Short Idea On ZC1! (Corn)1)On Cot data,we can see the commercials shorting at the extremes.
2)Seasonality gives us a short bias and quantitative data shows 80% win rate for shorts.
3) We overvalued on daily and weekly timeframe against several benchmarks
4) On weekly timeframe,the price rejected the EMA Forming a Pin bar reversal
5) I set the entry and stoploss on the supply structure as you can see in the picture
Shortsetup
EURGBP - Bearish ReversalHello traders
EURGBP has been slowly grinding up since 9 January with there being a trendline holding this slight uptrend. But it broke out of the trendline last week and it retested it. The ideal entry would have been on the retest but let's hope this 4H fvg gets filled then price goes down.
Furthermore, the rsi has been making lower lows while price was making higher highs showing bearishness. Add to this that this setup is forming on a daily resistance zone as per the chart.
EUR/USD - Bearish Setup with Elliott Wave StructureAnalyzing EUR/USD on the 15-minute timeframe using Elliott Wave Theory. Expecting a corrective wave (4) to complete before a final impulsive wave (5) downward.
Entry Zone: Just below the recent high
Stop Loss: Above wave (4) completion
Target: 1.0330-1.0315 range
Watching for confirmation before taking the trade. Let’s see how it plays out!
#ElliottWave #EURUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
Bearish trends in the days ahead. Hello,
To all my folks who are trading forex. Right now everything has been going crazy with all the news across the world.
One thing can be sure is the USD is reigning supreme. With a guy sitting at the big White House in DC. Be rest assured he wants to be first at everything. He wants US first in everything. It’s only a matter of time before things start to reflect certain aspects of that. Especially the USD.
So let’s take a look at what the EUR has been doing for a while! What it has been doing for a long time is falling.
Things will continue to be that way. If we extend the times on the chart to 4hrs, day, week and even month. You can see that things are looking to trace back to low’s that haven’t been hit in years.
Of course, things will always have to retrace, you will have your support and resistance levels. That’s a gimme. It’s what we do at those levels is what will define these future trades.
At this time. It’s time to throw the towel in and admit. We are in a EUR/USD downtrend for a long time to come.
As always, research your entries, confirm your strengths and look for opportunities to trade smarter. If you enjoy this publish idea, please follow and boost this up.
- Thank you
GBPUSD dropping high chances Hello traders!
What's your take on GBPUSD? Here's my technical outlook:
A break below current levels could see price testing:
1.23008 (primary support)
1.21204 (secondary support)
Resistance is expected around 1.24500.
To refine your trading strategy, also consider:
Incoming economic data
Market mood
Global events
Have you spotted any notable indicator patterns or divergences hinting at a potential bearish swing?
Looking at the M15 timeframe, we have a potential long opportunity. Consider placing a long position while following proper money management rules:
Use a proper stop loss
Set a suitable take profit
Your feedback is welcome!
If you appreciate this analysis, please show your support and follow me.
Best wishes Tom 😎
WHEAT – Signs of Weakness, Could a Short Be Next?PEPPERSTONE:WHEAT is within a clear resistance zone that has times before led to bearish reversals. In any case, this zone marked by previous price rejections, could once again attract selling pressure.
If bearish confirmation occurs—through rejection wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or a decrease in buying volume—we could see a decline toward the 544,00 level.
However, I’ll be watching for strong support reactions or signs of exhaustion before confirming the next move.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management!
What’s your take on the potential trend of this chart? I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
#BTC short trade, previously shared trade idea still activeI saw that it still appears like a great time to buy, but after previewing it, it never gave us the price we wanted to buy at. More liquidity was created before it went down, and now there are more opportunities for our entry price to go down. Let's watch how it moves from here.
BTCUSDT Short Swing trade.Hello everyone, i want to share my price prediction at Bitcoin.
The week started with strong sell which activated buyers but i think buyers is not more strong, price tested well 2h FVG and Fibonacci Strong sell zone after New York session open.
Price is into consolidation, and if we look higher timeframe Bitcoin losing buyers with my strategy here is my short position setup.
Open Short position at - 102500
Stop Loss at - 104500
Take profit - i will follow trend if i will be right.
Always manage your risk!!! don't risk more than 2.6% of your balance in this trade.
MicroStrategy’s Make or Break MomentThe chart shows a breakdown from a descending wedge pattern, followed by a retest of the broken support turned resistance. A short position has been placed, anticipating further downside. The price is currently testing the retest zone, and rejection from this level could confirm continuation to the downside.
The stop-loss is strategically placed above 455.10, beyond a key resistance level, to minimize risk in case of a failed breakdown. The take-profit target is set near 224.56, aligning with a significant demand zone. The current price of 335.94 indicates minor volatility, but the structure suggests a potential bearish continuation if the price fails to reclaim the resistance zone.
If the breakdown holds, the next move could accelerate towards lower levels, making this a crucial moment for price confirmation. A reclaim of the resistance zone could invalidate the setup and trigger a short squeeze. The market’s reaction at this level will determine the next directional move.
SCALPING ! GOLD ! Gold sideways - selling pressure pushes price ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US President Donald Trump directed his administration to implement emergency 25% tariffs on Colombian imports. However, the tariffs were paused after Colombia agreed to fully accept all illegal migrants returned from the US.
On Tuesday, Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on pharmaceutical and computer chip manufacturers, along with upcoming measures targeting aluminum and copper industries, with potential consideration for steel and other sectors.
These actions reignited concerns over Trump's protectionist policies, raising fears of inflation. As a result, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond rebounded from a one-month low, strengthening the US Dollar and pressuring Gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Price is currently sideways - sellers have more advantage. Wait for SIDEWAY price zone, entry SELL 2745
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2744 - $2746 SL $2749
TP1: $2740
TP2: $2735
TP3: $2730
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GBPAUD Bullish Trend IS OVER ?!Why GBPAUD Faces a Correction After a Massive Uptrend and What Lies Ahead
The financial markets are rarely a straight line. After a stunning rally of more than 3000 pips, the GBPAUD (British Pound to Australian Dollar) currency pair has entered a corrective phase, marked by a significant downturn and the breaking of a long-term uptrend line. For traders and investors alike, this shift invites analysis of the key factors driving the correction and the potential for further downside movement. Let’s dive into the reasons behind the decline and what it signals for the future.
1. Exhaustion of the Uptrend
One of the most common reasons for a correction following a sharp uptrend is market exhaustion. Over a prolonged rally, the pair appreciated significantly, fueled by a mix of favorable economic data, central bank policies, and investor sentiment. However, as prices reach extended levels, buyers may hesitate to continue pushing the price higher, leading to reduced demand.
The psychological level of "overbought" conditions often comes into play. Many traders rely on technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Bollinger Bands to assess whether an asset is overbought, and GBPAUD likely hit these conditions during its massive 3000-pip surge. This naturally invites profit-taking, further pressuring the pair downward.
2. Breaking the Uptrend Line: A Key Technical Signal
One of the most significant developments in the current market is the breaking of the uptrend line that supported GBPAUD's bullish momentum. Trendlines are crucial tools for identifying market sentiment, as they serve as psychological levels where traders expect price reversals.
The break of this uptrend line not only signals the loss of bullish control but also shifts market sentiment decisively toward the bears. When a major support level or trendline is breached, it often triggers stop-loss orders, increasing selling pressure. Additionally, breakout traders—those who enter positions in the direction of the break—may amplify the downward momentum.
3. Fundamental Drivers Favoring the Australian Dollar
Another factor contributing to GBPAUD's correction is the fundamental shift in economic conditions that have bolstered the Australian Dollar (AUD). Several key factors support the Aussie:
China's Economic Recovery: Australia’s economy is heavily tied to China's demand for commodities. Recent signs of recovery in China or increased stimulus measures could boost demand for Australian exports, strengthening the AUD.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Policy: If the RBA adopts a hawkish tone or maintains a steady interest rate policy, it could provide further support for the AUD, making it more attractive compared to the British Pound.
4. Technical Corrections Are Natural
Corrections are a natural part of market movements, even in a strong uptrend. After an extended rally, the market often retraces to establish new support levels or consolidate before deciding on the next direction. This is part of the ebb and flow of financial markets, driven by human psychology and technical patterns.
The current correction in GBPAUD appears to be a technical adjustment, with the pair retracing some of its gains to test key support levels. Traders often watch Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential areas of reversal, with 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% levels being particularly significant.
5. What’s Next for GBPAUD?
The break of the uptrend line opens the door for further downside movement. Here are key factors to watch:
Support Levels: If the pair continues to fall, traders will look for strong support zones to halt the decline. Key levels may include previous resistance-turned-support zones or psychological round numbers.
Momentum Indicators: Indicators like MACD, RSI, and Stochastic Oscillator can provide clues about whether the downward momentum is likely to continue or if the pair is entering oversold territory.
Fundamental Catalysts: Upcoming economic data releases, central bank decisions, or geopolitical events could shift the balance in either direction.
While the correction is underway, it’s crucial to recognize that the broader trend for GBPAUD could still remain bullish in the long term, depending on how economic conditions evolve. However, for now, the break of the uptrend line suggests that bears have gained control, and the potential for a more significant downtrend looms.
Weakened GBP Sentiment: On the other side, the British Pound may be weighed down by concerns about the UK economy, such as sluggish growth, inflationary pressures, or Brexit-related uncertainty. A dovish stance from the Bank of England (BoE) could further tilt the balance against the Pound.
Conclusion
The correction in GBPAUD is a textbook case of market dynamics at play. After an extraordinary rally of over 3000 pips, the pair's breach of the long-term uptrend line signals a shift in sentiment and suggests that further downside may follow. Traders and investors must now assess both technical and fundamental factors to navigate this changing environment.
Whether this correction is a temporary pause in a larger bull market or the start of a prolonged downtrend remains to be seen. For now, cautious optimism for the AUD and weakened sentiment for the GBP are tilting the balance in favor of a continued correction. Staying informed and adaptable will be key to capitalizing on the next move in GBPAUD.
SOL Trade Setups: Key Levels to Watch for Big Moves!Solana has been on an impressive run, hitting a new all-time high (ATH) at $295. The previous ATH from 2021 at $260, along with the recent swing high of $264.63 (December 2024), are now acting as key resistance levels. Bulls are struggling to break above the $260 range and we’re seeing some bearish control as SOL trades below the weekly open, never a great sign for upward momentum.
Short Trade Setup
It’s looking like SOL could be in an ABC pattern, working on wave C. Here’s a potential short trade setup:
Entry: Around $260 if price revisits that zone.
Stop Loss: Above $270.
Take Profit: $220, where strong support lies.
R:R Ratio: About 3:1.
If you’re already short, congrats! If not, $260 could be your next chance to jump in.
Support Zone and Long Setup
There’s plenty of support stacking up between $220 and $217, making it a great zone to consider for a long position:
Point of Control (POC): At $218.50, from the November-January range
Fib Levels:
The 0.786 trend-based Fib extension is at $220.23
The 0.618 retracement (low of $169 to high of $295) is at $217.27
EMAs: The 200 and 233 EMAs on the 4H chart line up nicely with the $217 level
Channel Support: The median line from $264 to $169 also lands around $217
Long Setup Plan
Entry: Ladder longs between $220 and $217
Stop Loss: Below $217, maybe around $214
Take Profit 1: $239 for a mid-range bounce
Take Profit 2: Move your SL to entry and let the rest ride for bigger gains
Patience is Key
Whether you’re waiting for $260 to short or $220 to long, the setups are there, now it’s about watching the levels and being patient. Both trades offer solid risk-to-reward ratios, so no need to rush in.
Stay ready and let’s see how this plays out!
Bitcoin TA Alert: Perfect $97K Long Setup Incoming?Bitcoin remains range-bound between $107K and $100K as we approach the weekend. Let’s break down the current key levels and trade setups based on the data available.
Support and Long Setup
The GETTEX:97K level emerges as a strong support zone for a long trade setup:
0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high aligns perfectly at GETTEX:97K
The POC (Point of Control) from the 70-day trading range also sits at this level, adding confluence
If the price reaches GETTEX:97K by Sunday or Monday, the trendline support will further strengthen this zone
A laddered long position can be placed around GETTEX:97K , with:
Stop-loss: Below $93K
Take Profit: around $113K
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 4:1 - an attractive trade setup
Resistance and Short Setup
For the short trade setup, the current price around $106K offers an opportunity:
Enter a short trade targeting the GETTEX:97K level
Stop-loss: Above the all-time high (ATH) at $107K
Take Profit (TP): GETTEX:97K
R:R: 2:1 - reasonable given the tight risk management
DEEP Key Levels - Weekend Trade SetupsDEEP has been consolidating in a 6-day trading range and as we move into the weekend, lets look at the setups.
Short Trade Setup
Resistance Zone: The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement aligns with the POC of the 6-day range at $0.304, making it an ideal short entry
Target: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.208, where liquidity has built up below
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): This short offers an impressive 10:1 R:R if the setup plays out
Long Trade Setup
Support Zone: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.208 also serves as a key support level
Anchored VWAP from the recent highs provides additional support near this level
Stop Loss: Stop just below $0.195
Take Profit: TP at round 0.24
VIRTUAL - A Long Opportunity or More Pain Ahead?VIRTUAL has dropped over 50% from its all-time high of $5.14, now trading around $2.50. A head and shoulders pattern has formed, with price currently testing the neckline, a bearish sign that could signal further downside. Let’s break down potential targets and trade setups.
Key Levels and Support Zone:
1.) POC from December 2024 Range:
Located at $1.67, a significant level from previous trading activity
2.) Anchored VWAP:
Taken from the lows, currently around $1.62, reinforcing the $1.66 zone as strong support
3.) Fibonacci Retracement (Log Scale):
The 0.382 Fib from the recent wave sits at $1.77, providing additional confluence for the support area
4.) Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension:
The 0.786 Fib aligns at $1.71, further strengthening the $1.70–$1.80 range as a reliable support zone
Trade Setups:
Short Setup:
Entry: $2.836 (Fib retracement 0.618 from the current downtrend)
Target: around $1.80
Stop Loss: Above $3
Risk-to-Reward: 5:1
Potential Drop: 30–40% from the entry level
Long Setup:
Entry: $1.70–$1.80 range
Target: Depends on confirmation and take profit areas. A realistic initial target could be around $2-$2.30
Stop Loss: Below $1.52
Risk-to-Reward: 2:1 or better depending on take profit strategy
XRP - Key Levels to WatchXRP recently broke its all-time high (ATH) from 2018, touching $3.317. This key resistance was fiercely defended by bears, offering a strong short opportunity on the first break. Now, after consolidating for over 10 days, let’s dive deeper into the key levels and confluences to plan trades.
Resistance Levels
All-Time High (ATH) - $3.317
Key resistance from the recent ATH breakout, strongly defended by bears
Support Levels and Confluence
Fibonacci Retracement: 0.618 retracement of the recent impulse wave aligns at $2.74078
Weekly Level: A strong weekly level at $2.75 provides further support
Daily Level: The daily level at $2.72763 lies within the support zone
Swing High from the Previous Trading Range: The December 2024 swing high at $2.725 adds more confluence
Volume Profile (VAH): Value Area High (VAH) of the previous trading range aligns with the support zone
Fibonacci Speed Fan: The 0.618 speed fan intersects at $2.7, depending on the timing (late January to early February)
Pitchfork: While not plotted, it aligns closely with this zone, further supporting the level
Support Zone: $2.75-$2.71
Short Trade Setup
The first short opportunity arose at the ATH of $3.317, providing an excellent risk-to-reward ratio. If missed, another short trade setup can still be executed at the current price:
Entry: Enter at the current price
Stop Loss: Above $3.29
Take Profit: $2.80
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 2:1
Long Trade Setup
Entry: Ladder longs between $2.75 and $2.71
Stop Loss: Below $2.63
Take Profit: $2.95
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): 3:1 or better
Chips No Longer Power Hungry?With news of DeepSeek overnight hitting semi-conductors, is there all of a sudden less need for power? Well if there is then the first place I typically go is ERY. This ETF trades as a Bear 2x leveraged ETF to XLE. This means that for every penny XLE goes down, ERY goes up two pennies... Developing situation here so will watch this one closely!
EURUSD - JANUARY 27, 2025Right now, I’m expecting price to react from the 1.04699 zone, which is an important area on my chart. If price shows signs of bouncing from this level on the 5-minute chart, I’ll be looking for opportunities to go long (buy) targeting the Daily high.
What Happens If Price Doesn't Hold?
If price doesn't hold at 1.04699, I’ll shift my focus to looking for short (sell) opportunities down to the 1.04200 zone. This area is interesting because it lines up with several important technical factors:
A 15-minute Breaker Block, which is a level where price has reacted before.
A 15-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG), which represents an imbalance in the market.
A 15-minute Order Block (OB), which is a strong area of interest for potential buyers.
Key Things to Keep in Mind:
Now, the 1.04200 zone also lines up with the daily low, which is at 1.04112. This means price might sweep below that level to grab liquidity before moving higher.
If that happens, I’ll be watching the 1.04052 zone, where there’s a 5-minute Order Block that could act as strong support. If I see a bullish shift here, I’ll consider buying with an upside target at the daily high of 1.05211.