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Is the DAX burning down?This is a 15 min time frame, trend following set up. Price action looks uncertain and nosing slightly south. As a trend follower, you know that you have to give the market much room to oscillate. Trend is more important than price. Nothing in this set up means that I know the trend will continue south. All I can do is take an affordable loss. Hence, you find no predictions here. Why? Because I'm not predicting. I'm following. New traders need to be very careful in these set ups. Expect a loss. Control it. Make it affordable. I always talk about losses - that thing that lots of traders don't want to hear about. If the trend continues south, I can't know how far it will go. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities on live accounts. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
WHSELFINVEST:GERMANY40CFDShort
by Captain_Walker
The Aussies: Is this another one-candle situation?Well, it is one candle at the leading edge. We cannot know if it means anything until stuff happens. Those who look for predictions that foretell the future are in the wrong game. In trend-following methodologies, one would ride an escalator down or up - on a smaller time frame that that shown here (to conserve losses). When you zoom out of this chart, you see a market struggling to stay afloat. That's usually not a good sign. The 4H ATR line is above the recent batch of ranging candles. This means there is bearish pressure in this market (on this time frame only). The bulls have lots of work to do if they wanna get above the 4H (amber) line. The trouble for the Aussies is that they are bounced around by a) the DJI b) the USTech100 and c) US Bond markets. That's why it looks so indecisive (at this time). They are normally most scared of the USTech indices. So watch USTech as well for a steer on probabilities on lower time frames.
FX:AUS200
by Captain_Walker
CL bullish bias as a wedge gets a wedgie.You can see the formation here of a down wedge within a down wedge (wedge gets a wedgie).this is the yellow wedge and the black wedge. This points to a bullish bias longer term. Though you can see I am a seller right now from 65.10 with target price of about 63.70. This is where the yellow and black wedge intersect. I love this kind of confluence. You can see an example of how price may become bullish (red arrow) by bouncing off the demand zone. However what if the demand zone doesn’t hold and price breaks through this. We could see a drop to about 59.60 as price takes the path represented by the black arrow. So watch what price does at the demand zone. If the demand zone doesn’t hold wait for confirmation of it becoming resistance and take a short position. There really isn’t great support in this area so it could be a lucrative trade. Thoughts and comments always welcome. Please give thumbs up if you like this idea.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by UnknownUnicorn11430563
6
CL- three possible scenarios 3 possible scenarios. Represented by green up shade box and 2 red down shade box. So far path is following my prediction from earlier chart (see previous CL post) - green box trigger if price breaks black resistance - first red shade box triggers if price do not break resistance - second red shade box triggers if double to forms.me which would also end the green box trade As always aggressive entry on break of resistance or failed break of resistance and conservative entry on retest of this resistance. Please hit thumbs up if this idea interesting and please leave comment.
NYMEX:CL1!
by UnknownUnicorn11430563
15
MARKET CRASH - JUNE 2022 ?Hello everyone I was doing a research about market crashes in history (what was the reason, what happened next and how it was solved) ...So I read many titles about financial instruments in US (Loans,credit cards,mortgages etc) ...yeah and those freaking BONDS...we have two types of bonds - short-term and long-term..and here comes the trouble. They should go in the same direction. That means if short-term bonds(STB) rise,then long-term bond yields (LTB) should rise as well...so what is wrong ? Every time in history before a market crash these STB and LTB yiels were going in different directions - STB were rising whereas LTB were falling. We can talk about divergence. Crash Confidence Indicator is in it s highest value since latest market crash in 2007 - that means that many investors believe that market crash is not going to happen... the same scenario was right before 2007 crash Citi group‘s indicator about euphoria or panic in the stock market is in euphoria sector and is steadily rising Another indicator..VIX ..is down 28%...that means that fear has crashed Stocks are expensive relative to 10-year average earnings. We are above number 24 which is much higher than the long-term average of 16. Relative to GDP,the US stock market looks very expensive Now look at the chart below. As you can see there is the VIX indicator, SPX (S&P500 index) and 10-y Bond (blue line). I found interesting correlations between these instruments. As you can see, before every market crash we had scenario when VIX fell and Bonds rised. Afterwards bonds lost their value,VIX skyrocketed and SPX and economy crashed. These days we have a lot of "positive" sentiment in Bonds and we are grateful that VIX is falling...really ? look at the chart...VIX is falling and bonds are rising. From history performance I expect an upcoming market crash in 2022...and in my personal opinion I expect this carsh in the beginning of June. Take it serious, I am not joking and I put a lot of my time into this research. Thank you for your time and good luck !
TVC:VIXShort
by JanKoristka
MARKET CRASH - JUNE 2022 ?Hello everyone I was doing a research about market crashes in history (what was the reason, what happened next and how it was solved) ...So I read many titles about financial instruments in US (Loans,credit cards,mortgages etc) ...yeah and those freaking BONDS...we have two types of bonds - short-term and long-term..and here comes the trouble. They should go in the same direction. That means if short-term bonds(STB) rise,then long-term bond yields (LTB) should rise as well...so what is wrong ? Every time in history before a market crash these STB and LTB yiels were going in different directions - STB were rising whereas LTB were falling. We can talk about divergence. Crash Confidence Indicator is in it s highest value since latest market crash in 2007 - that means that many investors believe that market crash is not going to happen... the same scenario was right before 2007 crash Citi group‘s indicator about euphoria or panic in the stock market is in euphoria sector and is steadily rising Another indicator..VIX ..is down 28%...that means that fear has crashed Stocks are expensive relative to 10-year average earnings. We are above number 24 which is much higher than the long-term average of 16. Relative to GDP,the US stock market looks very expensive Now look at the chart below. As you can see there is the VIX indicator, SPX (S&P500 index) and 10-y Bond (blue line). I found interesting correlations between these instruments. As you can see, before every market crash we had scenario when VIX fell and Bonds rised. Afterwards bonds lost their value,VIX skyrocketed and SPX and economy crashed. These days we have a lot of "positive" sentiment in Bonds and we are grateful that VIX is falling...really ? look at the chart...VIX is falling and bonds are rising. From history performance I expect an upcoming market crash in 2022...and in my personal opinion I expect this carsh in the beginning of June. Take it serious, I am not joking and I put a lot of my time into this research. Thank you for your time and good luck !
TVC:VIXShort
by JanKoristka
9
Why pay attention to head and shoulders?Head and Shoulders is one of the most reliable patterns in trading. You could find the stats on this - I've long forgotten them. Many H&S pattern fail and you have to be prepared to take controlled affordable losses when engaging them. But when they do fall in your favour, they could be big earners. As always, these patterns do not 'predict' - they create probabilities. For every estimate on probability in one direction there is a residual probability that it won't work for you. That's where the stop-loss comes in. Strang things can happen with these - based on experience. 1 - the pattern fails completely. 2 - a second right shoulder develops (usually in bullish markets). 3 - price stalls in a range for a long time. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities on live accounts. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
WHSELFINVEST:USTECH100CFD
by Captain_Walker
11
Market structure (supply & demand) $42,100 - $42,999 (March BTC)Good evening traders, I'm sorry for not being active over the past week (I started a new full time job and finished my training week) HOWEVER, I will be posting 2-5 times every week going forward but wanted to make a quick technical analysis because it's now March 2021. What happened in March 2020? One of the biggest crashes in crypto and stock market history. Do I think history will fully repeat itself? Of course not. Do I think history will rhyme? Of course I do. The timing of price action and the current month of the year (2 months left remaining in Q1 2021) is no coincidence and wouldn't be surprised if bitcoin decides to completely nuke in the month of March. MARKET STRUCTURE: Previous all time highs: #1: $20,000 (still not retested) #2: $42,100 (still not retested) ALSO, we haven't yet completed a 30% pullback on this current downtrend we've seen. (a similar correction from the previous ATH would take us to around $38,000, give or take a thousand dollars) Please get this technical analysis to 30+ likes to unlock more content (please smash that like button or leave a comment to show your support) 👍 Stay tuned for daily/weekly updates around daily close (7pm EST)
FTX:BTCUSDShort
by YurloTrades
4
Adhh... Adhh... Ada Know What To Do With My Cardano!Adhh Adhh Ada Know What To Do With My CardaNOOOOOOOOOO! LOL "I personally feel that buyers are going to increase their exhaustion buying dumps. Also Minimum Wage Hike hasn't hit fast enough for the little guppies to nibble up all the Whale crumbs.. As things sink down toward the inevitable abyss." "Noobs please understand some people have had bags bigger and longer than you." (Placer note Emoticon Shoulder Shrug) What are your thoughts? Is it bad that people like to realize gains say "Cool! More Dollars now!" Or am I really the only person that's down to pull profit and even short a little??? LOL -No advice to give just thoughts that I can't shake after the last 6 years in the world of "CRYPTO" "KEEP CALM AND MANAGE THY RISK!"
KRAKEN:ADAUSDShort
by BradySWilliams
5
DJI: Kill zone ahead - scary stuff! It's a kill zone. But note carefully there are losses here. You can't win in this business unless you're prepared to lose! I would welcome arguments on that one. The chart shows that the rebellion of price looks powerful but on the squeeze momentum assessment it isn't that powerful. Price movements tend to scare new traders. Well, okay - if you can't take the loss stay out. In this position I cannot predict that price will fall nor can I predict that price will bust up and through the kill zone. All I can do is take a loss - an affordable one. There is a natural bias for winning positions. Hence seemingly unlikely positions tend not to be shown. When price moves north it is natural to think it will continue moving north. But what if the trend picture is showing probability for the south at the same time. Scary stuff! Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities on live accounts. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FOREXCOM:US30Short
by Captain_Walker