BTC destroys the hopes of holders?I did not publish the ideas for a while, because the market situation needed clarification. And now the situation does not look good:
1. Divergence on the 4H chart
2. Bearish flag
3. Bearish flag fixed to the trend line (see the comment with the image of the daily chart)
4. Possible head and shoulders pattern
5. This movement is corrective because it has many overlaps, which may mean a further decrease
6. According to the Wyckoff method, the next price movement can be the C phase
Enter ~ 6550 - 6600
Stop ~ 6710
Target ~ 6250
Short-trade
Short Trade FTSE100 - Test Ending Diagonal Looking at the Macro analysis in my last published idea, have been waiting for. good entry on the FTSE for the past couple of weeks. See above my idea.
Good R:R for this trade. I suspect we are currently experiencing wave c2 - I will be looking to catch the trip to the downside for wave 3/4/5 for a test of the lower bound of the diagonal.
Considering chart pattern, we have broken a bull pennant to the downside and this wave 2, in my mind, is the rested before markdown.
My stop loss has been placed at the point where my opinion is proved wrong and a recount will be required. Once my order is filled and price moves in my favour, I will move in my stop loss to increase R:R - then just let it play out.
Although I do see the FTSE being bearish over the coming months, that will change if I am stopped out the upside here.
For more in depth analysis - join me here - t.me or on twitter @Colgal92
EURGBP Looking Good for a Move Lower From Channel ResistanceEURGBP Has been trading within a channel for the last 9 months. It is currently testing the upper channel line, the last 2 days candles both with long upper shadows show the bulls are not able to push prices higher at the moment. Fridays doji candle shows indecision, the bulls managed to push prices higher but the bears drove them back down again to close near the open. Should prices push above the high of 0.88907 we could see a swift push higher and a breakout of the channel to the upside. A stop loss order needs to be placed just above this level to protect from this possible alternative outcome.
Short SWKS I hope everyone has had a great Monday.
Skyworks Solutions -1.91% is a semi-conductor company that is traded on the NASDAQ. While I wouldn't normally bet against the semi-conductor industry, this, I believe is a quick short for easy gain.
Trade war tensions have been high and will likely remain high until a deal is struck with China over what President Trump has dubbed a "massive trade deficit." While many economist and pundits scratch their head at this proposition (trade deficits are not necessarily bad, as it allows Americans to purchase more goods at what will be a lower price), it is not important who is right or wrong in a trade war/skirmish, but instead to focus on what will happen in the short term because of the actions of these countries.
That brings me to Skyworks, a company that in regular times I would not never short with a ten-inch pole. Now, however, is the perfect time to bring on the short army.
The main and nearly only reason for this call is a simple fact: SWKS -1.91% currently getting 80% of its revenue from China.
If a trade war were to break out, having this much exposure (whether China pushes heavy tariffs or not) will send this stock tumbling.
For this short position I believe in 2/3 main targets.
1. $93
2. $86
No hold below the $86 threshold would be advisable.
Again, this is a high-risk, high-reward trade.
Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and have no plans to initiate any positions in SWKS -1.91% within the next 72 hours.
Boeing the Obvious Loser of a Trade SkirmishI hope everyone has had a solid week. I was doing some end of week checks and I think that this is a great trading idea based off the latest trade skirmishes between the United States and, well, everyone.
Boeing is a developer and manufacturer of airplane and airplane parts, and gets a a fair bit of business from China (10%, give or take, of its total revenue).
With the latest threat of trade war I decided to pull up the technical anaylsis here and I I think this is a wonderfully interesting chart.
As you can see, investors have priced in the possibility of a trade war in the stock already. However, if you look at how the stock itself was performing, I feel there could be further pressure down. There are multiple levels of support in the Fib sequence, and you can see that it has found one here. If this breaks, however, there could be extreme downside pressure which could possibly lead the price down to the last Fib level.
For those who are in the mood for a high-risk/high-reward trade, if the stock pierces the current Fib level where it has found support significantly, this could be a wild ride straight down.
Insider transfers and institutional transfers are also both down, (-8.7% and -2.76%, respectively).
The only issue is there is high short interest, which could easily cause a short squeeze.
Overall, if you love high-risk versus high-reward, this is a great trade for you.
Well, let's time to move on a short LTC ...LTC has completely played a bull pattern about which he wrote earlier, now he draws a bearish pattern (acting in turquoise), by the way, I once again notice that the situation is similar to that of bitcoin 1: 1, I'll attach the bitcoin schedule below, and since the bitcoin situation is similar and it is likely that this pattern will confirm that it can be said that the LTC will go to its support line which goes from 2017, which is the strongest
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