Short-btc
First Real Elliot Wave AnalysisIf my H&S formation plays out, COINBASE:BTCUSD may be at the top of a wave failure denoted by X and heading down to Z @ around $7600.
$7600 should hold, unless FUD takes over, in which case we may see the high to mid $6000 range again (one last time). 04/20 should be close to the last day of the bear market.
15 min RSI and MACD looking to downtrend ASAP.
(No I don't know Elliot Wave theory in the slightest, right now I'm just painting a picture that seems reasonable to me and matching as close as I can.)
Short: Bear
Mid: Neutral
Long: Bull
Bitcoin 3 hr thoughtsThe TD 9 only corrected on itself on the 4hr chart (9 candle went down) and I've noticed the 4hr TD count hasn't been very significant/helpful recently. I have found the 3 hour chart to be more helpful over the last few weeks when it comes to the TD sequential indicator so I want to share my thoughts here.
We have been working on this symmetrical triangle and the price could go either way in my opinion. I do have a target of $1500 to either side though with a possible rebound at 5k-5100 to the downside and an upside target of $8600.
At the very least I expect a 1-4 candle pull back soon when a 9 shows up in 2 candles time (3 to 12hrs downside). If Bitcoin shows strength and rallies up to 7150/7200 with no significant pull back, I will jump back in on the long trade with a stop loss around 6800.
Reasons for long : I honestly don't have a lot for the short term and you'll see why in my 'reasons for short'.
* The 50 week moving average seems to be holding up the price well
*Bitcoin is getting close to being unprofitable to mine and I would speculate that some of the huge companies now involved would try to pump up the price if it became unprofitable. Bitmain declared more profit than Nvidia last financial year so I'm fairly confident there is enough money out there to keep it profitable to mine and I will start buying like a mad man around 5k.
Reasons for short:
*We have been trading under the 200day ma for an extended period. The last time this happened we had a 15 month bear market.
* We had a death cross recently (50 day dipped below the 200 day ma)
* We have had too many opportunities to buy within 10% of the swing low (6500-6600 range) and Bitcoin usually doesn't give you this much time to buy that close to the bottom.
* I have seen some massive shorts over the last week in the order books which makes me suspicious that the Mt Gox trustee is back to selling (up to 5k bitcoin at a time).
* At 5k Bitcoin is still up %500 in a 12month period so it is more possible than people realize.
* If the 50 week moving average is broken, the last time this happened there was a about 12 months of trading below it... Not a good sign..
I'm short right now but long term I'm still bullish for BTC so I'm ready to move with the market and change my position as needed.
Ascending wedge in BTC, possible bearish scenario before takeoffBonjour à tous,
Ascending wedge pattern spotted in Bitcoin!
Here I drew two possible bearish scenarios, as I am not convinced that BTC will pick up momentum from this level, yet.
Scenario 1 - the yellow line - can take us when breaking out of the wedge to the 6000 USD level, where there was previous support. Possibly, prices could go up from here. Should prices consolidate here, an even lower low can be found.
Scenario 2 - the green line - if we were to break the 6000 level, we could proceed to the bearish flag pole target around 4800 - 5000 USD. Around the 5000 is a previous resistance found from late August 2017. This level is also roughly our .786 Fibonacci retracement from the ATH. Should we manage to reach that level, I expect high volume buying orders from the big stacks of money awaiting to get BTC for cheap! Cha-ching
Me, I'm such an amateur trader, so don't take this as trading advice whatsoever!
Good luck!
Maurits
BEARS ARE BACK IN TOWN- Price broke through and closed under the one year channel/trendine
- Very bearish signal
- Price is moving towards support/neckline of a head and shoulder pattern
- Price is likely to bounce off this level
- If price breaks and closes under this level >>> Head and shoulder pattern confirmed >>> Next key support $3000,-
BTC looking like the streets of Sydney sans Mardi GraGood Morning,
My last analysis of Bitcoin still stands and while the Mt Gox coins are still being sold off and the FUD of it lingers we have a real chance of dropping to this previously unimaginable levels. Every time we have a sell of we retrace into either another bearflag or rising wedge and breakdown, the big the flag/wedge the further we drop. Trading ideas with this one would be short term longs while wedges build but caution must be advised but until these Mt Gox coins are sold , I guess the real game here is Shorts. I would stay far away from alts completely, as they will just keep crashing and panic selling will occur. If you dont short, then and fiat is not your play, then best idea would be USDTether or you could short on bitmex 1x which equates to tether without actually holding any.
Take a look at the linked charts to see how things have progressed and how and why I called it.
Good luck and be careful, happy hunting.
G'day Mate,
Thanks for dropping by, hopefully you garner something valuable from my post, be it educational or an idea towards a trade of your own. Please share, like and comment and engage with me, I am here to help. Join me on Bitmex, 10% off fees for 6 months. Feel free to message me on Tradeview , Twitter on even in the Bitmex Troll box and I will be happy to help. With a little guiding and a quality trade plan, Bitmex is the best place to grow your Bitcoin but please do note that Trading leverage just as it is with CFDs or shares has an increased risk, unlike trading on exchanges like Binance or Coinbase, in which if you make a bad trade, with time you can usually break even.
BTC - Forced Volume Incoming?Volume is starting to ramp up again.... Might not get the 9k5 target in the end.. :/
BTC ShortEnding wave 5 soon and even if it is superextended it's unlikely to breach the 11.6 k range prior to some retracemnent/correction.
Some potential entry points are given based on Elliot and Fibonacci retracement and conservative target points are based mostly on Elliot wave and support levels.
This is for educational purposes only and is no way to be used as trading or financial advice.
Go LONG STR/BTC to .000050!Long-legged doji at the bottom shows potential upswing. My target long would be to .000050. Close your position once it hits the target.
THE REAL BITCOIN PATH IS HERE - DON'T MISS OUTHello! I saw a lot of charts charted, i'm just gonna stick to the old Eliot fashion wave style and proove you that bitcoin is going up and only up from now, no 9k,8k dips and shit. It finally reached and completed the final E wave of the ABCDE wave correction and it made first new Eliot wave, currently looking to pullback and test the fib levels to complete the 2nd wave, after that the big 3rd wave may blow us away back to the 13k zones. Bitcoin is going up only from now, easy trade position from here 2.5 risk/reward ratio, if it confirms my path. And this is only short-term trade. For the long term we will open a position, once it confirms my path
Buy-in zone :
Everything between - 10 800 - 11 400 area
Stop Loss: - 10 391
Target 1: - 12 508 fib lines take half leave half
Target 2: - 14 334 - correciton will happen after 5th wave is finished - take other half, re-buy on the dip
Trade open a : 11300
STR/BTC Sort term, SHORT opportunity,
Following the cyclical pattern of Elhers Stoch CG Indicator/RSI we are due for a bit of a drop if the pattern repeats itself. I've put a 500STR short open here at 45. Stop loss 48ish. Target is where the price is when it gets to the flag at bottom.
Ripple (XRP) hits sell target 01/16/2018XRP has hit the target price (sell) after a decline of 54% from the date of the sell given on Jan 4th 2018. Price has retraced all the way down to the breakout level that occurred on Dec 28th 2017. It appears
most of the selling has been completed and a significant amount of damage has been done to XRP. The coin will probably consolidate around these levels until it forms a base that it
can start to climb from again.
Possible Short @ $5800UPDATE:
Here's a trade opportunity that is a piggy bag of my larger short...
BTC is in correction mode and has made almost a 100% retracement since the drop from $6000 while bouncing on the Fibs along the way. I already shorted @ $5911 but since there may be more downside remaining (if a trend reversal is confirmed) there may be more entry points (with tight SL) as we head lower. $5780 looks like a possible Entry as BTC is meeting resistance at $5800. This is an opportunity to short as it heads down to support/the next Fib level...
Trading Signal for BTC:
ENTRY: 5780 - 5775
TAKE PROFIT: tp1: 56200 tp2: 5550
STOP LOSS: 5850
LENGTH: 2 days +