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BTC - Golden Pocket test & what comes next?Bitcoin (BTC) has been steadily recovering from its January correction, entering a promising uptrend that has now brought it to a crucial technical juncture: the Golden Pocket Fibonacci zone, which lies between the 61.8% and 65% retracement levels. This area is widely watched by traders, as it often serves as a springboard for either significant reversals or continuation of the trend. 4H timeframe On the 4H timeframe, BTC recently formed an ascending triangle, a classic bullish continuation pattern. The price managed to break above the triangle’s resistance, but it failed to hold above this level, closing back below the breakout zone. This lack of follow-through signals weakness and suggests that a short-term pullback could be imminent. Daily timeframe Turning to the daily chart, the situation becomes even clearer. After reaching the Golden Pocket, BTC printed a bearish engulfing candlestick, a strong reversal signal. The subsequent price action saw BTC break below both the 4H support and a daily FVG, further strengthening the case for a deeper correction or trend reversal. If this downward momentum continues, the next major support zone is likely between $89,000 and $91,000. This area marks an imbalance created during the previous rally and is a natural target for buyers to step in. However, the bullish scenario is not entirely off the table. If BTC can reclaim and hold above the Golden Pocket, it would signal a resumption of the uptrend, with the next key target being the psychologically significant $100,000 level. For now, though, the technical structure suggests that a retracement toward the $89–91k zone is more likely before any attempt at new highs. Conclusion In summary, Bitcoin’s recent test of the Golden Pocket Fibonacci zone has resulted in a short-term rejection. The immediate outlook is cautious, with a likely retracement toward $89–91k. Traders should watch closely for confirmation signals in both price action and volume before making new commitments. A successful hold above the Golden Pocket would open the door for a rally toward $100,000, but for now, patience and careful observation are advised. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
66
We might be seeing a short-term correctionWe might be seeing a short-term correction, as the USDT supply is rising again and both ETH and BTC failed to break through their resistance levels — while Solana did. A brief pullback is possible, especially considering that the main reason behind the breakout was recent news about Trump. That could mean the breakout was a fake move or part of a temporary trend. The three major currencies that usually drive the market are currently showing less bullish momentum for the coming days — except for Solana , which successfully broke its resistance . However, Solana isn’t continuing to climb either, likely because we still need a breakout from both ETH and BTC to confirm the move.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by larsnicog
BITCOIN 4H - 8th time lucky? The 200 EMA is a great indication of the environment a certain asset is currently in. If the 200 ema is not being respected as neither support nor resistance then generally the market environment is rangebound. If an asset is in a trending environment then the 200 ema is often being respected, as in the moving average acts as a key support in an uptrend or as resistance in a downtrend. What we have seen from BTC is a clear shift from rangebound PA where it seems as though the 4H 200 EMA has no effect on price and is sat relatively neutral with no gradient, to a clear downward gradient capping off any attempt for the bulls to move higher. Eight separate occasions the bulls attempted to flip the moving average and failed each time, until now? Having ended last week strong with a reclaim of $86,000 an early Monday push has seen BTC close a 4H candle above for the first time in 7 weeks. It is important to note that when the MA is still sloping downward it is still seen as a resistance level, a retest as new support while the slope levels out is always a possibility. I am now interested in the question of, if Bitcoin reclaims the 4H 200 EMA, does it flip to a bullish trend or another rangebound one? That's where the $91,000 S/R comes in, as a reclaim of that level would put BTC into a LTF rally and therefor bullish trend, rejection off that level would see the MA level-out and becomes less important and therefor rangebound. Comment with your thoughts on this idea.
by ProR35
Secure profits of SHORTBitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis – March 10, 2025 Chart Overview & Key Insights This is a daily timeframe BTC/USDT chart on Bybit, showcasing a confluence of indicators including the BitcoinMF PRO signals, standard error bands (not Bollinger Bands!), Fibonacci levels, and support/resistance zones. Below, the Fisher Transform indicator is displayed for trend confirmation. 🔍 Current BTC Price Action & Key Observations Price: $79,404 (-1.60%) BitcoinMF PRO last short signal hit take profit (TP) → This often results in buy pressure as shorts take profits and exit, creating demand. A new short signal is forming, but it’s in a riskier position: Shorting too late into a move can be dangerous, as the market tends to reverse to hunt late shorts. Price is already near key support zones (~$80,133 and lower at $73,240). Linear Regression (LR) Channel: Price is currently testing the lower boundary, which often acts as support. Volume Analysis: Increasing red bars show strong selling pressure, but potential buyer defense near key levels. 📉 Fibonacci & Support/Resistance Levels 🔻 Key Supports: $80,133 (Short-term support) $73,240 (Stronger support) $65,485 (Major support) 🔺 Resistance Levels: $86,163 (First target if price rebounds) $92,957 (Major resistance) 🛠 Fisher Transform Indicator (Bottom Panel) The Fisher Transform is deep in the oversold zone, which historically indicates a high probability of reversal. If the blue line starts turning upward, it can indicate a bounce incoming. Right now, Fisher is at extreme levels, meaning that while more downside is possible, a reversal could be forming soon. 📉 CME Gap Around $70K – What It Means CME gaps occur when Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) close for the weekend and reopen at a different price. A well-known market phenomenon is that Bitcoin tends to "fill" these gaps over time. There is a gap in the $70K region, meaning Bitcoin may be magnetized toward that level before a major reversal. 🔍 How This Affects the Current Market? Current BTC Price: $79,404 CME Gap Zone: $70,000–$72,000 Major Support Zones: $73,240, then $65,485 🛠 Possible Scenarios 1️⃣ BTC moves down toward $70K to fill the CME gap before bouncing. This is a logical move, especially as Bitcoin is already in a downtrend. Traders should be cautious of a liquidity grab below $73K. 2️⃣ If BTC doesn’t drop immediately, a short squeeze could come first. Many late shorts have entered the market (as seen in open interest data). A squeeze up to $86K– GETTEX:92K could trap them before Bitcoin eventually moves down. 📊 CME Gap Probability in the Current Context 🔹 Likelihood of BTC filling the $70K CME gap: 8/10 🔹 Before that, BTC could see a bounce (short squeeze): 7/10 🧠 What’s the Next Most Probable Move? 📊 Probability Scale (1-10) Next Move Probability: 7/10 for a bounce before further downside 📉 While BTC is in a downtrend, several factors indicate that shorting now is riskier than before: Last BitcoinMF PRO short hit TP → Buy pressure from short profit-taking. Extreme oversold Fisher Transform. Price sitting near critical support ($80K zone). 🔹 Possible Scenario: Short squeeze to $86K before any further drop. If $86K gets rejected → A continued downtrend to FWB:73K or lower. 📢 Conclusion & Trading Strategy If you are short: Secure profits or set a tight stop-loss in case of a short squeeze. If you are long: Look for signs of Fisher Transform turning up before entering. Shorting here is riskier as the market may hunt late shorts before going lower. ⚡ Watch for a relief bounce! While more downside is possible, liquidity grabs often happen before continuation moves. Be strategic with stops and TP zones. 📜 Ancient Wisdom – Patience & Timing in Trading There’s an old Jewish saying: "Gam zu l'tovah" – "This too is for the best." A great trader, much like a wise man, waits for the right moment instead of rushing into moves impulsively. If the market is preparing a short squeeze, traders who chase shorts too late may find themselves trapped. Timing is everything. 🔹 BitcoinMF PRO users caught this downtrend early – consider using it for future trades! 🚀 Get it on TradingView today! 🚀
Long
by BitcoinMF
Bearish trend on BTCHello everyone, BINANCE:BTCUSD In my opinion, Bitcoin has entered a bearish trend. Considering its numerous touches on the support level I’ve drawn in the $91,000 to $92,000 range, there’s a strong possibility that this level may break, leading to lower price levels. Additionally, Bitcoin dominance has increased, indicating capital outflows from altcoins, which could suggest that the market is moving toward lower price levels. It might be a good idea to close our long positions and gradually start opening short positions, especially in altcoins, after getting confirmation from the market. What is your idea?
Short
by soroushrj1384
Crypto Market CapThe Total Market Cap , BTC and Altcoin Market appear to be breaking out of crucial long-term levels. Certain market conditions have to be met for either a bull-run trigger or bear-cycle continuation, based on the degree of economic stability and certainty in it. I'm going to discuss critical technical levels and their implications, as well as my fundamental views for the year. Bad Outlook for Q3/Q4 of 2023: Equity market health and controllable inflation would aid crypto development in the long run. So far the battle against inflation and stock market health have been promising. However, by considering the following 3 factors the outlook may rapidly change: Fading AI hype The end of the U.S. presidential election stock rally cycle, which occurs in the year after midterm elections (last midterms were in Nov 2022) In Q3 of 2023 (particularly August and September) there is historically more consumption due to the beginning of a new academic year, implying further inflationary pressures and more gov intervention 1) Consumer spending accounting for >2/3 of GDP and 2) currently being discouraged through prolonged high interest rates - amplify my positive GDP growth expectations = more inflationary pressures. Technical Levels with fundamental evaluation: I believe long-term levels are crucial for trend analysis. We're currently testing multiple levels simultaneously. Due to my pessimistic views for the upcoming months I am bearish in the short-run and bullish in the long-run. From current price level I'd expect +- 30% drop (below 20k), shown in figure 1. If we do go to the upside, we could see a 60% short-term price gain, presented in figure 2. Either way great volatility is to be witnessed. Figure 1 Figure 2 I hope you took away some important points. Trade safe :) Feel free to comment your opinion
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by Sanzhar_m
1
BTC Down....potential Bart forming on the 1 hour time frame Happy Sunday folks, for those trading today and for the proceeding days I would like to give some targets that should play out in the next week or so...They call me Big Short for a reason lol, initially I can see a Bart Simpson Pattern that looks almost fully formed, I have 6 layers of confluence to the downside on smaller time frames, in addition I have a measured move of 29,180 that should play out by Tuesday in my humble opinion. Last of all I still have a measured move of 24,465 that has yet to play out...happy trading
Short
by Crypto_Cam_1
BTC | Bitcoin | Further downward movement depending on PPI data| Don't Forget To Hit Follow To Never Miss An Idea | | Please Support By Giving This Idea a Boost | Bitcoin looking like it could continue further downward movement if FWB:27K support doesn't hold | Bearish Signal In Play | Rejected from the 50 D.EMA | Strong support at FWB:27K | Small Bullish Divergence | Untested Weekly Pivot | Good support target for base of Weekly Pivot and the 200 D.EMA | PPI Data dropping so expect volatility
Short
by Kryptochristian