$VRT Head and Shoulders Failure Signal Note: I am LONG NYSE:VRT
A Head and Shoulders failure pattern occurs when prices break below the neckline, suggesting a potential reversal to an up-trend; however, the move lower does not gain traction. Instead, prices drift higher until trading above the previously defined Right Shoulder high.
My long entry triggers when price > right shoulder high, which invalidates the bearish setup, and signals a continuation of the up-trend as trapped short sellers are forced to cover. Often times, this amplifies the momentum in the move higher.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Opinions are not positions, and vice versa.
Shortsellers
SPCE ? Consolidation ? Short Squeeze ?SPCE is at a line in the sand of the chaos of the market.
On the 4H chart, price has bottomed and might be making a reversal pivot
as supported by a rising line segment on the RSI out of the oversold zone.
The though of a reversal is also supported by price crossing over the POC
line of the volume profile. Price above the POC line shows buyers are dominating
although some of the buyers are buying to cover shorts. Below the POC line,
sellers are dominating. If SPCE can get a trajectory upward, a short squeeze
could ignite a launch.
( Fundamentally, SPCE is dying and waiting for Eton Musk to make a good offer.)
This could be worth watching with an alert set 10% above the current price and
a volume alert at 50% above the moving average 20-day volume.
Get ShortyI never heard about The Merchant of Venice before this morning, but the more I read about it, the more Intrigued I became.
The Merchant of Venice is a 16th-century play written by Shakespeare in which a merchant defaults on a loan provided by a Jewish moneylender, Shylock.
For the purpose of brevity I can't go through the play or all its characters in its entirety right now.
The main antagonist, a Shylock is a relentless and revengeful moneylender that embodies greediness and vengefulness.
One could easily mistake Prime Brokers as the Shylock of the Stock Markets, lending out Money through Total Return Swaps (TRS) then dumping massive blocks on the public without any thought of the long term implications of doing so.
Who do you think bought those large blocks of shares in March?
Short Sellers.
Any attempt to make the Prime Brokers held accountable was swept away in a recurring theme that goes back to such notable market bubbles (watch The Big Short) as 2008 and 2000.
I often wonder why nobody was held accountable for the mortgage collapse of 2008 because it seems obvious that it was the short interest played a pivotal role.
The DOJ has finally woke up, but I worry they are going down the wrong rabbit hole
www.reuters.com
Yes the Short Sellers should take some of the blame, but I ask you, are they really the ones responsible for the calamity over the past 2 years?
Is this a pivotal turning point for our black sheep $VIAC?
Somebody doesn't want $LAZR above $35 Over the past few days, there appears to be violent and sudden selling pressure every time LAZR hits the 34.5 to 35 area. This leads me to believe that someone large is short selling the stock right now. It also increases my confidence that this LAZR will take off if any positive news catalyst occurs, forcing shorts to exit their position.
Melvin Capital: the adventures of an infinite size short sellerYet another degenerate bites the dust.
In the markets, there is a once every 100 years 5 sigma event every few months.
Some of you may remember the James Cordier of optionsellers dot com emotional apology video, after he got wiped out by a short squeeze on Natural Gas in 2018.
I looked into it back then and this guy was an out of the money naked option seller using extreme leverage.
These people, that get wiped out, every time they are psychopaths. This time we are looking at stocks, and the guy running Melvin Capital was a madman.
This guy single-handedly shorted between 50 and 100% of Gamestop all available shares. The ADV is ~3.5MM shares which is around 5% roughly.
I do not trade stocks (I do Forex CFDS & CME commodity futures) but I know enough to know shorting all by yourself more shares in percentage than the second highest shorted stock entire short interest, that's asking for trouble. I do not know what limits one should set, as a famous stock expert would say "it depends on your personal risk tolerance", but the adv would be a good place to start maybe? 5% of float seems big but reasonable?
When he shorted CD projekt he only used 0.6% of the outstanding shares according to this article.
Funny thing: they say he did not make as much as he should have because the rate was not favorable. They know this or they are guessing?
The reckless CEO of Melvin did not bother to open an FX position to hedge? He likes to live dangerously, or maybe he was making an FX bet.
www.world-today-news.com
On this page they claim to have a list of stocks Melvin is short of: whalewisdom.com
Reddit found a troll in a very dangerous position, and so they went whale hunting.
But I think it's other institutions that took down the whale actually, and the heroic "little guy" just joined late (as usual) and is now left holding the bag.
Melvin loss was entirely the responsibility of the head manager, risk managers and whoever came up with the idea of shorting more than 50% of shares.
It's always the same story. Before getting wiped out James Cordier published (on another site) a trading idea called "option selling opportunities so good they're scary" and was persuaded he could not lose.
I bet the same happened here. Gabe Plotkin had big success (50% returns, one of the best funds), got lucky and made easy money, got excited (this is the "don't get emotional" part), went in big, and then got punished.
I doubt Gabe Plotkin and James Cordier are excited today.
Ignore the Downgrades, Ride Past Earnings: Super BullishNone of the fundamentals of $HYLN has changed. In my opinion, it is still close to picking up key support levels. $HYLN has already been oversold, and it has low volume into an earnings call that I believe has some high potential. I would say, buy and hold. This stock should be at the very least $25 if it wasn't for the massive market overreaction. I think the neutral points, upcoming resistance + company fundamentals are promising. That said, do your own due diligence and invest at your own risk.