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How EUR/USD is affected by President Trump's high tariffs ?Comment: EUR/USD continues its downtrend. On the daily chart (D1), EUR/USD is in a long-term downtrend. Recently, the pair tried to correct higher but met strong resistance at 1.0340, after which it fell back. On the 4-hour timeframe (H4), the downtrend is also clear. The recent upward correction stopped at the resistance at 1.0335. The trading plan on H1 favors short positions Currently, the pair is consolidating at 1.0300. The market is waiting for the first policies of the new President D. Trump on Europe Trump's tariff policy often creates a volatile trading environment for the EUR/USD pair. If D. Trump imposes high tariffs on European goods, the USD may benefit in the short term if investors seek safety. However, in the long run, if trade tensions cause more damage to the US economy than to Europe, the USD could weaken, creating an opportunity for the EUR to rise. Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
Gold SIDEWAY and correction down next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 01/20/2025 - 01/24/2025 🔥 World situation: Gold prices dipped late in the North American session but are still on track to end the week with gains of over 0.40%, as markets anticipate the inauguration of US President-elect Donald Trump. Currently trading at $2,701, down 0.44%, the yellow metal remains a preferred choice for investors amid political uncertainty. Geopolitical tensions and US political developments continue to influence Gold’s performance. Despite steady mid-term US Treasury yields, Gold buyers were unable to drive prices higher for additional gains before the weekend. 🔥 Identify: Gold hits large-frame resistance 2724, weakens and corrects short-term decline. Market awaits new economic policies of President Trump 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2724, $2748 Support : $2662, $2633 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Bitcoin's Next Move: Weekend Trade Opportunities! Bitcoin has enjoyed an impressive rally over the past four days, but as we approach the weekend, price action is encountering some resistance levels, presenting potential short opportunities. Resistance Zone and Short Setup: The resistance zone lies between $104,464 (Fib 0.786 and Weekly Level) and $106,176 (Fib 0.886 and Daily Level). This range offers a low-risk shorting opportunity with clearly defined targets. 1.) Short Entry #1: Weekly Level at $104,464 (Fib 0.786) Stop Loss: Above $107,000 Take Profit: Around $101,000 - $100,000 (Psychological Level) Risk-Reward (R:R): ~1:1 2.) Short Entry #2: Daily Level at $106,176 (Fib 0.886) Stop Loss: Above $107,000 Take Profit: Around $101,000 - $100,000 (Psychological Level) Risk-Reward (R:R): ~4:1 Support Zone and Long Setup: The support zone lies between $101,058 (Fib 0.618 of Current Wave) and $99,521 (Fib 0.382 of Entire Wave). Within this range, a laddered long position can be constructed for a high-probability trade setup. Long Entry: Between $101,058 and $99,521 Stop Loss: Below $98,500 Take Profit: Around $103,000 Risk-Reward (R:R): ~2:1 Confluences for Support Zone: Anchored VWAP: Projected support around $100K, reinforcing the psychological significance of this level. Psychological Level: 100K Fib Retracement: 0.618 + 0.382 Fib Speed Fan (0.5): The speed fan aligns with support near $100K, depending on timing. Value Area High (VAH): The VAH of the range strengthens the case for the support zone and long setup.
Short
by SiDec
HBAR’s Next Support and Resistance TargetsHBAR hit a key high at $0.3922 but faced rejection, suggesting the formation of a trading range or a potential ABC corrective structure. A developing head and shoulders pattern further signals possible bearish momentum in the short term. Key levels and trade setups: Short Setup: Entry: Around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the current wave Stop Loss: Above the $0.3922 key high Take Profit: Targeting the Fib Retracement 0.382 at $0.34356 R:R: A favorable 5:1 if taken from the 0.618 retracement or 2:1 when entering after losing the dOpen Support Zone: Anchored VWAP, weekly level and Fibonacci speed fan 0.618, depending on timing, align near $0.34356–$0.33284. This confluence provides a robust area for potential price bounces. Long Setup: Entry: Within the support zone, contingent on bullish confirmation Stop Loss: Below the support zone
Short
by SiDec
LTC Trade Zones: Short or Long?LTC has been making some moves recently, with a solid rise getting close to a key high. But the current price action hints at an ABC corrective structure, so a pullback could be on the way. Short Setup: Entry: Between the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the current wave Stop Loss: $141.4 (the previous high) Target: $130.7 R:R: About 2:1 Long Setup: Entry: Around $130, with confirmation Stop Loss: $126.45 Targets: First at $134 Second at $147 (the key high) R:R: A nice 5:1 potential Why These Levels? The $130 support zone lines up with the 1:1 Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension ($130.29) It’s also near a previous swing high, adding more weight to it as a strong level Plan: If price moves into the retracement zone, a short trade targeting $130 makes sense If it hits the $130 support and shows strength, a long setup targeting $134 and $147 could be a great play
Short
by SiDec
atom sell midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Short
by Golden_candle
Correction Warning for Gold - Back Below 2700⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending January 10 increased to 217K, up from 201K the prior week and falling short of the 210K forecast. Recent inflation data and comments from Fed Governor Waller weighed on the US Dollar, as traders grew optimistic about an earlier rate cut. Waller suggested a rate reduction could be considered in the March meeting, noting that inflation is nearing the Fed's 2% target. Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee expressed confidence in the labor market's stabilization during an interview with The Wall Street Journal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold has completed its recovery to 2724, and the large sellers in this area will push the price back below 2700 before consolidating and rising again. This is consistent with the market awaiting the inauguration of President TRUMP. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2688 - $2686 SL $2681 TP1: $2695 TP2: $2702 TP3: $2710 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2723 - $2725 SL $2728 Scalping TP1: $2718 TP2: $2713 TP3: $2705 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2732 - $2734 SL $2739 TP1: $2725 TP2: $2710 TP3: $2700 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
BTC Correction Incoming? Key Support Zones to MonitorOver the past 50+ days, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a well-defined range, with the all-time high (ATH) at 108K marking the upper boundary and 90K as the lower boundary. The current price action has formed a Head and Shoulders pattern, with the neckline positioned around 90K. Volume and Recent Price Action Volume has notably decreased compared to the elevated levels seen in November and December 2024, signaling weakening momentum. Price rose significantly to 102.7K, reaching the 0.666 Fibonacci retracement level of the current downtrend, where it faced a sharp rejection. This rejection led Bitcoin to test the lows around 91.5K. Key Resistance Levels 97K (POC): The Point of Control (POC) of the current range sits around 97K, which also aligns with the anchored VWAP taken from the all-time high. 98.3K (Fib 0.618): The Weekly Open (wOpen) coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the current downward wave, making it a significant resistance level. 100K (Psychological Level): A critical psychological barrier, also serving as a key level for setting stop-loss orders for short positions. Short Trade Setup A short position could be built in the range of 97K-98.3K, with the following parameters: Stop-Loss: Above 100K. Target: 84-80K range. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): A favorable 3:1 to 4:1, depending on laddered entries. Key Support Levels and Confluence Zone (80K-83K Region) The 80K-83K region stands out as a strong support zone due to multiple confluence factors: 1.) Fib Retracement Levels: 0.618 (82.7K): From the swing low of 67K to the ATH of 108K. 0.5 (80.45K): From the broader wave structure (52.5K to 108.35K). Negative Fib -0.618 (81.1K): From the current downward wave. 2.) Anchored VWAP: Anchored from 6th September 2024, currently aligning with the 82K level. 3.) ]Fib Speed Fan (0.618): Taken from the low at 52.5K to the ATH, intersecting with the 80-82K region around mid-to-late January. Long Trade Setup The 80K-83K support zone presents a strong opportunity for a long position for those who missed the previous uptrend: Entry Zone: Between 80K and 83K. Stop-Loss: Below 78K or lower. Target: 90K, which aligns with the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approximately 2:1 if entering from the 80K level.
Short
by SiDec
DOGE’s Next Move: Key Levels to WatchAfter a remarkable bull run from September to December 2024, DOGE concluded its rally with a rising wedge pattern, a sign of exhaustion. This structure also marked the completion of a 5-wave Elliott structure. The breakdown from the wedge came with a clean retest, followed by a significant drop. Current Market Outlook The new year began with a bullish rise, reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.364 (drawn from the high at $0.48434 to the low at $0.26216), a great short setup. Presently, DOGE appears to be forming an ABC corrective structure, with wave C in progress. Additionally, a Head and Shoulders pattern is developing, with the neckline sitting close to the yearly open at $0.316. Support and Confluence Zones 1.) Fibonacci Level: The 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement of the 5-wave structure is positioned at $0.2353, which aligns with the Head and Shoulders target for strong confluence. 2.) Fair Value Gap (FVG): There is an unfilled FVG and November’s untested high at $0.22888, which adds significant support confluence. 3.) Trend-Based Fib Extension: Using the Trend-Based Fib Extension from wave B, the 0.786 Fib lies near the $0.2353 - $0.22888 range for further alignment. 4.) Monthly Level: The monthly level at $0.22 strengthens the case for this zone being a critical support area. 5.) Fib Speed Fan: If price drops to the $0.2353 - $0.22 region between January 17th and the end of the month, the 0.75 Speed Fan Fibonacci will also align with the support zone, further emphasising its importance as the fair value trend line. Trade Setups Short Setup: Entry: Around the $0.397 0.618 Fib Retracement level Stop Loss: Above $0.43 Take Profit: Targeting around $0.25/24 Risk-to-Reward (R:R): ~5:1 Potential Long Setup: Entry: Within the $0.2353 - $0.22 support zone (confirmation needed) Stop Loss: Below $0.22 Take Profit: Targeting around $0.275
Short
by SiDec
Buying power is weakening - resistance 2724 good for SELLComment: 📌 The recent inflation data and comments from Fed official Waller put pressure on the US dollar, as traders grow increasingly confident that the US Central Bank might cut rates sooner rather than later. Waller did not dismiss the possibility of a rate cut at the March meeting, highlighting that inflation "is approaching our 2% target." Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, a voting member in 2025, expressed optimism that the labor market is stabilizing, as reported by The Wall Street Journal. Market participants are now pricing in nearly equal odds of the Fed implementing two rate cuts by the end of 2025, with the first reduction expected as early as June. XAU Trend: January 17 📌 Gold is reacting downward at the H4 2724 resistance zone, buying force is becoming weaker. Opportunity for sellers to push the price back to 2705, creating more liquidity for the market Signal:📌 SELL XAU 2723-2726 SL: 2731 | TP: 2715 - 2708 - 2700 Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FM-ForexMastermind
3
FINNIFTY FUT SEEMS NEGATIVEHERE, I am sharing my idea on Fin Nifty Fut at closing of 15th January, 2025. Important points are as below: 1) STRONG DEMAND ZONE is at 22,000 TO 21,750. 2) NEXT DEMAND ZONE is at 21,400 to 21,275. 3) STRONG SUPPLY ZONE is at 23,100 to 23,550. 4) Clear bounce back from 22,500 level. 5) Long term view is BEARISH RSI WITH SMA: RSI is still below it’s moving average but has crossed oversold level from below to above on 14th Jan. trading session. - We can expect further upside trend till our supply zone that is: 23,100 – 23,550. - As mentioned earlier, long term view is BEARISH, if Fin Nifty fails to breach this supply zone and start’s falling, it will be good opportunity to sell. - 1st target: 22,000 – 21,750 - 2nd target: 21,400 – 21,275 This is simply my attempt to predict Fin Nifty, I am not asking anyone to trade based on this idea.
NSE:FINNIFTY1!Short
by sharescomplex
How might the UK CPI report influence GBP/USD?UK CPI inflation unexpectedly dropped to 2.5% year-on-year from 2.7%. So how does this influence GBP/USD? The ongoing downturn in the UK bond market signals a bleak economic outlook and rising concerns about inflation during the presidency of Donald Trump’s second term. This scenario may compel the Bank of England (BoE) to implement significant interest rate cuts in response to the fragile economic conditions, potentially driving GBP/USD below 1.2000. When inflation falls beneath its target, it often indicates a slowdown in economic growth. In such cases, the BoE may opt to lower interest rates to make borrowing cheaper, aiming to encourage businesses to invest in growth-oriented projects. However, this tends to weaken the Pound, as lower interest rates reduce the UK’s appeal as a destination for international investors to allocate their funds.
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
HBAR on the Edge: Key Levels You Can't Miss!HBAR has been range-bound for over 40 days, trading between $0.3922 and $0.2341, following a rejection from the golden pocket zone. Let’s dive into the key resistance and support zones to identify potential trade setups. Support Zone Analysis Taking the entire bullish run from November, we observe the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement at $0.2169, which aligns perfectly with the anchored VWAP from the November lows, providing a strong support confluence. Adding to this, the negative Fibonacci extension of the current downside wave places the -0.666 Fibonacci level at $0.21778, further reinforcing this zone. Additionally, the lows around this area contain significant liquidity, likely targeting long-leverage positions, which increases the conviction for this support zone. The monthly level at $0.2217 also aligns with this area, making $0.217-$0.222 a highly reliable support zone for potential trade setups. Resistance Zone Analysis HBAR has recently broken below the yearly open level at $0.269, which now acts as a resistance. For those who missed the previous short entry, price action near $0.269 presents another opportunity for a short trade if price rises to this level, confirming its resistance. Chart Pattern & Volume Analysis The structure shows an inverted cup and handle pattern. Volume has been in steady decline throughout this trading range, indicating a pause in bullish momentum. Trade Setups Short Trade Entry: Around $0.269 (yearly open and key resistance zone) Stop-Loss: Above $0.285 Target: Support zone at $0.217-$0.222 Long Trade Entry: Around $0.217-$0.222 Stop-Loss: Below $0.210. Target: Retest of the previous lows at $0.235 R:R: 2:1, making it a decent trade.
Short
by SiDec
FIL on the Rise Eyeing a Breakout to $6+Key Observations 1. Channel Formation The price is attempting to move within an ascending channel formation. The lower trendline acts as support, while the upper trendline serves as resistance. 2.Current Price Action The price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel. To confirm bullish momentum, a strong 4-hour candle close above the channel is essential. 3. Resistance and Target A breakout above the channel indicates a bullish continuation, with the immediate target around $6+. $5.50 might act as minor resistance before the target. 4.Support Levels If the price fails to break out, the lower channel line (around $5.00) will serve as a critical support zone. A break below this support could invalidate the bullish scenario. 5. Volume Confirmation Monitor trading volume for confirmation. A breakout with high volume increases the likelihood of reaching the target. 6. Market Sentiment Current sentiment aligns with a potential bullish breakout if external factors like Bitcoin movement or news events don’t cause significant volatility. Strategy Entry: Wait for a confirmed 4-hour candle close above the upper trendline with support retest. Target: $6.00+ Stop-Loss : Below the channel’s lower boundary (e.g $4.90) The setup looks promising, but caution is advised due to market volatility. Always use proper risk management when trading.
by wolfchemist
Analyzing Litecoin (LTC/USDT): Key Trading Insights with Stop LoIn this article, we’ll analyze the recent price action of Litecoin (LTC/USDT) on the chart. Using a powerful indicator setup, we’ll explore potential trading opportunities and how to utilize stop-loss and take-profit levels effectively. Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned trader, understanding these insights can enhance your strategy. Support Level: Around $99.91, providing a solid base for potential bullish movement. Resistance Level: Near $103.36, which could act as a barrier to upward momentum. Trend: The market currently shows a slight retracement after a bullish move, indicating the need for caution. Risk Management: Stop Loss and Take Profit This chart integrates predefined Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) levels to minimize risk: Stop Loss (SL): Positioned below the recent low (e.g., $100.55), ensuring limited downside risk. Take Profit (TP): Placed near resistance zones (e.g., $103.07) to lock in profits when the price hits the target. These levels provide traders with a structured risk-reward ratio, optimizing their trades for better results.
Short
by Tradeaione