(BTC) bitcoin "triangle"The directional triangle pattern on BTC looks as it does from the image included. Each day the triangle slightly changes towards progress either positive or negative depending on the unusal observations studied by traders wealthy and poor. Whether or not people care to note about the subject of the traditionally poor trader and the impact millions of poor traders have on the study of investments compared to one sole giant bank, hedge fund, or other considering how many poor traders follow trends more than super wealthy traders. The rich do not need to care about trends as much as poor traders hypothetically due in part in the way the superrich creates hypermarket bubbles that poor traders follow, study, and observe. BTC is now falling trap to the conversations by many to be considered lost to the hedge funds, i.e. Blackrock, etc.; why not a poor man's trade instead of the million-dollar man, the millions of dollars by many humans all directly influencing the drive and spirit of investments through small exchanges of money that amounts to large increases and decreases in trend. When market studies are done on the largest investor trades it is easy to answer all the questions using one super trader investment type compared to the millions of individual trades all happening in smaller increments being much harder to study. As with all cryptocurrency trades BTC is worth many thousands of dollars per share yet the trades people make do not have to equal the amount of that per share amount and the price does not need to split to allow for more investments to reach the price. This factor in cryptocurrency is what makes cryptocurrency special compared to the traditional stock markets and reason for why cryptocurrency is not a security, commodity or any other traditional revenue building stock. The reason people are lost on stock trading is due to the fact that the most successful companies often cost the most per share and this makes it more difficult to invest in. When comparing this to cryptocurrency any cryptocurrency traded as available to any person of any amount of investment given they pay the transaction fee with doing so using defi services like Uniswap, or otherwise, if using a centralized exchange with reduced fees for transactions then the outcome is the possibility of trading a multitudinous of cryptocurrency coins and tokens without the concern over the price per share being more in tune with the amount being physically spent allocated directly to the buyers own holding value with investment over the restrictions found in traditional stock industries that hold the buyer to bid at a price strictly on the study of price per share. In more recent years Robinhood exchange unveiled the feature to trade microshares of large industry stocks from the NYSE and NASDAQ. This feature did unlock some greater reaches to the best DJI companies and since then the companies known to be DJI companies continue to gain in popularity, trend and momentum. True, cryptocurrency has seen better days in the past and in the past two years found a poor man's bog so why give all the credit to investment firms, hedge funds, and banks a plenty as a matter fact knowing fully well the losses incurred during the past two years following the greatest rise in cryptocurrency history all groups were involved. There is no reason to put the blame on the people and give all the credit to the bankers, hedge funds, and wealth class of people. When the price of cryptocurrency lost all groups lost. As the cryptocurrency trades rise and the prices increase all groups succeed, all those involved that is. Anyone who has ever traded has surely had the feeling of wishing they would have invested more in the past based on what they see in the present. Well guess what, today is the present and one day today will be the past, so what is your move?
September
(MSOL) marinaded staked SOL "lots of volume recentlyl"marinade staked SOL is seeing a lot of consistent volume all of the sudden in recent weeks. The price is doing exceptionally well compared to the majority of cryptocurrency and I wonder what is the reason behind the storied chart? Since October the price grew and never really had a problem with losing price. More recently, and on-going, the volume is much more compared to the entire year of 2024. Lots of volume.
(BTC) bitcoin "BB Trend - long range view"Here is another look at the BollingerBand Trend indicator with a greater reach in view. As seen in the graph with correlated indicator BTC reached a red zone at the time when the price was at its highest this year before falling and as the price fell the indicator began to rise once more. Being in a red, or under 0, with the BBTrend indicator right now and what does it mean is a good question to try to answer. There are too many indicators and all of them cannot be laid on top of one another to see one giant indicator mess while trying to discover the hidden gem of the chart.
(BTC) bitcoin "miners make less money -- work harder"Due to the halving, the miners make less money. This means the miners have to work twice as hard to make the same amount of money. Historically, a miner earns on transactional process. When that money is conceived into a usage case scenario the money as BTC is spendable, or capable of being saved for later. Right now and since April 19/20th 2024 the newest halving should mean miners make less money and therefore have to work harder to make the same amount of money they were making the four years previously. Miners have to adapt and adjust to the new progress sheets earning less money for the same amount of work as before.
The graph chart indicator appears to show the blue line rising over all over moving average lines. This is a good sign that needs to happen to allocate all moving average lines into an order to represent the pattern where Bitcoin's price increases strongly from retail traders interests. The blue line rose above the other MA lines in July but did not commit and failed to see a complete flip of all MA lines. The line formation is tighter now so it is possible the strength is better this time around despite the price slowly falling month to month since the halving.
My Bollinger Band trend graph indicator shows BTC still in the red based on slower incremental movements.
(ETH) ethereum "donchian channels - pattern"See the pattern. It's easiest to see on the ETH Kraken USD. There is a 20 day pattern found. There is donchian channels pattern currently going on. The ending of the pattern is on the 25th. Will the price go up towards the 25th and dramatically fall given the current movement of Ethereum? I also noticed there is news concerning IOTX with an event happening on the 25th of september concurrently. Interesting.
USDJPY: Slight Bullish Bias This Week? (19/09/2024)As of September 19, 2024, traders are closely monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential bullish momentum. Several fundamental factors and market conditions indicate that the pair might see a slight upward bias this week. Let’s dive into the key drivers affecting the USDJPY price action.
1. Diverging Central Bank Policies
One of the primary influences on USDJPY is the monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ).
- Federal Reserve’s Stance: As we move into the week, the market expects the Fed to maintain a hawkish stance or at least keep interest rates elevated. Although there’s some speculation about a possible pause in future rate hikes, the Fed's priority remains controlling inflation. This higher interest rate environment in the US makes the US dollar more attractive, pushing USDJPY upwards.
- Bank of Japan’s Ultra-Loose Policy: In contrast, the BoJ continues its ultra-loose monetary policy, aiming to stimulate Japan’s sluggish economy. Despite rising inflation in Japan, the BoJ has shown little inclination to raise rates aggressively. This Interest rate differential between the US and Japan tends to weaken the yen, giving a bullish outlook for USDJPY.
2. Risk Sentiment in Global Markets
Risk sentiment plays a crucial role in the movement of USDJPY. When global markets are in a risk-off mode, investors tend to flock to safe-haven assets like the Japanese yen, strengthening it. However, recent global economic data and financial news have maintained a somewhat stable risk appetite, leaning towards a risk-on environment.
- US Economic Data: Recent reports from the US, such as better-than-expected retail sales and strong labor market data, continue to support the narrative of economic resilience. This fuels demand for the dollar and supports USDJPY’s bullish momentum.
- Global Geopolitical Risks: While geopolitical tensions in regions like Europe and the Middle East may inject some volatility, there hasn’t been a major shift toward a risk-off sentiment that would heavily favor the yen. For now, dollar strength seems to dominate.
3. Japanese Economic Conditions
Japan’s economy continues to struggle with low growth despite rising inflation. The BoJ’s consistent approach to stimulus, combined with the government's push for wage growth, has not yet translated into significant yen strength. Additionally, trade deficits in Japan, exacerbated by higher import costs, have weighed on the yen’s valuation.
Without a major shift in BoJ policy or a significant improvement in Japan's economic performance, the yen will likely remain under pressure, keeping USDJPY on a slightly bullish path.
4. US Bond Yields
US Treasury yields are another major factor driving the USDJPY. Higher US bond yields, often seen in response to tighter monetary policy and strong economic data, make the dollar more attractive to foreign investors. The upward trajectory of bond yields has been a persistent theme, reinforcing dollar strength. If this trend continues through the week, we can expect additional support for USDJPY.
5. Technical Indicators
Looking at the technical analysis for USDJPY, the pair has been trading near key resistance levels in recent sessions. If the pair breaks above these resistance zones, we could see further bullish momentum.
- Key Support and Resistance Levels: The 145.00 level has been a psychological support level for USDJPY, while 148.50 serves as resistance. Should the pair break beyond this resistance, it could trigger more buying pressure, pushing USDJPY higher.
Conclusion: USDJPY’s Slight Bullish Bias
In conclusion, the USDJPY pair is expected to exhibit a slight bullish bias this week, primarily driven by:
- Monetary policy divergence between the Fed and BoJ.
- Favorable US economic data and rising Treasury yields.
- Limited economic growth in Japan, with persistent trade deficits.
- Stable global risk sentiment supporting the dollar over the yen.
Traders should keep an eye on US bond yields, Fed comments, and any sudden shifts in risk sentiment or geopolitical events, as these could influence USDJPY’s trajectory throughout the week.
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Keywords:
- USDJPY forecast
- USDJPY bullish bias
- USDJPY analysis September 2024
- USDJPY technical analysis
- USDJPY key drivers
- USDJPY trading strategy
- USDJPY and Federal Reserve policy
- USDJPY support and resistance levels
- USDJPY risk sentiment
- USDJPY bond yields impact
(SUPER) superverseFrom the looks of this chart and the indicators I've placed onto the chart Superverse is clearing up from a rough break out. The indicators seem to tell the story there is a position within Superverse to which the price will hold and potentially improve away from such a rough break out.
(SOL) solana "resilient"Solana appears to be holding a strong flat pattern throughout the duration of the trending cycle of moving averages with the holding pattern reaching a resolute moment where the unknown may prove to be postively received, or negative if the MACD lines fall beneath the 0 neutral measurement. Solana is not immune to losing in price; it is capable of gaining too though.
(BTC) bitcoin "auto fib retracement - 100"BTC falling beneath the 100 auto fib retracement.
Other cryptocurrency also beneath the red layer of the auto fib retracement include;
AVAX, BADGER, CELO, COIN, CURVE, DASH, EGLD, HFT, KSM, MINA, RAD, SUSHI...and ICP is in the red unlike the other top traded cryptocurrency remaining in green, neutral or blue areas of the auto fib retracement.
Others below the red line include:
IMX, SUPER, AUCTION, PERP, IDEX, NMR, OGN, YFI, BLUR, DYP, STORJ, UMA, AXS, BTRST, SEI, APE, C98, DIA, LDO, METIS, GRT, TIA, MATIC (POLS), XCN and FX.
Still no info from the newly listed tokens/coins of 2024.
(BTC) bitcoinIs this the bitcoin price? In the indicator I used to view this chart I drew some information based on a guess into the future is Bitcoin does what I think it is doing to do in the following week, 10 days exactly. If I am wrong then I guess I saw the change being too predictable. I think the force of energy will push down on Bitcoin and that force of energy from the indicators will entice buyers to buy against the energy pushing Bitcoin down.
(BTC) BITCOIN "trend angle hypothetical"A hypothetical trend line for Bitcoin where there is a strong potential for the price to continue to gain in price into September based on a modified custom setting of the SAR indicator. You can see the settings of the SAR indicator in the image. There is a lot of standard indicators that point to the price of Bitcoin losing. This is another method and an alternative perspective.
That time of year again! | SeptemberIf you look at the stock market as a game, each month has different odds for success, the best odds are in December when you have a 77% chance of making money and having a positive return. The odds are in your favor in most of the other months, except September when there’s only a 50/50 chance of profiting in the stock market.
It’s September again so any number of articles will remind us that September has been the worst month for US stock markets. September leaps off the page as being the only month with an average negative return, and the magnitude of average loss is serious at -0.8%.
September has been the worst performing month because first It has the lowest average return. The average loss in September has been -0,8%, due in part to the fact that the worst month ever happened in a September. A 29.7% loss in September 1931 is the worst monthly loss ever. All of the other 11 months have positive average returns and second 49 of the past 97 Septembers – 51% have suffered losses, contrasted to the other months that have had positive returns 64% of the time.
Gold and International Stocks are the best performing asset classes in September with a .48% average return, which is half the average monthly return on the S&P500. Gold has delivered positive returns in September 84% of the time. The best month for gold is January, and the worst is March. International Stocks have delivered positive returns 69% of the time. December is the best month for this asset class and April is the worst month.
Preferred stocks have the worst September performance, losing -0.91% on average. These stocks win only 48% of the time, so not a good bet plus September is the worst month in history of bitcoin and crypto market as well
Remember trend is your friend so if you got 100X degen long leverage you should be ready for some margin call
which stock or crypto you shorting now?
A hope for BullRun, Bitcoin September Month's PerformanceLet's take a look at how Bitcoin's performance in September month. September is considered worst month for bitcoin.
2011: -39.75% 🔴
2012: +20.28% 🟢
2013: -1.37% 🔴
2014: -18.36% 🔴
2015: +2.76% 🟢
2016: +6.57% 🟢
2017: -8.62% 🔴
2018: -5.98% 🔴
2019: -13.51% 🔴
2020: -7.52% 🔴
2021: -7.04% 🔴
2022: -3.16% 🔴
2023: +4.11% 🟢 ⌛
Whenever September month closed in green, we had bullish momentum October month, hopefully this September will close in green candle and fuel the bull run for October.
Follow us for more updates.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
S&P bounces back off September lowOn Wednesday the S&P 500 briefly broke below 4,240 to test support at the lower end of an upward-sloping trend channel that has been building since last October’s low. This took the index back to its lowest level since the early summer and had many traders expecting an extended decline.
But it snapped back and in early trade on Friday the S&P had added just under 100 points from Wednesday’s low helped by some better-than-expected US inflation data.
Core PCE for August rose 3.9% year-on-year, as expected, but down from the prior reading of +4.2%. This countered the unexpected increase in the CPI readings seen just over a fortnight ago, which appeared to trigger the S&P’s sell-off from over 4,500.
Ahead of this week’s rally, the S&P was on course for a September loss of 4.6%, while the tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 was 6% lower. So the positive rejection of support over the last few trading sessions has been a welcome respite for the bulls, if not the bears.
But it’s probably too early for the bulls to declare victory. We may see a positive session to end the month and quarter, but there’s still the danger this weekend of a US government shutdown, which, even if short-lived, could be the catalyst for another pull-back. If deep enough, we could see another test of downside support.
BTC/USDT The September Fall and October Rise.Crypto's Rollercoaster: My Bold Take on What's Next
Every time I sip my morning coffee and scroll through the latest crypto news, I can't help but feel a mix of excitement and apprehension. Let me share my two cents on where I think we're headed.
Firstly, Binance and its fellow centralized exchanges (CEX) remind me of that popular kid in school who everyone wanted to be friends with. But here's the thing: for the crypto playground to truly flourish, we might need to find new friends. Their towering presence feels like a boulder blocking the path to the much-anticipated spot ETFs. I've got a gut feeling that as long as Binance wears the crown, we might be waiting a while for that ETF approval.
Now, remember those days when we'd eagerly trade Pokémon cards in the schoolyard? That's how I view the liquidity game. Traditional finance (TradFi) used to be that kid with the rarest cards, but now, they're holding back. With major central banks acting all grown-up and tightening their grip, the fun days of easy trades seem like a distant memory. For crypto to be the cool kid again, DeFi needs a makeover. It should feel like finding that rare holographic card in your cereal box, not just another common card.
Speaking of school, economics class taught me about the ebb and flow of global economies. Right now, it feels like we're in a tough exam period. With interest rates playing hard to get and real yields acting all high and mighty, it's tempting to stash our lunch money (read: investments) under the mattress. But here's my prediction: a few bad report cards (economic data) might just be the summer break we're waiting for.
Lastly, remember the drama when someone owed someone else lunch money? That's the vibe I get from the current forced sellers in the crypto market. But gossip has it that once the air clears around these debts, we might see a happier playground.
To wrap up my morning musings, crypto feels like that thrilling rollercoaster ride we dared each other to take. It's got its ups and downs, but boy, what a ride it's been! And I, for one, am strapped in and ready for the next loop.
04/09/23 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $28152.7
Last weeks low: $26737.6
Midpoint: $25322.5
When compared to last weeks outlook, we had what basically looked like a heartbeat monitor in price action. A flatline with a big pulse in the middle of the week from the midpoint then to weekly low, then high then straight back to the midpoint.
Now when looking at the previous weeks price action it's very similar only the price action is hugging the 0.25 line before a huge pump on the news of the Greyscale win against the SEC, we fully retraced and some to print the low of the week.
From a macro perspective, I am still bearish for the time being until proven otherwise, that would be if we finally take out 32.5k convincingly. On the higher time frames we have a lower high and lower low structure, textbook bearish. Not only that, what worries me is how quickly we are retracing good news pumps. Big money seems to lack conviction at this point so for now pumps are for fading. I still think we see 19K again by the end of the year.
September follows a similar historical return as August, generally negative when not in a bullrun year. For now I'm just monitoring, If I'm looking to go short I would do so on a swing fail pattern of the midpoint.
DOGECOIN SHOCKED!!!!Dogecoin price analysis is bearish today.
DOGE/USD retraced to $0.06 earlier.
Slight selling pressure returned over the past hours.
The dogecoin price analysis is negative today because of the recent sharp loss and the overnight retest of the previous bottom at $0.059, which was quickly followed by a move higher. As a result, DOGE/USD is now likely to see more resistance below $0.06 and look to decline much more.
Over the past week, as the retracement from the $0.068 prior high began to conclude, Dogecoin price movement has gradually built c above $0.059 level. Due to this, DOGE/USD began to trend laterally, reaching a fairly small trading range at the end of September.
From there, a brief increase in price led to $0.63 resistance, where a sharp decline in price immediately followed. Since then, DOGE has progressively retreated to the $0.059 support level, where additional selling has come to an end.
The current Dogecoin price analysis is pessimistic.
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - September, 2022.Analysis of the volatility index in September on different timeframes.
Currency - US Dollar (Calculated using Tradingview), or analogues of USDT, BUSD.
The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins.
Top 15 Coins (1 hour):
1. LUNA - 1237.95% (High&Low: 2727.19%)
2. ANC - 1189.61% (High&Low: 2402.57%)
3. RVN - 931.56% (High&Low: 2068.59%)
4. HNT - 817.05% (High&Low: 1703.06%)
5. REEF - 797.21% (High&Low: 1689.16%)
6. DGB - 764.07% (High&Low: 1977.38%)
7. LDO - 744.15% (High&Low: 1542.13%)
8. TRB - 692.71% (High&Low: 1374.5%)
9. INJ - 687.04% (High&Low: 1349.52%)
10. GAL - 673.92% (High&Low: 1254.45%)
11. STG - 671.25% (High&Low: 1386.23%)
12. IOST - 669.77% (High&Low: 1695.57%)
13. CHZ - 637.55% (High&Low: 1364.21%)
14. OP - 637.49% (High&Low: 1265.55%)
15. ATOM - 632.1% (High&Low: 1346.44%)
The coin showed the worst result: TRX - 243.47% (High&Low: 721.14%)
Top 15 Coins (1 day):
1. LUNA - 418.22% (High&Low: 846.11%)
2. HNT - 273.06% (High&Low: 460.79%)
3. ANC - 263.11% (High&Low: 616.52%)
4. RVN - 252.21% (High&Low: 484.85%)
5. TRB - 182.52% (High&Low: 352.18%)
6. REEF - 177.74% (High&Low: 393.28%)
7. ATOM - 150.09% (High&Low: 304.98%)
8. EOS - 146.22% (High&Low: 275.49%)
9. PEOPLE - 139.43% (High&Low: 271.83%)
10. RSR - 138.75% (High&Low: 290.9%)
11. APE - 135.16% (High&Low: 279.13%)
12. CRV - 131.15% (High&Low: 252.33%)
13. LDO - 129.58% (High&Low: 327.44%)
14. INJ - 129.45% (High&Low: 311.36%)
15. BTS - 129.17% (High&Low: 318.53%)
The coin showed the worst result: TRX - 38.3% (High&Low: 100.3%)
Top 15 Coins (September):
1. XRP - 46.41% (High&Low: 74.98%)
2. REEF - 39.68% (High&Low: 91.92%)
3. LUNA - 38.94% (High&Low: 330.91%)
4. RSR - 31.72% (High&Low: 60.06%)
5. KNC - 31.47% (High&Low: 57.9%)
6. COMP - 31.32% (High&Low: 47.1%)
7. ENS - 28.76% (High&Low: 36.35%)
8. BAL - 24.65% (High&Low: 42.79%)
9. SPELL - 24.18% (High&Low: 39.08%)
10. RVN - 24.16% (High&Low: 172.15%)
11. AUDIO - 23.45% (High&Low: 40.43% )
12. JASMY - 23.44% (High&Low: 47.45%)
13. ALGO - 22.47% (High&Low: 44.75%)
14. GALA - 20.2% (High&Low: 30.32%)
15. CRV - 20.05% (High&Low: 38.37%)
The coin showed the worst result: DENT - 0% (High&Low: 27.77%)
Thanks for your attention!
Apple Play timeline revision. Play for 30.9.22.Updated Apple timeline. We may see bounces, manipulation, delays to expire contracts, after hours moves. I closed my apple puts expiring today and bought Sept 30 exp on apple puts. 152.5 in the money puts to capture high delta.
Seems to me volume indicates MM are accumulating everyone's put positions and will ride it down after that. Could be after hours today. Often this is done tactically around exp date, weekends and timed with market movement to pay out as little as possible.
An Ethereum WHALE sends $170MThe much-anticipated network upgrade known as Ethereum Merge, which was intended to boost the price of ETH, failed to do so. Ethereum hit a low of $1,410 on Saturday after reaching a high of $1,660 on September 15th, 2022. A sizable Ethereum transfer was seen by Whale Alert, a well-known blockchain tracking and analytics tool, in the midst of the cryptocurrency chaos.
A significant cryptocurrency address transferred 109,515 Ethereum worth nearly $160 million from an unidentified wallet on September 16th, according to Whale Alert. The transfer was carried out at approximately 11:03 UTC. 100,000 ETH were transferred from an unidentified wallet at 13:30 UTC in a subsequent transaction about two hours later.
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