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$MSTR quick phone idea for 5/23; Short 0DTEThis name seems to have lost steam. I’m all for Saylor and what he believes in but currently this feels set up for a nasty short. Strategy has had numerous monster days to the downside and upside. This thing had a $150 intraday swing off its $550 high. Tomorrow, 5/23, I am going to enter a possible 5-7% short that expires 5/23. Just a quick idea here as I can’t post charts from phone into minds section. Check you guys tomorrow and I’ll be sure to update this. $375, $380, $385.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by wallstreetloser001
ETH — Bull Flag or Trap? Trade Plan with TargetsETH is setting the stage for its next major move — and the chart is packed with clues. After completing Wave 3 at $2738.50, ETH has entered a corrective phase, forming what looks like a bullish flag. But beneath the surface, smart money levels are aligning: VWAP, Fibs, key levels, and liquidity traps are all converging around one high-probability zone. This analysis breaks down both the long and short setups, backed by real confluence and clean R:R opportunities. Whether you’re planning to snipe the reversal near support or fade the rally at resistance, you’ll walk away with a clear trade plan and deeper insight into how price reacts at precision levels. Let’s get into it. 🟢 Bullish Scenario: Long Setup with Deep Confluence After a fakeout pump into the golden pocket of this minor downtrend (typical for a Sunday), ETH rejected cleanly at the upper resistance of the bull flag channel. We're now watching for the swing low at $2406.63 to be swept, setting up a potential SFP (Swing Failure Pattern) at a highly confluent support zone: 🔍 Confluence at the $2390–$2360 Zone: Anchored VWAP from the Wave 3 origin at $1752 is sitting at $2390 Trend-Based Fib Extension 1:1 of the correction lands at $2386.84 Liquidity pool just under the recent swing low 0.382 Fib retracement of the entire Wave 3 at $2361.66 0.618 Fib Speed Resistance Fan intersects this zone Lower bull flag support line also aligns This makes the $2390–$2362 zone a high-probability bounce area. 📌 Plan: Laddered long entries between $2390–$2362, watching closely for a clean SFP or reversal signal. Target 1: $3000 psychological level Target 2: 0.618 Fib retracement at $3067.71 (potential Wave 5 top) Stop-loss: Below previous yearly open (can be tightened after confirmation) R:R: 1:5 or better after SL adjustment 🔴 Bearish Scenario: Short Setup at Key Rejection Zone If ETH makes a move up to complete the 5th wave, we monitor $3067.71 — the 0.618 retracement of the entire corrective leg — as a key resistance. If price rejects here with momentum loss or bearish structure: 📌 Plan: Short on confirmed rejection of $3067.71 Stop-loss: Above $3211 (above 0.666 Fib) Target: Previous high near $2700 or lower R:R: 1:2 or better depending on entry and structure 🧠 Educational Insight: Why Confluence Increases Probability Many traders chase setups based on single indicators. Real edge comes from stacking independent tools: VWAPs, Fibs, FVGs etc... When they align, the setup isn’t random — it’s high conviction. This strategy gives you a framework to anticipate where price is likely to move and why, rather than reacting emotionally. Patience and preparation will always outperform panic and reaction. Trade the plan — not the impulse. ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
20
HBAR Masterclass: Fib Precision + ConfluenceHBAR has been a dream to chart lately — beautifully technical, clean reactions, and a strong respect for structure. When a chart follows fibs this precisely, charting becomes fun — like solving a puzzle that pays. You stop forcing trades and start enjoying the process. Let’s break down where the next high-probability trade setup lies — and why. Elliott Wave Context HBAR recently completed a 5-wave impulse structure and is now unfolding a ABC correction: ✅ Wave A: Broke below Wave 4's low ✅ Wave B: Rejected cleanly at the 0.618 retracement of Wave A 🔄 Wave C: Currently unfolding, with price structure hinting at a Head & Shoulders forming to the downside Interestingly, HBAR has been bouncing between golden ratios like a Fibonacci pinball machine. — reinforcing how well this asset respects technical structure. 🟢 Long Opportunity: The Golden Pocket Zone By pulling Fibonacci retracement from the entire 5-wave leg (from $0.16941 to $0.22885), we uncover the golden pocket: 0.618 Fib → $0.19212 0.666 Fib → $0.18926 But what really strengthens this zone is the confluence: 📍 21-Day EMA → $0.19361 📍 21-Day SMA → $0.19229 📍 Anchored VWAP from the $0.15396 low → ~$0.19135 📍 4/1 Gann Fan support (if reached between May 15–17) Together, they form a tight support band between: 🎯 $0.195 – $0.18926 📐 How We Projected the 1.618 Target Here’s where the magic of planning comes in. If Wave C finishes within this golden pocket, we can anticipate the next move by applying a trend-based Fibonacci extension. This gives us a realistic projection for the next impulsive move: 📈 1.618 extension lands at → $0.28654 This level also aligns with the yearly level and previous key high — forming an ideal final target 📘 Educational Insight: Why Golden Pockets Matter In trading, the “golden pocket” — the 0.618-0.666 Fibonacci retracement zone — is often where high-probability reversals take place. It’s a zone where buyers (or sellers) return with conviction after a correction. When this area also aligns with EMAs, anchored VWAPs, Gann levels etc. and previous structure, it becomes more than just a level — it becomes a decision zone. This is where confluence transforms a trade idea into a trade setup. 🟢 Long Trade Setup: Entry: Laddered between $0.195 – $0.18926 Stop-Loss: Below $0.185 Take-Profit: $0.28654 R:R: ~10:1 Potential Gain: ~+50% 🔴 Short Setup (If Rejected at Extension): If price hits $0.28654 and shows exhaustion or bearish reversal patterns (SFP, engulfing candle, volume spike), a short could be considered: Entry: ~$0.286 Stop-Loss: $0.2967 (better above $0.3) Target: $0.2622 R:R: ~2:1 HBAR is giving us a textbook case of structure, rhythm, and precision. Whether it’s the golden pocket, the 1.618 extension, or the alignment of multiple tools — this is how clean setups are built. Set your alerts. Trust the plan. Let the chart come to you. In trading, silence is a skill — knowing when not to act is as powerful as knowing when to strike. ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
37
NEAR’s Pullback Zone Found — Is $4 Next?NEAR just pulled off a +50% rally from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2.224 — a strong show of force from the bulls. After that explosive move, price is now cooling off in a consolidation phase, preparing for the next leg higher. 🟢 Long Setup — Dip Before Lift? The next high-probability long zone lies between: $3.026 – $2.94 Possible but less likely of a deeper dip to $2.78 (0.5 Fib of the recent move) Long entries can be laddered between $3.00 and $2.90 (even $2.80 if volatility kicks in). Stop-Loss: Below the daily 21 EMA ($2.7344) and 21 SMA ($2.6739) Target: $4.00 R:R: ~4:1 — clean and structured This setup aligns with standard continuation behaviour after strong impulses — consolidation, retrace, and resume. 🔴 Short Setup (on Rejection at $4.00) Entry: ~$4.00 Stop-Loss: Above $4.25 Target: Yearly open (~$3.65) R:R: ~1.5:1 — not ideal, but valid on confirmation 🎯 Summary NEAR is consolidating after a strong move — either ready to continue higher or retest deeper into Fib support Long zone: $3.00–$2.90 (poss. $2.80) Short zone: $4.00 (on rejection only) Simple structure, clean risk, and nothing forced — exactly how it should be. Sometimes, less is more. Let price show the next move. Stay ready. 📈 ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
10
ADA Correction Nearing Completion — Trade It Like a ProADA is respecting structure beautifully and currently consolidating after completing a 5-wave impulse move. The key question now is: where are the next high-probability trade setups? Let’s break it down step by step. Market Structure & Elliott Context ADA has completed a full 5-wave bullish sequence, and—as expected—is now in a correction phase. This appears to be forming a classic ABC correction. Using the Fibonacci retracement tool: 0.5 retracement of the entire move sits at → $0.7534 This aligns perfectly with the previous swing high at $0.746 — a level that has yet to be retested The 1:1 trend-based Fib extension of a potential ABC correction puts Wave C at → $0.7492 Confluence Check: This entire support zone (~$0.75) is stacked with technical alignment: ✅ Previous swing high: $0.746 ✅ 0.5 Fib retracement: $0.7534 ✅ 1:1 extension: $0.7492 ✅ Daily 21 EMA: $0.7455 ✅ Daily 21 SMA: $0.7347 ✅ Point of Control (POC): ~$0.7318 ✅ Anchored VWAP: Also sitting in this zone ✅ Pitchfork golden pocket: Aligns as dynamic support All of these support indicators point to one thing: this ~$0.75 zone is a high-probability long entry area. 🟢 Long Setup Entry zone: Ladder between $0.77 – $0.75 Average entry: ~$0.76 Stop-loss: Below $0.7318 (under POC) Target: $0.9212 (0.618 retracement of the recent down wave) R:R: ~5:1 Potential upside: +22% 🔴 Short Setup (on Rejection Only) Entry: $0.9212 (0.618 Fib retracement of downtrend) Stop-loss: Above 0.666 Fib → ~$0.958 Target: previous swing high or yearly open R:R: ~1.4:1 (it can be adjusted tighter upon confirmation) This short setup isn’t ideal in terms of R:R unless we see clear rejection. But with confirmation — like an SFP, bearish engulfing, or divergence — the stop can be tightened, making the risk-to-reward much more favourable. 📘 Educational Insight: Why Structure Beats Emotion In trading, the strongest setups occur where multiple tools converge—Fib levels, EMAs, VWAP, volume zones, and past price action. When these align, it’s not about guessing—it’s about preparing. The key is to wait for structure to come to you, not the other way around. Patience allows clarity. Clarity allows precision. And precision pays. 💡 Final Thoughts The plan is clear. Levels are set. Now it’s just observation and discipline. Good trades don’t chase attention — they present themselves to those who wait. ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
14
XRP Correction Complete? — Long Setup Aligned with Fib & OBXRP has completed a 5-wave impulse move. As expected, XRP is now in a corrective phase, pulling back after rejecting from a key resistance — and it’s doing so with technical precision. The question now: where is the next high-probability long setup? Let’s break it down. 🧠 Market Structure & Key Zones Using Fibonacci retracement from the base of the 5-wave impulse, we now have a potential golden pocket target aligned with major confluence. 🔽 Support Zone 🔹 0.618 Fib retracement: $2.2982 🔹 Daily Bullish Order Block: $2.2949 🔹 Daily 21 EMA: $2.329 🔹 Daily 21 SMA: $2.301 🔹 Liquidity pool 🔹 0.786 Fib Speed Fan (only if price drops between May 17–18) This creates a high-confluence support cluster at ~$2.3 — a prime candidate for a long re-entry. 🟢 Long Trade Setup Entry: Ladder between $2.32 and $2.28 Stop-loss: ~$2.21 Target: $2.7175 (0.618 Fib retracement of the corrective downtrend) R:R: ~5:1 🔴 Short Setup (Conditional) Trigger: Rejection at $2.7175 Entry: ~$2.7175 Stop-loss: Above $2.8033 (0.666 Fib) → set at ~$2.811 Take Profit: ~$2.56 or lower R:R: ~2:1+ (dependent on entry confirmation and PA behaviour) Shorts only valid if a clear rejection or SFP pattern emerges. If momentum is strong, this level may break — so wait for structure to confirm. 📘 Educational Insight: Why Confluence Matters Too often, traders chase single-indicator signals. But real edge comes from confluence — when multiple tools (Fibs, MAs, Order Blocks, Liquidity, VWAPs, FVG, Speed Fans etc.) agree on the same zone. This alignment not only increases confidence in your entry, but also sharpens your risk management. Think of it as building a case — the more aligned evidence you have, the stronger your trade thesis becomes. 📌 Summary XRP is in a corrective phase after a 5-wave impulse Clean rejection from weekly resistance → continuation of bearish trend Long zone: ~$2.3 SL: ~$2.21 | TP: $2.7175 | R:R ~5:1 Optional short: $2.7175 rejection → SL $2.811 | TP $2.56 Precision isn’t about predicting — it’s about being ready when the chart speaks with clarity. Patience makes probability powerful. ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
11
VIRTUAL TA Masterclass — Elliott Wave Meets Gartley HarmonicVIRTUAL has been on fire! Printing a clean 5-wave Elliott impulse with a +431% run in just 33 days. But after every strong trend comes a healthy correction, and that’s where we likely are now. Trading below key resistance and showing signs of exhaustion. The question: Where is the next high probability trade setup? Let’s break down what the chart is telling us. 🧠 Structure Overview Wave 5 peaked at $2.2169 Wave A dropped -25% Wave B bounced +30% Currently: VIRTUAL's trading under the $2 psychological level and weekly open ($2.0358) → signs of momentum cooling A corrective Wave C is likely underway, and all signs point toward a very specific zone. ⚠️ Liquidity Dynamics The longer VIRTUAL grinds sideways near $2.00 without showing real momentum, the more vulnerable late long positions become: Retail traders are buying resistance SLs are likely clustered just below Wave A’s low This creates a liquidity pocket waiting to be swept — perfect fuel for Wave C 🔍 The $1.58–$1.47 Support Cluster: 14 Layers of Confluence This zone isn’t guesswork — it’s loaded with technical overlap: 1️⃣ 1:1 Trend-Based Fib Extension of Wave A → $1.573 2️⃣ Monthly Open → $1.5354 3️⃣ 0.382 Fib Retracement of the entire rally → $1.5295 4️⃣ Bullish Fair Value Gap → $1.57–$1.53 5️⃣ Anchored VWAP from ATH → ~$1.46 6️⃣ Anchored VWAP from Wave 3 → ~$1.46 7️⃣ 0.618 Fib Speed Fan Support (~end of May timing) 8️⃣ 4H 233 SMA → ~$1.52 9️⃣ 4H 200 EMA → ~$1.52 🔟 Daily 200 SMA → $1.5251 1️⃣1️⃣ Weekly 21 SMA → $1.462 (reinforces the VWAP zone) 1️⃣2️⃣ Declining Daily Volume → momentum weakening 1️⃣3️⃣ Liquidity Pool below Wave A → likely to be swept 1️⃣4️⃣ $2 = Golden Pocket Resistance + Psychological Barrier 🔴 Short Trade Setup (Active as Long as SFP Holds) For those favouring downside continuation toward the Wave C target, a short setup is in play: Entry: Weekly open retest around $2.0358 Stop-loss: Above SFP high at $2.143 Target: 1:1 Trend-Based Fib Extension of Wave A → $1.573 or the Swing Low of Wave A at $1.647 R:R ≈ 1:4 — a solid, well-structured short opportunity As long as price remains below the SFP and the $2.00 golden pocket resistance, bears maintain control. 🟢 Long Trade Setup Entry: Ladder between $1.58–$1.47 Avg. Entry: ~$1.53 SL: Below $1.40 TP1: $1.88 (local resistance) → R:R ≈ 1:2.5 TP2: $3.33 (0.618 Fib of entire bear market) → R:R ≈ 1:12 👉 Bonus TP for Harmonic Setup: 0.618 Fib of CD leg ✨ Bonus Confluence: Potential bullish Gartley Harmonic in Play VIRTUAL is also forming a valid Gartley harmonic pattern — one of the most reliable reversal setups in classical trading theory. 🔸 XA: B retraced to 0.602 → ✅ (criterion: ~0.618) 🔸 AB: C retraced 0.87 → ✅ (valid range: 0.382–0.886) 🔸 CD: Projected to complete at 0.786 of XA → ~$1.474   • CD is a 1.356 expansion of BC   • AB ≈ CD symmetry is valid   • TP = 0.618 retracement of CD leg This adds even more weight to the $1.47–$1.53 buy zone. 📘 Educational Takeaway The best setups don’t rely on one method — they align multiple disciplines. Here, we have Elliott Waves, Fibonacci retracements, anchored VWAPs, volume structure, moving averages, time symmetry, and now a harmonic pattern — all pointing to the same opportunity. Most traders never wait for alignment. That’s why most lose. 💬 Final Words ✍️ Smart trading isn’t about always being in a trade — it’s about being in the right one at the right time. While others FOMO at $2, you wait for the right opportunity to come to you — where structure, liquidity, and probability all shake hands. The patient are rewarded. Always. ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Short
by SiDec
1
$GOOGL the pattern is there, target $152, short setup.NASDAQ:GOOGL You tell me. This looks so ready to go back below $150. My target is $152. I am entering puts right now with a strike price of $150 for 6/20 starting at $1.33 entry. I will add some on a push towards $167-$168. I will give up if it pushes through or holds at $170. This just looks to good TECHNICALLY in my opinion. I will keep you updated. I am willing to watch this position go down 65% where I will consider selling; looking at price and time to expiration. We are not out of the weeds yet when it comes to political rhetoric regarding tariffs even though this name shouldn't be affected by such because it is software, nothing physical but when the idea of tariffs are spewed the market as a whole reacts in negatively. WSL.
NASDAQ:GOOGLShort
by wallstreetloser001
SUI — Breakout or Breakdown? Long & Short SetupsSUI has been trapped in a trading range for the past 6 days, consolidating between key levels and building up liquidity for the next big move. When price goes quiet like this after an impulsive structure, it’s not time to trade—it’s time to observe, analyse, and prepare. So, where’s the next high-probability setup? Let’s break it down: 🔹 Elliott Wave Context From my previous SUI analysis, I identified a completed 5-wave impulse structure. After such a move, a corrective ABC pattern is typically next. SUI has been respecting technical levels with surprising accuracy throughout this cycle—especially Fibonacci levels and key horizontal zones. 📉 ABC Correction in Progress? Wave A appears to be completed, and Wave B was rejected at the yearly level in perfect confluence with the golden pocket (0.618–0.666) retracement of Wave A. This strongly suggests that Wave C is now unfolding. Using the 1:1 trend-based Fib extension, the projected Wave C target lands at: ➡️ $3.6413 Let’s dig deeper—does this level hold up under further scrutiny? 🔍 Multi-Layered Confluence at $3.56–$3.64 Here’s what aligns at this potential support zone: 1:1 Fib extension (Wave A = Wave C) → $3.6413 0.55 Fib retracement (from $3.1132 to $4.2967) → ~$3.64 Volume Profile POC from prior range → ~$3.59 0.618 Fib retracement → $3.5653 Weekly level → $3.5594 21-Day EMA → $3.5537 21-Day SMA → $3.6319 0.75 Fib Speed Fan (if hit on May 16) → aligns with zone This stack of levels gives us a tightly packed, high-conviction support area between: 📍 $3.56 – $3.646 ___________________________________ 🟢 Long Setup Idea: Entry Zone: Ladder entries between $3.56 and $3.75 Stop-Loss: $3.4546 (beneath confluence zone) Take-Profit Target: $4.588 (0.786 Fib retracement + -0.236 Fib extension) R:R: ~5:1 🚫 Invalidation: If SUI reclaims the yearly level at $4.1152 before revisiting this support, the setup is invalidated. 🔴 Short Setup Idea: If SUI pushes into the 0.786 Fib retracement at $4.588 and shows clear rejection (e.g., SFP, bearish engulfing, high-volume reversal), a short can be considered. Entry: On rejection at $4.588 Stop-Loss: ~$4.714 Targets: TP1: $4.325 (recent highs) TP2: $4.1152 (yearly level) 🧠 Final Thoughts: This is where trading becomes a game of patience. I’ve mapped both long and short setups based on structure, confluence, and price behaviour. Now it’s about waiting for price to come to your levels. ⏰ Alarms set. 📈 Let the chart do the work. More updates to come as the range resolves. Stay sharp! ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
COINBASE:SUIUSDLong
by SiDec
12
APPLY CAUTION EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
SOL Trade Blueprint: Waiting for the High-Conviction EntryAfter printing a SFP at the key high of $180.52 followed by a sharp -8% rejection, SOL made a second attempt to breach the major resistance zone between $180–$185 — but once again, bulls fell short. Since then, price has been in a corrective phase. So the big question is: where’s the next high-probability trade setup? Let’s zoom out and break it down. 📏 Zooming Out: Structure, FVG & Fib Confluence Back on May 8th, SOL broke through the April 25th swing high at $157 with strong momentum, leaving behind an untested Fair Value Gap (FVG) — a key displacement area that’s yet to be filled. When we draw the Fibonacci retracement from the low of that move to the current high, the 0.618 retracement lands precisely at $157.34 — right on the old breakout high. That’s a beautiful confluence. Timing-wise, if SOL pulls back to that level between May 21–22, the 0.75 Fib speed fan also kicks in — adding dynamic trendline support to the static Fib level. 📉 What About the $164 Golden Pocket? There's a golden pocket forming around $164 from a recent mini-impulse, and while it may look tempting, context matters. This pocket isn't supported by enough confluence — no major structure, volume shelf, or EMA alignment. For a quick scalp? Yes. But for a high-conviction swing? It's not ideal. Remember, in trading we're not here to chase every candle — we're here to wait for the setups that stack the most reasons to say yes. 📍 The Zone to Watch: $157 Now let’s talk about that $157 zone — and why it’s standing out as the highest-probability long setup: 0.618 Fib retracement of the major impulse Retest of the breakout swing high Untested Fair Value Gap (FVG) 233 EMA + 233 SMA on the 4H timeframe lining up as dynamic support 1.5 outer pitchfork support line crossing through 1:1 trend-based Fib extension confluence Prior area of interest This is what we call a “stacked setup.” The more layers of confluence, the more conviction we have in the trade. Add to that the potential for a liquidity sweep (SFP) just below the current low at $159.44 — and it becomes a zone worth watching closely. 🎯 Long Setup: Entry: $157–$159.44 (watch for SFP confirmation) Stop-Loss: Below $154 Target: $200 R:R: Approx. 1:12 — a setup worth being patient for 🧠 Educational Note: Why Confluence Is King High-probability trades don’t come from guessing. They come from stacking confluence: structure, Fibonacci, moving averages, time-based levels, pitchforks, VWAPs, volume profiles — the more that lines up, the less you need to hope and the more you can trust your edge. Think like a sniper, not a machine gun. The market rewards patience and precision — not noise and FOMO. 🔻 Short Setup (Alternative Play) While we’re primarily bullish, there’s a valid short opportunity at the psychological $200 mark — but only if price shows clear rejection and confirmation (e.g. SFP, bearish engulfing, high volume reversal). Entry: $200 rejection Stop-Loss: Above $205 Target: $185–$180 R:R: Approx. 1:3+ 🔥 Final Words: Trade With Purpose This is what trading is about — not chasing green candles, but waiting for structure, clarity, and alignment. Whether you’re trading long or short, focus on high-conviction setups backed by logic and levels, not emotion. Don’t trade for action. Trade for precision. The market will always reward the patient ones who are willing to wait for that clean entry, stacked with reasons to act. Trust the process, stay disciplined, and let the charts do the talking. 💪📈 ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
43
Rising wedge on SPY - Melt up? or Next leg down? Immediate Bias (Tomorrow): Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Low Probability unless there's a macro catalyst): Breaks above ~$596–$598 cleanly Retests that zone as support (watch 595.50 intraday) Then targets: 600 psychological 604–608 upper resistance channel Possible end-of-month blow-off top: 612–618 Scenario 2 – Pullback / Rejection (More Probable Setup): Rejected at ~596–597 zone (which aligns with upper wedge resistance) Breakdown below $590 intraday Then targets: 587.80 EMA cluster (20/50) If lost → 576.44 next EMA + demand level Followed by major support at 565.87 / 563.43 🔥 Week Ahead Trade Plan (May 20–24) ✅ Bullish Possibility: If NVDA earnings, FOMC minutes, or macro data surprise to the upside Watch for breakout above the red wedge and hold above 600 Target range: 604 → 612 max upside 🚨 Bearish Scenario: Wedge breakdown below ~$590 Momentum cracks down to: 587 576 (watch for bounce) If panic selling → 565–563 (larger time frame buying zone) Volume divergence and overbought EMAs support a potential cool-off. 📅 Monthly Projection (End of May): If wedge breaks down → consolidation range between 563 – 587 If wedge breaks out → blow-off rally up to 612–620, but likely to fade quickly Fed commentary and NVDA earnings on May 22 will be major catalysts 📌 Key Levels Type Price Notes Resistance (R3) 612–618 Final upside blow-off zone (channel top) Resistance (R2) 604 Overhead channel line Resistance (R1) 595–598 Wedge top + major resistance Support (S1) 587 EMA cluster + strong local demand Support (S2) 576 Clean structure + prior breakout Support (S3) 565–563 Confluence of long-term EMAs + trendline 🎯 Trade Setups 📉 Bearish (Favored if no breakout tomorrow): Short 595–597 with stop above 600 Targets: 587 → 576 Optional: Add below wedge break (~590) 📈 Bullish (Confirmation-based): Break + retest of 597–600 Target: 604, then scale out at 612 Avoid front-running long unless you see volume + price close outside wedge
AMEX:SPY
by wesu7gcs
2
BTCUSD 30M | OB Rejection + FVG Target | Liquidity BelowSmart Money Concept Breakdown | May 18, 2025 This BTC setup is screaming institutional manipulation — and we’re ready to ride the wave. The most recent candle shows another clean rejection from the 30M Order Block, giving high confidence in bearish continuation. 🔍 Key Breakdown: Entry Confluence: Bearish OB between 103,569–103,634 tapped with a perfect wick Candle rejected CRT High (high-probability manipulation zone) Rejection confirmed with a bearish engulfing candle structure Target Mapping: Sell Side Liquidity: 102,643.59 Fair Value Gap: 102,200 zone Weak Low: 101,420.70 (likely final draw on liquidity) RR Setup: Entry: 103,570 zone SL: Just above CRT High at 103,811 TP1: SSL pool TP2: FVG TP3: Weak Low Risk-Reward Range: From 1:2.5 to 1:5+ 💰 🧠 Institutional Logic: The rally into the OB was likely a buy-side liquidity grab, faking retail breakout traders before dropping. If price breaks below 102,643 with momentum, expect a sweep of the FVG and weak low. 🎯 Bonus Watch: If price returns to the OB but fails to break CRT High again = solid re-entry confirmation 📉🧠
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
Supply Zone Rejection & BOS Confirm Downtrend ContinuationAfter a clean shift in structure marked by a CHoCH and subsequent BOS, price retraced into a clear supply zone—offering a high-probability short setup. Here's how the setup unfolded: 🧠 Trade Rationale Break of Structure (BOS): Price broke below a key higher low, confirming a bearish structure. Change of Character (CHoCH): Signaled the end of bullish momentum earlier in the sequence. Supply Zone: Price retraced into a well-defined supply area (aligned with imbalance and prior support turned resistance). Entry: Short taken as price tapped into the supply and failed to make a new high—further confirmed by a lower timeframe CHoCH. Target: Aiming for the next BOS level below, aligning with clean equal lows/liquidity draw. 🔍 Key Concepts Highlighted Structure-based trading with CHoCH and BOS labeling. Supply zone entries based on price action confirmation. Risk-to-reward driven decision-making (tight SL above supply, TP near next demand). 💬 What do you think? Do you wait for confirmation within supply, or enter at touch? Let’s discuss—drop your thoughts and feedback!
Short
by johnkhawaja
Gold price hidden 3200, waiting for opportunity to increase✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 05/19/2025 - 05/23/2025 🔥 World situation: Gold prices dropped over 1.5% on Friday, poised to close the week with a steep loss of more than 4%, as improved risk sentiment drove investors away from safe-haven assets and toward equities and other riskier investments. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,187, retreating from a daily peak of $3,252. The precious metal started the week on the back foot following reports of a significant de-escalation in the US-China trade conflict, including a mutual agreement to reduce tariffs by 115%, which triggered a sharp selloff in bullion. Despite fluctuating between $3,120 and $3,265 throughout the week, gold struggled to sustain bullish momentum, with fading buyer interest becoming increasingly evident amid stronger risk appetite and encouraging US economic data. 🔥 Identify: Gold price is still in the accumulation phase waiting for a price decrease around 3200. Will be greatly affected by tariff news and Russia - Ukraine peace negotiations 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $3265, $3357 Support: $3160, $3112 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Bitcoin Might Be Forming a Local Top – Watch the Trendline!!After completing a clear 5-wave impulsive move, Bitcoin appears to be losing bullish momentum. The price is testing the main ascending trendline, and a breakdown could lead to a deeper correction. The wave count suggests that the 5th wave may already be completed, potentially marking a local top. The key support zone to watch is around $97,740 – a clean break below this level could trigger further downside pressure. 📉 Structure: 5-wave impulsive move 🟦 Support zone: ~$97,740 🔵 Trendline: Currently under test 📌 Bias: Bearish below trendline 📅 Forecast Date: May 18, 2025 ⏳ Timeframe: 4H This is not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
Short
by CakirInsights
SHORT - GOLD (XAU/USD): Decending Triangle on GOLD Good Morning, Traders. As always, please note that this is not financial advice — always do your own research (DYOR). This morning, we are observing the development of a descending triangle pattern on the 15-minute timeframe, forming at a critical support level. This technical formation is often indicative of bearish momentum. Should the price action decisively break below this key support, it would signal a potential shorting opportunity. Such a breakdown could trigger accelerated selling pressure, offering the possibility of favourable risk-to-reward setups for short positions. Traders are advised to closely monitor price behavior around the support line, watch for increased volume on the break, and ensure proper risk management before entering any positions. Stay vigilant and trade smart.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ghostysellsdonkeys
2