They saw a crash. I saw where the next rally beginsThis isn’t chaos. It’s sequence. SOL sold off into a well-defined 1H OB, paired with a high-volume low. Price didn’t break. It anchored.
The setup:
After an aggressive dump, price settled into an Order Block between 140–143. This isn’t weakness. It’s rebalancing. Right above? A perfect FVG at 149 and inefficiency zones that align with liquidity draws at 152 and 160.
Volume is telling — it spiked into the OB, not on exit. That’s how Smart Money positions.
Expectation:
Accumulation near the OB → quick reversal → reclaim 145
From there, watch price reprice through:
TP1: 149 (FVG reclaim)
TP2: 152 (full inefficiency fill)
TP3: 160 (external liquidity sweep)
Any deeper dip below 140 becomes a deviation — not a breakdown — unless structure is violated with follow-through.
Execution:
Entry: 141–143 zone
SL: Below 139.8
TP1: 149
TP2: 152
Final: 160
This is engineered — not emotional.
Final thought:
“You don’t need to predict the bottom. You just need to know where price is built to return.”
Setup
They laughed at the name. I loaded the setupPrice action doesn’t care about branding — it cares about imbalance, volume, and delivery. And FARTCOIN just hit a prime liquidity pocket with mechanical precision.
The structure:
After a fast drop, price tagged the 0.618 fib at 1.1607, which also aligns with the high-volume node (visible range) — a zone where Smart Money absorbs without headlines.
Below that? Void. Above? Rebalancing targets:
1.1870 (0.5 fib)
1.2133 (0.382)
1.2458 (0.236)
Full recovery to 1.2960 if liquidity calls for it
Volume has thinned on the pullback — ideal. That’s not fear. That’s vacuum.
Expectation:
We chop sideways here before liftoff. I’m not chasing — I’m letting the structure compress and then watching for the breakout reclaim above 1.1635.
Execution:
Entry: 1.1500–1.1600
SL: 1.1220 (below .786 fib)
TP1: 1.1870
TP2: 1.2130
TP3: 1.2450
Final target: 1.2960 full draw
This chart may trigger jokes — the move it’s building won’t.
Final thought:
“I don’t care what they call it. I care where Smart Money enters.”
Every breakdown is just a setup — if you know where the reaccumuPrice collapsed. But I didn’t flinch. Because beneath that move sits something most won’t look for: High-Volume Rebalancing (H RB), paired with a clean FVG structure that tells me exactly where Smart Money wants to reload.
The structure:
The breakdown into ~2483 wasn’t just a move — it was intentional. That candle didn’t just fall, it delivered into the H RB zone and paused. Below that? Nothing but inefficient space and a tightly engineered low.
Above? Three clear target zones:
TP1: 2528
TP2 : 2582
TP3: 2656
Final objective: 2762 — the origin of the final collapse
Every leg above is engineered to grab liquidity, rebalance inefficiency, and then clear out the next range. It’s a chain of fulfillment.
The trade:
Entry: 2483–2500 zone
SL: Below the H RB zone (~2470)
TP1: 2528
TP2: 2582
TP3: 2656
Optional extension: 2762
We aren’t buying because it’s “down.” We’re executing because it’s deliberate.
Final thought:
“Collapse isn’t the end. It’s the invitation.”
You were warned. Now it’s runningThis was the second test into the FVG + 4H OB confluence. High volume candle. Wicking liquidity. And structure still intact.
Why I stayed calm:
Price didn't just drop — it delivered into a known rebalance zone. That 0.176–0.178 box was a magnet, not a mystery.
The reaction came right on cue:
Volume confirmed interest
Structure stayed intact
And the engine kicked in right after the sweep
Now? The play isn’t about guessing the top. It’s about knowing where price is drawn — and why.
Play-by-play logic:
4H OB provided the base
FVG gave the imbalance
Reaction zone created a clean entry
TP target? +18% mapped to 0.21
I didn’t enter on emotion. I positioned based on structure. That’s why it’s already moving while others still think it needs “confirmation.”
Final words:
“You don’t need hindsight when your foresight is built on logic.”
Price returned. I was already waitingThis wasn’t a pullback — it was a reset. And Smart Money doesn’t chase price. It sets traps. This is one of them.
Breakdown:
SOL delivered into a confluence zone where multiple models align:
Daily FVG overlaps perfectly with a 4H Order Block
0.5 fib retracement (141.82) tagging the midpoint of the prior expansion leg
Volatility spike? Engineered. Not reactive.
Retail is shaken. I’m composed. This is the zone you mark before price even gets there — because when it does, you don’t hesitate.
Trade logic:
Entry: 141.8–146.0 (inside D FVG + 4H OB)
SL: Below the 0.618 fib / 130.8 invalidation
TP1: 152.8 (0.382)
TP2: 166.4 (0.236)
Final draw: 188.4 — full inefficiency fill and premium rebalance
This isn’t about hitting every level. It’s about understanding why these levels matter. Structure tells the story. The fib just refines the sentence.
Final words:
“Smart Money doesn’t trade the reaction. It trades the setup that creates it.”
EURAUD forming a top?EURAUD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.7805.
We look to Sell at 1.7805 (stop at 1.7840)
Our profit targets will be 1.7705 and 1.7680
Resistance: 1.7830 / 1.7850 / 1.7880
Support: 1.7710 / 1.7680 / 1.7650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
London Take 1 - GBPUSD - 12/6/2025SO this is what I see and anticipating ...more updates will follow.
PINK ZONE initially is ENTRY/KILL ZONE not entry and stoploss, screenshots after I am in the trade will update to atual short position with EP, SL & TP and my notes will elaborate.
News later at NY ...will be staying safe but looking to catch some pips
Lemonade Inc.: Breakout in Motion — Cup, Flag, and No BrakesLemonade Inc. (LMND) is accelerating after a clean breakout from a textbook cup with handle pattern, where the handle formed as a tight bullish flag. The breakout occurred around $32, and since then, price action has been sharp, controlled, and uncorrected — currently trading at $42.42 with buyers clearly in charge.
On the fundamental side, LMND is moving through a recovery phase: operational losses are narrowing, revenue is stabilizing, and the company is aggressively leveraging AI to automate its insurance processes. Expansion into Europe continues, and institutional interest is visibly rising — confirmed by volume building alongside price. Within the insuretech sector, LMND is starting to look like a comeback story rather than a cautionary tale.
Technically, the setup remains strong:
– Golden Cross confirmed (EMA50 crossing EMA200)
– EMA50/100/200 all below price — bullish structure firmly intact
– Volume expanding on up-days — healthy confirmation
– RSI hovering in the 60–65 range — momentum is intact, no signs of exhaustion
Targets remain aligned with the structure:
– tp1 = $64 — measured move from the flag
– tp2 = $94 — full realization of the cup pattern
Tactically, this is no longer a “wait and see” setup — the move is in progress. No correction so far, only continuation. Momentum traders may consider entries into strength. Above $45, the move could accelerate further as more participants recognize the structure.
LMND is showing technical and fundamental alignment — confirmed breakout, improving narrative, and strong trend structure. While the impulse holds, this chart favors continuation, not hesitation.
GBPAUD to find sellers at current market price?GBPAUD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bearish.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 2.0810.
We look to Sell at 2.0830 (stop at 2.0860)
Our profit targets will be 2.0710 and 2.0670
Resistance: 2.0790 / 2.0820 / 2.0880
Support: 2.0670 / 2.0630 / 2.0580
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURAUD to find buyers at previous swing lows?EURAUD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
The selloff has posted an exhaustion count on the daily chart.
Bespoke support is located at 1.7490.
We look to Buy at 1.7490 (stop at 1.7460)
Our profit targets will be 1.7580 and 1.7600
Resistance: 1.7580 / 1.7610 / 1.7650
Support: 1.7500 / 1.7465 / 1.7430
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6050 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6075.
We look to Buy at 0.6020 (stop at 0.5995)
Our profit targets will be 0.6070 and 0.6075
Resistance: 0.6050 / 0.6070 / 0.6075
Support: 0.6025 / 0.6020 / 0.6000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
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Trent Ltd: Breakout or Fakeout?Trent Ltd: Breakout or Fakeout? Someone’s positioning — the question is which side.
Trent Ltd remains one of the more resilient players in India’s retail landscape. While broader consumer sentiment remains mixed, the company continues expanding its footprint, especially through its Westside stores and fashion vertical. Recent earnings have been stable, and institutional interest appears to be creeping back in — confirmed by a steady rise in volume.
Technically, we’re at a decision point. Price is testing a major descending trendline drawn from the all-time highs. So far, no breakout — but signs of accumulation are building. All major EMAs (50/100/200) are below the price, putting buyers firmly in control. Volume is rising on bullish candles, with no signs of distribution. RSI is holding above 50, climbing steadily, and showing a healthy impulse without overheating — plenty of room left for upside.
The key setup: wait for a confirmed breakout above the trendline, then a retest, and only after that consider entering. Targets, based on Fibonacci levels, line up cleanly:
tp1: 6337.60 (0.618)
tp2: 7484.65 (1.0)
tp3: 8301.40 (1.272)
Until then — this is a watching game, not a trading one. Momentum is building, the structure is clean — but confirmation is king.
CHINA50 to break to the upside?CHN50 - 24h expiry
A break of the recent high at 13506 should result in a further move higher.
A Morning Doji Star formation has been posted at the low.
The overnight dip has been bought into and there is scope for further bullish pressure going into this morning.
We look for gains to be extended today.
Buying continued from the 78.6% pullback level of 13375.
We look to Buy a break of 13511 (stop at 13412)
Our profit targets will be 13808 and 13858
Resistance: 13506 / 13647 / 13815
Support: 13375 / 13274 / 13137
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURAUD dips continue to attract buyers.EURAUD - 24h expiry
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Bespoke support is located at 1.7515.
We look to Buy at 1.7515 (stop at 1.7480)
Our profit targets will be 1.7655 and 1.7680
Resistance: 1.7640 / 1.7680 / 1.7700
Support: 1.7550 / 1.7510 / 1.7480
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD to find buyers around trend line support?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
The primary trend remains bullish.
This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 0.5975 level.
We look to Buy at 0.5975 (stop at 0.5940)
Our profit targets will be 0.6074 and 0.6220
Resistance: 0.6006 / 0.6080 / 0.6220
Support: 0.5955 / 0.5850 / 0.5775
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDJPY to find sellers at previous resistance?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Trading has been mixed and volatile. Price action looks to be forming a top. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 86.50.
We look to Sell at 86.50 (stop at 86.75)
Our profit targets will be 85.50 and 85.25
Resistance: 86.30 / 86.70 / 87.00
Support: 85.50 / 85.20 / 84.80
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
KO 1D — A Diamond Not Yet Broken, But Already CrackingOn the daily chart of Coca-Cola, a classic diamond top structure is forming — not yet completed, but clearly visible. The market expanded its range in the initial stage, then began to compress into a tighter zone, creating the typical shape of a diamond. This isn’t a continuation pattern — it’s the setup phase for redistribution.
The key level sits at $68.50 — the base of the diamond. As long as this line holds, the pattern remains inactive. But current price behavior says more than enough: weakening momentum, falling volume, and a lack of aggressive follow-through on recent highs. This isn’t accumulation — it’s preparation.
Price is currently trading between the MA50 and MA200, signaling a neutral phase with downside risk. The moving averages are narrowing, but no crossover has occurred yet. That’s critical — the trend isn’t broken, but it’s clearly losing energy. If $68.50 gives way, the measured move from the pattern projects a decline toward $61.82.
From a fundamental standpoint, Coca-Cola remains stable — but uninspiring. Earnings met expectations, revenue was steady, and no major catalysts are visible. In this type of environment, technical structure often becomes the tool for institutional rotation — not because the story collapsed, but because the setup makes sense.
The edges of the diamond are in place. All that’s missing is the break. If the neckline fails, the downside scenario is already built — structurally and logically.
HK33 to find buyers at curren support?HS50 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
A move through 23600 will confirm the bullish momentum.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
The measured move target is 24250.
We look to Buy at 23200 (stop at 22700)
Our profit targets will be 24200 and 24250
Resistance: 23600 / 24000 / 24250
Support: 23200 / 23000 / 22750
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD to form a higher low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
A move through 0.5960 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6000.
Pivot resistance is at 0.6000.
We look to Buy at 0.5940 (stop at 0.5915)
Our profit targets will be 0.5990 and 0.6000
Resistance: 0.5975 / 0.5990 / 0.6000
Support: 0.5940 / 0.5925 / 0.5900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
CHINA50 to find buyers at market price?CHN50 - 24h expiry
Buying continued from the 78.6% pullback level of 13375.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
We look to Buy at 13385 (stop at 13280)
Our profit targets will be 13695 and 13765
Resistance: 13543 / 13647 / 13700
Support: 13386 / 13300 / 13170
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OSCR 1W — When the Chart Speaks Before the FundamentalsThe Oscar Health chart is currently forming a textbook cup and handle — a long-term reversal structure that has completed its base and is now breaking out of the consolidation zone. The bullish structure is confirmed through price action, volume, and positioning relative to key moving averages.
The price has broken through the upper boundary of the handle, shaped as a descending wedge. The breakout is accompanied by increased volume — a clear sign of capital rotation out of accumulation. All major moving averages (EMA, MA50, MA200, WMA) are trending upward, and the price is holding above them all, confirming the bullish momentum.
According to Fibonacci extension levels, drawn from the historical low of $1.50 to the peak near $23.26, the first wave target stands at $36.71 (1.618 level), with an extended target at $45.02 (2.0 level).
Structurally, the setup suggests a medium-term scenario pointing from current levels toward the $36–45 range, with the potential to repeat the kind of explosive move seen during the 2023 phase, when the price increased more than sixfold.
On the fundamental side, Oscar Health is actively recovering: in 2024, revenue grew by more than 50%, net losses were cut nearly in half, and the client base continued to expand. The company is strengthening its share in the digital insurance market and gaining support from institutional investors, including Morgan Stanley and Capital Group. The latest quarterly report was positively received.
The breakout is technically clean and fundamentally supported. The immediate pullback zones sit at $14.95 and $13.40. Below that, moving averages may act as control zones for reaction.