Short-btc
BITCOIN IN PERSEPECTIVE+++++++zoom out to get the whole picture++++++++++
Hello and welcome to a quick idea which I was thinking about.
-This logarithmic Bitstamp BTC chart provides information about a long term trend.
-We are observing a weekly timeframe.
-4 BTC-halvening´s are displayed by the vertcal lines.
-100Moving Average and 200MA are important indicators.
-Important key levels are represented by the dotted lines.
-One brown line implies a downtrend chanel with two local top´s at 20K as well as 14K.
-RSI which currently demonstrates overall weakness in the market.
In this chart I would like to demonstrate how vulnerable BTC can be and how lower lows are still possible- even below 1K.
We have bounced of the 3100$ Level on December 10th 2018, after which the bullmarket of 2019 began (3-14K in 6 month).
I extended the blue line 200MA which could a possible bounceing point during this retracement.
BTC already broke the 100MA (red line) on November 12th 2018 to the lower side.
Volume is decreasing, which could be a sign of a cooldown, finding a bottom soon...
The top of 14.000$ was touched once- we did not confirm higher highs- which lead us to think about a continuation of the current retracement/downtrend.
A possible bounce could happen on the 200MA, which I drew as an extension when Bitcoin hits 5000-6000K it in early 2020. We could see another spike up at that point, which could respect the brown diagonal and create a third top by June 2020 (20K, 14K, 10K).
What do you guys think about this idea? Let me know! This is it already for today,
your quality-trader
Bitcoin Fractal Points to $8500 Purely by accident I noticed the similarities when looking at the possibility of going to $8500.
It seems our last week in hourly candles has played out nearly identical to the Nov 2018 - Present Day timeline in daily candles.
The descending triangle on our daily broke down to roughly 50% of its target.
If the hourly descending triangle does the same that will put us near the $8500 level which also lines up nicely with the 61.8 fib of the move.
BTC SHOCK, FEAR THEN DESPAIR!!! Could We See A Drop to $6,900? While everybody seems to be bullish about BTC making new ATH, I think there is a bitter pill to swallow - BTC historically squeezes down to test major supports between new bull cycles.
It might get volatile these next few hours/days. Whether BTC does make a jump higher it won't be long lived.
RSI may need to get to oversold before a the next Bull cycle is completely confirmed.
I suspect a 15% drop followed by an ALT SEASON hype before Christmas time attracts retail buyers.
Remember it's all speculation. Safe Trading everyone!
New descending triangle for BTCAs we all saw the last triangle break out to the lower 7700s, we are now confronted to a new triangle in the hourly chart, that is very similar to the previous and that risks to have the same outcome.
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