SHORT AUDUSDKeeping in line with the current bear trend, I would anticipate price looking to reach for levels below 0.62672. Currently short in profit at 42 pips, total target would be for 150. Although we've been ranging for the past two weeks, price has slowly but steadily been shifting downwards. A key area of interest was taken out when we crossed below 0.63500, no real bullish pressure resulted after reaching below that level. Take note that bullish volume strength has been significantly lower compared to the bearish levels. My take is this market is going to keep trending downwards a bit more. Let's see what the next couple of weeks has in store!
Shortposition
How Short Sales Indicate Buying ActivityA Beginner-Friendly Guide to How Short Sales Indicate Buying Activity
█ What is a Short Sale?
A short sale is when someone sells a stock they don't actually own, usually because they believe the price will drop. They borrow the stock, sell it at the current price, and hope to buy it back later at a lower price to return to the lender.
However, not all short sales are for speculation! In fact, about half of all trades in the market are short sales, which seems strange unless we look deeper.
QUICK SUMMARY
🧐 What is a Short Sale?
A short sale is when someone sells a stock they don't own, hoping to buy it back later at a lower price.
Normally, people think short sales mean traders are betting that the stock will go down. But there's more to the story!
💡 Why Are Short Sales Important for Understanding Buying?
About half of all trades in the market are short sales! This means there's something deeper going on.
Market-makers (people who help match buyers and sellers) play a big role here.
👥 What Do Market-Makers Do?
They offer to sell a stock at a slightly higher price and buy at a slightly lower price.
When someone buys a stock from a market-maker, the market-maker short-sells the stock (because they don't own it yet).
✅ This means:
When you see a short sale, it's often because someone is buying from a market-maker. Therefore, short volume (total short sales) is a good indicator of buying activity!
█ Why Short Sales Reflect Buying Activity
Market-makers (MMs) play a crucial role in ensuring there are always buyers and sellers available in the market. Here's how they do it:
⚪ Market-Maker Role:
MMs quote both a buy price (bid) and a sell price (offer) for stocks. For example, they may offer to:
Buy at $19.95 (bid)
Sell at $20.00 (offer)
⚪ Short Sales in Practice:
When an MM offers to sell at $20.00, they often don't own the stock; they are "shorting" it to facilitate the sale. This means:
If an investor buys the stock at $20.00, the MM's sale is reported as a short sale.
If an investor sells the stock to the MM at $19.95, it is reported as a regular (long) sale.
Therefore:
Short sales = Investors buying the stock
Long sales = Investors selling the stock
█ Why This Matters
Since MMs are involved in most trades, short sales can be used as an indicator of buying activity. The more short sales there are, the more buying activity is happening in the market.
⚪ Dark Pools and Short Sales Data
Dark pools are private trading venues where large investors can trade without showing their orders publicly. These venues still have MMs who facilitate trades. Even though trades happen "in the dark," the MM behavior (shorting to sell) still applies.
FINRA collects and publishes data on short sales in dark pools. This data can help us see the relationship between short sales and stock price movements.
⚪ Testing the Idea
When researchers tested this idea, they found:
Higher Short Volume = Higher Stock Prices:
On days when short sales were above 50% of the total volume, the average stock price increased during the day.
When short sales were below 50%, the average stock price decreased.
The Trend is Clear:
When short sales make up a significant part of the market activity, it indicates strong buying interest.
█ The Findings
When short volume is high (above 35%), stocks tend to go up during the day.
When short volume is low (below 35%), stocks are more likely to go down.
Example:
If short volume = 50% → Expect higher buying activity and potential stock gains.
If short volume = 20% → Expect lower buying activity and potential stock declines.
🚀 Practical Tips for Traders
Investors can use short sale data from dark pools to:
Identify potential buying opportunities.
Understand market sentiment (whether people are more likely to buy or sell).
Anticipate short-term stock price movements based on the level of short sales.
Watch short volume data: High short volume can signal strong buying interest.
Use FINRA data: You can find free short sale data on FINRA's website to track these trends.
Be curious: This data isn't widely used yet, so understanding it can give you an edge!
█ Summary
⚪ Short sales are often a sign that investors are buying stocks.
⚪ Dark pool data offers valuable insights into market trends.
⚪ Monitoring short sale volume can help predict intraday stock gains and understand market behavior.
-----------------
Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
DYDX Two Side Trade / Deadpool is angry:-*BINANCE:DYDXUSDT
BITSTAMP:DYDXUSD
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
Road-Map: If the price stabilizes below the 2.35 level, dydx can reach near 2$ area,
In chart, I set two positions, one is active and it's short and next one is long.
⚡️TP - Short Setup
2.15
1.94
🔴SL:
2.52
⚡️TP - Long Setup
2.07
2.27
🔴SL:
1.69
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Short Signal on EDUUSDT / Making profit even in Bleeding MarketBINANCE:EDUUSDT
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(For beginners, I suggest low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.6725
0.6375
0.5955
🔴SL:
0.7923
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
UMAUSDT Short Setup / Futures TradeBINANCE:UMAUSDT
COINBASE:UMAUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(For beginners, I suggest low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
3.66
3.53
3.41
3.29
3.13
🔴SL:
4.195
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
CAD/JPY Analysis – Potential Bearish SetupThe CAD/JPY pair is showing signs of bearish momentum within a descending channel on the 1H timeframe. The recent price action indicates potential for further downside, supported by technical confirmations:
Descending Channel: The price is respecting the boundaries of a well-defined bearish channel, suggesting continued downward momentum.
Weak Low Formation: The pair has formed a weak low at 106.229, potentially signaling the market's intention to grab liquidity below this level.
Bearish Order Block: A supply zone near 107.150 is acting as strong resistance, aligned with the channel's upper boundary.
Break of Structure (BOS) and ChoCH: Multiple BOS and ChoCH patterns indicate a bearish shift in market structure, adding confidence to the downside bias.
RSI Confirmation: The RSI shows bearish divergence, further supporting the bearish outlook.
🔑 Plan:
Entry Zone: Around 106.250 (near the weak low).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 105.502
TP2: 104.675
Stop Loss: Above the 107.150 resistance level to limit risk.
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for traders looking to capitalize on CAD/JPY's bearish momentum. As always, risk management is key—trade responsibly and monitor for any unexpected market shifts.
EURCAD: Bearish Momentum in PlayHello Traders,
Trust trading has been awesome for you.
Please find below my analysis of the EURCAD currency pair from H4 perspective.
Trend & Sentiment
The pair remains bearish, forming lower highs and lows. Sellers maintain control, though the current consolidation suggests temporary indecision, even though price is facing resistance around the 1.48591.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.48591
Support: 1.47211
Possible Movement
A break below the equilibrium at 1.47993 could accelerate bearish momentum toward 1.47211 and 1.45831. A short-term pullback to the resistance at 1.48591 is possible (as we saw the buyers temporarily pushed above this region and closed back below it) but likely to face renewed selling pressure.
Short-Term Target: 1.47800
Medium-Term Target: 1.47211
Long-Term Target: 1.45831.
This trade may last from now till 22nd November or beyond to fully unfold.
Conclusion
The bias remains bearish, with a focus on the downside targets unless the price breaks above 1.48898 to challenge the trend.
Cheers and happy trading!
What are your thoughts on what's to come for SPX500?I think we're in for a sell to the previous structure high. Obviously a "Counter trend entry" to ride until we return bullish. Just my Thoughts.....What's your opinion?
Thesis: Bearish Bias break and retest (however either play is at hand). Wait for a break and retest
Notes: Every Bull run has had a correction to the previous structure high. Following that trend.
A Retest would be a 50% prz. for the recent move
and right around 23.6% prz for the entire move.
Daily: Bullish, Trading in a minor consolidation for the past few days.
-Reversal pattern with Doji (Loss of momentum) & Bearish Hammer.
-Con: Seller Exhaustion wicks under support
H4: Bullish ( **Hidden Bearish Divergence @ Minor resistance lvl) look for possible sell off
H1: Bullish
EUR/USD short on weekly chart
Stop Loss = 1.14925
Entry Order = 1.10425
TP1 = 1.05925
Two positions with the same stop loss and x1 target for the first position
The stop loss of the second position to breakeven when the first position hits the target1.
The second position has no target, only exit
Risk= 2% of account capital (1% each position)
AUD/CAD Sell Strategy: Testing Resistance with Downside Targe
Trade Setup: AUD/CAD is currently selling at 0.9266, targeting 0.8939.
Key Resistance Level: The 0.9270 level acts as resistance, aligning with a significant Fibonacci retracement.
Recent High & Low:
High: Recent high around 0.9380.
Low: Current low near 0.9102.
Technical Signals:
Resistance at 0.9270 marks a potential reversal zone, reflecting selling pressure.
Bearish momentum is expected toward 0.8939, which is contingent on sustained downward movement.
Market Context: Recent highs and lows frame a broad trading range, with Fibonacci levels adding technical validity to sell-side positions near resistance
Alikze »» CKB | Corrective wave AB=CD pattern🔍 Technical analysis: Corrective wave AB=CD pattern
- In the weekly time frame, after filling the FVG gap, it has faced demand.
- After filling the gap of FVG, this rising wave had a growth of more than 200%, which has again faced selling pressure in the supply area.
- Currently, according to the bearish guard, in case of inability and stabilization above the 0.012200 area, the corrective structure will extend to the PRZ-3 area.
💎 But if it encounters demand again in the first high potential area where there is a FVG gap, it can retest the supply area.
💎In addition, if there is a demand in the PRZ-2 area, it can be extended to the PRZ-3 area with the pullback to PRZ-1.
💎Therefore, one should wait for the demand and return wave in areas with high return potential.
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BINANCE:CKBUSDT
Alikze »» FTM | Triple Top - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Triple Top - 4H
- In the analysis presented in the weekly time frame , after the formation of a reversal top pattern, the first target and the 1.272 Fibo area were touched. After that, it faced a selling pressure in the Fibo area of 1.272.
- Further on in the daily analysis , it was pointed out that due to the selling pressure in the middle of the ascending channel, it can face the demand again with the pullback to the broken structure and the Buyer Zone, otherwise, with the continuation of the selling pressure, it can reach the bottom of the ascending channel. also touch
- But in the 4-hour time frame, due to a triple top pattern in the Fibo range of 1.272, it faced selling pressure and has led to the continuation of the correction to the bottom of the ascending channel in the 4-hour time frame.
- According to the behavior and structure, it can make a modification to the Order Block area with pullback to the red box area.
💎 In addition, in case of selling pressure, correction can continue up to the 0.3906 area, and in case of demand, it can increase to the 0.62 area.
💎 In addition, if it can break the red box area, it can retest the middle range of the channel and Fibo 1.272.
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BINANCE:FTMUSDT
Alikze »» BTC | Ascending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Selling pressure at the ceiling of the ascending channel and the supply area
According to the analysis presented in the 8-hour time frame, Bitcoin is moving in an upward channel.
- In the predicted movement path of the previous post, after a temporary correction to the green box range, Bitcoin managed to continue its growth to the ceiling of the ascending channel and the supply area.
- At present, sales pressure has been faced in the area of the channel roof and the supply area.
💎Therefore, it can have a correction to the green box area with a pullback to the supply area or the middle of the second ascending channel.
💹 The support and demand area ranges from $64,062 to $65,625.
⚠️In addition, if it can break the supply zone, it can retest the previous major ceiling.⚠️
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MEXC:BTCUSDT
XAU! 11/1 ! Gold price adjustment - NF newsXAU / USD trend forecast November1, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) regains some ground on Friday, supported by US election uncertainties and Middle East tensions, which boost demand for the safe-haven asset. However, rising US Treasury yields and a stronger US Dollar may limit gains. Traders now await the US October employment report, with key data on Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings. A strong report could reduce expectations for Fed rate cuts, potentially weighing on gold.
Gold price adjusted down - market reduced FOMO. Waiting for NF news to officially return to the price range of 2700 - 2720
/// SELL XAU : zone 2769-2772
SL: 2777
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2742)
Safe and profitable trading
Solana Short Setup even in a Bull-run / Risky but we are tradersBINANCE:SOLUSDT
COINBASE:SOLUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
172.35
169.89
167.72
164.76
🔴SL:
182.02
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilize against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Key Bitcoin Price Levels and Dominance Analysis for Long and ShoIn my view, if I don't consider the potential breakdown of the 68,170 price level as a fakeout, we shouldn't dip below it. However, if the price breaks below, I would regard it as a false breakout and look to open a short position with a break of 67,594.47, provided that Bitcoin dominance also declines. If, during the breakdown, Bitcoin dominance remains bullish (green), shorting altcoins would be a better option.
On the other hand, if the 68,170 level doesn't turn out to be a fakeout, altcoins could offer solid long positions, especially if Bitcoin moves sideways or upward and Bitcoin dominance decreases. Otherwise, Bitcoin itself might present a better long opportunity.
In conclusion, monitoring the interplay between price levels and Bitcoin dominance will be key to determining the best positions, whether in Bitcoin or altcoins.
Title: Key Support Levels for Short and Long Positions: CriticalIt seems we have experienced enough upward momentum, and now, with the support level at 66,842, a short position can be considered. However, since this position goes against the main trend, it’s crucial to set a tight stop-loss to manage risk and ensure an early exit with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The next support level for this strategy could be 65,359.8.
On the other hand, if you're planning to open a long position, you might consider entering at 67,898.7, but be cautious with the stop-loss placement. A wider stop-loss would be advisable, possibly below 66,687.4, to allow room for market fluctuations.
Sideway - little volatility on the first Monday of the week⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues its decline for the fourth straight day, trading near $2,650 during early Monday’s Asian session. The stronger US Dollar, following Friday's upbeat Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, is putting downward pressure on gold.
The US added 254,000 jobs in September, exceeding August’s revised 159,000 and the market expectation of 140,000. The Unemployment Rate fell to 4.1% from 4.2%. These positive US data reduce hopes of deeper interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, boosting the USD and weighing on gold, which is priced in dollars.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
There is not too much information and important economic news, sideway gold price on Monday at the beginning of the week: 2625 - 2660
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2628 - $2630 SL $2623
TP1: $2638
TP2: $2644
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2670 - $2672 SL $2677
TP1: $2660
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2640
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest