BTC looking South on many indicatorsThis would be a short term trade, with potential for a longer run.
Key takeaways:
Green 50 Day MA was rejected.
Daily Mid-BB giving out currently.
Stochastic, Stochastic RSI and Smoothed RSI appear to be starting a downtrend.
Potential MACD cross down upcoming.
The chart just doesn't look good with those indicators at this moment. This is during the middle of the daily candle, so there is still hope to hold the Mid-BB but regardless if the daily ends a red candle it appears headed to the bottom of the relatively tight BBs. This move would take the Stochastic, Stochastic RSI, RSI and MAs down as well.
There is a chance that since the BBands have been tight for so long there could be large movement. Since the indicators point down, a short term short could turn into a longer play.
However, as a long term bull I can see hope for a potential bottom here. This could just be the mentioned indicators doing a "reset". By this I mean, price moves down very little while bringing down many key indicators like mentioned. This leaves much room for them to move up. To get the most out of an indicator reset like this, there might be a relatively large red candle while indicators are bottomed and followed by a steady green rally. That one large red candle helps offset the positive momentum of new green candles so that the indicators don't rise too quickly, painting a more enduring bullish picture. If you look at the chart, this would mean price steadily goes down to bottom BBand, dips below it quickly, and rallies steadily towards upper BBand rather quickly.
Long-term bear case: daily MACD crossover, price still below all major MAs.
Long-term bull case: potential indicator reset with a higher low at lower BB.
DISCLAIMER: For educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this content should be interpreted as financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any sort of security or investment including all types of crypto. DYOR, TYOB.
Short-term
EASY LONG on EURUSDThis trade is based mainly on the large corrective wave we have seen recently with this currency pair. At the mid-late December point we can see that the price bounces almost perfectly off of the bullish trend line and has gone for the moon ever since with a high of 173 pips. In the corrective wave that followed this we saw a 73 pip drop in 2 days and 6 hours, now as we are coming to the close of this weeks trading we are seeing traders buying this pair due to it being one of the most volatile pairs on the market hoping to make a quick buck or two. I have traded LONG on this pair with my ENTRY at 1.11725 with my SL and TP clearly shown on the chart.
PLEASE NOTE: Any trades that are taken by the audience are taken at their own risk so we are not liable for any losses that you may incur.
Happy trading!
ORBEX: Correction Could Take Prices Lower Before Bullish "Three"The correction seeing on USDJPY could let prices fall a tad lower, providing a better structure for minor A.
This should be followed by a "three" correction, where minor B is going to offer some buying opportunities in the short-term before sliding lower towards the golden Fibonacci retracement level of 106.67.
Better remain patient for minor B to complete!
Trade safe
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice
LINK to $3.50 end of Jan 2020 @ top of ascending channel +LINK (ChainLink) long term outlook still looks quite bullish, riding well over the multi-year support and still holding a much higher and near parallel, bullish ascending channel. We are currently sitting at bottom of channel, minimizing entry risk but entry should be leashed with a short Trailing Stop Loss.
Top of channel is $3.52 or so around the end of January 2020, a month from this write up. Because we may also be seeing a wedge form here, we could see a really nice breakout that could occur earlier in January where as that $3.52 would already be support by end of January (or break down to $1.50 historical support).
There is downside potential where as the mid-term trends could reverse (though currently no indication of such), likely we would be caught by the the historical horizontal/logical support @ $1.50 or worst case our multi-year long-term trend-line below would catch us. Right now a downtrend seems really improbable though hinged on the health of the global market.
This ascending channel could actually play out for a couple of years before forcing LINK to choose between maintaining the channel and breaking its ATH.
I am pro-link long as well as bullish long term and for the next month or so for a channel swing trade, holding both in long-term and short-term positions and accruing more now. This is not investment advice, just some of my market observations published. DYOR.
s
Gold/USD DailyGOLD/USD
I think Gold change in the next week by fundamental but for now, it is the best option.
It all comes down to how traders respond to the retracement zone at $1512.40 to $1526.40.
Holding inside the zone will indicate a neutral to upside bias.
Overtaking and sustaining a rally over the upper or Fibonacci level at $1526.40 will signal the buying is getting stronger, while a sustained move under the lower or 50% level at $1512.40 will indicate the presence of sellers.
This could trigger the start of a steep break.
BTC/USD Bullish Short Term & Bearish Mid term Outlook...Hi guys,
I have plotted a fib retracement from around the 17th November (high) to 18th December (low) and you can clearly see some vital rejections, support levels and wickfishing i.e. bull traps or bear traps - with the long wicks... with daily candle closures failing to close above or below the fib levels.
Currently, BTC on the daily is looking like it has broken the .618 level @ 7273.08 USD and is making its way towards the next fib level at .5 @ 7533 USD, which is also at a key resistance and support level (long term key levels which are highlighted by yellow shaded boxes), so this is one confluence for a short term bullish outlook.
The next confluence is that we have not even seen a single retest of the 8000 USD region since we have fallen below and in the long term... every time we have gone below or above this region we have always retested it, therefore it is a key level.
This brings us to our next confluence which is the completion of the head and shoulders at this region - with the left shoulder starting from 25TH NOV, which lines up exactly with the FIB RETRACEMENT .0.236 @ 8116 USD
Next confluence is the higher highs and higher lows shown by the white trendline drawn across 25 Nov to 3rd Jan... Although we broke this trendline 16th-18th December price has come back up strongly to retest and maintain this trendline, and the opening of this daily looks like a strong and solid bounce off the trendline.
After this short term region of around 8100-7700 USD is met... price should bounce off the bearish channel drawn on the long term outlook with the two red trendlines and we could be seeing levels as low around 6000-4000 USD before price will continue to surge again and hopefully act as the next starting point for the next 2020 bull run which could be initiated by the long term green trendline bounce...
Thanks
AUDNZD Long Trade SetupHello Traders
It looks like we have a complete 5-wave impulse and now, it should make some upward structures. Because of the unclarity of the higher timeframes, I can't say if it will make a pretty big up impulse or correction for more downside, but my main forecast is a correction. I placed a pending order above the potential reversal impulse, but the SL is too big for this chart. That's why I'm also waiting for a bigger correction and a lower degree reversal pattern to find a better entry.
For more details and the daily updates please watch my daily analysis videos on Youtube.
Trade with care.
Bulent