USD/SGD Price Action: A Bearish Outlook EmergesYesterday, the USD/SGD currency pair rebounded at a supply zone around 1.34500, creating a bearish candle that has persisted into today. As I write this, the price is currently around 1.34195.
Analyzing the technical landscape, the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that retail traders remain in long positions, while other market participants have adopted a more neutral stance without clear positioning. This scenario could allow the Singapore Dollar to capitalize on a potential retracement of the US Dollar, potentially enhancing its value.
Looking at historical trends, our forecasting data indicates that over the past decade, this period of the year has frequently seen bearish retracements for the USD against the Singapore Dollar. Given the prevailing market conditions, traders may want to consider positioning themselves for short opportunities.
As the market evolves, it is crucial to monitor price movements and broader economic trends closely to make well-informed trading decisions.
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Sgd
NZD/SGD Tests and Rejects Key Demand Area, Bullish Sentiment.Over the past three days, the NZD/SGD pair has retested a previous demand area and shown a clear rejection, signaling potential buying interest at this level. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report adds weight to this scenario, revealing that retail traders remain predominantly short, while "Smart Money"—institutional investors—are beginning to edge higher in their positioning.
Large speculators have already turned bullish, reflecting a growing confidence in the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) relative to the Singapore Dollar (SGD). This shift in sentiment could set the stage for a possible long setup, particularly as seasonal trends suggest further upside potential for NZD/SGD.
From a technical perspective, the rejection of the demand zone, combined with the bullish shift in institutional positioning, points to a potential upward move. Traders will be closely monitoring price action in the coming days for confirmation of a breakout, which could present an opportunity to enter long positions in alignment with the emerging bullish sentiment.
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USDSGD Time to sell this rally.The USDSGD pair has been rebounding non-stop since the September 27 bottom and yesterday broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 3 months (since July 04). This confirmed that the correction since July is over but with the 1D RSI above 60.00 and heading towards the overbought barrier (70.00), we expect a rejection there.
In fact, there was a similar fractal that was rejected on March 10 2023, on the correction's 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level a little after the 1D RSI turned overbought. This resulted into a test of the 0.618 Fib of the rebound Leg.
As a result, we are expecting a rejection on the 0.382 Fib or when the 1D RSI gets overbought above 70.00 and our Target is the 0.618 Fib at 1.29150.
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USDSGD Buy signal at the bottom of a Channel Down.The USDSGD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the April 16 2024 High and today almost touched its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line). That is a technical short-term buy opportunity towards its top (Lower Highs trend-line).
The previous Bullish Leg of the pattern registered a +1.31% rise. Our Target is slightly lower than a new potential rise of this magnitude at 1.35000.
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Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 49 - GBPSGD - (18th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing GBPSGD, starting from the 3-Month chart.
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USDSGD Bullish unless this Support breaks.The USDSGD pair is on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) currently but within conflicting Channels. The long-term one is a Channel Up that hasn't yet been invalidated, the medium term one a Channel Down and the shortest term a Channel Up.
As long as Support 1 (1.34225) holds, we will go with the short-term Channel Up and stay bullish, targeting 1.37250, which will be a Lower High on the medium-term Channel Down. If on the other hand, Support 1 breaks, we will take the loss and go short instead, targeting 1.32725 (Support 2).
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Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 11 - SGDJPY - (1st June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing SGDJPY, starting from the 6-Month chart.
- R2F
USDSGD Still a buy but not for long.The USDSGD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern (blue) since the February 02 2023 Low but on December 28 2023 it posted a Lower Low, so we have to consider the possibility of an emerging (dotted) Channel Down.
As a result, the trend remains bullish but technically we should be careful and only target the top of Channel Down at 1.37350 (symmetrical Bullish Leg at +4.49%).
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USDSGD Strong bullish signal above the 1D MA200It's been again a long time since we traded the USDSGD pair (October 03 2023, see chart below) but it did manage to give us a low risk sell opportunity:
The price hit today the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in exactly 2 months (since November 17). That is a major pressure level as it is also exactly where Resistance 1 (1.34550) is. The long-term pattern is a Channel Up and technically this is the 3rd Bullish Leg. The previous two rose by more than +4.00% but the 2nd made a temporary pause at +3.44%.
That is our 1D MA200 break-out target and it interestingly falls almost exactly on Resistance 2. We are targeting 1.36100 but if the 1D MACD forms a Bearish Cross earlier, we will the the profit on that market price.
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Usdsgd still bearish bias Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Last week, i mentioned about USDSGD having to make more downwards movement (in my tradingview stream), this coming week i believe it would be the same considering the break of the support and currently just tested and seems rejecting it.
Let's see how it unfolds next week.
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USDSGD: Breakout supported by the 4H MA50.USDSGD is trading inside a Channel Up pattern on the 4H timeframe, on a bullish technical outlook both on the 4H and 1D charts (RSI = 57.738, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 20.427). Yesterday it crossed over the LH trendline and has up to now stayed supported on the 4H MA50. The 4H MACD Bullish Cross has originated this breakout and it appears that it is fairly symmetric with the one in September. Both around the 0.5 Fibonacci level. As such, we turn bullish and target Fibonacci 1.236 (TP = 1.3800).
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USDSGD Channel Up trading strategyWe haven't looked into the USDSGD pair in a long time (May 16), with the last idea giving a great bullish break-out signal:
The pair has since entered a Channel Up pattern, with the latest bullish leg since July 14, just reaching the top (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern. This is also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the 2022 High. As long as the price trades under it, we will be short, targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at 1.36250. If the 0.5 Fib breaks, we will close the sell and go long instead, targeting 1.38600 (Resistance 1).
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Long USDSGDIt appears that USDSGD may be setting up for a multi-day bull run.
Last week USDSGD posted a green weekly Heiken Ashi candle and I suspect it may do it again.
It is also the case that USDSGD posted a green daily Heiken Ashi candle after multiple red Heiken Ashi candles on the daily.
This signals to me that we may be in for a bull run this week.
Usdsgd watching for pullbacks to short
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
USDSGD Triangle break-out. Buy signal.Last time we looked at the USDSGD pair (October 11 2022) we gave the best sell signal possible (see idea below) as the price entered the 6 year Resistance Zone:
This time we have a buy signal flashing as the price not only broke above the Triangle pattern on the 1D time-frame but also above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as Support 1 holds, we are bullish targeting 1.35500. If Support 1 breaks (1.32050), we will book the loss and open a sell, targeting 1.30550.
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USDSGD Reaching a key level to watch**Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week**
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If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏
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Thank you!
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
usdsgd a down trend It is down on the daily and h4 timeframe..just look for setup to go short.
Hello there!
If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏
And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁
Thank you!
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!