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HBAR Game Plan: Short the Bounce, Long the Liquidity GrabHBAR has been moving strongly and is currently offering both short and long trade opportunities based on a clean potential ABC corrective pattern, key fib levels, volume profile, and anchored VWAP. Let’s break down the setup. 🧩 Technical Breakdown Higher Timeframe Confluence: 0.618 fib retracement from the macro move 1.618 trend-based fib extension 1.272 VWAP band resistance Point of Control (POC) from the visible range profile This is marked as a major take profit/short opportunity zone. For extra confluence, the negative fib extension golden pocket (-0.618 to -0.666) also aligns right at this resistance zone Current Structure: We’re potentially completing wave B of an ABC corrective move Price has retraced into a high-probability short zone 🔴 Short Setup Entry Zone: Between the 0.702 and 0.786 fib retracement levels Why Here? 0.702–0.786 fib retracement → short zone for reversals Potential wave B top → setting up for a C leg down Target (TP): Around $0.25–$0.24, near the expected wave C completion 🟢 Long Setup Entry Zone: ~$0.25–$0.24 area. Why Here? This zone is a strong confluence area: ➡️ 0.786 fib retracement ➡️ 1.0 trend-based fib extension of ABC ➡️ Anchored VWAP from the entire trend, offering dynamic support ➡️ Liquidity pool ➡️ Previous weekly Open Plan: Wait for price to complete wave C into this zone, then look for bullish reaction signs to enter long. 💡 Educational Insight Why the 0.702–0.786 short zone? These fib levels are often overlooked but are key “hidden” zones where wave B tops out before C waves. Why anchored VWAP? Anchored VWAP gives you dynamic institutional support/resistance, especially when aligned with fibs and liquidity. Why wait for confirmation? Blindly longing or shorting levels can trap you. Wait for SFPs, wick rejections, or lower timeframe structure flips to boost trade probability. Final Thoughts HBAR is in a highly interesting zone, offering both: A short setup into the C wave, And a long setup at the C wave completion, backed by multiple confluence factors. Let the levels come to you and wait for confirmation! _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
2
U.S. Dollar (DXY) bearish?Will dollar continue its bearish momentum or will it reverse? Technical Summary DXY remains in a firm bearish trend, having dropped around 11% this year. The setup is formed by a chain of lower highs and lower lows, confirming an unrelenting downtrend. Support Level: ~97.70 Resistance Zone: 98.55–98.80 Long-Term Outlook: Bearish, unless a clear break and close over the resistance zone on the daily or weekly timeframe. Technically, the momentum indicators remain weak, and the failure to sustain rallies above the 99.00 level also contributes to downward pressure further. The market is now consolidating within a narrow range after steep selling, which suggests probable continuation if macro catalysts are favourable. Fundamental and Sentiment Drivers Several macroeconomic and geopolitical drivers are underpinning the weakening of the U.S. dollar: Federal Reserve Uncertainty: Speculation over the ultimate fate of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell under political pressure from the executive branch has severely undermined investor confidence in the central bank’s independence. This has been manifested in increased volatility and bearish pressure on the dollar. Trade Policy and Tariff Risks: Ongoing trade tensions, including the possibility of sweeping tariffs (15–20%) on Chinese and European Union goods, have created a risk premium on valuations of the U.S. dollar. Market players still fear retaliation and its effects on trade stability in the world. Fiscal Position and Credit Ratings: The US fiscal deficit, which is approaching 7% of GDP, and recent credit rating downgrades to its outlook, have set alarms ringing regarding the structure. These fiscal developments have eroded the popularity of the US dollar as a safe-haven asset, particularly with foreign investors. Global Monetary Landscape: With European Central Bank and Bank of Japan maintaining policy guidance tight, and Federal Reserve already indicating that direction for a rate cut in Q4 2025 is being eyed, the falling rate differentials still maintain pressure on the dollar. Market Outlook: Week of July 21–25, 2025 Major Geopolitical and Economic Events: DATE : Ongoing EVENT : U.S.- EU & U.S. — China Trade Negotiations. MARKET RELEVANCE : High Resolution or escalation will directly impact USD demand. DATE : Mid-week EVENT : Federal Reserve Speeches (including Powell) MARKET RELEVANCE : High Monetary policy guidance and institutional stability. DATE : July 24–25 EVENT : Jobless Claims, Flash PMIs, New Home Sales, Durable Goods Orders MARKET RELEVANCE : Medium–High Labour market data, housing data, and production activity have the potential to shift rate expectations and dollar sentiment ahead of the FOMC and PCE releases. Strategic Implications Outlook: DXY remains structurally bearish in the short to medium term. Additional weakness below 98.80 and sustained closes below 97.70 would reassert downward momentum, risking a further retracement to the 96.00-95.50 region. Possible Bullish Reversal Triggers: A conclusive resolution to U.S. trade negotiations. Unexpectedly solid economic data (particularly core inflation or employment). Hawkish Fed commentary supporting policy tightening expectations. Last thoughts The U.S. Dollar Index is currently at structurally weak technical and fundamental foundations. Absent a sudden reversal of the monetary policy message or geopolitical resolution, the path of least resistance appears to remain to the lower side. Market participants need to pay special attention to upcoming economic data releases, central bank rhetoric, and trading news because any one of them could be a pivotal driver of near-term dollar behavior.
TVC:DXYShort
by NordKern
EURUSD: Sell Opportunity after Trendline breakEURUSD was in a steep uptrend but it might stop with this recent break through the uptrend. A break like this one on a strong trendline that had multiple touches, indicates either a potential reversal or major pause in the trend. This candle that broke the trendline signals the first hint of structural change. I will be waiting for a retest and look to get involved in a short setup. Ideally, what I look for in retests is to be met with a confirming candle. This would confirm the sellers have taken over and validate the change from uptrend to potential downtrend or consolidation phase. My target would be around 1.1500. Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis .
Long
by TrendDiva
56
AUD/JPY – Bearish Move Within Bullish Bat StructureAUD/JPY is developing a Bullish Bat harmonic pattern on the 4-hour chart . While the full pattern has not yet completed, a potential short-term bearish opportunity is emerging as the pair begins forming the CD leg. A clear b earish divergence on the RSI at Point A suggests waning bullish momentum, and a break below Point B may confirm the start of the final leg down toward Point D , completing the harmonic structure. Trade Setup Sell Stop Entry: 96.009 (break of Point B – confirms CD leg underway) Stop Loss: 96.978 (above Point C – invalidates CD leg projection) Take Profit 1: 95.040 (1:1 risk-to-reward level)
Short
by fahadfarooq54
ETH — Rally Exhaustion or More Upside?ETH has been on an absolute tear. After retesting its old 2018 all-time high, it marked a bottom at $1383 — a brutal -66% correction over 114 days from the $4109 top. From there, ETH ripped +100% in just one month, followed by 40 days of consolidation, and now, over the past 28 days, it’s surged another +76%, currently trading around $3715 — all without any major correction. So the big question: What’s next? Are we near a short setup, or is it time to long? Let’s break it down. 🧩 Key Technicals ➡️ Bounce Zone: On June 22, ETH retested the 0.5 fib ($2131.63) of the prior 5-wave Elliott impulse, with extra confluence from: Anchored VWAP Speed fan 0.618 ➡️ Key Highs to Watch: $3746 → recent local high $4109 → 2021 all-time high ➡️ Fib Retracement Levels: ETH has smashed through all major fibs, including the golden pocket (0.618–0.65) and 0.786 fib. The 0.886 fib at $3798.27 is the last major resistance, just above the $3746 key high. At this zone, we also have: Fair Value Gap (FVG) Monthly Resistance Negative Fib Extension Golden Pocket Target ➡️ Momentum Signal: ETH is currently on its 8th consecutive bullish daily candle — historically, after 8–13 consecutive candles, price tends to cool off or correct. A sign to be cautious about longing here and consider profit-taking. 🔴 Short Trade Setup Look for a potential SFP (swing failure pattern) at the key high $3746 to initiate a short trade. This offers a low-risk setup with: Entry: around $3746 (if SFP confirms) Target (TP): ~$3300 Stop-loss: above SFP R:R ≈ 1:4+ 💡 Educational Insight: Why You Don’t Want to Long the Top Markets often trap late longers near key highs or resistance zones — this is where smart money distributes while retail piles in emotionally. Lesson: Look for zones of confluence (fib, VWAP, liquidity, FVG) and avoid chasing extended moves after multiple bullish candles. Patience and confirmation at reversal points lead to higher-probability setups — you don’t need to catch every pump. Final Thoughts We’re approaching major highs, so this is a time for caution, not FOMO. Watch for reaction and potential reversals near $3750–$3850. Stay sharp, manage risk — and remember, tops are where longs get trapped. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by SiDec
1
RCI, Bear Flag On The Daily As Well As The 4hr Analyzing both the daily and 4-hour charts reveals a very prominent bear flag, which has formed following a steep decline. This pattern is often indicative of further downward movement, and it's hard to ignore the implications. Word on the street is that they're currently in dire straits. Since the Shaw acquisition, they've hemorrhaged 11 billion in valuation. The situation is exacerbated by declining revenues and missed growth targets. In short, it's not looking promising. If the trend continues downward, we might see the price testing the $19 USD mark sooner rather than later. For those who are currently long on this or have any vested interest, it might be prudent to reconsider your position and cut your losses before it's too late.
NYSE:RCIShort
by impossiblebull
1
SOL CRUSHING-bearish risks developing🔻 4-Hour Bearish Thesis 🔸 Price Action Clues SOL is currently stalling at the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (~$198.18) of the full macro move — a classic profit-taking zone. Multiple upper wicks and indecisive candles at resistance indicate supply absorption and buyer exhaustion. After a steep rally, price is moving sideways in a rising wedge/flag, which is a bearish continuation pattern if broken downward. 🔸 Momentum + RSI RSI at 76 is extended and flattening — often a zone where short-term pullbacks begin. No confirmed bearish divergence yet, but momentum is weakening compared to earlier stages of the rally. 🔸 Volume Profile Volume on recent pushes is lower than during breakout, suggesting diminishing bullish conviction. Bearish if a breakdown below $194 occurs — that's the former breakout level and wedge support. 🧨 4H Breakdown Confirmation Break below $194 (key short-term support) → opens downside targets: 🔻 $186–$182 (prior breakout base) 🔻 $171 (0.382 Fib retracement zone) 🔻 Daily Bearish Thesis 🔸 Price Action + Key Zone Price is pressing against the neckline target ($198.18) of the inverse H&S pattern. Stalling under the red resistance line and 0.5 Fib. Recent candle closed with a small upper wick + reduced body size, hinting at hesitation after a parabolic run. 🔸 RSI Risk RSI is at 80.41 — very overbought on daily. While not immediately bearish on its own, this often precedes either: Sharp correction, or Prolonged consolidation 🔸 Fibonacci & Macro Resistance $198–$200 is a confluence zone of: 0.5 Fib retracement Previous structural resistance Measured target of inverse H&S pattern ALREADY HIT. This is not a great spot to initiate new longs — any weakness here invites a pullback. ⚠️ Invalidation of Bearish Thesis A strong daily close above $200–$204, ideally with expanding volume, would invalidate the bearish outlook and shift momentum toward $219 (0.618 Fib). 🧠 Summary: Yes, there is a short-to-mid-term bearish risk developing on both 4h and daily: Overbought RSI Stalling at major Fib resistance Decreasing momentum Vulnerable if $194–$195 breaks Remember: this WILL MOST LIKELY BE A SHORT-SHORT pullback, not a confirmed trend reversal… yet. BUT I'VE INITIATED A STARTING POSITION! THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. DrAnkin Smöökëē Whizkee. Edumacational Purpiz Only!
Short
by TheAlphaView
Still looking to sell on rallies — nothing’s changedStill looking to sell on rallies — nothing’s changed. The level on the chart? That’s where buyers jumped in before. Makes sense to target it again. So… why do we say there are "suffering buyers" at this level? Let’s rewind a bit (see Chart #2) and imagine price at the point marked on the chart. At that moment, price had clearly returned to a visible local level — 0.8123 — a zone that naturally attracted traders to jump in on the fly , or triggered limit orders . But here’s what happened next: Selling pressure overpowered buying interest — and price moved swiftly lower . That’s when those buyers got caught. That’s when the pain started. 🔍 What Makes This Level Special? Broker data from open sources confirms that open positions are still sitting at this level — meaning a lot of traders are underwater, hoping for a recovery that may never come. It’s not just technical structure. It’s crowded sentiment , failed expectations , and trapped capital — all wrapped into one. 🧠 This is what we call a "suffering trader" zone — and it often becomes a magnet for future selling . 📌 Follow along for more breakdowns on flow, positioning, and market sentiment .
Short
by ClashChartsTeam
sideways in weekend downtrend⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) struggle to extend Thursday’s recovery from the $3,309 region—a one-week low—consolidating within a tight range during Friday’s Asian session. The US Dollar (USD) continues to retreat from its peak since June 23, pressured by dovish signals from Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller. Additionally, growing concerns over US President Donald Trump’s unpredictable trade policies and their potential consequences for global growth are keeping investors cautious, supporting demand for the safe-haven metal. These factors collectively help limit deeper losses in Gold, though the metal lacks clear bullish momentum for now. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is moving sideways, accumulating in the downtrend line, not much fluctuation in weekend news ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3381- 3379 SL 3386 TP1: $3370 TP2: $3360 TP3: $3350 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3293-$3295 SL $3288 TP1: $3308 TP2: $3318 TP3: $3330 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
$RKLB Overvalued asf! - NASDAQ:RKLB is overvalued. I will either stay on the sidelines or short the heck out of this POS. - Company sells hopium which doesn't have meaningful materialization as of now and not even in the distant future. Fundamentally, 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 -0.32 | -0.08 | 0.17 | 0.47 Revenue: 576.83M | 905.01M | 1.21B | 1.69B - Market cap of NASDAQ:RKLB currently sits at 24.61B as of July 17, 2025. - People who are buying now are buying someone else bag and are in for a horrible ride. - Consider buying it under $15 if you are super bullish
NASDAQ:RKLBShort
by bigbull037
10
Gold Futures ($GC1!) — US Session Setup: Bearish Retest from 618🟡 Gold Futures ( COMEX:GC1! ) — US Session Setup: Bearish Retest from 0.618 Fib in Bullish Breakout Context ⏳ Pre-US Session Playbook We're currently watching Gold Futures ( COMEX:GC1! ) for a potential short opportunity into the US session open. While the broader structure has broken bullish, we're anticipating a bearish retest scenario from a key Fibonacci level — aligning cleanly with last week’s breakout structure. No positions have been taken yet — we are setting up for the US session — and are closely monitoring price action near the 0.618 retracement zone before committing. 📍 Setup Breakdown • 0.618 Fib Retracement from the last bearish impulse aligns with: ○ Recent volume shelf resistance ○ Retest zone from prior breakout ○ An overextended local push into thin volume above 3380 • Bullish Context: ○ HTF breakout from descending wedge structure remains valid ○ Macro buyers still in control ○ Upside continuation risk is high if sellers don’t show up • Short Bias Conditions: ○ Rejection or absorption in the 3385–3390 zone ○ Weak follow-through above 0.618 (failed breakout scenario) ○ Breakdown of LTF higher low structure post-test 🧠 Strategy Commentary Although we’re in bullish breakout mode, this is a tactical short setup — a fade into prior structure with clear invalidation. We're not fighting trend, but looking to short into exhaustion at a defined level, with tight risk parameters. Confluence Factors: • 0.618 fib alignment • VRVP volume shelf • Prior breakout structure retest • LTF divergence or absorption confirming the fade 🎯 Trade Parameters (Planned) • Entry Zone: ~3385–3390 • Stop Loss: Tight, 3395–3400 • Target Zone: 3342–3337 (full structure retest) 📌 Patience is key — this remains a setup until confirmed. We'll post live if and when conditions are met. Let the market come to you.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
Gold Trading Idea: Short Opportunity on 15-Min Descending ChanneHello TradingView Community, Following up on my Gold analysis from Monday, the price action has respected the levels I outlined (check my previous posts for the breakdown), delivering solid trade opportunities except yesterday's news-driven volatility. Today, we're eyeing a short setup on Gold based on the 15-minute timeframe. Technical Analysis: Gold is moving within a descending channel on the 15-min chart. I've identified equal highs and a small FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the channel's range. This confluence zone is where I expect the price to react, potentially clearing liquidity above the channel before reversing. Trade Plan: Entry: Wait for the price to reach the confluence zone (equal highs + 61.8% Fib + FVG) and show a clear reaction (e.g., rejection or reversal pattern) before entering a short position. Take Profit: Targeting 3310 level. Risk Management: If the price fails to reach the zone and breaks lower, I'll stay out to avoid chasing trades. Patience is key here. Stay disciplined, traders! Let the price come to our zone, and always manage your risk. Follow for more setups, like this post if you found it helpful, and drop your thoughts in the comments below! Let’s discuss! #Gold #XAUUSD #ShortSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Mr_Masab
NordKern - XAUUSD InsightNordKern | Simplified Insight OANDA:XAUUSD Short Opportunity Ahead Gold saw a sharp surge in price today, primarily driven by political headlines that temporarily shook market sentiment. To be specific: 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 16:56 CET CBS Reports: Trump asked Republican lawmakers whether he should fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This headline alone triggered an intraday spike of +$52/oz in gold as markets priced in increased macro and institutional risk. As previously stated "Context Matters." While the President cannot remove the Fed Chair without cause, even the suggestion introduces uncertainty and undermines confidence in the Fed’s independence especially ahead of a high-stakes election cycle. However, further developments quickly followed: 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 17:58 CET Trump: “Firing Powell is highly unlikely.” 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 18:06 CET Trump: “Reports on me firing Powell are not true.” With this clarification, the initial rally appears overstretched and sentiment-driven, leaving room for a corrective pullback as the market digests the full picture. Trade Setup - Short Bias Parameters: Entry: 3356.40 Stop Loss: 3690.30 Take Profit: 3322.00 Key Notes: - The spike was headline-driven and not supported by policy shift or macro data. - Trump’s denial removes much of the political risk premium that had been briefly priced in. - Watch for momentum fading near resistance and confirmation via intraday structure. This remains a tactically driven setup. Manage risk appropriately and stay alert for any renewed political developments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NordKern
AUDNZD - Short-Term Pullback Expected from Key ResistanceAUDNZD - Short-Term Pullback Expected from Key Resistance 📈 Setup Overview: AUDNZD has been trending bullish but has now reached a critical resistance level that aligns with the upper boundary of the ascending trendline. This confluence suggests a potential short-term pullback opportunity. 🔍 Analysis: Strong bullish wave structure intact Price testing key resistance + ascending trendline upper boundary Expecting retracement toward trendline support Overall bullish structure remains favorable for continuation after pullback 📊 Trade Details: Entry: Sell Stop at 1.091745 Risk Management: 1:2 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Bias: Short-term bearish pullback within larger bullish trend ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always use proper position sizing.
Short
by ThulaniMtetwa
XRP Hits $3.10 — Rising Wedge or Ready to Fly?XRP has been on a strong run over the past 24 days, rallying from $1.90 → $3.10 — a +62% price increase. But after hitting key resistance, is XRP about to correct, or will it break out further? Let’s dive into the technicals. 🧩 Market Structure Rising Wedge Pattern: The current market structure resembles a rising wedge, with XRP likely completing wave 5. Rejection Zone Hit: Price tapped the nPOC at $3.10 and rejected — providing a clean short opportunity. 📉 Key Support Levels & Confluences Taking the full 24-day bullish move: 0.382 Fib Retracement: $2.6326 — aligns with liquidity pool below the $2.6596 swing low. 226-day Trading Range VAH: ~$2.62 (red dashed line) — adds confluence. Daily Level: $2.60 — further support. Anchored VWAP from $1.90 Low: ~$2.54 (rising over time). ✅ Conclusion: The $2.66–$2.60 zone is a critical support area and offers a solid long opportunity. Trade Setups 🔴 Short Setup (After Breakdown Confirmation): Wait for a sell-off & breakdown of the wedge. Ideal entry: retest of the lower wedge edge, ideal short entry would be between 0.618–0.786 fib retracement. 🟢 Long Setup: Entry Zone: $2.66–$2.60 SL: below VWAP line Target: Fib 0.618 as TP 🧠 Educational Insight: Rising Wedges Explained A rising wedge is a bearish pattern, often signalling weakening momentum as price climbs within narrowing highs and lows. Key points: ➡️ Volume typically declines as the wedge matures. ➡️ Breakdown below the lower wedge edge often triggers stronger sell-offs. ➡️ Retests of the broken wedge support turn into ideal short entries. Pro tip: Combine wedge patterns with fib retracement zones and VWAP levels for higher-confidence setups. Watch for wedge breakdown confirmation before shorting. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
Bitcoin: New All-Time High — What’s Next?Bitcoin had an incredible run, breaking the old all-time high ($111,980) with strong bullish momentum and setting a fresh ATH at $123,218 (Binance). We just witnessed the first major corrective move of ~6% and a decent bounce so far — but the big question is: What’s next? Will Bitcoin break higher over the summer or form a trading range here? Let’s dive into the technicals. 🧩 Higher Timeframe Structure May–June Range: BTC was stuck between $110K–$100K, forming an ABC corrective pattern. Using trend-based Fib extension (TBFE) from A–B–C: ✅ C wave completed at $98,922 (1.0 TBFE) ✅ Upside target hit at $122,137 (-1 TBFE) Full Bull Market TBFE: ➡️ 1.0 → $107,301 → previously rejected ➡️ 1.272 → $123,158 → recent rejection zone Pitchfork (log scale): ➡️ Tapped the upper resistance edge before rejecting. Previous Bear Market Fib Extension: ➡️ 2.0 extension at $122,524 hit. 2018–2022 Cycle TBFE: ➡️ 1.618 at $122,011 tapped. Macro Fibonacci Channel: ➡️ Connecting 2018 low ($3,782), 2021 ATH ($69K), 2022 low ($15,476) → 1.618–1.666 resistance band: $121K–$123.5K. ✅ Conclusion: Multiple fib confluences mark the $122K–$123K zone as critical resistance. Daily Timeframe ➡️ FVG / Imbalance: Big daily Fair Value Gap between the prior ATH and $115,222 swing low. BTC broke the prior ATH (pATH) without retest → a pullback to this zone is likely. Lower Timeframe / Short-Term Outlook We likely saw a completed 5-wave impulse up → now correcting. The -6% move was probably wave A, current bounce = wave B, next leg = wave C. ➡ Wave B short zone: $120K–$121K ➡ Wave C target (1.0 TBFE projection): ~$113,326 ➡ Confluence at mid-FVG + nPOC Trade Setups 🔴 Short Setup: Entry: $120,300–$121,000 Stop: Above current ATH (~$123,300) Target: $113,500 R:R ≈ 1:2.3 🟢 Long Setup: Entry: Between Prior ATH and $113,000 Stop: Below anchored VWAP (~$110,500) Target: Higher, depending on bounce confirmation. 🧠 Educational Insight: Why Fibs Matter at Market Extremes When markets push into new all-time highs, most classic support/resistance levels disappear — there’s simply no historical price action to lean on. That’s where Fibonacci extensions, channels, and projections become powerful tools. Here’s why: ➡ Fibonacci extensions (like the 1.272, 1.618, 2.0) help estimate where trend exhaustion or profit-taking zones may appear. They are based on the psychology of crowd behavior, as traders anchor expectations to proportional moves from previous swings. ➡ Trend-Based Fib Extensions (TBFE) project potential reversal or continuation zones using not just price levels, but also the symmetry of prior wave moves. ➡ Fibonacci channels align trend angles across multiple market cycles, giving macro context — like how the 2018 low, 2021 ATH, and 2022 low project the current 1.618–1.666 resistance zone. In short: When you don’t have left-hand price history, you lean on right-hand geometry. That’s why the $122K–123K zone wasn’t just random — it’s a convergence of multiple fib levels, cycle projections, and technical structures across timeframes. ⚡ Final Thoughts Bitcoin faces major resistance around $122K–$123K backed by multiple fib and structural levels. A retest of the prior ATH zone (~$112K–$113K) looks probable before the next big directional move. Watch lower timeframe structure for signs of completion in this corrective phase. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
4
downtrend, back to 3300 gold price⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) inch higher in early Asian trading on Wednesday, recovering part of Tuesday’s sharp decline to multi-day lows, though follow-through buying remains limited. Lingering uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs, combined with expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain elevated interest rates, continues to dampen risk appetite. This weaker market mood is providing modest support to the safe-haven metal. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) eases slightly after Tuesday’s surge to its highest level since late June, which is helping gold stabilize. However, persistent speculation that the Fed may delay rate cuts, following a slight uptick in US inflation, continues to bolster the greenback and could cap further gains in gold. Traders remain cautious and await today’s US Producer Price Index (PPI) release for clearer direction. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Selling pressure, break 3340 downtrend line continues. Economic news is helping DXY recover ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3381- 3383 SL 3388 TP1: $3370 TP2: $3360 TP3: $3350 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3304 SL $3299 TP1: $3318 TP2: $3330 TP3: $3343 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3