BTC/USDT - Time to Quietly Look for Buy SetupsThe kNN (k-Nearest Neighbors) indicator is starting to exhibit encouraging signals for initiating buy positions in the BTC/USD market. The kNN Sentiment Anomaly Detector, a form of supervised learning, processes historical price data to pinpoint anomalies in investor sentiment. It focuses on the divergences between normalized investor satisfaction and actual asset prices, offering a data-driven method to spot potential market inflection points. Historically, this indicator has demonstrated over 80-90% reliability on the 4H timeframe, though it's crucial to remember that past performance doesn't guarantee future results.
As the market sentiment shifts towards fear, this indicator's signal has prompted me to scout for additional buy opportunities. I've started building small spot positions for swing or long-term trading. My strategy includes pyramiding these positions up to a defined size, adapting to market conditions as they evolve.
Additionally, I'm keeping an eye on the ISPD pro indicator for parallel buy signals, which would bolster the case for entry. Should the price unexpectedly plummet below the 38k mark, I plan to adopt a more aggressive stance in my position openings, aiming to expand my Bitcoin holdings while diligently managing risks.
It's also interesting to note that various buy signals are cropping up on shorter timeframes, particularly the 1H and 2H charts. This observation suggests a potential shift towards bullish sentiment in the short term, adding another layer to my multi-timeframe market analysis.
Sentiments
VIX 2008 vs 2022 sentimentHistory doesn't repeat, but does indeed rhyme - and same happens with human sentiment. Because VIX is a representation of it - we can see something similar happened along the lines of 2008. We all know a a drop is coming - we don't expect a bounce before though - and it is that bounce which I'm predicting to happen soon - and will turn bearish when it happens.
Bitcoin - A change of characterAfter breaking down below $25.3k on June 13, Bitcoin found a new low at $17,567, well below the 2017 all-time-high of $19,697.
Signs of a Reversal
In doing so, a pronounced price divergence appeared in the 4-hr chart, signalling a bullish reversal could be coming, and this was corroborated with the bullish engulfing bar at the low.
Elliott Waves
From that point, BTC has carved out a 5-wave impulse up to $21.7k on Jun21, a 3-wave correction back to $19.7k (confirming the 2017 high as support) and tentatively continued to climb up to $21.8k on the current bar.
Moving Averages
In doing so, we see that the 20MA has crossed bullish over the 50MA and the 12MA has crossed above both of these two. We can also observe that both the 12MA and 20MA are offering support to the price, propelling price higher, while the 50MA turned upward from its prior declining attitude.
Wyckoff Phase C
As laid out previously, the case for a Wyckoff Spring event being completed is compelling, especially when we observe the change in character of the price action as identified above.
Investor Sentiment
The Fear & Greed index is still in the signaling Extreme Fear, but has climbed up to 14 over the past week from a nerve-wracking low of 6 on June 18 and 19. In the past few days I have witnessed multiple polls from prominent “Crypto Influencers” that have confirmed a majority expectation of lower-lows to come. So contrary to the above indicators of a change in trend, the majority of investors and speculators seem to be biased in favour of the bear case, with expectations of $15k to $12k being prominent. It is important to assess what the predominate bias is, not because it is correct, but because the sentiments of the masses are always wrong at market tops and bottoms.
Conclusion
It appears that on all of the above measures, one can feel relatively confident that the bottom of the Bitcoin bear market has been seen and that the recovery will become more convincing to more people as prices rise.
What do you think? Have we seen a change in trend, or are we about to take another dive to find a new low?
Last moment$Hello, loves. The bulls are merciless. They will buy ANYTHING. Why? Because there's sooo much EXTRA CASH waiting to buy up ALL the STUFF and SHIT you could ever ask for. It's Christmas 2020 BABAY! $$$
Eur/Usd 23-07-2017 (AP)Hello dear traders & welcome to Growing Forex
The pair is trading inside the rising wedge & Break Below would open doors for the test of support trend line.Enter At the breakout for safe entry or enter at the resistance trendline for maximum profit.
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