Don't lose hope on the Thai banks!Staying range-bound over the past 4 years, SET:BANK is now showing a change in behavior. Hugging around the upper bound, SET:BANK looks ready to break out
Setindex
Corrective Wave and Chart Pattern Analysis - RSI TFW DivergenceCorrective Wave Structure a ABC Analysis pattern in TFW timeframe
Observations:
A bullish divergence is evident in the momentum near the support zone indicating weakening bearish momentum, the end of wave C, and a potential reversal to the upside.
Analysis:
- Wave A: completed descending channel retraced 61.8% of previous uptrend with 5 wave diagonal pattern - wave A.1 the shortest and wave A.3 is the longest.
- Wave B: retraced 61.8% of Wave A with an extended flat 3 wave abc pattern - wave B.c extended 261.8% of B.a
- Wave C: A descending triangle /ending diagonal pattern is visible within Wave C current extending 61.8% of Wave A.
Support:
- The Green zone (liquidity support) around 4.50 THB is significant, acted as a strong support level multiple times in the past.
- A breakdown below this zone could lead to further downside (red arrow scenario) while holding above it might trigger a reversal (green arrow scenario).
Breakout:
- Resistance levels marked by Wave B’s high 6.4+ THB and intermediate levels around 4.9+ THB are critical breakout moving average 20 week dynamic resistance zone.
- An upward breakout past these levels would confirm the end of the corrective phase and the start of a new bullish impulse wave.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case (Green Arrows):
TP1: Price holds the liquidity support zone and breaks above 5.50 THB (near-term resistance).
TP2: A successful retest of 6.50 THB Wave B zone could lead to a new bullish wave formation.
RRR: 3:1
Bearish Case (Red Arrow):
A break below the liquidity support zone 4.50 THB would confirm continued bearish pressure.
Price could target lower levels, possibly extending toward 3.50 THB or beyond.
Action:
+ Look for bullish confirmation with a breakout above descending triangle (ending diagonal) resistance 4.80 THB zone
+ Watch for volume surge volume profile indicator to validate the reversal trigger.
+ Monitor price action near the liquidity support zone 4.50 THB.
+ Accumulate only if the support holds and momentum confirms a bullish reversal.
Always trade with affordable risk, respect your stop.
BANPU | TFW Target Downtrend C.5-wave - Breakout Buy TP+80%BANPU wave analysis - target downtrend C.5-wave 4.50 - 4.00 zone
Entry: Buy on breakout downtrend line - ma20w dynamic resistance 3 breakout after bullish divergence often a real reversal.
Target: Key resistance @ 8.00 zone +60-80% profit
Support Indicator: MACD TFW doubled bullish divergence golden cross
PTTGC| Wave Analysis - Ending Diagonal Pattern - Doubled BULL DIA possible ending diagonal pattern scenario - final 5-wave extension confirmation - 161.8% - 200% of 1-wave downtrend target at 27 and 22 baht zone
RSI weekly doubled bullish divergence indicator supporting 5-wave downtrend status
Long Entry: breakout falling wedge/ending diagonal pattern 33-36 baht zone.
Always trade with affordable risk / respect your stop
Good Luck
SCGP - TFW Wave Target Reversal Projection - Bull Trap A potential bull trap scenario with one more wave downtrend.
1. First correction - Extended flat ABC
Wave B retraced 78.6% / w.a and w.C: extended 161.8% of w.A
2. Complex triangle ABCDE pattern
3. The current downtrend wave doubled zigzag ABC pattern with wave 4 in c leg targeting 38.2-50 % retracement at ma50w, creating a false breakout signal before final wave 5 downtrend.
RSI at the lowest position - no bullish divergence trend reversal signal support
BANPU | TFW Target Downtrend C.5-wave - Breakout Buy TP+80%BANPU wave analysis - target downtrend C.5-wave 4.50 - 4.00 zone
Entry: Buy on breakout downtrend line - ma20w dynamic resistance 3 breakout after bullish divergence often a real reversal.
Target: Key resistance @ 8.00 zone +60-80% profit
Support Indicator: MACD TFW doubled bullish divergence golden cross
SET will down and up in Q2'24Hello all,
As you see in graph this time is the opportunity for collect!!!
IVL | Ascending Triangle | Bull Trap - Limited UpsideIVL | Thailand SET Index | Petro Sector | Chart Pattern Trading
> Ascending Triangle continuation pattern - Bullish Trap with limited upside
> Price Action: Wait for tighter candlestick consolidation - Entry @ Demand Support Line Zone only
> RSI - bullish trap signal
> MACD - Bearish Divergence
DP
PTTGC | Wave Projection | Complex Inversed Head&ShouldersPrice action and chart pattern trading setup
> Global pattern bullish complex inversed head & shoulders pattern breakout
> Local bull flag breakout EMA200 dynamic resistance with strong bullish candle - a possible ABC bullish wave targeting new wave 1
> Support pullback entry level : EMA200 zone
> Target 2X bull flag pattern @ 0.786 - 1.272 fibonanci extension +15% upside
> Stoploss @ lower bull flag support B wave zone -7%
> Risk reward ratio: 2:1
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss
KSL | Wave Projection | Triangle ABCDE Wave SetupPrice action and chart pattern trading setup
> A possible uptrend scenario with ABCDE symmetrical triangle major wave 4 ending E - wave position, just above SMMA200/100/50 week making its way up to the triangle resistance wave D.
> Target: Wave projection target breakout triangle resistance from position E-wave as TP1 +30% upside
> Stoploss: E-Wave position -8% - 10%
> Risk reward ratio: 3:1
Indicator:
> RSI weekly: bullish signal crossed up MA line above 50.
> MACD weekly: golden crossing signal line slightly below zero.
Company financial with ongoing outstanding performance +YOY and +QOQ for 3 consecutive years and quarters.
DOHOME| ABC bullish pattern - Breakout Position EntryAfter a long mega bull flag formation breakout and retesting its support
Now a potential ABC wave bullish pennant in progress
Entry: Pennant breakout confirmation
SL: Below pennant
T1: 100% ext. Fibonacci - 15+ baht
T2: 161.8% - 18+ baht
Indicator: RSI week bullish divergence breakout
Always trade with affordable risk, respect your stop
TTB TP: 1.60Better banking outlook is good for TTB since the merger because it is still laggard compared to the sector. Target price expected between 1.60-1.80
KCE | Elliott Wave Correction Projection | Target -20%+Price action and chart pattern trading:
> The weekly price currently trading below EMA200 W with a possible 4-wave correction rising wedge pattern, approaching target EMA200D
> Entry @ rising wedge breakdown
> Target @ 0.618 extension rising wedge target +20%+
> Stop @ EMA200D -10% downside
> Risk reward ratio 2:1
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss
KEX : Kerry downtrend channel I believe this is very cheap and very oversold as if the business is no more operating
may be better buy when it break out the downtrend
SINGER | Wave Projection | Major 4-Wave Triangle - MACD GoldenXThe price is currently trading just below 200SMMA as the key resistance under the assumption that its major 4-wave triangle breakout could be possible with double bottom pattern and MACD golden cross.
This bullish scenario has the downside is -8% and the upside is +10 - 20% with RRR: 1.5-2:1.
TIDLOR | Wave Analysis | Falling Wedge Breakout-Bull DivergencePrice action and chart pattern trading:
> A possible ABC correction - C-wave trend reversal in progress
> Falling wedge local trend breakout EMA20D resistance making an inverse head & shoulders pattern.
> TP1 @ SMMA50 as key dynamic resistance and TP2 @SMMA200 with +20%++ upside
> Entry @ Neckline breakout with Stoploss @ H&S head position -8%
> Risk reward ratio: 2.5:1
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss!
PLANB | Elliott Wave Projection - Leading Diagonal 5-WavePrice action and chart pattern trading
> Wave projection - Leading diagonal pattern with a possible 5-wave uptrend
> Entry @ pullback and breakout downtrend line wave 2 and wave 4 near lower support of uptrend wave channel.
> Target @ previous primary wave 3 | 0.786 - 1.0 zone +30% upside
> Stoploss @ upcoming wave 3 and upcoming wave 5 zone -10% downside
> Risk reward ratio 2:1
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss
SET : BIG PICTUREis retesting 1600 again (i can't tell if it holds) RSI =50 can still be positive
so far ichimoku looks positive unless some candles fall under the cloud :)))
I need to look in smaller time frame later + SPX
now only wanna show the all time resistances n supports
SAWAD | Elliott Wave Projection | Reversal Pattern BreakoutPrice action and chart pattern trading
> Downtrend Elliott wave channel breakout intermediate ABC correction, a possible reversal with minor ABC uptrend wave
> Pullback Entry @ downtrend channel retest at B-wave
> Medium-term target @ volume profile point of control 0.382 retraced previous uptrend major C-wave
> Stoploss @ the lowest minor 5-wave -5% - 10% downside
> risk reward ratio 2:1 +25% upside
Indicator: RSI already oversold wait for a pull back for the long entry
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stop-loss
III | Elliott Wave Projection - Corrective A Possible Breakout?Price action and chart pattern trading
> Elliott Wave projection - a possible breakout of corrective wave A position at 0.618 retracement of previous wave 5.
> Target Wave B zone estimated at 0.618-0.786 of the current wave A uptrend + 15 - 18% upside again
> Stoploss at the lowest wave A position plus ADR average day range -5 - 7% downside
> RRR 2:1 for short term trade
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stoploss
JMART | Wave Projection | Target Downtrend Reversal BreakoutPrice action and chart pattern trading setup
> Contracting Wave Channel pattern with downtrend target around the corner.
> Entry @ minor downtrend channel in daily timeframe breakout above SMA200
> TP1 @ wave (3) position
> TP2 @ wave (5) III position for medium term
> Stoploss @ SMA200 downside -9% RRR: 2:1
Indicators signals not shown here:
> Smart money volume support
> Banker chip entry signal
