NZDJPY ShortI usually publish daily charts but will now switch to 4 hour. There looks to be rsi divergence between the 4 hour, daily, and weekly timeframes (dotted line). Price has been rising on low decreasing buyer volume recently. Started a leg here and am looking for a 20% to 40% fib retracement of the previous macd low. Buyers seem to be staggering a bit at this resistance zone on this timeframe. Buyers are still fighting pretty good on the daily and weekly but im focusing on the rsi divergence with the 4 hour volume to price divergence. Not advice. What do you think?
Setups
USDJPYWas waiting for the next opportunity after getting stopped out from the last trade. There might be the end of the uptrend for UJ for now. I've placed my trade on last Monday, and there's so many big news on USD these few days.
As there weren't any hiking in rates, it's time to fill up the imbalances below.
Let's share idea's based on UJ, do drop down a comment on why you bought it and why do you sell UJ.
NOTE: I'm not a financial advisor
📕Low-Quality setups (UNCLEAR) VS High quality (CLEAR) setups📕High quality (Clear) vs Low Quality (Unclear, wicky, random, guessing)
Setups in Our Trading
High quality clear (HQC) setups are best representations of your EDGE, they allow you to feel confident in the MOMENT of placing a trade, and you can feel relatively good about it even if it’s a loser, because you know you traded in clear market environment and did your best
HQC setups bring you HEALTHY excitement and joy from the process of your trading, in case of a winner, usually not leading to overconfidence and doesn’t lead to attachment to random reward, and in case of a loser - you are not dragged into revenge or depression, because you know losers are also part of your strategy and your execution was good
When you enter HQC setups that speaks about you as about a trader you tested their strategy, who knows what they want to see in the market and applied effort to stay away from bad condition and wait for a better one. These skills alone are so much better than 1 random +3R or +5R winner
Low quality unclear (LQU) setups mean something is out of your mental game today, you feel not feel good in longterm perspective trading them, because you kind of KNOW you should trade them, but you still do. It all sucks you into an emotional circle.
LQU setups bring you UNHEALTHY , short term lived overexcitement in case of a winner, attaching you to random rewards, which is fatal for a trader. Every time entering a LQU setup you develop a habit or “teach” yourself that it is easy and fast way of earning money. Just see something distantly reminding about your setup and enter. Sometimes you’ll get away, but longterm you’ll lose more.
LQU setups means you are you fully confident in your core strategy, and so you may unconsciously search for random entries, because you entered like this before and it brought you reward. Trading LQU setups is destroying your mental game and account in the short, medium and longterm
Picture attribution Frame Border PNGs by Vecteezy
Going Long on AudioTraders,
I was stopped out of three trades today but all of them had nice little profits. I'll take that going long in a bear market. Let's continue our win streak.
I've added Audio as a long play to at least that 100-day ma around 16.75 cents. SL is 14 cents for an r/r of up to 2.7.
Technicals here show a break of our long-standing bullish descending triangle. We have now retested the top side of our triangle and can expect further upside. Because we are still in a bear market, I am playing these alt plays rather safe. Base hits not home runs.
Not fin advice. DYOR.
Best,
Stew
BTCUSDT - 17/09/2023The weekend for BTC is essentially a trap. People get bored, they get into trades, place their stop losses at the recent high/low and eventually get stopped out, most of the times on both sides, long and short.
A variant of the TR Pocket Fib consists of drawing it from the Saturday's high to its low, referring to UTC+0 timezone and after that I will then look at current market conditions to determine which entries are most likely to happen.
This Sunday I believe we can actually get a trade from all 4 levels or 2 at least because I think it's most probable for us to come to one of the lower levels to get liquidity and then go to the higher ones, possibly 27000 which has a Single Print or to 27190 which is a TPO POC. However, when and if we go to one of those higher levels, it is also very probable to come down to 23568 which has another Single Print right on top of a super ancient Breaker Block. This trap move usually happens around Sunday 16 to 19pm UTC+0.
So I think the most probable move would be to reach a lower level of the TR Pocket, bounce from there and then reject from 27000 (Single print), 27190 (TPO POC) or 27392 (Liquidation level).
However, if we go to one of the levels above first, it would then be probably best to cancel the longs since we have a considerable liquidity curve to grab and also a big vector to recover below us.
How I personally trade this is to enter on each of the levels, take TP1 at the 0.5 of the TR Pocket Fib, move the stop to breakeven and then try to let the rest ride because this can be the trade that lasts for 3 or 4 days until we get the Mid-Week-Reversal.
Also, although my bias is for more downside, we have to consider we are in a macro daily range, ever since we SFP'd 24778 (MEXC Value) so any of these long entries might be what takes BTC up if we are to do a full range rotation eventually.
GBPAUDPotential divergence created. A previous intraday low was broken and the current high which was broken as well. A bit risky of a setup to be honest but it follows what i like to look for We have GBP news coming up Friday. GBP mortgage rater were higher but the housing price index MoM and YoY were lower with the AUD business confidence coming in higher than forecast and previous. Maybe we get a small pullback before further the GBP red folder reports that are to come this Friday? The short position is set for a 40% retracement target but it could go lower of course possibly reaching previous low or surpassing it. Just want to play it safe.
XAUUSDWithin the recent trend, every time price broke a recent low, price retested a variable % of the previous high attempt. I want to see if price can test up to 50% of the previous high if the dollar grows weaker. There is also divergence on the 1 hour timeframe. I entered a few moments before the publish so excuse the long position tool.
AUDNZD 1 Hour w/ Updates The explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
This timeframe analysis is linked to the Monthly Analysis and there you will find the following timeframes:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
AUDNZD 15 Min w/ Updates The explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
This timeframe analysis is linked to the Monthly Analysis and there you will find the following timeframes:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
AUDNZD Daily w/ UpdatesThe explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
This timeframe analysis is linked to the Monthly Analysis and there you will find the following timeframes:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
AUDNZD 4 Hour w/ UpdatesThe explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
This timeframe analysis is linked to the Monthly Analysis and there you will find the following timeframes:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
AUDNZD Weekly w/ Updates The explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
This timeframe analysis is linked to the Monthly Analysis and there you will find the following timeframes:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
AUDNZD Monthly w/ Updates OngoingThe explanation will be in the charts. Will update as I see fit. Not Advice.
The following timeframes will be linked and updated as well:
Monthly-Weekly-Daily-4Hour-1 Hour-15 Min
The idea is to walk through multiple timeframe analysis so we can learn together. This is really a journal for myself but wanted to make it public so others can learn from my own mistakes or progress. Let's go!
JOE looks like a great setup here!Traders,
I'm a bit over-weighted in my public portfolio rn, but I really do like this setup in the DeFi coin JOE.
Bullish Indicators:
*Hidden Bullish Divergence on RSI
*Close to Bullish Triangle Exit
*Above the 200 Day MA
Bearish Indicators:
*Under the June 4th Crash Level
*Possible re-trace to bottom of triangle
If I were to enter here, I'd have a Risk/Reward ration of 3/1 - pretty decent!
My target would be that Pivot Low from Jan '22
And I'd put a stop limit just under that .27 cents level at .25 ish.
The profit potential here of over 90% with no leverage on this setup is amazing!
None of this should be construed as financial advice. This was an exercise in conjecture if I were to throw my remaining public portfolio cash at this trade.
Best,
Stew
Engulfing candles = More Momentum ahead ⏳What we can observe here are Daily candles and Weekly Level's. To be more specific : A Daily timeframe Retest of a Weekly timeframe S/R level after a Daily engulfing candle. The weekly candle closing in 3 Hours at or below 1775 Weekly Support level looks great for bears. Bear pressure seems quite overwhelming and is coinciding with the opening of a new weekly candle. After 50 trading days of ranging since April 22nd, it appears price may be attempting to decease with some fundamental factors coming into play. The Technical's are screaming at us now to jump onto the train. This is a good risk/reward idea considering bearish market structure. If I was a buyer, I'd wait to see the size of the new weekly candle bottom wick before making an investment decision. Considering momentum, we must appreciate the fact that the next weekly candle will likely attempt to fill at least part of the current weekly candles bottom wick ( which is -3.12% ).