10/03/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $93,745.25
Last weeks low: $80,029.90
Midpoint: $86,887.58
Last week in crypto saw the first White House Digital Assets Summit. An event that only as recently as the last bull cycle we could only dream of taking place. In the summit that hosted the biggest names in the space a vow was made by the US Gov never to sell their BTC, to establish stablecoin regulatory clarity and to stockpile various US made altcoins. A historic moment but how did that relate to the chart?
Well BTC dropped 14.6% from weekly high set at the beginning of the week to weekly low set at the end of the week. The most important aspect is how this now looks on the higher time frames, the once strong support level of $91K has now been confirmed as new resistance as BTC tried several times to reclaim it and in the end fell away. This now puts BTC in the FVG area from $91-73K. With no real support until the $73,000 level this is knife catching territory and with the SP:SPX rolling over too I would need a lot more evidence that BTC will turn around before going long with any real size.
This week I anticipate further sell-off, now I would be happy to be proven wrong on that however it does look like we are heading towards FWB:73K where I would like to see buyers stepping up and start to dominate the orderbooks. Structurally that would fill a large inefficiency area with an eye to bounce off support and move back towards currently levels ~ GETTEX:82K as that would be the midpoint of the FVG although that is a few steps in the future.
CPI takes place this week and so volatility may be expected but unless the result is wildly different to the forecast numbers the whipsaw PA should level out fairly neutral.
Invalidation on this idea would be a successful reclaim of $91K which is previous mini range low & 4H 200 EMA resistance.
Short
SHORT ON GBPUSDGBPUSD has reached a key supply area and has given a change of character from up to down on the hour timeframe.
There is plenty imbalance/fvgs to the downside that I expect price to go and fill.
The Dollar Index is currently shifting to up from down, this should aid in this pair falling.
I will be selling GBPUSD to the next demand level for 300 pips.
EURJPY Will Go Down From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 159.715.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 156.155 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SPX500USD Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5,757.1.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5,713.4 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NZD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so NZD-USD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 0.556.
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GBP/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the GBP/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.268.
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DAX - Bullseye! Next Act: The Decline?Whenever the markets are booming, whenever a gardener starts giving stock recommendations, it’s time to brace yourself…
The German Dax has reached it's Centerline.
It's back in Balance - Or has reached it's extreme, depending on how you look at it.
Whenever this happens, we the Market
a) turns and trades in the opposite direction towards the next LIne. In this case the Lower-Medianline-Parallel.
or
b) trades through it, most of the time comes back to it, and continues in the origianl direction, which in this case would be up.
To me, this is the time to watch the DAX more closely. If you are a follower, you now that I have a Bias - which is not always helpful in my trading.
But yes, I tend to lean to the short side. Specially in these over hyped, over invested times.
So I stalk a short, but in the same time be open for a long after a confirmation on the daily time-frame.
Let's see, let's be patient and don't listen to your gardener... 🌱👨🌾 🌿👩🌾
ZINC - Seems it breaks monthly supportThe lanted green support line has a crack.
It's a first indication of a turn in mid-term trend.
Long term Medianline view on ZINC shows that price is battling at the L-MHL. If we get a weekly close and new open below it, it's ripe for a short.
At least I will stalk it on the daily.
PTG1 is the Center-Line.
BTC 12000-19000 ?!!! Possibly yes...If BTC falls below $49,000, we could see a major drop to the $12,000 - $19,000 range! This level is a critical support, and losing it could trigger a cascade of liquidations.
📉 Watch for confirmation and manage your risk accordingly!
💭 What are your thoughts? Bullish or bearish? Let’s discuss!
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Trading #CryptoMarket #Bearish #Bullish
Let me know if you want any tweaks! 🚀
SILVER: Short Trading Opportunity
SILVER
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell SILVER
Entry - 3254.1
Stop - 3289.5
Take - 3186.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.0831 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 1.0926
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.0658
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NATGAS Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NATGAS and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 4.401 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 4.316
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 2919.2
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss -2926.5
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal -2904.2
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD: Short Trade Explained
EURUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURUSD
Entry Point - 1.0833
Stop Loss - 1.0933
Take Profit - 1.0627
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NATGAS: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
NATGAS
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell NATGAS
Entry Level - 4.401
Sl - 4.546
Tp - 4.137
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCAD: Will Start Falling! Here is Why
The recent price action on the USDCAD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 148.026.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 146.677 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPUSD Will Go Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.291.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.271.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURJPY The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURJPY and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 160.16 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 158.40
Safe Stop Loss - 160.90
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDCAD: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current NZDCAD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
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GOLD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GOLD
Entry - 2917.6
Sl - 2925.1
Tp - 2902.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️