EURCAD I SHORT or LONG? Here's Your Plan!Welcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
**EURCAD - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Brian & Kenya Horton, BK Forex Academy
Short-long
Theory 3 of 3 for SPX--MOST LIKELYI have narrowed the likely future paths down to 3 theories.
THEORY THREE: Current position is Primary wave 4 of Cycle A of Supercycle 2.
Theory 3 is on a faster path while the wave structure is similar to Theory 2. The preliminary bear market bottom would be in somewhere between Election Day 2024 and March 2025. The path for the next month would see the market move up for a few more weeks as it attempts to finish Primary wave 4 (SKY BLUE). It appears Intermediate wave A (PINK) has concluded and it is even possible the low 2 days later was the end of Intermediate wave B down. It remains possible for further downswing this week to complete Intermediate wave B but it likely will not pass below the June low at 3636.87. Wave B CAN go below this level but it would bounce above it quickly. Early models have Primary wave 4 lasting around 28 days, we are 9 days into it so far.
IMPORTANT MOVES:
There are no duration restrictions on future movement at this time. A break above 3945 before a drop below 3636 would continue to keep this theory in play.
PROS:
This model appears to be riding election cycles. After Primary wave 4 ends, the market will swoon down again for a few more months with the bottom occurring around October/November this year. The 6-12 months afterward would move up before the final leg down takes the market to around 2400. The correction at the beginning of the millennium saw the overall decline last for about 9 years (March 2000 – March 2009). This was a larger macro event then our current correction. A 2-4 year correction makes more sense for this micro wave set we are likely in.
CONS:
Negatives are not glaring with this model at this time.
Ultra pro CADJPY ANALYZIS Hello and welcome, this will be my analysis for cadjpy. I've marked up the most important support, resistance and trendlines. The price will have a good chanse of reacting to these levels and might react as shown on my chart. I will just wait for the right patterns within support and resistance and enter. Good luck y'all!
#EGLD SHORT 🔴 LONG🟢#EGLD/USDT 🔴 SHORT ⚠️ HighRisk
Entry : 50.90 - 51.85
Take-Profit : 50.10 - 49.40 - 48.75 - 48.10 - 47.45 - 46.75 - 45.85
SL: 52.65 4h CC
#EGLD/USDT 🟢 LONG ⚠️ HighRisk
Entry Targets: 47.55
Take-Profit : 49.87 - 50.15 - 50.155 - 50.450 - 50.700 - 51.000 - 51.400 - 51.900 - 52.500 - 53.100
SL: 46.000 4h CC
GBPUSD SHORT!GBPUSD SHORT
Why are we entering?
- Expecting GBP weakness and USD strength
- Price is retesting our structure level & 0.618 fibonacci level
What are we waiting for to happen?
- Break of ascending WFB trendline & 4HR EMA
- Rejection of structure & 0.618 fibonacci level
Entry
SAFE Entry: Break of WFB trendline with rejection from structure zone & 0.618 fibonacci level
Risk Entry 1: Rejection from structure zone & 0.618 fibonacci level
Risk Entry 2: Early break of ascending WFB trendline or 4HR EMA retest
What is our confirmation?
- Break of WFB & EMA & rejection from our zone
Once entered, where will our Stoploss be?
- Above the structure level (above 1.235) 30 pips
- Move SL to BE after running 30 pips
Where do we take profits?
- Secure profit multiple times along the way (30 pips, 60 pips, 120 pips, 200 pips)
- Final TP - Lower structure level / Point B: 1.195 (370pips)
We will be looking to buy at point B
GBPNZD I Here's What to EXPECT!Welcome back! Here's an analysis of this pair!
**GBPNZD - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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This channel is the current trend that I see. Pay close attention to the macro trend lines. Price action around these macro trend lines should tell you if trend reverses; it did not reverse today. I have the Cash in/Cash out report set to 10 days in this example. The indicator quiets market noise, today was noise. Give the indicator a like if it makes or saves you money. If the indicator gets 1,000 likes I will make it a free app for both IOS and Android! Indicator found here Get your money back frens!!!
Negative Hidden Divergence About Bitcoin ( Road to $16.500)Currently, a hidden negative mismatch exists in the correlation between the price and the relative strength index in the 4-hour timeframe.
The fact that the price received a rejection response from the 200 hourly simple moving average affects our situation even more negatively.
A simple ABCD setup and the values of the lower band of the channel we are currently in lead us to the $16,500 price target.
Bitcoin to $16.500?We are currently facing the resistance of the 200 hour exponential moving average.
We are in a falling channel structure and we have experienced the lower band of this structure only once.
Considering the structuring of the Stochastic Relative Strength Index, if the next retest situation in the aforementioned lower band is considered, it seems likely that we will price $16,500.
ETH what is coming 1?ETHUSDT, is facing a lot of resistance.
The red line shows the resistance is very strong
The current PA has double resistance now
We also found an old flipped key level which is @ 760 which was never tested before and also its on 0.618 fib scale.
This support will give a quick scalp long to 900-1000
So we will see
DOGECOING: Dead cat bounce? Wow! What a year for meme-coins similar to Dogecoin? (expand chart for better view)
DOGE has done a 93% collapse. Some (not me) will be saying, ' it can't go much lower '.
It's now in gamblers' territory - and I expect gamblers to wade into the ' kill or be killed zone' !
So yes - two things are very possible:
1 - An immediate dead cat bounce over the next few days to weeks.
2 - Or a total collapse, from where we could get the real 'dead cat bounce'.
Folks are lining up, I imagine. I'm not one of them.
Avoid gambling please. Heavy losses could be involved.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
Wanting to Short Stocks? [CAUTION]A time like this is when it is most interesting to look at charts that serve as indicators to the broader market.. such as the good ol VIX as we see here on the chart.
The VIX, which quantifies the volatility level of the S&P500 on a chart, has been a beautiful gauge on the overall markets temperature on being short heavily one way vs being long heavily the other.
When I first introduced this chart almost a year ago now on August 1st, I pointed out how traders on average just believe that buying and holding good stocks are a good idea ALL the time.. this chart shows there are periods where this is simply not the case.
There are downturns which can last way longer than an average trader's ability to remain solvent and this will always be the case.
So, with that being said, in my previous introduction of this the VIX was showing that we were in a trader's market. This was the time last year when people were still fairly optimistic about stocks due to the tremendous and seemingly invincible growth of tech companies over the last decade. The VIX, however, was showing that this was not an ideal time to be a holder in this market but more so a trader. Meaning trade quick swings and get out.
Fast forward, and notice from August of that time last year to now, there has been an overall trend going upward into our area of highest volatility. The overall trend for weeks and months were illustrating an upward and impending trend into a period of high volatility.
And today, according to this current weekly candle that closes tomorrow, we are seeing that the volatility is in an area where volume-based selling usually declines.
The signal to confirm this would be multiple weekly candles closing back below our take profit area for shorts and ultimately back into our trade zone that we were in last year.
And that last paragraph may just be the most important paragraph in this entire post.
At MINIMUM, 2 things must occur:
1. The trend on the chart must be broken on the weekly.
2. The VIX must break back into the Trade zone.
Only then can we begin to get "optimistic" about stocks becoming bullish again.
In the meantime, the volatility chart is now showing that we are in all time high territory. In order for the price to continue going down in a way that makes it actually profitable for a short seller, the bears will have to move mountains.
This does not mean that prices cannot go further down in the immediate short term. It does mean however that we are close to a peak in market volatility according to this charts overall history.
Keep in mind that this is also not a signal to start longing either. The volatility is still in very high areas and you roll the dice as a gambler would when jumping in choppy waters such as these.
This is a time for smart short sellers to take profit after seeing this setup months ago. New shorts would only be providing exit liquidity so be careful.
In all, keep an eye on this and lets see if in the coming months the volatility dies off and things become somewhat boring until the 4th quarter rolls around. If this happens, a move back into our golden buy and hold zone could be on the horizon!
Bullish Divergence vs Bearish Flag on BitcoinCurrently, EMA21 appears as resistance in the 4-hour timeframe. The Bear Flag formation we are in also carries the targets further down.
However, although the positive dissonance in the Relative Strength Index correlation gives us hope, the trend formed for the RSI is a harbinger of probing the lower band within the channel.
Also, another negative indicator is that the Stochastic Relative Strength Index is blinking down from the tops.
SHOOTINGSTAR CANDLE IS GOOD WAY TO SHORT ETH. JAPANESE homageWell, high tide followed by low tide, followed by high tide...
The market always in motion - it is , as Japanese say 'A floating world'
A pin-bar top candle is aptly named Shooting Star in Japanese candle formations.
As we owe the invention of candles themselves to the Japanese, and specifically the shooting star, it brings Japanese ideas of the world.
Such as the EPHEMERAL state of everything , including prices.
Beautiful art.
The term Ukio-e translates as "picture of the floating world".
en.wikipedia.org
Be flexible the way of the water
u
Bitcoin Stands Above Sirat BridgeAs you can see, we are in the falling channel form in the weekly timeframe and we have reached the support point of this current channel. We also polled wma200, which has served as a trend changer for the bear market for years, although we are currently below this moving average, I hope to close the week above it.
On a weekly basis, our Relative Strength Index value appears to be at historical lows.
If we break this channel and even if there is a candle closing in the weekly timeframe under wma200; I do not think that the figures such as $13,500, which is currently spoken in the society, will hold the price, and I predict that we will go to the minimum $6,500-$9,000 range.
In a possible reaction rally, I think the price target we can reach is the wolfie resistance area of the current channel.
We can see serious candlesticks under wma200, this is normal, but we should never, ever close weekly candles below this moving average.