Short Shopify $SHOP (Ridiculously Overvalued) Hey traders, today I share my short trade in Shopify $SHOP as the fundamentals and technicals have aligned for a good risk/reward short entry imo, plus it serves as a good hedge to a traditional long portfolio of stocks.
Be sure to follow this trading idea as I will update it as it progresses.
Have a good week!
Jared.
Shopify
Shopify Hitting New Highs - Strong Growth Stock- NYSE:SHOP has a market cap over $82bn and over 1 million small business customers - definitely one of the best growth stories over the last few years.
-Technically it's maintained a strong uptrend and recently stayed within a steep narrow uptrending Pitchfork. Over 136% since its April 20 lows.
- Some concern that this current run up isn't sustainable - we are seeing negative divergence.
- Want to be a buyer but not at these prices - will be waiting for a pullback to the identified demand zone or when the Connor's RSI hits the buy zone. Don't expect to see prices coming down to the April 20 lows anytime soon. We might see a bigger price reset once we get out of the Corona world - shopify is extremely attractive in the Corona world.
SHOP - SHOPIFY INC - COMPRA FUERTELa accion a partir de su rally alcista que empezo este enero del 2019 ha causado revuelos lo cual ha llamado la atencion de muchos inversionistas, podemos apreciar como este contenia un buen soporte o zona de vendedores el cual ha sido roto conviertiendose en zona de compradores, si su rally continue puede que supere la barrera de los $800
SHOP potential PITCHFORK on hourly chart !!Hello! Friends,
NYSE:SHOP is following PITCHFORK levels well. You can even trade only with its support and resistance .
SHOPIFY; SHOP Till You Drop... Should We Go Long Into Earnings?✨ We provide charts every day ✨
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Heeeeeey, u up? Sorry, talking to this SHOPIFY chart, and the answer is "oh yeah!" Honestly, if you like bullish charts, then you'll love SHOP. SHOP has had an absurdly profitable run since 2016, and our Momentum Mover strategy has constantly caught runs in that uptrend. Let's see how this current long plays out.
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1. Everyone is home from Coronavirus and expecting good earnings potential. Short to Long ratio volume is having an uptick as of the last week so short squeeze maybe? Looking for a long setup based mainly on these reasons and here is how we will try and act on these factors.
2. Fractal Trend is showing an uptrend (Green background color) for SHOP on the hourly. With our Momentum Mover strategy we take long positions when Fractal Trend signals an uptrend AND then Breakaway Scalper signals a long entry in the uptrend by showing a Green bar color. We only trade with the trend, and the trend is good with SHOP.
3. Right now we are seeing R1 acts as resistance forming what could potentially be a local top (but for now just looks like consolidation).
4. If we get a break down from R1 we will look at S1 - S4 for support. Ideally we will see S2 or S1 hold to ensure a higher low and a that the bullish structure of the uptrend is retained.
5. Whenever we find support and get a Long entry, we will be using Breakaway Scalper's built in static stop (yellow line) to lock in profit or limit losses based on how much upside we have seen.
Shopify and ETSY: Covid and Earnings CallFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously as this is opinion basis. That being said, let us get into my insight. I believe due to the Coronavirus, likely online shopping and e-commerce have seen a spike in activity. This is due to people shopping online more. Not just e-commerce went up, but so did remote collaboration and other sectors as well. Looking at both Shopify and Etsy, the earnings calls for both companies seem quite soon, and even though Shopify went up tremendously, I think a $650+ target could still be reasonable. In terms of long gain potential though, I think Etsy may take the cake at a really lower cost stock, but only time will tell. It is still to early to call that. Both stocks are medium to high risk, and a lot depends on the earning calls. I think though it may be worth the bet, but there are other assets that have higher gain potentials as well (with lesser risk). As I said in 2018, Shopify still seems like a gold mine and is an example of one of those startup success stories or the American dream (well actually Canadian dream). Also keep in mind, in 2015, Shopify's IPO offering price was $17 and the early trade price was $28, meaning in 5 years you could have seen a 23 to 38 times profit for your investment.
SHOPIFY INC| One of The Most Top Dog Stock| 27th Apr 2020"When movement control order period extended, any related online is boosted.."
-Zezu Zaza Webinar 22nd April 2020
The best part in online business is you can do your business worldwide without any restraint.
One of my most profitable stock trading. People highlighted to you about this stock. Why?
Because it is not popular compare to biotech stock or trending pharma stock right now.
People still using online business and e-commerce to make income or selling product online.
This is why when MCO extended, this stock skyrocketing. Just because all people in the world
using their service and pumped up with volume.
If you love this stock, please also look to other e-commerce stock as well. Most of e-com
out there are right now skyrocketing. Watch the Amazon right now and JD.com. I am sure
you will love to trade this stock as e-commerce stock is one of my favourite stock to trade
after biotech and others.
Our MCO has been extended until 12th May 2020. Trump not yet to re-open the economy.
Just ride the bandwagon. Btw, this stock earning report will come on 6th May 2020.
So standby. Most of spike will occurred as soon as the earning report release to public.
Thanks.
Regards,
Zezu Zaza
2048
4.21.2020 SHOP Multiple Year Bearish Divergence, Top of trendTop of trend channel with multiple year divergence.
Short
-NFA
SHOPIFY $SHOP#SHOPIFY gained %41 last week and hit the pivot resistance. I would wait for a pull back on this week.
Shopify, this isn't going to end wellThis weekly candle might be the most ridiculous thing I've ever seen. I don't need to provide any commentary, but I will :)
Market cap of $54B & revenue of $500M (that makes sense)
Net income == rounding error
Horribly opaque about drop shippers, users, and platform data
Trading at a forward P/E of 3,300
No real debt on the books, a positive, but the only one I can see
People are always looking to find the canary in the coal mine when it's about to hit the fan. I thought it was the ultimate meme stock TSLA, but it could just as easily be this stupidity.
I certainly don't profess to know how high this will run, but the fall is going to be something to see. No position yet, that will be changing in the near future, possibly by 9:45a on Monday.
Can Shopify Break Its All-Time Highs?I am charting some stocks that are performing well. And this Shopify chart caught my attention.
It's nearing all-time highs right now. The white line marks that level.
Does anyone think it can break through that? I will be watching closely. While I think Shopify is a great company and stock, I do wonder if it's light overvalued in this market getting this high as fast as it did.
SHOP - look at the support at 411.25, anticipating a nice gap upSHOP - look at the support at 411.25, anticipating a nice gap up tomorrow at the opening. Hopefully, no bad news comes up overnight.
"SHOPFIY" is rounding back?It needs to get in the channel before to be trusty. $371.98 is first resistance to overcome and watch for rsi break out as well
Market Legend Alex Vieira Downgrades Shopify to Junk $585The legend who called Shopify Strong Buy $19 sees IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE downgrading to Junk
SHOPIFY and Momentum Stocks MIGHT Fall 20-25% before MayMany of those who have been following me have noticed my consistency and accuracy regarding Gold and Silver. Currently, we have seen Gold break-out and this will continue; Silver is only a week or less behind with a parabolic move on its way.
The question now must be asked: with Gold and Silver inevitably gearing up for a big move to the upside, can equities, particularly momentum stocks really continue to go up? In contingency with falling US yields and a rising DXY in my opinion the answer is no and we may-be gearing up for a sell-off with some bounces to the upside along the way, in March and at-least some of April.
I do not believe this would mark the end of the bull-run, but likely provide a 7-10% correction for the broader market, and roughly a 20-25% decline for momentum stocks such as Shopify, AMD, Nvidia, and many others that have led the entire market forward. For many momentum stocks, Gann angles are getting far too steep.
Interestingly enough, many of these momentum stocks sold off on Friday at double to triple the average volume, and 2-3x the amplification relative to the broader market.
Watch carefully over the course of the next few weeks and see if this idea pans-out. Moreover, we must see how equities react to the coronavirus, as well as, if equities can actually continue to surge higher (or bounce back).
Should we be near a correction, look for a buying opportunity in late April or early May. From here I see healthy market gains throughout the Spring and Summer before a likely fall near the US election, and then potentially an end to the bull market sometime in Q1 or Q2 of 2021 which would likely be the timing of the SPX hitting near 4000.
- zSplit
A nice trend forming in ShopifyThis trend is a positive sign that we may approach the all time high in a couple weeks.
SHOPIFY: Earnings Come in Historic; Stock Blasts-offShopify earnings were released today (Feb 12) around 8:30 PM EST and came in massive. EPS, revenue, growth, earnings and profit came in at historic levels and drastically beat expectations.
This is a company that is ran by one of the top CEOs with incredible vision and Shopify continues to surprise quarter after quarter - year after year - and continues to win against Amazon against this similar and specific service.
Shopify has surged on the US side pre-market and it appears it will trade around 750 (CAD) or more today with no sign of letting up.
Shopify continues to show signs of a large turnaround similar to Tesla where everyone discounted the name and now that the company has become profitable, the stock could rocket to levels over 1000 in the next 12 months or so.
This is certainly a company you want in your portfolio especially as online shopping is the 'way of the future' as retail stores become antiquated. You can play it directly with the stock or purchase ETF: XIT which plays mostly the top 10 Canadian technology companies. In this etf by BlackRock, Shopify represents a nice and juicy 30%+ by weight.
2020 Year End Target: $850-900 (Canadian Dollars).
- zSplit
SHOP before Earnings2H: (bullish)
SHOP to release earnings data before open today. If you're already invested or still plan to invest, here's what you need to know.
– stock is above all MAs (bullish)
– RSI can boast a higher high and double-bottom (bullish)
– MACD is neutral to bearish
– SAR is below 'daily' 20MA (bullish)
There are no technical mistakes in the prior 3 major patterns. The main multi-year channel is 'monthly' averaged with step-line over log . Within said channel, the stock maneuvered perfectly thus far and is expected to continue to do so.
Considering the endless run-up since 2017, and the numerous bull-signals that suggest another minor jump-up, the "steam" is likely to run out soon (as MACD and RSI suggest). 8 out of 10 major indicators are bullish, 1 neutral 1 bearish. Options pricing suggest a 30-40 point move either way (37 calculated). If it jumps up, there is somewhat a chance for a sell-off back to current levels. Also keep in mind that markets are expected to correct sometime this year.
Important: Note that if the stock fails to touch or cross the upper channel trend-line, it will be forced to touch the lower (later down the road).
RSI: