USD/CAD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CAD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is evidently rising on the 8H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.435 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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Short
HelenP. I Bitcoin can drop from resistance level to $98K pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago, the price declined to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and started to trades close. A few moments later, BTC rebounded to 100K points, after which made a correction back to the 93500 support level and even fell to the support zone. After this, the price turned around and started to grow to a resistance level. When BTC reached this level, it rebounded, dropped back to the support zone, and even lowered to 91K points. Then the price tried to grow, but failed and declined to the trend line. But soon, the price turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, broke this level, and continued to move up. Bitcoin reached a new ATH and then made a correction back to the resistance area, where it some time traded and a not long time ago reached the trend line, broke it, and dropped below the 102700 level, breaking it too. So, in my mind, BTCUSDT will reach a resistance level and then rebound down. For this case, I set my goal at 98K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTCUSDT Fresh Short Setup: Targeting Key Support Zones with SMC Description:
This trade setup presents a Bitcoin short opportunity on the 4H timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. After a significant reaction from the supply zone, Bitcoin's price structure aligns with bearish confluences, signaling potential downside. Additionally, external events, such as the recent announcement of China's AI application "DeepSeek," may have amplified market volatility, further supporting the setup.
Trade Setup:
Entry:
Between 103,300 and 104,500
Take-Profit Levels (TP):
101,897
99,825
97,565
95,208
Stop Loss (SL):
Above 105,975
Analysis and Confluences:
Market Structure:
Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend on the 4H timeframe, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Supply Zone:
The price is entering the 103.3k–104.5k supply zone, a key resistance area where sellers are expected to dominate.
Fibonacci Confluence:
This zone overlaps with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, a high-probability reversal area.
Liquidity Sweeps:
Liquidity above previous highs has been swept, leaving the path clear for potential downside.
Bearish Targets:
The targets align with previous demand zones and liquidity pools at 101,897, 99,825, 97,565, and 95,208.
Trade Plan:
Confirmation: Wait for bearish price action signals or smaller timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) within the supply zone before entering.
Risk Management: Adjust position size to keep risk within acceptable levels. After reaching TP1, move your stop loss to breakeven and secure partial profits.
Final Note: While bearish bias dominates, unexpected macroeconomic events can cause reversals, so use tight risk management.
GBPCHF My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GBPCHF is below:
The market is trading on 1.1256 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 1.1198
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.1288
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURAUD: Short Signal Explained
EURAUD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short EURAUD
Entry Point - 1.6699
Stop Loss - 1.6732
Take Profit - 1.6632
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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DXY Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 107.947.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 106.747 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBP/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the GBP/USD with the target of 1.233 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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EUR/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the EUR/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 1.017 level.
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CADJPY Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for CADJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 109.09
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 108.48
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPY Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for SPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 607.93
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 596.16
Recommended Stop Loss - 614.42
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCHF: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GBPCHF
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short GBPCHF
Entry - 1.1235
Sl - 1.1272
Tp - 1.1167
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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HelenP. I Gold will drop to trend line, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price rebounded from the trend line and started to grow and soon reached support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then it broke this level, made a small movement up, and dropped to the trend line, which broke soon and fell below. But Gold continued to move up below the trend line and soon it broke this line with support 2 one more time, after which made a retest and continued to grow next. Later Gold rose to 2723 points, after which dropped to the trend line and then at once rebounded and rose to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. Then the price broke this level too and some time traded in the support zone, after which turned around and made a correction movement. After this, XAU turned around and made impulse up, breaking support 1 again. Now, in my mind, XAU will fall to the support area and then break the support level. Then it correct move up and then continues to move down to the trend line. So, that's why I set my goal at 2730 points, which coincides with this line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
27/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $109,555.48
Last weeks low: $99,643.66
Midpoint: $104,599.57
A new Bitcoin ATH as President Trumps second term officially begins! Just shy of $110K with a much tighter range of $10k from range low to high leaves Bitcoin in a very interesting place going into what has been called the first "pro-crypto" administration.
Now the weekly close is an interesting one as there is a clear sell-off that has continued at time of writing bringing the price down below the weekly low. This has been a common theme in recent weeks as either a bearish SFP of the weekly high early in the week resulting in a sell-off for the remaining days. Or the opposite were a sweep of the weekly low early on results in a recover rally for the rest of the week. As of right now the later is in play but what is causing this sell-off this time?
The AI issue:
The recent headlines have been that the US wants to win the AI war and be the dominant force in what is possibly the most important product of the future. OpenAI, Grok, Meta etc all have AI products and services and the US government hope that by backing these companies the US can be the victors of this race. However, the game has changed with the release of "DeepSeek R1" a chinese AI competitor with some remarkable attributes that has the US stock market very worried as reflected in the pre-market.
DeepSeek R1 was reportedly built for $6m, now this is a Chinese company and therefor any numbers should be taken with a pinch of salt but OpenAI has raised $17.9B for ChatGPT and many now see DeepSeek as a superior product in many ways:
- Less GPU intensive due to a more efficient and streamlined model, this is mainly why NVIDIA pre-market is down 11% at time of writing, investors are seeing that perhaps US companies have overblown the demand for GPU's as the product they are making is not optimised in comparison.
- Considerably cheaper due to this streamlined approach, personally this is a symptom of how America has been operating as a nation since the pandemic, a severe lack of efficiency made up for by throwing insane amounts of capital at the problem with no thought as to where the money comes from (printed via QE & tax payer funding). DeepSeek just proved why Trumps planned approach of getting value for money and increasing efficiency is a winning formula, anything else is unsustainable.
- Open source code, we would expect the company called OpenAI that was founded on the basis of transparency and the mission to do good as a non-profit would be the product that has publicly available code, but no that would be DeepSeek... This further compounds just how out of touch the US based AI companies have got, the quest for revenue has taken over as the mission goal, which in the case of AI is very dangerous.
To conclude the AI problem, the Chinese AI product is cheaper, more efficient and more transparent that current US based products and that is why indirectly BTC took a tumble.
On the data news this week FOMC is on Wednesday, the forecast is for interest rates to remain unchanged however the volatility of FOMC often leads to interesting price action, this could be another reason for the sell-off as de-risking takes place.
For this week I am looking at using the chaos to find goo d long entries, I still think that Feb-March looks good until I have reason to think otherwise. Weekly low is a key S/R level that will determine by bias in the short term until then.
TL;DR
- DeepSeek R1 worrying investors of US AI companies as the Chinese AI product is far cheaper, more efficient and more transparent. US stocks down on pre-market.
- FOMC midweek, first of Trump admin, volatility expected.
- Weekly low key S/R level for BTC
XLM - Will XLM Find Strength or Stumble?XLM has been in a downtrend for the past 10 days after rejecting from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance. The price action shows lower highs and lower lows with no significant volume, signaling a potential continuation of the trend. Let’s identify the key support and resistance zones and possible trade setups.
Support Zone
A strong support zone lies between $0.3725 and $0.3695 based on multiple confluences:
Monthly Level: At $0.3725
Anchored VWAP: From the very low, the VWAP aligns with the monthly level
Fibonacci Retracement: Drawing the fib retracement from the year’s low to the recent high, the 0.75 Fibonacci level lies at $0.3695
Resistance Zone
Key Level: Price data highlights $0.435 as a significant S/R zone
Fibonacci Retracement: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the current wave aligns with the key level
Short Trade Setup
Entry: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement/key level at around $0.435
Stop Loss: Above the previous high
Take Profit: Target the support zone at round $0.3725
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4.5
Long Trade Setup (on confirmation)
Entry: Long position between the support zone of $0.3725 and $0.3695
Stop Loss: 3% SL
Take Profit: around 0.39/0.4
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 2 or better
GBPNZD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 2.192.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 2.165 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,770.874.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,759.181 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 86.633 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
SILVER pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 30.468 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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