Short-pattern
The rainbow chart analysis of Bitcoin since 2012 Bitcoin's 19th million coin was mined recently, increasing the circulating coins proportion to 90% of the total supply. Besides, there is a common pattern known as the rainbow chart which displays the logarithmic regression path bitcoin follows. The cyclical behaviour of the security can be explained by the following facts :
Bitcoin tends to be overall bullish because the supply is limited and the amount of coins being released in circulation is halved every four years. Each block mined now provides a reward of 6.25 BTC.
A total of 210,000 blocks are mined between each halving dates, with a more visible aspect of the cycles : From the 1st block to the 70,000th block, Bitcoin appears to be in a bullish phase, from the 70,001st block to the 140,000th block a bearish phase and from the 140,001st block to the 210,000th block a sideways phase.
Bitcoin is the most dominant cryptocurrency. Indeed, it influences the whole cryptocurrency market due to its market capitalization. It's dominancy is also cyclical and since 2016, it falls below 40% exactly when we are entering the bearish phase (>140,000 blocks being mined) while the bullish phase is catarterized by a dominance around 70% of the total market.
The average drawdown during an era (Between two halving dates) is 80%.
We are currently at the 3rd halving era which occurred on May 11th 2020, more precisely within the bearish phase. The crossover between the 140,000th block mining date and the lows logarithmic regression indicate 18,000 USD per bitcoin. The high of the era was 69,000 USD and considering an 80% drawdown sets 13,800 USD as minimum price. The low of the era shall be in the interval between 10,000 - 20,000 USD with our prediction at 18,000.
(These illustrations are just for educational purposes and are not financial advices)
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BTC bullish rectangle complete2 days ago on Feb 6 I shared an analysis showing BTC is forming a bullish rectangle, now its Feb 8 and it has played out perfectly, it entered my book profit zone perfectly which was a 6-7% swing trade. I hope those that saw my analysis on Feb 6 enter this trade. Will be posting more analysis soon, but I expect BTC to be bearish now.
Trade safely
BTC 20k? - Daily showing a possible pullback to this level.After we saw a bullish bat harmonic pattern play out, we saw the price go from 29k to to 53k.
Now we can see a clear bounce from the middle line of the channel.
I do not think this middle line of the channel will hold. Which might lead to a possible downfall to 20k.
Also note that BTC dominance is forming a double bottom, which indicate multiple month of downwards price action for altcoins. Bringing BTC dominance up and overall fear in the market for the next few months...
- Just my vieuw on the market, do your own reasearch.
Goodluck.
GTT Gap filledHealthy pattern in the next weeks around 4.5$ and 3.5$ until we could target the next breakout.
Inverted cup & handle with a bearish pennantHello fellow trader
As one may see in the chart, two patterns were formed by the price.
The first light blue marked is an rather choppy inverted cup and handle formation. I have outlined the target calculation of the pattern in the center of it.
The time frame is a valid one, c&h structures need at least several weeks to be taken into consideration. Also that it occurs within a yearly low implies further validity.
The second much more obvious, is a bearish pennant. Its calculus is outlined on the right side.
Both targets intersect at around 10k.
If we look at the past there are little structures which might act as support within the projected range. This could imply that we don't achieve the target, either positively or negatively.
Volume & Stoch RSI tells us we could expect a decline within the coming days.
If the price breaks upwards, over the mark of the max(c&h) and closes there within the daily time frame, this thesis has been invalidated (It might form a bearish flag, so the drop wont be off the table, depending on the price action).
Trade safe.
Nik
🏛EUR_USD IF BREAKOUT 👉🏻THEN SHORT↘️
☑️ EUR_USD broke out of the bearish flag pattern
And fell to the support area
The pair looks weak and the correction is overdue
Therefore, IF we see a breakout of the current support
Then we go short
With 3 targets in mind
The final one being the next support area
SHORT ↘️
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