AUS200 - This is what I expect the trend for todayWe have review the market for the AUS200, but we are expecting further downtrend base on the chart which we have set up for AUS200.
PLEASE NOTE: We are not enter this trade today.
We would consider short at 8012.60, with stop loss either at 8030.40 or 8062.7
target would be 7973.60
and target 2 at 7941.50
Shortsetup
Trendline H1 ! Set up SELL, test support⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
GBPAUD today will have notable GBP news, affecting current prices. Trade with today's news data
⭐️ SET UP GBPAUD PRICE:
🔥SELL zone: 1.96300 - 1.96500 NOW SL 1.96800
TP1: 1.96000
TP2: 1.95500
TP3: 1.94000
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Trendline H1 , test support and NEWS GBP TODAY
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Adapting for the Perfect Short Setup on CRYPTO30As CRYPTO30 consolidates, we’re nearing a potential short setup that echoes the ideal conditions from late August. Here's how I plan to approach this trade, focusing on volatility and Bollinger Band dynamics.
Why the CRYPTO30 Index?
The CRYPTO30 Index aggregates the price movements of the top 30 cryptocurrencies by market cap, providing a broad view of the overall crypto market. Using this index helps gauge general sentiment, as it reflects how the majority of leading cryptos are moving in tandem. By focusing on CRYPTO30, I can analyze the market's collective behavior, which often leads individual coins. This makes it a valuable tool for timing short positions, as large-scale sentiment changes are easier to spot in an index than in single assets.
Previous Setup: The Perfect Short on August 25
On August 25, we encountered an ideal shorting opportunity as price and volatility reached overbought levels. The key signal was when the ATR% closed back inside the 2 standard deviation Bollinger Band, indicating volatility was contracting. This provided a low-risk, high-reward setup, as the market was primed for a pullback.
Trade Exit Strategy
For that August 25 trade, my exit criteria were straightforward:
-20% Profit Target, or
-ATR% closes back outside the 2 standard deviation high volatility (red) zone.
This allowed me to maximize potential gains while protecting against expanding volatility, which could lead to an adverse market move.
Current Market Outlook
Now, volatility is compressing again, as indicated by the declining ATR%. My primary setup is waiting for the ATR% to close back inside the 2-stdev Bollinger Band. This would be the ideal short entry, as it signals overbought conditions with volatility contracting, similar to August 25.
Adapted Short Entry Strategy
However, if the market doesn’t give me that perfect entry and instead begins to reject from current levels, I’ll adapt. In this case, I’ll enter a short if the price closes inside the red Bollinger Band channel (2-3 standard deviations), signaling a potential overbought reversal.
Adapted Exit Strategy
For this adapted scenario, my exit strategy will also change.
-I will exit the trade if: The price closes outside the red Bollinger Band channel before moving 2 standard deviations after entering it. This exit minimizes risk in case of a false breakout or quick market reversal.
Indicators to Watch
ATR Percentage & Bollinger Bands: I use an indicator that combines both ATR% and Bollinger Bands. I’m watching for ATR% to drop inside the 2-stdev band or for price rejection inside the red channel.
Z-Score & Z-Score of RSI: These indicators help confirm overbought/oversold conditions, adding further confirmation to my short setup.
Trading Plan
Primary Short Entry (Ideal Setup): I’ll enter a short when the ATR% closes back inside the 2-stdev Bollinger Band, mimicking the August 25 trade for optimal risk-reward.
Adapted Short Entry: If the market doesn’t provide the ideal setup, I’ll adapt and enter when the price closes inside the red Bollinger Band channel (2-3 standard deviations), indicating potential overbought conditions.
Trade Exit Strategy
-20% Profit Target: I’ll exit the trade at a 20% profit.
-ATR% Breakout: Alternatively, if the ATR% closes outside the 2-stdev high volatility zone, I’ll exit to manage risk.
-Adapted Scenario Exit: If the price closes outside the red Bollinger Band channel before moving 2 standard deviations after entry, I’ll exit to minimize risk from a false breakout.
Risk Management
-Stop Loss: My stop will be placed just above the Bollinger Band or near the entry point, depending on the setup, ensuring minimal risk.
-Profit Target: I’ll aim for a mean reversion toward the middle Bollinger Band or secure profits at the 20% level.
This strategy hinges on volatility compression and overbought conditions. My ideal short entry remains when ATR% closes back inside the 2-stdev Bollinger Band, but I’m ready to adapt and enter if the price closes inside the red Bollinger Band channel.
I’ll manage exits based on either hitting a 20% profit, ATR% expanding, or the price closing outside the red Bollinger Band before moving 2 standard deviations.
Why Trade High-Beta Coins on Bybit?
When trading derivatives, high-beta coins (beta > 1.5) offer significant opportunities due to their higher volatility relative to the broader market. Beta is a measure of an asset's sensitivity to market movements. Coins with a beta above 1.5 tend to move more aggressively than the overall market, which can work in favor of a trader looking to capitalize on price fluctuations.
For example:
ARBUSDT , AVAXUSDT , FILUSDT , NEARUSDT , SOLUSDT , and TONUSDT are all coins with high beta values.
Advantages of Trading High-Beta Coins
Increased Volatility: High-beta coins tend to experience larger price swings compared to the market average. For derivative traders, this increased volatility translates into more profit opportunities when positioned correctly.
Amplified Returns: When the market trends strongly, these coins will usually move with a higher magnitude, meaning the potential for gains is larger than with low-beta assets.
Directional Bets: If you have a strong conviction on market direction (bullish or bearish), high-beta coins allow for bigger moves, enhancing profitability in derivative trades like futures or perpetual contracts.
Hedge Opportunities: Traders can also use high-beta assets to hedge more stable positions or portfolios, as their exaggerated movements can offset losses elsewhere.
Gold price continues to go sideways - adjusting downward⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) reversed course from near-record highs and dropped below the $2,500 level after Friday's US jobs report. The mixed data lowered expectations of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed, leading to some US Dollar recovery and putting pressure on gold.
However, fears of a US economic downturn and ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas kept demand for safe-haven assets like gold steady. These factors, along with the potential start of the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle, caution against a bearish outlook for XAU/USD.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price adjusts to a short-term decrease - creating more liquidity for the expectation of price increase to create a new ATH
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2472 - $2470 SL $2465
TP1: $2480
TP2: $2490
TP3: $2500
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2505 - $2507 SL $2512
TP1: $2498
TP2: $2490
TP3: $2480
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
EUR/USD Short – Targeting 1.1033 as USD Strengthens EUR/USD is showing bearish momentum as we approach the New York open. The USD is displaying strength, and we anticipate a continuation of the downtrend. This short setup targets the 1.1033 area, capitalizing on the current market sentiment.
Chart Analysis:
• Bearish Trend: The 15-minute chart indicates a clear downtrend with recent price action confirming lower highs and lower lows.
• Target: The initial target for this short setup is the 1.1033 area, where we expect to see some support.
• Risk Management: Ensure a stop-loss is placed above the most recent high to protect against potential reversals.
USD Strength: The USD is gaining momentum, supported by positive economic data and increasing expectations for tighter monetary policy. The overall market sentiment is favoring the dollar, putting pressure on EUR/USD.
• New York Session Dynamics: The NY session often brings increased volatility, particularly when it aligns with strong trends. Given the current setup, the market may push further down as liquidity enters during the NY open.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
XAU / USD ! 9/9 ! SIDEWAY continue to decreaseXAU / USD trend forecast September 9, 2024
According to the data, Fed interest rate probabilities fluctuated sharply. Based on CME FedWatch Tool data, at some point, traders priced a 50 bps cut with odds rising as high as 70%. Nevertheless, as the dust settled, market participants estimated that a 25 bps cut was more likely as the chances of it rose by 73%, while for a 50 bps cut they decreased to 27%.
In the meantime, Fed policymakers crossed the newswire. New York Fed President John Williams said that lowering rates soon will help to keep the labor market balanced. Fed Governor Christopher Waller echoed some of his comments at a speech at the University of Notre Dame. He said, “The time has come” to begin easing policy and revealed that he was open to any size of easing.
Based on H2, resistance and EMA 200 line to set up SELL signal
/// SELL XAU : zone 2505-2507
SL: 2513
TP: 50 - 150 - 200 pips (2487)
Safe and profitable trading
BHARAT ELECTRONICS in my Watchlist! Big Short Setup FormingBHARAT ELECTRONICS in my Watchlist! Big Short Setup Forming
The last long trade from 12 April, 2023 is at its reversal point giving us a 170 gains in 518 days.
If today's 1D candle turns red, this could be a good short entry for long term traders and swing traders in 1D time frame.
I will update this trade post 3:30 if this candle turns red and confirms a Short trade.
Let's see how it goes from here.
DYOR before following other's trades blindly.
Bharat Dynamics BDL Short Setup on 1D Daily TF on RisologialBharat Dynamics BDL Short Setup on 1D Daily TF on Risologial
After 125% upside rally, BDL has given signs of a possible SHORT trade.
The BDL price is crossing under the Risological trend line, and if we see a red candle today, it is a sign of a good short trade.
Once the trade is confirmed, the Risological swing trading indicator will set the Entry, stoploss and profit targets for this trade.
I will update on this trade post 3:30 closing.
Take care.
Namaste!
XRP - SHORT to 45cBINANCE:XRPUSDT
It seems like we in the drop I predicted a few days ago (find here👇):
I really just watched the rotation between Bitcoin, Alts and Bitcoin dominance which gave me a good idea of where we are in the cycle compared to the previous years. See also👇:
Naturally, alts will fall harder than BTC and there will be a few shorting opportunities across the market right now.
____________________________
NF September! Opportunities or challenges for XAU⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are struggling to build on their recent recovery, hovering in a narrow range below the $2,525 mark during Friday's Asian session. Traders are cautious, awaiting the key US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Meanwhile, expectations of a larger Fed rate cut later this month keep the US Dollar in check, supporting gold.
Mixed US employment data this week has raised concerns about the weakening labor market, further fueling demand for the safe-haven metal amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. As a result, gold is poised for a potential breakout and modest weekly gains, with its upside prospects looking favorable.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
There will still be a bearish VIEW for XAU, before the news of FED's interest rate reduction. Today's NF is also expected to be good for the dollar
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2499 - $2497 SL $2494 scalping
TP1: $2503
TP2: $2508
TP3: $2515
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2450 - $2452 SL $2445
TP1: $2460
TP2: $2470
TP3: $2480
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2529 - $2532 SL $2536
TP1: $2520
TP2: $2510
TP3: $2500
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Japan225 Daily Short: Targeting Downside After 0.7 Fib Retraceme This trade is based on the daily chart of Japan225, where the price has recently retraced to the 0.7 Fibonacci level, presenting a potential opportunity for a downside move. The current market structure indicates a possible reversal from the recent highs, with a key resistance area marked by the red zone on the chart.
Key Levels:
• Entry: The trade is entered near the 0.7 Fib retracement level, capitalizing on the potential for a pullback.
• Target: The target is set at the lower green zone, aligning with a previous support level where buyers may re-enter the market.
• Stop-Loss: A stop-loss is placed above the recent high, as indicated by the upper red zone, to manage risk if the price continues to climb.
Rationale:
The Japan225 has shown a significant retracement up to the 0.7 Fibonacci level, which often acts as a strong resistance area. The daily timeframe provides a broader perspective, suggesting that the price may now face downward pressure. This setup seeks to capitalize on the expected reversal, aiming for a move lower in the upcoming sessions.
Risk Management:
With a clearly defined stop-loss and a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, this trade minimizes risk while allowing for substantial downside potential. As always, adjustments will be made based on market behavior.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
USDCAD - Losing Steam - Shorting the Mid RetestI’ve been tracking this one for a while, and I believe it’s time to short this area after the significant bearish signal right at the top, which resulted in a failed breakout.
After several months of accumulation and various breakout attempts that ultimately fell back into the range, it has now dropped below the mid-level. For me, this is a clear short signal.
If it reclaims the mid-level solidly before my invalidation point, I’ll consider closing my position manually. For now, I’m targeting the range low.
XAU ! NF ! decision for the market to fall sharplyXAU / USD trend forecast September 6, 2024
The ADP National Employment Report released Thursday showed that US private-sector jobs increased by 99,000 in August, the smallest rise since January 2021, missing the forecast of 145,000. July’s figure was also revised down to 111,000 from 122,000. Additionally, job openings fell to 7.673 million in July, a three-and-a-half-year low, indicating a weakening labor market.
Sideway below 2500 is a good signal for Gold in the near future, waiting for interest rate cut in September 2024
Based on H4, resistance and EMA 200 line to set up SELL signal
/// SELL XAU : zone 2528-2531
SL: 2536
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2501)
Safe and profitable trading
XAU decreased! PMI ! Important data today⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices edged higher during the Asian session on Thursday, building on their rebound from near two-week lows around $2,472. A US labor market report on Wednesday showed job openings dropping to a three-and-a-half-year low, fueling speculation of a larger Fed rate cut in September, which supports the non-yielding metal. Concerns about the US economy also drive investors toward safe-haven assets like gold.
However, strong buying momentum is lacking as traders remain cautious ahead of Friday’s key Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Thursday’s ADP employment report, Weekly Jobless Claims, and ISM Services PMI may offer short-term opportunities, but expectations for upcoming Fed rate cuts continue to support gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The financial market was shaken by the news that the FED lowered interest rates in September, fearing an economic recession. Gold also found it difficult to avoid the general sentiment, continuing to reduce and adjust more strongly.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2472 - $2470 SL $2467 scalping
TP1: $2478
TP2: $2483
TP3: $2490
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2451 - $2453 SL $2446
TP1: $2460
TP2: $2470
TP3: $2480
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2506 - $2508 SL $2513
TP1: $2495
TP2: $2480
TP3: $2460
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Peloton Short - Thanks for the rideStoryline: CFO sold shares + (bad economic data incoming?)
Chart: Weekly high broken, retrace due as usual.
Question: Was that whole pump really reasonable?
You can bet that the majority of retail investors bought (as always) on the very top during this wonderful pump and now just patiently waits to feel the real pain of retracement. I doubt in general, that this was a major turnaround for the company, yet.
No-Haggle Pricing | Stay FlyWhat's up, Fresh - it's our turn, baby...
Circling back to our discussion on the BLS choosing to withhold the release Total Vehicle Sales for August 2024 ( in an effort to hide the disaster that is the current state of the global economy ), this baddie is setting up for a scrumptious buy opportunity.
Idea: short NYSE:KMX and then take your winnings and buy yourself a fly ride. While you're at it, cop you some gator boots and gucci suit. From there, get you a quarter tank of gas, and you're set.
... and then I heard BOOM from the amplifiers.