$AMZN - Amazon is "OUT OF RALLY TIME" using Time@Mode Amazon has rallied for 15 weeks into last week's close after accumulating at the mode back this past fall for 15 weeks. In other words: Amazon has "run out of time".
Once Amazon blasted off on its previous earnings report back in October, it kicked off a 15 week rally which ran far beyond the rally that was implied by the previous move from $766 (where it lingered for 17 weeks in 2016 and had a 22 week rally out of that accumulation). A move from $766 to $980 was 29% and the implied rally from $980 was also 29%, but it ran up over 50% (see chart).
Now that $AMZN has reached $1498, the PSR reached 4 times (an extreme reading) while the free cash flow yield has fallen to 1%, which means that the $7 billion in free cash flow is only 1% of the $700 billion in market cap for Amazon. Growth over the coming decade will help drive up that yield, but right now that is the return you would earn if you took Amazon private.
Using the Time@Mode methodology, together with Key Earnings Levels stemming from quarterly earnings reports and raw and relative valuation analysis, we can see here that Amazon has "RUN OUT OF TIME" on a weekly basis for this rally and would only expect it to move sideways to down over the upcoming 15 week time frame as a new level of consolidation builds as the fundamentals "catch up".
For now: It is opportunistic to sell short $AMZN with 5%-10% downside targets. Cover and re-short on 75% rebounds as many times as possible for the next 14 weeks.
Tim
12:41PM EST February 7, 2018 $1439 last $AMZN
Short-trend
Down trend of Bitcoin WeekHi everyone. I see a global down trend on market not only bitcoin, But today we will be talk about Bitcoin. For first all peole talking about day time frame, but we have a more major time frame such as month and weekly. Now we will bw talk about weekly time frame. for first please looking on indicators (MACD, RSI, Stochastic) all these indicators show down trend, in the second the average 100-week moving time period in the zone of 4200 dollars, the average 200 time periods in the zone of 2500 dollars, in the third the lower part of the canal is in the region of 6000 dollars. I see no reason for much optimism, as large players look at the senior time period. And look at large wholesale prices (MA 100 and MA200) BITFINEX:BTCUSD
Litcoin Chart Analysis , Will Price go Up or Down?Chart legend:
Downtrends= grey
Uptrend= blue
Support = black
Resistance= yellow
Past price analysis: Price broke trendline(1) at the beginning of the year, then proceded to break trendline(2), moving to resistance (1) (actual price), now we can look at this in 3 ways possible:
1- Price goes to 23.6 retracement(which will act as support) and retests the uptrend that once broken, will serve as resistance, not achieving success, it will break the 23.6 retracement, going to the next support $215, and bouncing to $244 (if at point A forms an evening star, this scenario is the most likely) (Represented in the graphic)
2-Price goes to 38.2 retracement, bouncing to 61.8 retracement (acting as resistance), pushing back to 50 retracement, and exploding to 78.6 retracement
3- Price will test the trendline (acting as support), moving up to 61.8 retracement (acting as resistance), pushing price back to the trendline, and exploding to 78.6 retracement.
In my opinion, price will follow the first way, it's starting to decline , but let's wait and see!
Any question feel free to ask down below!
Disclaimer: I'm not a financial adviser, i'm not responsible for any losses due to following my chart analysis
AUDUSD Lets short it boysAUDUSD
To open SHORT positions for AUDUSD , it is required:
In this situation our system indicators to confirm trade entry confirmation for movement to the downside but if the market trend continues to range this signal will become invalid. Market execution for entry, I will confirm signal once the conditions have been met.
Risk Description: Once signal is confirmed we will execute more positions on the position on H1 and 30M charts. Minimum 200 pips will be up for grab with small risk SL at swing high. Target 400 pips
Profit expectations: 1-4 day trade length expected before hitting profit target I will post exit strategy when signal receives a exit signal.
Trading method: RSADVANTAGE Stage 5, accurate system manually forward tested over 3 years designed to stay out of ranging markets and only target strong trends suited for swing trading. This system is made of custom adaptive volume indicators and Oscillators that properly detect trends very early and provides exit signals at dynamic S/R zones once the trend has ended. // Average yearly pips gained is 40k per pair on D1 charts alone. I have provided a similar limited version of the system on Trading view to help traders visualize the strategy.
Pound Aud Analysis Dec 28 2017 correction then short Hi everyone
what I see at the moment is if this market follows on this correction and if we see price action and some candle stick movement with confirmation to the down side then the following tps will be an idea for this market to hit
Hope everyone is having a great year trading
Kris
BTC make it or break it - possible head & shouldersWe have a possible Head & shoulders pattern forming on the 4h chart. We know BTC doesn't follow usual patterns, but we also know we're in a descending trend, so this time, it may surprise us.
We're currently at the 200 MA, if it breaks support and goes to 13k, prepare your wallets for a buying point.
What do you guys think?
GBP/AUD: Parallel channel, 80 pips in play! Hey there,
It seems we have a parallel channel in place with the pair, so the downtrend should continue next week.
Wait for the prices to test the dotted trend line before entering any position.
Profit target: around 80 pips.
Feel free to like/comment my ideas.
Trade at your own risk.
Cheers
Jesse
USD/JPY shortThe market is overall bearish on the weekly timeframe as indicated by the strong blue trend line. We are currently touching it and sellers have been indicating that the trend line is here to stay for now. Looking on the daily chart, we do see a break into consolidation indicating a market neutral / slightly bearish stance on this pair. The daily consolidation zone is a good indicator for potential profits/losses. Looking deeper into the 4 hour chart, we see a lot of similarities with the daily timeframe as it is also currently in consolidation and has made lower lows, lower closes stopping at a 50%/61.8% Fibonacci level (depends on where you look from). As a result, I believe that the market will go down at least in the short run as indicated by my pending orders.
BTC/USD Drop over the next few days!!!The overall trend of BTC currently looks to be in a bear trend. We could see 5370 and even as low as 5250 in just the next few days. After hitting a new ATH this is a healthy correction that could last for a few months but in the end it will make BTC even stronger.
EUR/USD shortThe market has been in consolidation on the daily timeframe for a while now and is currently at the lower points of the mentioned zone. However, we have not made lower lows/lower closes for a while as well. Therefore, this indicates a market neutral stance for now. On the 4 hour chart we do have a forming pennant/triangle formation despite technically being in a downtrend. This indicates uncertainty and, in my opinion, should make traders "think both ways" before executing a trade. As a result, secondary targets have been adjusted (reduced) for the possibility of the market reversing and going up.
Dollar Onward October 2017-2018*So with dollar it looks like it is basically between a range now, it tapped a bullish order block (on the monthly) so now turned breaker to bearish and closed below it - it's at 50% of a monthly level to it's actually at two monthly levels - I think bearish dollar next week.
*I am seeing a range of 94.70 - 90.95 - both monthly levels.
*For deep trends when it breaks 94.70/95.43 Bullish and below 91.24 real bearish.
*There is liquidity both sides of the market, I think more so to the up side - I want a deep downwards retracement then a nice bullish trend early 2018
*Highlighter areas with the pink drawing tool