GBP/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/USD with the target of 1.233 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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Short
EUR/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the EUR/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 1.017 level.
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CADJPY Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CADJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 109.09
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 108.48
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPY Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 607.93
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 596.16
Recommended Stop Loss - 614.42
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCHF: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GBPCHF
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GBPCHF
Entry - 1.1235
Sl - 1.1272
Tp - 1.1167
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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HelenP. I Gold will drop to trend line, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price rebounded from the trend line and started to grow and soon reached support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then it broke this level, made a small movement up, and dropped to the trend line, which broke soon and fell below. But Gold continued to move up below the trend line and soon it broke this line with support 2 one more time, after which made a retest and continued to grow next. Later Gold rose to 2723 points, after which dropped to the trend line and then at once rebounded and rose to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. Then the price broke this level too and some time traded in the support zone, after which turned around and made a correction movement. After this, XAU turned around and made impulse up, breaking support 1 again. Now, in my mind, XAU will fall to the support area and then break the support level. Then it correct move up and then continues to move down to the trend line. So, that's why I set my goal at 2730 points, which coincides with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
27/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $109,555.48
Last weeks low: $99,643.66
Midpoint: $104,599.57
A new Bitcoin ATH as President Trumps second term officially begins! Just shy of $110K with a much tighter range of $10k from range low to high leaves Bitcoin in a very interesting place going into what has been called the first "pro-crypto" administration.
Now the weekly close is an interesting one as there is a clear sell-off that has continued at time of writing bringing the price down below the weekly low. This has been a common theme in recent weeks as either a bearish SFP of the weekly high early in the week resulting in a sell-off for the remaining days. Or the opposite were a sweep of the weekly low early on results in a recover rally for the rest of the week. As of right now the later is in play but what is causing this sell-off this time?
The AI issue:
The recent headlines have been that the US wants to win the AI war and be the dominant force in what is possibly the most important product of the future. OpenAI, Grok, Meta etc all have AI products and services and the US government hope that by backing these companies the US can be the victors of this race. However, the game has changed with the release of "DeepSeek R1" a chinese AI competitor with some remarkable attributes that has the US stock market very worried as reflected in the pre-market.
DeepSeek R1 was reportedly built for $6m, now this is a Chinese company and therefor any numbers should be taken with a pinch of salt but OpenAI has raised $17.9B for ChatGPT and many now see DeepSeek as a superior product in many ways:
- Less GPU intensive due to a more efficient and streamlined model, this is mainly why NVIDIA pre-market is down 11% at time of writing, investors are seeing that perhaps US companies have overblown the demand for GPU's as the product they are making is not optimised in comparison.
- Considerably cheaper due to this streamlined approach, personally this is a symptom of how America has been operating as a nation since the pandemic, a severe lack of efficiency made up for by throwing insane amounts of capital at the problem with no thought as to where the money comes from (printed via QE & tax payer funding). DeepSeek just proved why Trumps planned approach of getting value for money and increasing efficiency is a winning formula, anything else is unsustainable.
- Open source code, we would expect the company called OpenAI that was founded on the basis of transparency and the mission to do good as a non-profit would be the product that has publicly available code, but no that would be DeepSeek... This further compounds just how out of touch the US based AI companies have got, the quest for revenue has taken over as the mission goal, which in the case of AI is very dangerous.
To conclude the AI problem, the Chinese AI product is cheaper, more efficient and more transparent that current US based products and that is why indirectly BTC took a tumble.
On the data news this week FOMC is on Wednesday, the forecast is for interest rates to remain unchanged however the volatility of FOMC often leads to interesting price action, this could be another reason for the sell-off as de-risking takes place.
For this week I am looking at using the chaos to find goo d long entries, I still think that Feb-March looks good until I have reason to think otherwise. Weekly low is a key S/R level that will determine by bias in the short term until then.
TL;DR
- DeepSeek R1 worrying investors of US AI companies as the Chinese AI product is far cheaper, more efficient and more transparent. US stocks down on pre-market.
- FOMC midweek, first of Trump admin, volatility expected.
- Weekly low key S/R level for BTC
XLM - Will XLM Find Strength or Stumble?XLM has been in a downtrend for the past 10 days after rejecting from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance. The price action shows lower highs and lower lows with no significant volume, signaling a potential continuation of the trend. Let’s identify the key support and resistance zones and possible trade setups.
Support Zone
A strong support zone lies between $0.3725 and $0.3695 based on multiple confluences:
Monthly Level: At $0.3725
Anchored VWAP: From the very low, the VWAP aligns with the monthly level
Fibonacci Retracement: Drawing the fib retracement from the year’s low to the recent high, the 0.75 Fibonacci level lies at $0.3695
Resistance Zone
Key Level: Price data highlights $0.435 as a significant S/R zone
Fibonacci Retracement: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the current wave aligns with the key level
Short Trade Setup
Entry: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement/key level at around $0.435
Stop Loss: Above the previous high
Take Profit: Target the support zone at round $0.3725
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4.5
Long Trade Setup (on confirmation)
Entry: Long position between the support zone of $0.3725 and $0.3695
Stop Loss: 3% SL
Take Profit: around 0.39/0.4
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 2 or better
GBPNZD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 2.192.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 2.165 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,770.874.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,759.181 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 86.633 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
SILVER pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 30.468 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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DAX - Bullseye! Next Act: The Decline?Whenever the markets are booming, whenever a gardener starts giving stock recommendations, it’s time to brace yourself…
The German Dax has reached it's Centerline.
It's back in Balance - Or has reached it's extreme, depending on how you look at it.
Whenever this happens, we the Market
a) turns and trades in the opposite direction towards the next LIne. In this case the Lower-Medianline-Parallel.
or
b) trades through it, most of the time comes back to it, and continues in the origianl direction, which in this case would be up.
To me, this is the time to watch the DAX more closely. If you are a follower, you now that I have a Bias - which is not always helpful in my trading.
But yes, I tend to lean to the short side. Specially in these over hyped, over invested times.
So I stalk a short, but in the same time be open for a long after a confirmation on the daily time-frame.
Let's see, let's be patient and don't listen to your gardener... 🌱👨🌾 🌿👩🌾
Crystal clearWe can see a clear double top on XCN this could push down to $0.3455 or a bit lower but it’s also supported by the 200ema.
after that we’re off the the races, I hope you enjoyed this 100% daily gain.
TOSHI, is the best decision to buy when Xcn was topping out hands down.
Good luck and have fun with it.
GBPAUD: Bears Will Push Lower
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the GBPAUD pair which is likely to be pushed down by the bears so we will sell!
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FLOCKUSDT: Can Bulls Hold After a 60% Slide?Introduction :
The cryptocurrency market never rests, and today, all eyes are on FLOCKUSDT, currently trading at $0.1439, down a sharp 60.88% from its all-time high of $0.3679 set just 16 days ago. After bouncing 29.17% from its absolute low of $0.1114 just five days ago, the question looms: is the asset primed for recovery, or are sellers merely taking a breather?
Technical indicators present a mixed narrative. The RSI14 sits at an oversold 29.81, signaling potential upward momentum, but MFI60 at 44.23 suggests a lack of significant inflows. Meanwhile, the MA50 has dipped below the price, currently at $0.1611, posing a looming resistance zone.
Adding to the intrigue, recent candlestick patterns, such as "Sell Volumes Take Over," indicate heightened sell pressure, yet directional cues hint at bullish reversals. With resistance looming at $0.1757 and strong support at $0.1355, the stage is set for a decisive move.
Could this be a pivotal moment for traders to capitalize on a reversal? Or does the market have further downside risk before a meaningful bounce? Either way, this could be the key moment to act, as the opportunity may not wait for long. Stay tuned for the in-depth breakdown.
Roadmap of Recent Patterns: FLOCKUSDT Action Sequence
Sell Volumes Take Over (2025-01-26 11:00 UTC)
The session started with a "Sell Volumes Take Over" pattern, hinting at a Buy direction. This was validated as the price ticked up slightly, opening at $0.1459 and closing at $0.1461, above the low of $0.1432. While movement was minimal, the bulls attempted to reclaim momentum.
Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-26 10:00 UTC)
A bearish setup followed, forecasting a Sell. Price action aligned with this, as it opened at $0.1460, dipped to $0.1453, and closed marginally lower at $0.1459. Bears gained slight traction, confirming the pattern’s effectiveness.
Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-26 04:00 UTC)
The selling spree continued, with another Sell setup. However, the low remained consistent at $0.1481, suggesting consolidation. The lack of strong directional movement hinted at the market waiting for a more decisive trigger.
VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-25 12:00 UTC)
This pattern marked a pivotal point, suggesting a Buy movement. The price closed at $0.164, slightly higher than its open of $0.1651, signaling accumulation and anticipation of a bullish breakout.
VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 3rd (2025-01-23 09:00 UTC)
This powerful Buy pattern forecasted a strong upside. The price soared from $0.2048 to $0.2251 within hours, breaking resistance and confirming the main direction. Bulls dominated, as the predicted movement unfolded with textbook precision.
Sell Volumes Take Over (2025-01-23 05:00 UTC)
Despite a Buy setup forecast, the price trajectory shifted to a retracement phase. Closing at $0.2251, this marked the beginning of consolidation, showing the pattern’s partial alignment.
Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-23 04:00 UTC)
This Sell pattern demonstrated textbook accuracy as the price opened at $0.2246 and fell to $0.2135, confirming bearish pressure.
Increased Buy Volumes (2025-01-23 03:00 UTC)
A Buy direction emerged, and the price shot up from $0.2137 to $0.2246. This movement strongly aligned with the predicted direction, showcasing an excellent opportunity for short-term bulls.
Technical & Price Action Analysis
Support Levels:
0.1355 – A key area for buyers to step in. If it doesn’t hold, expect it to flip into resistance.
0.1257 – The last line of defense before sellers take full control.
Resistance Levels:
0.1757 – A significant ceiling for bulls to conquer; failure here means this level becomes a hard barrier.
0.2525 – Watch closely; breaking this could ignite strong momentum.
0.2829 – A formidable wall for buyers; bears likely waiting to defend.
0.3042 – If bulls reach here, it’s a breakout or bust situation.
Powerful Support Levels:
Currently, no additional zones stand out, but stay alert for any emerging price action signals.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
None observed at the moment, leaving room for price discovery if major resistance levels are breached.
Note:
If these levels fail to hold or break, expect them to act as reversal zones, flipping from support to resistance or vice versa. Use these levels to plan entries and exits, and don’t forget to manage your risk – the market loves to test traders' resolve!
Concept of Rays: Precision in Probabilities
Optimistic and Pessimistic Scenarios
Optimistic Scenario:
If price interacts with the 0.1355 support level, marked by a descending Fibonacci ray, and shows a bullish confirmation, the movement is expected to test the next ray intersecting at the 0.1757 resistance level. This would serve as the first target, with subsequent moves aiming for 0.2525 and 0.2829, correlating with additional ray intersections.
Pessimistic Scenario:
If price fails to hold at 0.1355 and breaches downward, interaction with the next Fibonacci ray near 0.1257 may indicate continuation of the bearish momentum. In this case, price could trend lower, with further ray intersections marking potential interaction zones for reversals or corrections.
How Rays Work in Practice
Fibonacci Rays are dynamic tools that adjust based on emerging patterns, enabling real-time tracking of price movements. When combined with Moving Averages (MA50: 0.1611, MA100: 0.1765), these rays become more predictive by indicating areas of confluence where price momentum is likely to shift.
The key principle is to monitor price interaction with the rays. Once price touches a ray and confirms direction with a dynamic factor (such as candlestick patterns or volume spikes), traders can position for movement toward the next ray or level. Each ray-bound move represents a minimum target, with further levels extending the trade’s profit potential.
Suggested Trades
Long Trade from 0.1355 to 0.1757: Look for bullish interaction at 0.1355 and confirmation through volume analysis (VSA). Target the ray at 0.1757 as the first milestone.
Short Trade from 0.1757 to 0.1355: If price rejects 0.1757 and bearish patterns emerge, this could signal a reversal back to 0.1355.
Long Trade from 0.1757 to 0.2525: A breakout above 0.1757, confirmed by interaction with ascending rays and a crossover of MA50 and MA100, targets 0.2525 as the next ray-defined resistance.
Short Trade from 0.2525 to 0.1757:** Failure to sustain above 0.2525 could lead to a retracement back to 0.1757, presenting a swing opportunity.
Dynamic Levels in Context
These levels are projected on the chart, visible alongside the VSA Rays. The interplay between price, rays, and moving averages provides a high-confidence framework for trading decisions. Remember, position entry is most effective post-interaction with rays and the onset of movement. Trades are managed step-by-step from one ray to the next, ensuring clear targets and minimal risk.
Flexibility in scenarios empowers traders to adapt to market dynamics while aligning with the structured insights provided by Fibonacci Rays.
Trading is all about understanding key levels and making informed decisions, and I’m here to help you navigate that. If you have questions or need clarification, drop them right in the comments—I’ll be glad to respond!
If this idea resonates with you, don’t forget to Boost it and save it for later. Tracking how price reacts to the levels I’ve outlined is one of the best ways to learn and improve your trading strategy.
The rays and levels you see in this analysis are automatically plotted using my custom indicator. It’s available privately, so if you’re interested in using it, feel free to reach out via direct messages—I’ll be happy to share details.
Have another asset in mind? Let me know in the comments! I can create a detailed analysis, either publicly for everyone’s benefit or privately, if you’d prefer to keep your strategy confidential. The rays work on all assets, and I can tailor them specifically to your needs.
Finally, if you find value in my ideas and want to stay updated, make sure to follow me here on TradingView. This is where I publish all my insights, and I’d love for you to be part of the journey.
Trade smart, stay informed, and let’s grow together! 😊
A New Dawn or a False Start? PENGUSDT at Critical LevelsHere’s a captivating Catchy Introduction based on the data provided:
A New Dawn or a False Start? PENGUSDT at Critical Levels
PENGUSDT is teetering on the edge of its absolute low, currently trading at $0.0304, just 1.3% above this pivotal level. After a sharp -96.8% deviation from its all-time high, the asset is poised for either a revival or a deeper dive. The RSI14 rests at 28.7, signaling oversold conditions. Add to this a series of buy-pattern formations like the VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th, and we might just be witnessing the calm before the storm.
With fundamental drivers like macroeconomic uncertainties and bearish momentum waning, the big question looms: is this the perfect bounce-back opportunity or a prelude to another fall? Today marks a key inflection point, and traders must stay sharp to capture potential swings. Are you ready to ride the next wave?
Roadmap: The Untold Story of PENGUSDT's Reversal Patterns
Let’s dive into the fascinating sequence of PENGUSDT’s recent trading journey, dissecting its key patterns and confirming whether the forecasted directions truly hit their mark. Strap in, traders—this is where the past meets the present, offering hints of what might come next.
Step 1: VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th (2025-01-25 03:00 UTC)
Forecasted Direction: Buy
Action: This pattern hinted at a bullish breakout as it formed at $0.03334, with a close at $0.03400.
Confirmation: The subsequent pattern stayed true to the forecast, with prices holding above $0.03361—a testament to the buy signal’s reliability.
Step 2: VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 3rd (2025-01-25 01:00 UTC)
Forecasted Direction: Buy
Action: Prices danced within a narrow range of $0.03322 to $0.03406, affirming a consolidative phase.
Confirmation: True to its bullish call, the market’s next pattern edged higher, confirming traders’ confidence in its upward momentum.
Step 3: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-26 12:00 UTC)
Forecasted Direction: Buy
Action: As expected, prices climbed to $0.03033, rebounding slightly from the critical support near $0.03001.
Confirmation: While modest in its upward trajectory, the pattern aligned with its bullish forecast, signaling renewed strength.
Step 4: Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-24 10:00 UTC)
Forecasted Direction: Sell
Action: A steep decline from $0.04153 to $0.03586 validated the bearish call.
Confirmation: The sharp drop set the stage for subsequent buy signals, making this sell-off a crucial pivot point for trend reversal enthusiasts.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
In the ever-shifting landscape of PENGUSDT, staying ahead means keeping a laser focus on critical support and resistance levels. These price zones are your GPS for navigating trades and pinpointing potential reversals or breakouts. Here’s the cheat sheet:
Support Levels No data for regular support levels was identified. Stay vigilant—missing levels might indicate upcoming volatility.
Resistance Levels 0.05364: The first hurdle on the way up. If breached, it opens the door for further bullish movement. 0.05545: A key checkpoint that could serve as a magnet for price action. 0.07523: Bulls will be eyeing this level as a potential breakout trigger. 0.07865: Strong resistance that could dictate market sentiment. 0.08409: A psychological barrier; breaking this could signal a strong trend reversal.
Powerful Support Levels 0.05504: This level has significant weight—any failure to hold here could lead to a shift in sentiment. 0.4173: A major safety net for longer-term positioning, though far from current price action.
Powerful Resistance Levels No specific data available for powerful resistance, but keep an eye on price reactions near key psychological thresholds.
Key Takeaway : If any of these levels fail to hold their ground, they’re likely to flip into resistance, acting as a ceiling to upward price action. The market never lies, and these price zones are where the real action unfolds.
Stay nimble, traders, and remember—respect the levels, or the market will humble you!
Trading Scenarios: Optimistic and Pessimistic Pathways
Dynamic factors such as Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) reinforce the reliability of these rays, with VSA patterns providing an additional layer of confirmation. Here’s how the scenarios play out:
Optimistic Scenario: Rebound and Bullish Momentum
Key Entry Level: $0.03033 (Actual Price)
Price interacts with the ray near this level, showing signs of bullish activity supported by the MA50 ($0.0331). An upward trajectory could target:
First Target: $0.05364 (Resistance Level 1)
Second Target: $0.05545 (Resistance Level 2)
Third Target: $0.07523 (Higher Resistance)
Confirmation: Look for VSA Buy Patterns aligning with the dynamic ray and MA support to validate the bullish trend.
Pessimistic Scenario: Breakthrough and Bearish Continuation
Key Breakdown Level: $0.03001 (Absolute Low)
If price fails to hold the ray and breaches the absolute low, bearish momentum could dominate. Targets on the downside include:
First Target: $0.029 (hypothetical overshoot below Absolute Low)
Second Target: Reassessment after breakout.
Confirmation: A combination of sell volume spikes and price crossing below MA100 ($0.0433) solidifies the bearish outlook.
Suggested Trades: Practical Applications
Trade 1: Long from $0.03033 → Target $0.05364
Comment: Strong bullish move expected from the ray interaction supported by MA50.
Trade 2: Short from $0.03001 → Target $0.029
Comment: Breach of absolute low signals potential for significant sell-off.
Trade 3: Long Breakout at $0.05364 → Target $0.05545
Comment: Clear confirmation of trend continuation to next ray.
Trade 4: Short Rejection at $0.05364 → Target $0.03033
Comment: Strong resistance at the ray level triggers a bearish reversal.
Key Takeaways
The interaction of price with Fibonacci Rays, Moving Averages, and VSA patterns offers high-probability setups.
Enter positions after interactions with rays and validation by dynamic factors like MAs.
Each ray serves as a roadmap, with price likely traveling from one ray to the next—your first target is just the beginning.
This approach combines the precision of Fibonacci Rays with the adaptability of dynamic market analysis. Plan your trades, respect the rays, and let the market reveal its hand!
Let’s Keep the Conversation Going!
Got questions? Drop them in the comments—I’d love to hear your thoughts and help you navigate these key levels. Your feedback and curiosity keep the trading community thriving, so don’t hold back!
If this analysis resonates with you, don’t forget to Boost and save this idea. Check back later to see how price action unfolds around my marked levels—because the essence of trading is understanding those pivotal points that make or break a trade.
By the way, the rays and levels in this analysis are drawn automatically by my proprietary indicator-strategy. It’s available privately—if you’re interested in accessing it, feel free to send me a message, and I’ll walk you through the details.
Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Let me know in the comments! Some ideas I can share publicly, but if you prefer to keep your strategy private, we can discuss tailored solutions. The rays work across all markets, and I’d be happy to provide a personal markup for any asset you’re trading.
Lastly, if you’d like to see more content like this, make sure to follow me here on TradingView. This is where I share all my insights, strategies, and updates. Let’s build a strong trading community together—one idea at a time! 🚀