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Shortput

Opening (IRA): BITO April 19th 26 Short Put... for a 1.23 credit. Comments: Adding to my covered call position (See Post Below) on weakness, converting the covered call into a covered strangle (i.e., short put + stock + short call). I went with April, since May appeared to be shit illiquid at where I'd want to pitch my tent. I'm fine with being assigned additional stock here at the 26 strike, since my cost basis in my shares is currently 27.54, with the cost basis in any shares assigned via the 26 at 24.77, although my preference would be just to take profit on the covered call aspect at 50% max and the short put at 50% max and move on. Naturally, if I also manage to grab the April dividend, that would be additionally bueno. As a standalone trade: Break Even/Buying Power Effect/Cost Basis in Any Assigned Shares: 24.77 Max Profit: 1.23 ($123) ROC at Max: 4.97% ROC at 50% Max: 2.48%
AMEX:BITOLong
by NaughtyPines
AMD is no NVDA don't fall into the hype! AMD vs. NVDA: When looking at these two stocks it's clear that NVDA is the clear winner and will maintain its pricing power over alternatives. NVDA's Gross margin (75.97%) is +35.57% that of AMD (40.4%). Although AMD has a low price to sales ratio this is likely due to them having a "Walmart sales model". High volume, low margin. This is illustrated further when looking at both companies price to cash flow ratio. Despite recent surges in NVDA stock price this has been trending lower for NVDA and higher for AMD. Most recent price to cash flow ratios: NVDA (54.1) and AMD (188.14). This helps visualize how much investors are paying for each company to generate cash flow. I don't know about you but I am not willing to get in at these levels and although it is very risky I'm tempted to buy some puts against AMD. Yes they have excellent management and a large economic moat, it does not compare to that of NVDA and it should not be benefiting as greatly as it has recently by NVDA's recent performance. AMD is now approaching the top of a channel that has been strong resistance for higher moves. It seems like everyone in the market is un NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AMD der the impression nothing ever falls. Although it would be bold and extremely risky to buy puts on any AI stock I believe it to be the correct one. Curious to hear others opinions. AMD: www.tradingview.com NVDA: www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by Average_Joe_Options
TLT Core Position (IRA)In the absence of some kind of face-ripping rally, I'm going to be assigned shares in TLT here shortly, starting with what began as an October 20th 93 short put and an October 20th 89 short put. Here, I'm using short puts as an acquisitional tool, attempting to acquire shares in multi-year weakness, after which I'll proceed to cover the shares with short calls. The short call premium, along with TLT's monthly dividend, will result in positive cash flow. There are a couple of different approaches I could utilize here to manage the shares I'm assigned, one of which is to sell a call against each individual lot I'm assigned, laddering out short calls in time as I'm assigned shares. Since I've got quite a few contracts subject to assignment, this would result in sort of a covered call spaghetti-works. Another simpler approach would be to see what the average cost basis of all the lots I'm assigned is, and then proceed to sell calls at or above that average cost basis in a single expiry. For example, the average cost basis of the two rungs shown here is (89 + 93)/2 or 91/share. With that cost basis in mind, I would proceed to sell two calls at or above the 91 strike at a reasonably delta'd strike in an expiry that's paying. Given the distance price has pulled away from my likely average cost basis, the calls are likely to be somewhat long dated. Given the fact that my highest short put strike is at 94, I'm more likely to sell calls at 94 initially, wait to be assigned everything that I'm going to get assigned, look at the average cost basis at that point and then adjust the short calls accordingly. Because of its simplicity, this is the approach I'll be going with, looking to stay in the shares and manage the entire position on a fairly long-term basis. As usual, we'll see how it goes ... .
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): IWM April 19th 165 Short Put... for a 2.10 credit. Comments: Starting to erect rungs in the second quarter (April, May, June). QQQ doesn't have an April yet, and I already have a SPY rung on out in that contract, so just doing the small caps here. Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit. I'll naturally look to add in shorter duration should we get a bump in IV, but may have to dabble outside the broad market (IWM, QQQ, SPY) box to get paid something decent in shorter duration.
AMEX:IWMLong
by NaughtyPines