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Shopify

SHOPIFY More downside to come. Where to buy?Shopify (SHOP) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 13 2022 market bottom. It recently made a Higher High but not at the top of the pattern and started to pull-back, losing most of its strength and momentum as the 1D RSI dropped to 45.50 (neutral). The price is still above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which keeps it bullish but in our opinion it won't be for long as it has started to resemble the pull-back after the December 02 2022 High. That was on the Channel Up first bullish leg and it eventually pulled-back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, before the price rebounded again and almost reached the -0.382 Fib extension for a technical Higher High. Observe how similar the 1D RSI sequences are between the two. As a result, we expect currently a downside as low as 60.50 (Fib 0.5) at least to test the 1D MA200 and then we will buy and target $94.00 (below the -0.382 Fib, projected +56% rise, which is 20% lower than the previous rise (+76.18%), similar to the difference the Feb 03 2023 High High had from its Dec 02 2022 High). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:SHOPShort
by TradingShot
1
SHOPX: $0.019 | below the RADAR with a Potential Value of $15bnbridging traditional brands to the next generation of BRANDING and building strong relationships with existing customers just like how Apple did as a cult in the iTUNES ecosysytem this is like a venue for fortune 500 brands to link up with Tiktok Generation in growing business for now HANDLER Eric is just aging or building infra for big funds to come in re-pack or peddle to the gang of 8 Big Vcs is the space just like how SNAP was valued at $28ish bn during its debut in the NASDAQ immediate MARKET is SHOPiFY shopify $53bn cap buy and hold and maybe in 36months we can retire with Eric and the fanboys at 1000x reward
by senyor
4
Shopify Merchants Drive Record-High $9.3 Billion in Black FridayShopify Inc. (NYSE: SHOP), a provider of essential internet infrastructure for commerce, announced today that Shopify merchants reached a record $9.3 billion in sales* over Black Friday Cyber Monday (BFCM) weekend - a 24% increase from last year. From early Friday in New Zealand to late Monday in California, more than 61 million consumers globally purchased from brands powered by Shopify. Shopping peaked when collective sales reached $4.2 million per minute at 12:01 p.m. EST on Black Friday. BFCM highlights from Shopify merchants 1. Peak sales per minute: $4.2 million at 12:01 PM EST on Nov. 24. 2. 61 million consumers globally purchased from Shopify-powered brands. 3. Hottest product categories: apparel and accessories, health and beauty, and home and garden. 4. Average cart price: $108.12 ($107.53 on a constant currency basis). 5. Top selling countries: U.S., U.K., Australia, Canada, and Germany. 6. Top selling cities: Los Angeles, New York, and London. 7. Cross-border orders represented 15% of all global orders. 8. 56,000+ tonnes of carbon removal funded by Shopify to counteract shipping emissions. Technical Analysist Price Momentum SHOP is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average. What does this mean? Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by DEXWireNews
Shopify Record Breaking $4.1 billion Black Friday SalesShopify - NYSE:SHOP Shopify is having a great year and it appears it just got better, they announced a record-breaking Black Friday, with global sales from its merchants totaling $4.1 billion. Surpassing the previous year's figures, sales saw a substantial 22% increase, peaking at an impressive $4.2 million per minute on November 24, 2023. After 5 positive quarterly earnings in a row and with the annual earnings release in Feb 2024 around the corner, now could be a time to capitalize on this upcoming likely positive Annual Earnings Report release in Feb 2024 (released between 14th – 21st Feb). The Chart There is a clear long term diagonal support level under price and potential break out above key resistance level of $70.00. We are above the 200 day smooth moving average and it is sloping upwards. Entry into the trade should to your desired risk tolerance. Some examples of how you could enter - Entry here allowing for potential loss of 15% (the stop) - Entry at the $70.00 resistance line level (keeping stop at $62.00) - Entry off a the 200 day SMA when ever that occurs and place a stop under the diagonal resistance line (which will like be a similar 15% potential loss). The Risk: Reward is decent at 6, however I would take a significant portion off the table at $91.00 (the 0.618 fib level) or I would at lease raise my stop at this juncture, as it will likely be some form of resistance simply because of the price support/resistance you will see to the left historically and also because it lines up nicely with the 0.618 fib extension. You could also exit the trade entirely at $91.00 and plan a re-entry when we see what happens next. Its only a 22% play here versus a 15% loss, not great. So you need to weigh up what your comfortable with. There is also an argument to hold the position until the annual earnings release in Feb 2024, in this case the position size is key and should be smaller, with capital set aside to average in if we re-visit the 200 or diagonal resistance. There is a trade here and a structure to play off, its up to you how you do it. Carefully select your position size if your making a longer term play, regardless position size should be small with a potential 15% loss. Another alternative is to cut the stop loss to 5%, however I would only do this after a significant pull back of some sort. An interesting year for Shopify, it appears the US consumer is stronger than market commentators might think. As always stay nimble PUKA
NYSE:SHOP
by PukaCharts
Shopify Stock Is Soaring Again What Could Be The FactorThe bull market is back, and so is pandemic favorite Shopify (NYSE: SHOP). After posting robust growth and showing strong operating leverage in the third quarter, the e-commerce platform gained more than 30% in the last five trading days and is closing in on a market cap of $80 billion. Shopify is still down by 63% from the all-time high it set in 2021, which could indicate there is still more room to run here. Shopify's Q3 earnings were strong across the board. As the software backbone for many online sellers, Shopify grows along with the overall e-commerce sector. It makes money through its core software subscriptions, by processing payments, and by selling add-on services to its merchant customers. In the quarter, Shopify's revenue grew 25% year over year to $1.7 billion. Factor out last year's revenue from its logistics and delivery services business -- which the company divested itself of earlier this year -- and the growth rate was an even more impressive 30%. Shopify sold the delivery services business to Flexport in a pivot to refocus solely on the digital world, providing software services to online merchants. This is already showing up in the company's profit margins. In the quarter, Shopify's gross margin was 52.6% compared to 48.5% in 2022. Gains Shopify generated $122 million in operating income in Q3, up from an operating loss of $346 million in the prior-year period. Technical Analysist Price Momentum SHOP is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average. What does this mean? Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by DEXWireNews
1
Shopify Stock (NYSE: SHOP) Why The Surge TodayThird-quarter revenue of $1.7 billion was marginally higher than analysts' estimates and represented an increase of 25% over the year-ago quarter. The top-line beat affirms the momentum Shopify has been building in recent quarters, which has 70% year to date. More businesses are signing up for subscriptions and driving steady growth in the company's merchant solutions business. But the stock is also responding to Shopify's improving profitability on the bottom line. Operating income came in at 7% of revenue, or $122 million, reversing last year's operating loss of $346 million. The company's decision to sell its logistics operation to free up resources and lower expenses is clearly paying off, and shareholders are being rewarded. Management expects the momentum to continue with the holiday shopping season coming up. For the fourth quarter, revenue is expected to be in the low-to-mid-twenties year over year excluding the impact of sales in the logistics business from the fourth quarter of 2022. Moreover, free cash flow margin relative to revenue was a healthy 16% in the third quarter, and management expects it to remain in the high-teens range in Q4. Here's an opportunity to watch For a stock trading at a high price-to-sales ratio of 12, Shopify hit all the right notes in its latest update. The company should continue to see healthy margins and growing free cash flow over the long term, which could push the stock to new highs. As we enter 2024, investors will want to watch Shopify's payments business following its Buy With Prime integration with Amazon. This should benefit Shopify merchants and lead to higher checkout conversion, which could boost the company's revenue.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by DEXWireNews
Why I'm Going Long on ShopifyOn the weekly timeframe for NYSE:SHOP , I noticed four things immediately: - A candle close above the bullish flag forming, indicator bullish momentum. - NYSE:SHOP recently created swing highs at $53.70 and then broke it and bounced perfectly off of it showing that $53.70 is a KEY level. - When price bounced off of $53.70, it was also at the 5 SMA, adding more confluence to my trade - Lastly, I saw a divergence on the volume indicator, which is always a good sign of confluence for my trades. Given these four reasons, I am bullish on NYSE:SHOP as of now. Stop Loss / Take Profits Stop loss: The stop loss of this trade is set at $55.42, which is the most recent low. Take Profits: All of these take profits are set at levels that I felt were phycological levels. My plan would be to scale out half of my position at TP1, 1/2 of the remaining position at TP2, and fully out at TP3 If TP3 is hit, this will be a 1:1.44 R:R trade. Let me know what you think of this trade!
NYSE:SHOPLong
by fluxchart
3
SHOP | Informative | Day trade planNYSE:SHOP Price Action & Candlestick Analysis: The price seems to be in a short-term downtrend, as it's mostly moving below the moving averages. The long blue bar shows a strong bullish movement in one of the 15-minute intervals, but it seems the momentum could not be maintained, as the price started declining shortly after. Moving Averages: There are two moving averages, one short-term (potentially 50-period) and one long-term (potentially 200-period). The stock price is currently below both, which is generally a bearish signal. The moving averages appear to be converging slightly towards the end, potentially indicating a change in trend in the future if they crossover. Volume: There's a significant spike in volume during the bullish move. This suggests that there was strong buying interest during that time. Following the bullish spike, the volume seems to taper off, which can be an indication of a decrease in trading interest or momentum. Support and Resistance Levels: The "Bullish Line" is set at 53.48, which might act as a resistance level in the short term. If the price breaks above this with significant volume, it could lead to further bullish movement. The "Bearish Line" is marked at 52.49. This might serve as a short-term support level. A breach below this line could indicate further downward movement. Target prices are set at various levels, with the nearest being Target Price 1 at 52.06, then 51.37, and the lowest being 50.69. These could serve as potential support levels or price targets for a bearish move. On the upside, if there's a change in trend, the target prices are 54.57 and 55.28. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI seems to be hovering around the mid-level, currently at 42.70, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The movement of the RSI is generally flat, suggesting no strong momentum in either direction at the moment. Overall Sentiment: The overall sentiment from this chart seems to be slightly bearish, considering the price is below both moving averages and is closer to the bearish line. However, the RSI is near the middle, and the moving averages are converging, so there could be potential for a change in trend. It would be crucial to watch for breakouts above resistance or breakdowns below support, coupled with volume, for a clearer direction.
NYSE:SHOP
by shkspr
Shopify Macro Pattern Bullish Until Proven OtherwiseHi Guys! This is a Macro Technical Analysis on Shopify (SHOP) on the 1 Week Timeframe. Its to add to my previous analysis while keeping it brief and concise. Recently we Broke through and confirmed BELOW both the Uptrend Channel and the 21 EMA. Normally this spells TROUBLE, especially if we confirm BELOW 21 EMA, as this moving average normally holds SUPPORT through BULLTRENDS. Even more so that the MACD has crossed BEARISH as well. However digging deeper, its seen that the channel and 21 EMA break was followed by DECLINING VOLUME. Normally, for Trend Reversals and for the direction of a trend to actually go that way you need a spike in VOLUME. (Watch VOLUME in the coming weeks. Can give us hints to what will come next.) Comparing our current move to previous moves, look to "Similar Pattern". It may be probable that we just move side ways before continuing our UPTREND. Notice how to the T, our current move follows the previous example. The 21 EMA is also flattening out, indicating this sideways movement. Another likely scenario, if volume picks up can be a test of the 50 SMA (Green moving average). BUT provided this Weeks candle closes ABOVE we are testing support. So if we can stay ABOVE this, 50 SMA is less Probable. So pay attention to this weeks candle close and for CONFIRMATION. Also NOTE we have had a BULLISH CROSS of the 21 EMA above the 50 SMA. Along with how previous history BUllish move played out. This makes me think we are in the Early phases of a BULL run in Shopify. This is NOT a DEFINITE, Sure thing but we may be mirroring the "Similar Pattern". But always remember that things that happened before does not have to happen again. I think other than Volume, another MAJOR thing to watch is the MACD. Particularly, the main focus should be staying ABOVE the 0 level. Going BELOW 0 level, may indicate further price DECLINES. So watch how the Histogram bars shape up, we want smaller RED bars that change to a lighter RED color. Eventually would like to see GREEN bars in the coming weeks. That would give confidence that BULLISH momentum is coming back to Shopify. Take a look at how the MACD shaped up during the "Similar Pattern". If we stay ABOVE 0 level, all is good. Keep that in the back of the mind as you follow the MACD. RSI also gives some clues. The area between the RED & BLACK Horizontal lines, coincides with being BELOW 21 EMA. If we are below the RED line, normally its a good area to add to your position during a BULL run. The warning sign is if the RSI drops towards and BELOW the BLACK line, that would lead to further PRICE Declines. Using both the MACD and RSI in combination will help remove false signals. If you see that the histograms are turning light red, to light green and the RSI curved back up towards and ideally above RED line. This would likely push Price back ABOVE 21 EMA, and continue our BULL Run. I think this week, its important to stay ABOVE the SUPPORT line. Staying above may bring in more confidence. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on SHOP in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by SafofAllTrades
Bull momentum of Shopify has been completely releasedBull momentum of Shopify has been completely released This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Shopify stocks over the past two years. The top to bottom golden section at the end of 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, since the completion of the form at the end of October 2022, it has risen by 4 small bands, and theoretically, the bull momentum has been completely released! This week, Shopify's stock has made a significant pullback, returning to below the 2.382 position in the golden section of the chart! In the future, it is likely that there will be a longer period of bull rest!
NYSE:SHOP
by Think_More
SHOP Shopify Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SHOP here: or considered this buy area: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CAT Caterpillar prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 67usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-8-11, for a premium of approximately $3.50. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by TopgOptions
Netflix - I Hope You Like Catching KnivesNetflix is that $200 billion company trading at $441.44 that everyone seem to have forgot about, even though it more than doubled in a year. Personally, I think these streaming services are a colossal waste of your time and money. What you're watching is the intellectual equivalent of a Big Mac or a bag of potato chips, and permeated with the things of socialism and atheism. And Netflix is really quite woke and some of the content is unforgivably degenerate. You shouldn't look at warped mirrors and shouldn't cast your eyes on ugly things, or they'll twist your heart and your soul. When it comes to the markets-at-large, I believe we're definitely going to see a correction, rather than a new all time high, which I detail in the two calls below: Nasdaq NQ - A Fundamental and Technical Warning Signal SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar' If there's to be a new all time high, let's wait and see what Q4 has in store for us. There's a lot of geopolitical risk in the markets right now. The War between the Russian Federation and NATO via Ukraine is a big one, and a bigger one is the situation in Mainland China with Xi Jinping and the Chinese Communist Party. More or less, I believe the globalists want to topple the Party to have their men from Taiwan go in and take control of China and depose Xi. But I believe Xi is likely to topple the Party himself before that can happen. Big gaps will come that day and things will be very hard because Wall Street won't be in any kind of a risk-on mood. The 24-year persecution against Falun Dafa launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin and the Shanghai toad faction is something Xi can weaponize to implicate the entire world. Because to do business in Shanghai you've needed the Jiang Faction's approval. To get its approval, you've had to dirty your hands in the persecution and swear vows to the Flag of Blood. And unfortunately, most of the world has wanted what the Party has. Read the story of British billionaire Neil Heywood, who decided to court Jiang's minion Bo Xilai. Bo told Heywood that to prove his loyalty he had to divorce his wife. Heywood refused, and so Bo's wife poisoned him. Heywood died in 2011. Bo Xilai was ruined in Xi's Anti-corruption Campaign in 2013, stripped of all his assets, and sentenced to life in prison in a CCP dungeon. Gambling with the Party is one foot in the grave and the other in prison. Live a virtuous life instead. Moreover, they always say zoom out. Looking at Netflix on the yearly, it's hard to say you're not in the crosshairs of a savage trend reversal. And you can see these daily bars far more clearly on the weekly chart: There might be that fat gap above that you have your eye on, but you're dealing with a very long and very steep ramp in the first place, and this is in a stock which stayed away from a true gap between April and August of '22. Another notable factor is that the FINRA short volume for Netflix, while still notably low, is the highest it's been in three months and posted its first green month since April and only its second of '23. Short volume This is quite notable in light of the fact that June was one of the best months for equities in a long time Netflix doesn't have an ETF, except for a 3x levered ETF on the Mexico exchange. Insignificant except for it fell from 5 pesos to 5 pennies. What's sad is even if it Netflix was to fall 50% in value the thing would still only be worth like 30 cents. % base levered ETFs will kill you. So, here's the call. Netflix printed a proper daily pivot in mid June (you'll have to look yourself because I can't zoom the chart in for the post) and has been flirting inside that range ever since. If she makes a new high I suppose then it's time for more uppy and you can buy calls at the top and feel pretty good. But if she breaks the $420 range the next area to watch is the June low, which Netflix printed on a green candle and on the first day of the month at $393 After that, things might happen and happen fast. If bearish momentum and level breaking manifests, then where I believe it will return to is the $180 to $160 range. For Netflix to have a chance to return above $500, it will have to hold the $162.71 bottom. If you can catch that falling knife you'll feel pretty smart if you can hold the bag for a few months. But if you try to go long before the bottom you'll cut your hands and cut your hands some more.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by LordWrymouth
6
$SHOP Stock Shows Promising Breakout with Upside Potential Introduction Shopify Inc. ( NYSE:SHOP ) has been garnering significant attention in the stock market as it breaks out of multiple weeks of consolidation. This Canadian e-commerce giant has witnessed remarkable growth over the years, and recent technical analysis suggests that there is substantial upside potential for the stock. In this article, we will explore the factors behind Shopify's breakout, examine the potential for further gains, and discuss a potential entry point for long positions. Shopify's Breakout from Consolidation After several weeks of trading within a tight range, Shopify's stock finally managed to break out above its consolidation pattern. This breakout indicates a significant shift in the stock's price direction, and technical traders have been quick to take notice. The breakout is a signal of potential upward momentum, with the stock showing strong bullish sentiments. The Upside Potential With the breakout from consolidation, Shopify's stock now has ample room for further gains. As the company continues to innovate and expand its e-commerce platform, it is attracting more businesses and consumers to its ecosystem. The ongoing shift towards e-commerce and the rise of online businesses have provided a tailwind for Shopify's growth, and this trend is expected to continue in the foreseeable future. Furthermore, Shopify's financial performance has been impressive, with consistently robust revenue growth. The company's strong quarterly results have reassured investors of its long-term sustainability, which has contributed to the positive sentiment surrounding the stock. As Shopify expands its international presence and introduces new features and services, it is likely to attract more merchants and drive further growth. Waiting for a Long Opportunity While Shopify's breakout presents a compelling opportunity for traders and investors, it is crucial to exercise patience and wait for an optimal entry point. The ideal scenario for long positions would be a retest of the weekly breakout, around the $67.3 level. This level would act as a support level, providing a more attractive risk-to-reward ratio for long positions. By waiting for a retest, traders can confirm that the breakout is genuine and that the stock has the potential to continue its upward trajectory. Timing is crucial in the stock market, and entering a position at the right moment can significantly impact potential gains. Conclusion Shopify Inc. ( NYSE:SHOP ) has captured the attention of the market with its breakout from weeks of consolidation. The stock's impressive upside potential is driven by the company's continuous growth in the e-commerce sector and its strong financial performance. As the online business landscape continues to expand, Shopify is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. For traders and investors considering a long position in Shopify, it is essential to wait for an opportune moment. A retest of the weekly breakout around the $67.3 level provides a compelling entry point with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. As always, it is crucial to conduct thorough research and consider market conditions before making any investment decisions. While Shopify's breakout presents an enticing opportunity, prudent risk management and disciplined trading strategies should guide all investment activities.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by GodwinAlgoKK
1
Breakout Trade in SHOPShopify is emerging from a beautiful Stage 2 base. SHOP is up more than 100% since the start of a year – a clear sign this is a market leader. Notice how volume is higher on the rallies up and lower when the stock pulls back. This is a subtle clue that buyers are in control and the smart money is building a position. The breakout on Thursday came on 2X its average daily volume and the stock closed at the high of the candle – both good signs of a legitimate move. I want to see SHOP stay above the breakout level or, at a minimum, above its 21-day moving average (blue line on chart).
NYSE:SHOPLong
by rossgivens