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Shortaudusd

AUD/USD Trend Today - Bearish?🔔🔔🔔 AUD/USD news: 👉The AUD/USD pair is under significant selling pressure as weak Australian employment data fuels expectations of a dovish stance from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). 👉Australia’s labor force contracts in February, while the unemployment rate remains steady at 4.1%. Meanwhile, both the Federal Reserve and the People's Bank of China (PBoC) kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday and Thursday. The PBoC maintains its accommodative stance as Beijing aims to boost domestic consumption and revive the property sector. The Australian dollar has benefited from China's fiscal stimulus efforts, given Australia's heavy reliance on exports to China. 👉The US Dollar Index (DXY) edged higher above 104.00 as market volatility eased following the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. The Fed kept interest rates unchanged in the 4.25%-4.50% range for the second straight time, as expected, and reaffirmed its forecast for two rate cuts this year. 👉Additionally, initial jobless claims for the week ending March 14 came in at 223,000, roughly in line with estimates and previous reports. Personal analysis: 👉AUD/USD will maintain its downtrend in the coming time due to weak AUD data, consider technical zones for good profits 👉Technically, RSI (1H) is having a recovery phase after entering the oversold zone, watch for strong resistance zones to Sell. 👉Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell AUD/USD 0.6320- 0.6330 ❌SL: 0.6355 | ✅TP: 0.6280 – 0.6250 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
NZD/USD Trend Today - Bearish?🔔🔔🔔 NZD/USD news: 👉New Zealand’s economy rebounded more strongly than expected. Real GDP grew by 0.7% quarter-over-quarter in Q4 (consensus: 0.4%, RBNZ forecast: 0.3%) following a -1.1% decline over the previous two quarters. Increased spending by international visitors boosted growth in tourism-related sectors such as rental, hiring, and real estate services, as well as retail and accommodation. 👉However, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has signaled an additional 75 basis points of easing over the next 12 months, which will bring the policy rate down to a low of 3.00%. This news has weighed on the NZD/USD pair, leading to underperformance amid risk-averse sentiment in the foreign exchange market. Personal analysis: 👉NZD/USD will continue to decline due to previous news, consider technical zones for good profit 👉Technically, RSI(1H) is entering the overbought zone and has a technical recovery phase to prepare for the next decline, watch for strong resistance zones to Sell. 👉Analysis based on resistance - support levels and pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell NZD/USD 0.5775- 0.5780 ❌SL: 0.5810 | ✅TP: 0.5735 – 0.5690 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
AUD/USD Upcoming Trend – Bearish🔔🔔 AUD/USD news: 👉The AUD/USD pair experienced a sharp decline to around 0.6280 during North American trading hours on Thursday. The Australian Dollar faced significant selling pressure as the US Dollar strengthened amid a cautious market atmosphere. Investors shifted towards safe-haven assets due to concerns that US President Donald Trump’s "America First" policies could lead to a global economic slowdown. 👉The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, surged to nearly 104.00, rebounding from a four-month low of 103.20 recorded on Tuesday. 👉 Meanwhile, weak market sentiment has reduced the appeal of the Australian Dollar. The outlook for the Aussie remains uncertain, particularly after the US imposed 20% tariffs on China. Given Australia’s heavy reliance on exports to China, the AUD often reflects the state of the Chinese economy. Personal opinion: 👉In the current risky environment, AUD is not a good choice for investors, so AUD/USD will decrease in the near future Analysis 👉Technically, RSI (1H) is still in the sell zone. The 3 SMA lines are showing signs of converging at 1 point, signaling a strong momentum is about to happen. The price has broken down from the trend line. All of this leads to the possibility that the price will decrease in the near future 🔆 Resistance level: 0.6330 0.6355 🔆 Support level: 0.6284 0.6200 Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell AUD/USD 0.6290 – 0.6300 ❌SL: 0.6340 | ✅TP: 0.6250 – 0.6205 – 0.6160 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
AUD/USD Trend Today - Continue to Fall?🔔🔔🔔AUD/USD news: 👉Trade continues to play a significant role in currency markets, with risk-sensitive currencies like the Australian Dollar under pressure as tariff disputes escalate. The White House maintains a 10% tariff on Chinese goods, which could negatively affect the Australian economy, given that China is its largest export partner. A slowdown in Chinese demand may weaken Australian commodity exports, putting downward pressure on the AUD. 👉Domestically, an anticipated rise in Australian Retail Sales may provide some support for the currency. Consumer spending, as reflected in Retail Sales data, increased by 0.3% in January after a 0.1% decline in December. 👉Meanwhile, the US Dollar is facing headwinds as market expectations grow that the Federal Reserve may restart its monetary easing cycle in June. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability of a Fed rate cut in June has risen to 87%, up from 69% a week ago. Personal opinion: 👉Tariff policies remain the main influence that could cause the AUD to underperform the USD. 👉However, the US 10-year bond yield fell and the DXY fell for the second consecutive day, which could cause the AUD/USD to recover slightly. But overall, the downtrend is still maintained in the short term. Analysis: 👉SBased on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and SMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell AUD/USD 0.6230 - 0.6240 ❌SL: 0.6275 | ✅TP: 0.6190 - 0.6150 -0.6110 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
3
AUD/USDd trend at the beginning of the weekAUD/USD news: 🔆The Australian dollar climbed to 0.6370 on Monday following China’s release of its 2025 annual policy statement on Sunday. The statement outlined plans to advance rural reforms and drive comprehensive rural revitalization, boosting optimism about China’s economic outlook. Given China’s significance as Australia’s key trading partner, these stimulus measures could further support the AUD. 🔆Additionally, the AUD/USD pair gained traction as US President Donald Trump signaled potential progress in trade talks with China, easing concerns over tariffs. Investors will remain attentive to any new tariff-related updates from Trump. 🔆Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 4.10%, marking its first rate reduction in four years. RBA Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged the burden of high interest rates but warned that inflation was still a concern. She highlighted the resilience of the labor market and clarified that future rate cuts are not guaranteed, despite market expectations. 🔆The Australian dollar continued to strengthen as the US dollar weakened, following disappointing US economic data. Personal opinion: 🔆AUD will increase in the short term after considering the recent good news, but then there will be a technical adjustment at the 0.6420 area. Technical analysis: 🔆Based on important support - resistance levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell AUDUSD 0.6420 – 0.6435 ❌SL: 0.6480 | ✅TP: 0.6390 – 0.6350 – 0.6300 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
AUD/USD Trend This Week – Retest and Continue Falling?AUD/USD news: 🔆Investors view President Trump’s $4.5 trillion tax cut bill as supportive of economic growth and likely to drive inflation higher. This expectation could prompt Federal Reserve (Fed) officials to keep monetary policy restrictive for an extended period, strengthening the US dollar. 🔆At the same time, the Australian Dollar (AUD) has lagged behind its peers due to weaker-than-expected growth in Australia’s Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January. The CPI increased by 2.5% year-over-year, slightly below the forecast of 2.6% but maintaining the same pace as in December. 🔆Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) reaffirmed that inflation remains a concern after cutting interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.1%. 🔆Looking ahead, concerns over Trump’s tariff policies could keep pressure on the Aussie Dollar. So far, Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and has threatened a 100% levy on BRICS nations if they attempt to challenge the US dollar’s dominance. Personal opinion: 🔆Due to the impact of the news, the AUD is a risk-sensitive currency to the USD market and there is no positive sign from the Australian central bank (RBA), so the AUD/USD pair will still maintain a downtrend in the short term Analysis: 🔆Based on the trend line and important Fibonacci levels combined with fundamental news to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy AUD/USD 0.6320 - 0.6330 ❌SL: 0.6365 | ✅TP: 0.6280 – 0.6250 – 0.6200 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
SHORT AUDUSDI'm looking for further movement to the downside on AUDUSD, targeting a price level of 0.59784. Price has been bearish since October of last year. There is still a key level residing below 0.59815 that would be of interest to seek out if downside momentum continues. Volume has been decreasing as price started its retracement from 0.61311, price traded back into a fair value gap and proceeded to close below it. I'm currently in a short position, this is a swing trade. Patience is all is takes, let's see if price continues to trend bearish. Let me know your thoughts if it differs from my perspective.
Short
by CollectCap
1
SHORT AUDUSDKeeping in line with the current bear trend, I would anticipate price looking to reach for levels below 0.62672. Currently short in profit at 42 pips, total target would be for 150. Although we've been ranging for the past two weeks, price has slowly but steadily been shifting downwards. A key area of interest was taken out when we crossed below 0.63500, no real bullish pressure resulted after reaching below that level. Take note that bullish volume strength has been significantly lower compared to the bearish levels. My take is this market is going to keep trending downwards a bit more. Let's see what the next couple of weeks has in store!
Short
by CollectCap
2
why audusd remains bearish? reasons behind it.The way I see audusd is bearish trend? Why? Yesterday it broke below MA 50 with huge moment, which it was bearish engulfing candle (blue circle). Second reason is macd cross downward and the current value is below 0 (yellow circle). 3rd reason is the future cloud just started into bearish. Senkou a is pointing lower and it is below senkou b (red circle). My personal target is the area with the blue color rectangle. Trade well and wisely
Short
by HendyHalim
AUDUSD bout to go down underA couple of key factors here need to come into play, inflation figures need to come back worse than expected in July, followed by the fed becoming more hawkish with their monetary policy. Australia will follow suit and hit that cash rate target of 3-4%. Cost of living isn't taking a reprieve and the mining industry isn't saving the australian economy atm. If we see a reversal of QT from the fed we could see a bounce in risk on markets. But for now the USD looks to reign supreme. Shorting the bear flag to 0.6780 with a breakdown in the support we could see a bearish continuation to 0.6100! Things are getting spicy and you're kidding yourself if you think the markets seen the last of volatility. NFA DYOR
Short
by jakec90
AUDUSD Update, Bias remains short Hi Traders, Here is a quick update on AUDUSD. Price has taken a few days to move but eventually made the move down and I was able to secure 100pips with a small position still running. Looking at price now I see potential for price to retest the broken support and then once again hit a new low, I would like to see the h4 candle close below the resistance in order for my bias to remain short. The target remains the same at 0.68500. Previous analysis in the link. Happy trading Renaldo Philander
Short
by Tradebudz
AUDUSD Analysis Monthly/Weekly -Price is clearly in an overall bullish trend. But price appears to have become overextended, after a huge breakout (through the trend line) and has since been consolidating preparing to make a possible pullback/retracement. Daily Price has formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) formation which is a sign of bearish pressure or a possible move to the downside. Remember on the higher timeframe, price has been consolidating, the H&S formation on the daily is a confirmation that price is ready to drop. I am expecting price to make one more attempt to the upside before making the bearish move to the downside. If you draw a Fibonacci from the beginning of the right shoulder to the blue support level where price reversed, you will notice that I am expecting price to make a final push near the 50.0-61.8 fib levels, which correlates with the area arrows I drew. Here is where I'm expecting to enter a sell position.
Short
by NoCeilingsTrading
1