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SHLD

Beyond blood in these streetsEddie needs to make a move or to delistment it goes ´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´ ¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´` ´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´`´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´` ´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´¶´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´¶´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´¶¶´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´¶¶´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´¶¶¶´´´´´´´¶¶´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´¶¶´´´´´´¶¶¶¶´´´ ´´´¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´¶¶´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´¶¶¶´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´¶¶´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶´´ ´´¶¶´´´¶¶´´´´¶¶´´´´´¶¶¶´´´´¶¶¶¶¶´´´´¶¶¶´´´´´¶¶´´´´¶¶´´´¶¶´´ ´¶¶¶´´´´¶¶¶¶´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´¶¶¶¶´´´´¶¶¶´ ¶¶´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´¶¶ ¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶ ´´¶¶¶¶´¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶´¶¶´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶´¶¶¶´ ´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶´´¶¶¶´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´¶¶¶´´¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶´¶¶´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´¶¶´¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´¶¶´¶´¶´¶´¶´¶´¶´¶´¶´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶´´¶´¶´¶´¶´¶´¶´¶´¶´´´¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶´¶¶´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´¶¶´¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´ ´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´ ´´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´´ ´´´´¶¶¶´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´¶¶¶´´´´ ´´´´´´¶¶´´´¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶´´´¶¶´´´´´´ ´´´´´´¶¶´´¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶´´¶¶´´´´´´ ´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´´¶¶¶¶´´´´´´´
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by RichardSlanger
1
$SHLD A Downside Opportunity You Don't Want To MissJust like many of the Texas Shale oil companies during the oil downturn with massive debt, Sears is what we're calling "Walking Dead" of the retail industry. The recent rally of price has likely come from many of the shorts closing their positions at large profits, and the huge drop has come from professional and retail traders alike identifying an opportunity to ride the price downward. This stock is the definition of high risk on either side, so the best play is a long term option spread; enter the December strikes. If you missed the last week's signal, then have no fear. As of now, if you were to sell the December $11/12 call spread, you have a 70% chance of making 30% Return on Investment/Risk (ROI/ROR) for 8 months of waiting. That's pretty good odds and not a bad return for less than a year's work. Check out more from our homepage...#StayFriendly
SShort
by EdgeAnalytics
THE WEEK AHEAD: EARNINGS AND A PERSISTENTLY LOW VIXIf you're going to play anything next week premium selling wise, it's going to be in earnings, because that's all that's really out there volatility-wise. The VIX remains persistently low here, and running a screen for exchange-traded funds with >70% implied volatility rank, and >35% implied volatility yields absolutely nothing. Here's what showed up on my radar -- some sketchy ADR action (WUBA), a little bit of frisky biopharm (BCRX), and some beaten-down brick-and-mortar retail (M, SHLD, JCP): WUBA (99/56) (Online Retail): It's scheduled to announce earnings on Thursday (2/23) (Short strangle/iron condor). BCRX (98/287) (Biopharm): Earnings Monday (2/27) Before Market Open. (Short puts, short straddle). This is biopharm, which -- in itself -- should serve as a warning. You may want to do a bit more due diligence on this one than you would ordinarily, since they can explode, but also implode. DKS (98/48) (Sporting Goods/Retail): Earnings are three weeks out, but I thought I'd put it out there since it's nearly ripe for play implied volatility rank/implied volatility wise. (Short strangle, iron condor). M (96/49) (Department Store Retail): Earnings Tuesday (2/21) Before Market Open. Because we have a long holiday weekend here, with the markets being closed on Monday, I've probably missed an opp to play this one unless there is high vol afterglow post earnings. (Short strangle, iron condor). SHLD (93/127) (Department Store Retail): I don't see that this has earnings up, but it's in the process of imploding. (Short puts, short straddle). BBY (93/47) (Retail): Earnings 3/1 Before Market Open. We're still a ways out from earnings, so like DKS, nearly ripe ... . (Short strangle, iron condor). HTZ (92/73) (Car Rental): Earnings 2/27 (Monday) After Market Close. Another one that's ripe right now. (Short strangle, iron condor). JCP (88/65) (Department Store/Retail): Earnings Friday (2/24) Before Market Open. Another beaten down brick and mortar retail issue. (Short puts, short straddle). OCN (85/70) (Financial): Earnings on 2/22 (Wednesday) After Market Close. (Short puts,short straddle).
W
by NaughtyPines
2
SEARS HOLDINGS CORP (SHLD) IS GOING TO $0As of today, Sears Holdings Corporation has a book value of -$18.45. Kindly notice the negative sign, given the fact that liabilities > assets. In addition, it has annualized losses per share of -$10.7 and it is expected to have Q1 results of -$3.21 EPS. Based only on these fundamental metrics, a valuation of $16.81 per share is totally unsustainable in the short run, let alone in the mid run or long run. These fundamentals are expected to further deteriorate in the coming quarters. From a technical perspective and as seen in the chart, SHLD is in a clear downtrend tunnel, and it is following it rigorously like in a textbook example. I expect SHLD to be below $16 at a minimum before end of March, and maybe close to $12 depending on other market conditions. I also consider low risk forecasts the following: SHLD with a price below $14.5 by June (especially after publishing Q1 results) SHLD with a price below $10.5 by December All the above provide good reference points to speculate with Options or simply sell short the stock with even lesser risk; as long as the underlying asset follows the technical patterns described.
SShort
by Algorythm
2 month short re did a few down trend lines , looks like we hit my new down trend line i did not do my usual fall Put due to the high cost of PUTs this year ] Lamberts fund seems to buy every time this dog gets low I see the problem that shopping malls are going bust still as people buy on line and do not see how sears can rent these out for profit when they could not make profit ! 1st target 31.27 , trailing stop until then 2nd target 29 ,, 31.40 stop loss 3rd target , 27.32 will take 1/2 off , back to trailing stop will exit 1st week of May to stop time decay quick ref from yahoo financials 1 st may 37 P @ 1.59 , 39 P@ 2.2 19th June 37 P @ 3.6 , 39P @ 4.8
SShort
by G13Man
2