$SHOP longs beware. Shop to go back to $17-20?$SHOP just formed another lower high which you can clearly see looking at the chart from the daily timeframe. I think we're about to see one more drop from here which bottoms around $17-20.
After it reaches that range, I think that will be the setup for a longer term bounce.
SHOP
ETSY LONGThis channel is still holding up even with this last move down all the way into the $60's. ETSY's next Wave up is going to be strong and not looking to stop. I see this one going to the 1.618 level before pulling back for another entry. I am still keeping an eye out for the fib level 1 which could be the C-wave.
SHOP short tradeShort term short trade for shopify.
Short at 36.50 initially potential pull back but higher short at 38-40 will monitor.
It's recently broken out of a descending channel due to earnings. I expect momentum to potentially continue depending as it looks like the indices want to extent a little further before pulling back.
Confluences for trade are:
historically 60-80 RSI has been pullback area for SHOP.
61 FIB is also around this area
Top of recent trading range
20-50 ema may reject again but will monitor. has traded below one another since breakdown at the top.
looking for a 5-10% move to downside back to 32-33 area.
SHOP Shopify simplified Heres my current cheat sheet update for those wanting to trade Shopify and or buy for longer time horizons (investing) instead of trading.
Buy GREEN and Sell RED and ill update its level by level as the stock progresses. With each level you move up just realize that the volatility and RISK increase as well. Should you decide to begin increasing your position size in the RED zones just remember the BIGGER picture.
Shopify #shop $shop making NEW 52-week.Shopify not only made a new 52-week low today, but we are also looking at buying it for prices not seen since pre pandemic. Prices that it had ran up into without the $ printer running #Brrr.
Making this price range all that more significant.
I have a theory that possibly some of these riskier assets and tech/fintech plays end up finding their own bottoms long before the actual SPX etc. and other stocks.
I think that the more aggressive declines they dealt with earlier on has created a situation where they are ahead of the curve on finding their actual base values and building a structural floor for support ahead of the rest. Possibly kind of like the decoupling we are waiting for from Crypto in general.
Stocks like Affirm, Teldoc, Zoom, Zillow, DocuSign, Sofi might also do similar.
#Tdoc #sofi #zillow #Zoom #Docusign #afrm watch for similar theories to play out, I'll try and keep up to date on it and keep opportunities posted for others. But while researching and thinking for yourself those can be ideas to consider and watch for plays based on.
Shopify dancing in a range.Shopify - Intraday - We look to Sell at 39.88 (stop at 43.43)
The primary trend remains bearish.
Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (30.00 - 40.00) and we expect this to continue.
Bespoke resistance is located at 40.00.
Resistance could prove difficult to breakdown.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Our profit targets will be 30.61 and 28.61
Resistance: 33.00 / 35.00 / 40.00
Support: 30.00 / 28.00 / 26.38
Daily chart for context
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
SHOPIFY 30 % DROP IF THIS HAPPENS (NEW)A few days ago Shopify managed to break out of the range but it seems that it was a bull trap as the price came back into the range.
We believe that after the fake breakout to the upside that we had, it´s more likely now for Shopify to break down. We had a bearish cross on MACD and RSI on daily timeframe is not even oversold and it has more room to the downside.
Enter the short only if / when we break down the range. We expect 30 % drop.
Moreover SPX and Nasdaq finished their ´bear market rally so it´s also favoring more downside on Shopify.
Shopify SHOP - Patience is a VirtueShopify was more or less Canada's version of TSLA or AAPL last year, except it cratered like a memestock. If you look at the monthly, it's an absolute bloodbath, losing 83% in less than a year.
Although prices are currently "cheap" and SHOP seems to be an actually useful company that may have a future, you've got a long way to go before the buying opportunity.
A lot of people see that Shopify spiked to $42 and is down to $32 and think to themselves that it's really quite a discount.
This isn't so bad if you can buy spot and diamond hands it for a few months, but if you're on calls or leverage, you're going to have a bad week.
One of the key tells is that Shopify has been trading in this specific range for three months now. And while it hasn't broken the lows, it did fill its gap during the peak of bear rally hysteria.
And we're now in the feature film "Eight Straight Days of Doom." It's a woke snoozefest, featuring Alec Baldwin. But you paid $27 for a ticket and $318 for a bucket of popcorn and 2 kilograms of Sour Patch Kids, so you're stuck eating 6 weeks worth of calories in 3 hours while watching something unpleasant on an ugly sheet of silver with too many speakers with the volume cranked to the "way too f'in loud" setting.
This is modern human life, and it's nothing to be desired. Traditional human life was much more interesting. The women wore nice dresses, the food was good, and there were harp players and poets in the streets to listen to, instead of Alec Baldwin.
Everything in the market is about to get really scary so that you can sell low in panic and then buy back higher with FOMO starting in October. This is how the game is played.
The caveat to this call is $23 may be too light to enter. Numbers like $18.xx may manifest, although I wouldn't expect those to last for very long.
Either way, that "support" right below $30 is about as useful as trying to hold a bowling ball with a piece of inkjet paper.
Don't get greedy, and don't capitulate. But the upside on Shopify when the Bump and Run Reversal/Return to Normal begins should be quite delicious, if you can wait to buy at the right price and hold on long enough to make it that far.
Shopping for profitShopify
Short Term
We look to Buy at 30.49 (stop at 28.39)
Previous support located at 30.00. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 39.51 and 42.30
Resistance: 40.00 / 51.12 / 70.29
Support: 30.02 / 29.72 / 16.90
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Lots of high volume outside reversals today in growth stock landThe market has been moving higher nicely over the past few days, particularly in growth and tech stocks, however, throughout today's session we saw that momentum reverse with a large number of outside reversals and stocks trading from green to red.
Most short and medium-term trends remain in tact higher.
$SHOP -73% DISCOUNT (52-WK) -83% (ATH)!Shopify is good stock if you are thinking about adding an E-Commerce stock to your watchlist/portfolio.I think its really Shopify vs Amazon in they both just performed a stock split. It is currently showing a possible sign of basing, but I think it has a way to go down! The original Heavy buying positions from IPO '15 is the $13.10 area! The next set of buyers from Dec. '19 to Aug. '22 are @$35 area! Which is good entry to swing to the $176 ATH, but the $13 entry area is a SNIPER! anything in between those two are good entries for long-term.
BIG Money Accumulating SHOP shares? Wyckoff Accumulation FormingOpposite the Wyckoff Distribution is the Wyckoff Accumulation. This is a sign of buying from big money. It shares many elements of the distribution and is broken into 5 phases. I will briefly outline them below...
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Wyckoff Accum Phases
Phase A: Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend. Up to this point, supply has been dominant. We should see volume taper and spreads widen (price-volume divergence). Big money will scoop up shares to create the AR on increased volume. A trading range is created using SC and AR.
Phase B: Is the actual accumulation phase. Prices are low and easy to grab. Expect the price to ping pong within the trading range as big money optimizes their average. Expect many stop hunts and false breakouts to free up shares.
Phase C: It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a decisive test of the remaining supply, allowing the “big money” operators to ascertain whether the stock is ready to be marked up. The shakeout is the optimal entry point but it does not always occur.
Phase D: If we are correct in our analysis, what should follow is the consistent dominance of demand over supply. This is evidenced by a pattern of advances (SOSs) on widening price spreads and increasing volume, as well as reactions (LPSs) on smaller spreads and diminished volumes. During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top of the TR. LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E: In Phase E, the stock leaves the TR, demand is in full control and the markup is obvious to everyone.
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I believe the following points are in line with the phases above:
Decreasing volume and a widening spread before the start of the range. It is then followed by buying on increased volume. We have already seen Phase A.
Phase B is the accumulation. Note the increases in volume on the up moves but decreases in volume on the down moves. I think Phase B is mostly over if it has not been completed already.
Phase C will often have a shakeout. SHOP reported earnings and dumped to the lower end of the trading range. Although it did not break the range, I think this was the anticipated shakeout. We have since climbed higher on average volume and have now broken the upper range.
It is reasonable to assume we are in or transitioning to phase D. It is important that we see some form of consolidation to confirm the upward move. If we do not, we could see more tests of supply and moves back into the trading range. We are currently above the 50 Dynamic Moving Average but below the 100 EMA. This shows that the medium-term trend is flipping bullish but the longer-term trend is still down. The vol osc is also showing increases in volume supporting the move upward. Higher time frames also indicate that this trading range formed at previous support.
Overall, I think the stars are aligning to take this stock higher. Eager to hear your thoughts.
SHOPIFY approaching the end of its consolidation. Target $60+.Shopify (SHOP) has been consolidating within an Accumulation Zoen since the May 11 Low. At the same time the 1D RSI has been on Higher Lows indicating a hidden bullish sentiment. The last time we saw that recently was during the September 24 - November 29 2019 Accumulation Phase, which was also on 1D RSI Higher Lows. A strong rally followed after the pattern broke to the upside (came after the price broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line)).
Currently, the bullish targets are the upper Fibonacci retracement levels, which as you see they all match the Lower Highs during the price correction. We are aiming for $60 on the short-term.
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