SHOPIFY - BULLISH SCENARIOShopify Inc. is preparing for a test of the first major resistance level located at $710.
Successful breakout will push the price to the 2nd resistance at $800.
On the other hand, if the attempt is not successful, we may witness a retest of the $520 support.
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SHOP
SHOP, Lots of long and short opportunities ! We keep it on watchSHOP is beautifully offering lots of long and short opportunities ! Are we prepared in advance ? Of course we are.
SHOP has started new motive rally from 1005.14 on 26 Mar 2021 and so far has completed wave (1), wave 1, 2,3 and probably wave 4 of (3) and now is probably completing wave 5 of (3) which will terminate at two proposed strong resistances which are 1641 and 1710. After completing this up going wave, there will be a short opportunity to catch wave (4) down to 1405 , 1333 and 1260 corresponding to 0.382, 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels respectively.After that, another and last up going wave (5) will start.
After making a new ATH , there will be a great short chance down to prices below 1000. Who wants to miss the chance?
Please note that, this is the most probable scenario for now. Should it need any update, it will be done later.
We are prepared in advance to make profit. We trade smartly and objectively. We see the chances but never jump into the trade blindly. Right?
Shopping at GAPs..!These days, your stocks create big gaps (usually down side) after earnings!
Some People think this could be a good opportunity to enter a long position.
but
Is it really good to do that?
My simple answer to this question is:
No
Why?
Look at these examples in the past few months:
FB:
DOCU:
PYPL:
F:
ZM:
PINS:
WISH:
UPST:
BABA:
I hope you are convinced by now..!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
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SHOP bullish setup SHOP Thursday put in huge reversal candle w the rest of the market. Above average volume on the day. RSI bullish divergence noted. This looks ripe to test breakdown candle high in the 730 area, and then if it can really get going it can fill the gap up to 840. I saw a lot of 03/18 calls come through yesterday and today too. You could look for 03/18 800/840 call debit spreads here for a play on the potential gap fill i think
TSLA, Dilemma of Previous wave is the key for future move !Recognizing Wave relationships is a key step in decision making and adjusting expectations from the market.
TSLA, always shows some interesting aspect of wave relationships. Do we have a large degree completed wave cycle and inside a major correction which makes TSLA crash to unbelievable targets? Or we are experiencing a less amount of correction and will see new ATH before such a crash?
Answering to those questions needs going back and see what has happened in previous correction which began at former ATH 900.40 USD . Before taking a closer look to that correction lets see what we have for TSLA in Weekly chart.
Weekly chart which has been shown on lefts side suggest that TSLA's move from end of last correction dating back to 5 Mar 2021 or 19 May 2021 is onset of intermediate degree wave (5). If completed, this wave makes a primary degree wave 1 completed and calls for a major fall ! Is that a case? Is intermediate wave (5) and primary degree wave 1 completed? To answer this question wee need to take a closer look on daily chart and investigate previous correction and wave forms in more details.
Daily chart on the right side suggest two possible scenarios :
First and the best case one : Intermediate wave (4) correction has ended on 5th Mar 2021 at 539.49 USD. In this case 780.79 high on 14th Apr 2021 can be labeled as minor degree wave 1 (Terminal wave 1 which is not usual in Classic Elliott waves) , Low at 546.98 on 19th May 2021 can be labeled as wave 2 and ATH to be top of wave 3 . In this scenario , we are in minor degree wave 4 which showed flat correction so far ( which is well matched with SPX and NDX 100 flat correction scenarios, See related idea for NDX 100 ). For this scenario to be valid , we need a strong bounce back to new ATH from 770-813 Support zone .
If happens, I can strongly recommend you to close your long positions at new ATH or go short since there will be a major crash just like what happened to ETSY , SQ , SHOP in stock market or SOLANA in Crypto ( See related ideas ). This scenario was pre-requisite of my publication titled " Elliott waves, Possibility VS Certainty ".
Second and worst case scenario : Intermediate wave (4) correction has ended on 19th may 2021 at 546.98 USD with truncated wave C . A truncated wave C does not go below the low of wave A and this may be the case for TSLA's wave (4). If so, Intermediate wave (5) and primary degree wave 1 have already been completed and we are inside wave 3 of primary degree wave 2 which means TESLA may crash to strange prices !.
To me, Both are valid with the best case one to be the most probable. If 770-813 support can not protect the stock I will think about second most probable scenario ( which is worst case) more seriously and seek for taking a SHORT position in appropriate time. For now I have my eyes on the mentioned support zone.
This analysis shows clearly that decision making in stock market is never an easy task.
Hope this to be useful for you. Good luck.
SHOPIFY: Can the hole get bigger? The answer is YES!I would not want to be owning Shopify stock this year. I think we strike one more low to the .5 retracement and then bounce up to about $1000 for a B-Wave, before a final C-Wave down to the $210-$330 region. It will be a painful year for Shopify owners I believe. The move down so far does not resemble ABC structure. Also, it needs to be longer in terms of time. Good luck.
SHOP YEARLY 22 REVERSALWe are seeing most of the big names of 2020 head back to their pre-pandemic prices. $SHOP has triggered a 22 reversal on the yearly chart. My final pt is 305.30
Until then I'd hold off on dip buying. As you can see it's already down by $1000 from ATH and -53% on the year.
Refer to the strat combo sheet to see which set up I am referencing.
I'll forewarn that most of my charts will have bearish reversals with a select few having bullish set ups
SHOP: Is it a good idea to BUY the DIP?Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how SHOP is doing today! It is crashing after earnings, but is it now a good time to buy? After all, “buy when there’s blood in the streets”, right?
Personally, I always like to buy the dips, never the tops, however, as I like to say, there’s a right way of doing it – and there’s a wrong way. The charts can help us a lot here.
Yes, SHOP dropped from $ 1,700s to $ 700s, and it seems nothing can help it. This week, we filled a gap at $ 765, from June 2020, and this is interesting. Remember: Gaps work as magnets. This gap could become a very good support level for SHOP, however, we must always wait for confirmation.
So far, there’s not a single bullish reversal sign, and as far as I know, it still could drop more, to the next support at $ 683, so caution is advised. What could be a bullish reversal pattern? Any bullish candlestick pattern in the weekly chart, like a Bullish Engulfing, Piercing Line, etc. Alternatively, a bullish chart pattern in the daily chart, like an Inverted Head and Shoulders, a Bullish Pivot Point, Double Bottom, etc.
Let’s never buy something because it dropped too much, because it is near support levels, or it “looks oversold”. Let’s use technical analysis in our favor, as we can enhance the odds in our favor, and do the proper risk management using charts.
Either way, we must wait for more signs, but SHOP is a good stock to add to our watch list. I’ll keep you guys updated, so remember to follow me to not miss any of my future analyses.
SHOP Shopify First Price Target Reached On Feb 3rd i was writing this article saying that the price targets after the Feb 16th earnings are $715 and $531:
At that time, the price was $929. i know it seemed ridiculous.
But today the fist price target was reached and i have closed 50% of my position.
The Slowing Growth Outlook was the main catalyst for the selloff: "There is caution around inflation and consumer spend near term, for the full year.”, Shopify officials said, adding: "full year revenue growth will be lower than the 57% increase in 2021."
My price target for this year is $531.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SHOP Shopify Price TargetsSHOP Shopify is not a negative earnings growth stock, but a strong company with a 27.47 EPS and a Price per Earnings of 36.70.
But will the impressive earnings continue on February 16th, when they report?
From my experience having an Shopify store, their fees combined with Paypal`s commissions are killing me. :)
So maybe i am a little bit bias targeting $715 and $531 price per share.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SHOP: You Always Have to Catch It Right Nice double bottom formed on Friday, but am looking to get another stab at this at $780-800 early next week. I think the trade is buying at $785 area. Options too expensive for me M-W so will see where its at Thursday/Friday. I will take a trade like that if I really like where the growth is going.
The $850c against $785 would be my area of interst. Over $875 we can see $950 easy.