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$POLY - everything shows that time has comeIndicators shows - MOEX:POLY is ready to start moving upstairs. Oversold instrument will lure investors' money. 2. Two crossing channels - main downward and local upward. Both for now stays higher, than an actual price. It should return back to any channel and continue moving inside till the top board of one only or both. Two channels and levels inside will be magnetized for the line. 3. Creating reversed double bottom pattern will be one more fundamental issue to warm an interest. 4. Good potential for the growth for 2 years (x4). The company shared information recently that the current owner is going to sell 100% of the nearest time. Stay careful and be attentive in any decisions.
PLong
by furoreggs
$QIWI proposes to be one of the good performersAs you can see, there is divergence on the downward MOEX:QIWI moving on the 1D graph with a high overselling. I'm expecting turning around and preparing of the baseline for the future leaps. Goal number 1 is 490, which can bring more than 100% during 1-1.5 years. Does not constitute a recommendation. #furoreggs #investing #stocks #shares #idea #forecast #trading #analysis If you want to discuss, please subscribe and challenge this point of view.
RUS:QIWILong
by furoreggs
$SPCE - up or down?In my view NYSE:SPCE stopped a current phase of falling down and forming the plato, which will be a fundament for the next steps. We will be observing a huge profitable company for patient investors during the next years. In my point of view, as well, that it can bring till the x100 in the ending of the growth phase. Goal for the end of 2024 is 4-4.5. Does not constitute a recommendation. #furoreggs #investing #stocks #shares #idea #forecast #trading #analysis If you want to discuss, please subscribe and challenge this point of view.
NYSE:SPCELong
by furoreggs
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The Overlooked Indicator Outstanding SharesThe Overlooked Indicator: How Changes in Outstanding Shares Impact Long-Term Investments When evaluating a company for long-term investment, most investors focus on familiar metrics such as revenue growth, earnings per share (EPS), and price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios. However, one crucial indicator often overlooked or misunderstood is the change in a company's outstanding shares over time. This variable plays a significant role in determining the market capitalization and, ultimately, the shareholder's stake in the company. Understanding Outstanding Shares and Market Capitalization Outstanding shares represent the total number of shares a company has issued and are held by all shareholders, including institutional investors, retail investors, and insiders. These shares are a key component in calculating a company’s market capitalization, which is simply: Market Capitalization = Outstanding Shares × Share Price Market Capitalization=Outstanding Shares×Share Price While market capitalization is widely referenced, changes in outstanding shares are often neglected, even though they can significantly influence the per-share value of a company. Issuing and Repurchasing Shares: A Tale of Two Strategies Companies can increase or decrease the number of outstanding shares for various reasons: Issuing New Shares: When companies issue additional shares, often to raise capital or fund growth initiatives, they dilute existing shareholders' ownership. This dilution can have a material impact on the value of each share, as the same company’s equity is now spread over a larger number of shares. Share Buybacks: Conversely, when companies repurchase their own shares, they reduce the number of outstanding shares, effectively concentrating ownership among the remaining shareholders. This often boosts metrics like earnings per share (EPS), making the company appear more attractive to investors. Case Study: Microsoft and MicroStrategy To illustrate the impact of changes in outstanding shares, let’s examine two contrasting examples: Microsoft (MSFT) and MicroStrategy (MSTR). Microsoft (MSFT): In 2020, Microsoft had 17.8 billion outstanding shares. By 2024, this number had been reduced to 15.2 billion—a 15% reduction. This significant buyback program demonstrates Microsoft’s commitment to returning value to shareholders. Reducing outstanding shares enhances per-share metrics and can indicate confidence in the company’s financial health and future. MicroStrategy (MSTR): In stark contrast, MicroStrategy increased its outstanding shares from 100 million in 2020 to 197.2 million in 2024—a staggering 97% increase. This massive share issuance reflects a dilution of shareholder value. While the additional capital raised might have been used to fund growth or acquisitions, existing shareholders now own a smaller percentage of the company. The accompanying charts vividly illustrate these trends, highlighting how these strategies can dramatically alter the ownership landscape over time. Why This Matters for Long-Term Investors As a long-term investor, it’s essential to look beyond surface-level metrics and consider how changes in outstanding shares affect your investment. For example: Dilution Risk: A company that frequently issues new shares may struggle to generate sufficient internal capital, signaling potential financial challenges or aggressive expansion strategies that could dilute shareholder value. Share Buybacks: While buybacks can enhance per-share metrics, they are not inherently positive. Investors should ensure the buybacks are funded by strong free cash flow rather than debt, which could jeopardize the company’s financial stability. Impact on Valuation: Adjusting for changes in outstanding shares provides a more accurate picture of a company’s valuation and its ability to generate returns for shareholders. Conclusion Changes in outstanding shares are a critical but often overlooked factor in evaluating a company’s long-term potential. By understanding the implications of share issuance and buybacks, investors can make more informed decisions and avoid common pitfalls in their investment journey. The examples of Microsoft and MicroStrategy serve as a reminder that not all changes in outstanding shares are created equal. For long-term investors, keeping an eye on this overlooked indicator can be the difference between a growing stake in a thriving company and an increasingly diluted piece of the pie.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by controllinghand