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Shiller

Is it the right time buy a house? Since Fed's tapering began in the end of 2021, mortgage figures have been in a mark up phase. There is still no indication of a correction. As a result of it, housing prices may not find support for new high levels. Monthly price changes in the negative territory are supporting this idea in the last months. However, the year over year housing price changes are still providing more room for increase. So, the price conditions may stay elevated in 2023 but the momentum is clearly losing steam. Briefly if you buy a house now, you will possibly feel right for some time but there can be a phase of price correction in 2023 and 2024. Moreover, with softening inflation rates in the coming period, the housing market prices in real terms may be better than today.
FRED:MORTGAGE30US
by Trader_Geist
1
Shiller Version 2 for Wk Open 9/14 In 1998, Robert Shiller--the Yale economist and Nobel Prize winner-- formalized that idea in a paper, "Valuation Ratios and the Long-Run Stock Market Outlook" and a book, "Irrational Exuberance." The latter made Shiller something of an economic prophet. In his book, which came out shortly before the dotcom crash, he warned that stocks were overvalued. What is the CAPE ratio? It describes the price-earnings ratio over 10 years, rather than on a particular date. Called the Shiller P/E, it is calculated by dividing the price of a stock by its average earnings over the past 10 years, adjusted for inflation . It can also be used on an index such as the S&P 500 .
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by TayFx
Shiller Ratio for Sep 3rd, 20'Into December of 1919, the CAPE was at an all-time low. With so much focus on 1919 going into the COVID-19 pandemic among market commentary, the comparison that this chart allows to make is 1919 to 2019, with a suggestion of downtrend. If the SPX indeed returns to multiples in 1919, that would put a market valuation of the SPX at around $500 according to the CAPE ratio. May 15 Comment: In 1998, Robert Shiller--the Yale economist and Nobel Prize winner-- formalized that idea in a paper, "Valuation Ratios and the Long-Run Stock Market Outlook" and a book, "Irrational Exuberance." The latter made Shiller something of an economic prophet. In his book, which came out shortly before the dotcom crash, he warned that stocks were overvalued. What is the CAPE ratio? It describes the price-earnings ratio over 10 years, rather than on a particular date. Called the Shiller P/E, it is calculated by dividing the price of a stock by its average earnings over the past 10 years, adjusted for inflation . It can also be used on an index such as the S&P 500 .
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by TayFx
2
Epic Divergence Between the (CAPE) Ratio and the S&P500Into December of 1919, the CAPE was at an all-time low. With so much focus on 1919 going into the COVID-19 pandemic among market commentary, the comparison that this chart allows to make is 1919 to 2019, with a suggestion of downtrend. If the SPX indeed returns to multiples in 1919, that would put a market valuation of the SPX at around $500 according to the CAPE ratio. In 1998, Robert Shiller--the Yale economist and Nobel Prize winner-- formalized that idea in a paper, "Valuation Ratios and the Long-Run Stock Market Outlook" and a book, "Irrational Exuberance." The latter made Shiller something of an economic prophet. In his book, which came out shortly before the dotcom crash, he warned that stocks were overvalued. What is the CAPE ratio? It describes the price-earnings ratio over 10 years, rather than on a particular date. Called the Shiller P/E, it is calculated by dividing the price of a stock by its average earnings over the past 10 years, adjusted for inflation . It can also be used on an index such as the S&P 500 .
MLong
by TayFx
12
Shiller v2 for Market Close Fri Jun 26, 2020 🧬🔮🧸You're speculating at record highs. The Fed's balance sheet declined for the second straight week as of Wednesday, by $12 billion to $7.1 trillion, as more foreign central banks declined to renew maturing currency swap agreements.Total liabilities for all commercial banks have ballooned to over $18 trillion or 83.7% of GDP. Without buybacks rushing through the system how will Wall Street give us the illusion of earnings growth that hasn't existed in 5 years?
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by TayFx
6
Shiller Ratio Updated for Tue Jun 23Here's an update to the Shiller ratio, which of the most important ways to view the SPX in a single chart. I'lll be traveling today so I won't be able to tender for updates. Make sure risk-management is in check on all positions, and ensure that you are never risking more than 2% of your account's equity from a given positions stoploss minus entry to ensure you can continue to navigate these historically unpredictable market's with me. Have a great day everyone. 13:55:43 (UTC) Tue Jun 23, 2020
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by TayFx
2
Shiller V2 for Market Opening Fri Jun 19, 2020Here's an update as of 13:49:50 (UTC) Fri Jun 19, 2020 the Shiller index which I formulated in the chart above with longer term timeframes to show the breadth of the situation. The U.S. equity market now appears "cheap" to many--the ones who have named this so called "V" shaped recovery in the U.S. equity markets, however it's important to keep context in mind when looking back at a decade of earnings growth compared to 1919.Into December of 1919, the CAPE was at an all-time low. With so much focus on 1919 going into the COVID-19 pandemic among market commentary, the comparison that this chart allows to make is 1919 to 2019, with a suggestion of downtrend. If the SPX indeed returns to multiples in 1919, that would put a market valuation of the SPX at around $500 according to the CAPE ratio.
M
by TayFx
6
Shiller Ratio (Sat Jun 13, 2020)Here's an update of the Shiller index which I formulated in the chart above with longer term timeframes to show the breadth of the situation. The U.S. equity market now appears "cheap" to many--the ones who have named this so called "V" shaped recovery in the U.S. equity markets, however it's important to keep context in mind when looking back at a decade of earnings growth compared to 1919.Into December of 1919, the CAPE was at an all-time low. With so much focus on 1919 going into the COVID-19 pandemic among market commentary, the comparison that this chart allows to make is 1919 to 2019, with a suggestion of downtrend. If the SPX indeed returns to multiples in 1919, that would put a market valuation of the SPX at around $500 according to the CAPE ratio.
MShort
by TayFx
24
Shiller Ratio Updated for June 11The U.S. equity market now appears "cheap" to many--the ones who have named this so called "V" shaped recovery in the U.S. equity markets, however it's important to keep context in mind when looking back at a decade of earnings growth compared to 1919. Into December of 1919, the CAPE was at an all-time low. With so much focus on 1919 going into the COVID-19 pandemic among market commentary, the comparison that this chart allows to make is 1919 to 2019, with a suggestion of downtrend. If the SPX indeed returns to multiples in 1919, that would put a market valuation of the SPX at around $500 according to the CAPE ratio.
M
by TayFx
5
The Shiller PE Ratio: Proof that the Market is Irrational The U.S. equity market now appears "cheap" to many--the ones who have named this so called "V" shaped recovery in the U.S. equity markets, however it's important to keep context in mind when looking back at a decade of earnings growth compared to 1919. Into December of 1919, the CAPE was at an all-time low. With so much focus on 1919 going into the COVID-19 pandemic among market commentary, the comparison that this chart allows to make is 1919 to 2019, with a suggestion of downtrend. If the SPX indeed returns to multiples in 1919, that would put a market valuation of the SPX at around $500 according to the CAPE ratio.
M
by TayFx
114
Zcash Zec Anaylsis of USDT and BTC pairs 25th Nov 2017 BTFDHere at BTFD we are big fans of this essential coin Zcash its got so much tech that businesses require that bitcoin does NOT have for me its the simple replacement of the $/£/Euro, been mining this since Nov16 and selling a few on peaks and rebuy on the lows we gotta HUGE ZEC peak coming up, check the TA, looks like December will be a big month, MACD and RSI stoch on the daily is getting very ripe for further upwards momentum, Golden Crosses on each charts MA's is also a good sign to go up more. aiming to TP around $350 USDT, then if massive volume, looking towards a new ATH for ZEC on the USD pairs but might have to wait till next year to see ZEC challenge the King (and Queen ) excuse the pun, but HODL ON
Long
by majorlee
5