiment, we can identify portfolios that are more likely to result in profitable trades. Key Factors to Consider When filtering options by sentiment, there are several key factors to consider: 1. Size and value of the option portfolio 2. Distance from the central strike (Delta) 3. Time to expiration 4.Appearance on the rise/fall of the underlying asset By considering these factors, we can identify option portfolios that are more likely to result in profitable trades. As mentioned above, option portfolios with names such as vertical spread, butterfly, and condor (in English - VERTICAL SPREAD, IRON FLY/FLY, CONDOR/IRON CONDOR) have predictive sentiment regarding the direction of the asset's price movement. However, it is critically important to be able to filter out such sentiment, since similar portfolios are widely used and appear almost daily in CME exchange reports, but only a small percentage of them have predictive value. Portfolios that are traded during a price movement with an obvious trend have low value. On the other hand, if a portfolio appears in a sideways market before the start of a trend and meets other conditions, which will be discussed later, it is reasonable to fix such a portfolio on the chart and subsequently track its correction (closure/partial closure/re-sale). If you "caught" such a portfolio that is already generating profit for its owner, i.e., the price is moving in the desired direction, you get an additional bonus: by tracking changes in this portfolio, you can understand whether the price movement will continue in the chosen direction or whether the movement is fading or has exhausted its potential and it's time to close your position. It is necessary to track changes daily using QuickStrike and GlobexTradeBrowser by CME GROUP. If you track less frequently, you can lose the thread of sentiment. I recommend performing analysis on a regular basis. Some examples: On July 17th, there was a really big beat on the Japanese yen in the options market for October. The bed was based on the idea that the yen futures would go up (or the dollar/yen forex rate would fall). As we saw, the bat started to pay off almost immediately, and the yen came really close to the target in just a few days! Could we have used this information for forex trading? Absolutely. The risk-reward ratio on this trade was about 1 : 3, but importantly , when we made this trade, we had real insider information. Insiders are required by the exchange to disclose their trades, just like other market participants. Not using this free information in your trades would be a big mistake for a serious trader who doesn't want to gamble in market. Another example: In April this year, we saw a strong bullish option sentiment for Silver prices rising between $32 and $35, based on a large options portfolio stated at around $27.5. We released our forecast for Silver, and you can find a copy of it with our reasoning at the link Cooper example: The forecast was made after analyzing option activity on the CME exchange on April 2. You can check the results yourself and see if the time we spent studying option sentiment and analyzing was worth it. In conclusion, as you can see, incorporating option analysis into your toolkit can really help you make more informed trading decisions. To all serious traders, I wish you patience and dedication on your journey to trading success. Remember that mastering the art of trading takes time, effort, and perseverance. Don't be discouraged by setbacks or losses, but instead, use them as opportunities to learn and improve. Stay focused, stay disciplined, and stay committed to your goals.
Education
by ClashChartsTeam
4
Gold Hit Liquidity Zone: Bullish Sentiment Ahead?So, gold quotes have hit the 'liquidity zone', where buyers trading the 'Engulfing' pattern are lurking, and we're seeing a breakout of the local high (on lower timeframes). You know the mantra: the market is always hunting for liquidity. Here's a textbook example. These zones have a solid predictive sentiment. If the quotes continue to 'chop' within a narrow range, having reached such a zone, then there's a higher probability of further upside movement, in other words, the market is kinda benevolent towards stuck bulls and doesn't want to see their blood spilled anymore."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ClashChartsTeam
BTC/USDT - Time to Quietly Look for Buy SetupsThe kNN (k-Nearest Neighbors) indicator is starting to exhibit encouraging signals for initiating buy positions in the BTC/USD market. The kNN Sentiment Anomaly Detector, a form of supervised learning, processes historical price data to pinpoint anomalies in investor sentiment. It focuses on the divergences between normalized investor satisfaction and actual asset prices, offering a data-driven method to spot potential market inflection points. Historically, this indicator has demonstrated over 80-90% reliability on the 4H timeframe, though it's crucial to remember that past performance doesn't guarantee future results. As the market sentiment shifts towards fear, this indicator's signal has prompted me to scout for additional buy opportunities. I've started building small spot positions for swing or long-term trading. My strategy includes pyramiding these positions up to a defined size, adapting to market conditions as they evolve. Additionally, I'm keeping an eye on the ISPD pro indicator for parallel buy signals, which would bolster the case for entry. Should the price unexpectedly plummet below the 38k mark, I plan to adopt a more aggressive stance in my position openings, aiming to expand my Bitcoin holdings while diligently managing risks. It's also interesting to note that various buy signals are cropping up on shorter timeframes, particularly the 1H and 2H charts. This observation suggests a potential shift towards bullish sentiment in the short term, adding another layer to my multi-timeframe market analysis.
Long
by Ox_kali
The chart is a battleground, revealing who got crushed!In the early days of exchange trading, there was no technical possibility to visualize market quote movements, and traders analyzed ticker tapes. The real hype and massive interest in exchange speculation owe it to the technical possibility of displaying exchange information in the form of charts with ticks, bars, candles, and other more exotic ways of displaying price movements (Renko, Kagi). This led to a rapid growth of various schools of technical and graphical analysis. Just Google it, and you'll be overwhelmed by the sheer amount of info out there. It's like, every chart can be interpreted in a million ways, and three analysts will give you four different opinions on the same chart. It's crazy! But after 15+ years of trading, I've come to realize that the essence of graphical analysis is all about finding the "suffering" market participants. Classic patterns make it easy to spot areas of market activity and where traders are piling in. I'll give you some examples, backed by data from open sources, that'll show you just how predictable retail traders can be. Now, I know some experienced traders might say, "Patterns don't work, and this knowledge isn't enough." But I call BS - patterns do work, and the real question is who's extracting the most value from them? Of course, interpreting market patterns is just one piece of the puzzle. Here's an analogy: think of experienced hunters preparing for a hunt. They don't just wander around looking for prey; they identify the habitats, study the location, and track the animal's migration paths. They have a plan, limited time, and the right gear to get the job done. It's the same with pro traders with really big money. They plan and execute their strategy, using the behavior of less-informed participants in certain "hotspots" that attract retail traders like magnets. It's simple: a a newbie sees a market situation that looks just like one from a technical analysis book, and they're like, "Ah, I've got this!" Alright, let's take a look at the current situation with the Euro. I've got a screenshot with the average long and short positions of retail traders marked on the chart. It's a 1-hour time frame, which is probably the most popular one, right? Think about it, why is this time frame so popular? The data is from an open source, as of Friday evening. Take a minute to study this chart. What catches your eye? Let's zoom in and add some lines and arrows. Voilà! What do we see? The average long and short positions of participants (from the open source) almost perfectly match the breakouts of local highs and lows. This is what's called "trading the breakout" in the books. We can make an intermediate conclusion: the "bulls" were encouraged to open positions and got stuck in a losing zone, while the "bears" are celebrating their victory, as the market is favoring them and they're in a small profit. In other words, the market sentiment is bearish. Woohoo, case closed, let's go to short the Euro now! And yes, and no! The Euro quotes have been below the average short position of traders since June 14th, for two whole weeks, inviting everyone to start shorting. Even a blind "bull" can see it's time to switch sides). Here are some more numbers from the open source: short positions on the Euro decreased by 11.55% last week , while bearish positions grew by 8.55% . These are broker-aggregated data, no insider info here. You can find them yourself if you put in some time and effort. These numbers, as you understand, confirm our hypothesis that this "shorting invitation" didn't go unnoticed. Now, in the context of this article, think about it: "Will the 'Hunters' take advantage of this situation?" Or will the market take us all for a profitable ride? Oh boy... Let's look at the current situation with the Yen. It's a 1-hour chart with opened buys and sell levels marked. What can we conclude: a massive bearish candle clearly encouraged a lot of short positions to open, while the "bulls" opened at the upper range boundary during its test, and the market is favoring them, while the bears are suffering. But what's even more important, they're not just suffering, but also reversing the market. According to open data, the number of open short positions grew by 14.09% last week . Good luck to them in this tough business! However we should remember that short positions are closed at a stop-loss by "market buy" orders, which gives an impulse for further growth. What do I want to convey with this article, what do I want to share with you, mates? Evaluate market sentiment through the prism of "suffering" participants - that's, in my opinion, the best indicator! Usefully utilize information from open sources about retail positioning, there's a lot of value in it. Try to look at the chart with the eyes of a "hunter", search for traps set. Make such analysis a necessary part of your strategy to gain an edge, without which trading on markets is like playing "roulette". It's a journey, folks. Some get it earlier, some later, but eventually, most traders come to realize they need to "dig deeper", learn more about market mechanics, and improve their strategies. It's a painful process, but it's worth it. So, don't give up! Get back on your feet, and try again. As 50 Cent said: Get rich or die trying!
Education
by ClashChartsTeam