Shortsetup
Moondeng - RSI is overbought and shows strong divergence.Dear my friends,
Observe the 1-hour chart of Moondeng: after spectacular price breakouts, when hitting strong resistance on the daily timeframe, the price begins to correct. I checked the RSI, and indeed, there’s a strong divergence here. The RSI is almost absolutely overbought. I tried drawing Fibonacci levels to identify potential retracement points. I decided to wait for a buyback at the 0.98 and 0.86 zones. Let’s see if my prediction is as accurate as it was with Virtual.
Best Regards,
SOL Analysis Deep Dive: Identifying Optimal Entry and Exit ZonesYesterday, SOL gave a sharp downside shakeout, dropping from the weekly open at $147.98 (perfectly retested) down to the 0.5 Fib retracement of the swing at $140.25. Here’s a structured breakdown of the key levels, trade setups, and R:R profiles for both longs and shorts:
🔑 Key Levels & Confluences
1. Higher-Timeframe Opens
Weekly Open & Retest: $147.98 – pivoted price before the drop
Monthly & Prior-Day Open Cluster: $147.98–$146.31 – strong support confluence zone
2. Fibonacci Support Zones
0.5 Fib at $140.25 – primary mean-reversion entry
0.786 Fib (smaller wave) at $138.78 – secondary, deeper support
3. Order Block
Daily Bullish Order Block at $139.87 – just below 0.5 Fib, adds extra support
4. Volume-Weighted Average Price
Anchored VWAP (from ATH $295.83) at ~$166.45 – key upside resistance
5. Market Profile Value Areas (10-Day Range)
Value Area High (VAH) at ~$153.00 – overhead resistance confluence
Value Area Low (VAL) at ~$145.75 – underpins support
📈 Long Trade Setups
1. 0.5/0.786 Fib + Daily Bullish Order Block
Entry: $141-138.78
Stop-Loss: $137.5
Target: $165 (anchored VWAP / Fib zones)
R:R ≈ 9:1
2. Higher-Timeframe Open Cluster
Entry Zone: $147.98–$146.31(monthly/weekly open)
Stop-Loss: $142.5
Target: $165
R:R ≈ 3:1
• Why these levels? The 0.5 Fib is a classic mean-reversion zone, bolstered by the daily order block. The $147–146 zone ties together multiple opens (weekly, monthly, prior-day), offering a solid demand area if price retraces back up.
📉 Short Trade Setup
Trigger: Rejection / swing-failure around $153.4
Entry: $153.4
Stop-Loss: $154.3
Target: Weekly/Monthly open (~$147)
R:R ≈ 6:1
• Low-risk short: A clean rejection at the recent high lets you define risk tightly above the swing, aiming to capture the retrace back to the opens.
🎯 Summary & Game Plan
Primary bias: Look for long entries at the 0.5 Fib ($140.25) or the open-cluster zone ($147–146), with targets toward the anchored VWAP at ~$166.
Alternate bias: A short on clear rejection from $153.4, targeting the opens as support.
Risk management: Keep stops tight (SL below $137.5 or above $154.3) to maximize R:R on your favored setups.
Volume & Price Action: Confirm entries with an uptick in volume or bullish price structure (for longs) or swift failure patterns (for shorts).
Now it’s a waiting game! Let price revisit these zones, watch for confirmation signals, and then scale into your chosen side. Good luck! Don't chase, let the charts come to you!
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Continue to decrease today and wait for US-China negotiations🔔🔔🔔 AUD/USD news:
➡️ The AUD/USD pair traded below the 0.6400 level, hovering near its weekly low reached earlier on Friday amid mixed signals. The US Dollar remained firm near a one-month high after the Federal Reserve paused with a hawkish tone on Wednesday, putting downward pressure on the pair.
➡️ This movement occurred as market sentiment improved regarding US-China trade relations ahead of upcoming weekend talks, while the announcement of a new US-UK trade agreement also contributed to the US Dollar’s strength.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The DXY has a third consecutive day of gains and shows no signs of stopping due to support from positive US news. Therefore, AUD/USD will continue to be under pressure in the short term. And wait for positive news from the US-China negotiations.
➡️ However, AUD/USD is oversold and there will be a technical pullback before the pair continues its downtrend
➡️ Analyze based on resistance - support levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell AUD/USD 0.6410 - 0.6420
❌SL: 0.6440 | ✅TP: 0.6355
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
rebound before resuming main downtrend🔔🔔🔔 GBP/USD news:
➡️ The GBP/USD pair began Thursday with a series of gains, but the upward momentum behind the British Pound quickly faded as market focus shifted to trade-related headlines from the United States. Additionally, the US Dollar strengthened against other major currencies after the Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate at 4.25%-4.5% and adopted a cautious stance toward future policy easing.
Personal opinion:
➡️ In the short term, GBP/USD will still be suppressed by positive news for the USD
➡️ However, GBP/USD is oversold and will have a period of recovery before GBP/USD continues its upward momentum
➡️Analysis based on resistance - support levels combined with trend lines and RSI to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell GBP/USD 1.3250 - 1.3260
❌SL: 1.3295 | ✅TP: 1.3200
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Retest and continue to decline as USD has a lot of support🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
➡️ The EUR/USD pair extended its decline on Thursday, dropping to 1.1230—its lowest level in several weeks—as demand for the U.S. dollar remained strong. The greenback was bolstered by better-than-expected labor market data, a cautious tone from the Federal Reserve, and renewed optimism surrounding a potential UK-U.S. trade agreement.
Personal opinion:
➡️ In the short term, EUR/USD will continue to be under pressure from the above information, and wait for positive news about the EU-US negotiations so that EUR can create momentum to increase.
➡️ However, EUR/USD is oversold and so we should wait for a technical pullback to sell at a good price
➡️ Analyze based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.1250 - 1.1260
❌SL: 1.1300 | ✅TP: 1.1205
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Break out 3360 and short term downtrend, but be careful🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold extended its previous day's pullback, dropping nearly 1% to $3,323 on Thursday as improved risk sentiment weighed on the safe-haven asset. The shift in mood came ahead of an expected announcement by President Donald Trump regarding a trade deal with the UK, scheduled for a 14:00 GMT press conference in Washington, according to sources familiar with the matter.
➡️ Additional overnight momentum came from the Fed's rate decision and comments by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who highlighted signs of recovery in the U.S. economy.
Personal opinion:
➡️ A US-UK trade deal is the beginning of positive negotiations with other countries. However, the two main characters of the US and China are not yet guaranteed. Therefore, the price of gold may fall because of positive information from tariffs, but that is not all. In addition, the Middle East war and India-Pakistan are still the driving force that keeps gold from falling too much.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support zones and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell Gold 3355 - 3357
❌SL: 3362 | ✅TP: 3351 - 3346 – 3340
👉Buy Gold 3305 - 3307
❌SL: 3300 | ✅TP: 3311 - 3316 – 3322
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
bullish momentum, accumulating around 3400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) regained strong upward momentum during the Asian session on Thursday, rebounding sharply above the $3,400 level in the past hour and recovering much of its overnight pullback from a two-week high. The renewed demand for the safe-haven metal comes as US President Donald Trump downplayed expectations of an imminent resolution to the US-China trade dispute, stating he feels "no rush" to finalize an agreement. Heightened geopolitical tensions—including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, instability in the Middle East, and escalating military friction between India and Pakistan—further support gold's appeal as a defensive asset.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to recover well around 3400, FED's speech is quite moderate, predicted early by investors, the market is positive in the recovery trend this week
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3438- 3440 SL 3445
TP1: $3425
TP2: $3410
TP3: $3395
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3352 - $3350 SL $3345
TP1: $3365
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3400
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Pull Back is RequiredAMZN Sell Setup - GETTEX:AMZ
Bearish Momentum on Daily Chart
Instrument: AMZN
Timeframe: Daily
Direction: Sell
Confidence: 75%
Setup Overview:
AMZN is showing bearish signals after a recent pullback. MACD has a bearish crossover, and RSI is overbought at 61.25, indicating potential for a downward move. VIX is rising, and 10-year yields are increasing, adding to market pressure. Social sentiment on X is mixed, but news sentiment leans bearish.
Trade Details:
Entry Price: $198.82
Profit Target: $182.23 (~5% downside)
Stop Loss: $205.61 (2:1 risk-reward ratio)
Position Size: 4% of portfolio
Expected Move: -5%
Key Indicators:
MACD: Bearish crossover
RSI: Overbought at 61.25
Market Context: Rising VIX, increasing 10-year yields
Follow for Best AI Signals on the market
GBP/USD manipulation going on right now ??gbpusd had a good rise the last few weeks/months, now its time to pay attention.
the price is now ranging,. let me tell you what i think.
a little bit higher there is a imbalance in the chart. for me and many others thats a reason to short.
why do i think manipulation is going on?
for the big people in order to go short they need to attract buyers, so how do they do that? they go long, they build up long orders to attract more buyers so the price doesnt go down and the shorts can get filled. thats what happening right now in my opinion. (i can be wrong)
also the rsi is overbought (indicating downside could come )
in my opinion the price will be ranging for a week of 2, after that is wil go a bit higher to eventually come down big time , (like 5% or more)
here is the setup i will take.
no financial advice, just my thoughts
NFLX Bearish Setup!This is a simple setup that almost anyone can read—a Head & Shoulders at the top signaling a reversal pattern.
Contrary to popular belief H&S are continuation patterns if they are not at a top.
The only other time H&S are reversal patterns is if the chart has multiple H&S everywhere.
Time for bulls to take their money and RUN!!! The fun ride is over for a while. Time to go home. ((
CAUTION!
Click BOOST, follow subscribe. Let me help you navigate these crazy markets. ))
Trump's latest tariff announcement weakens the dollar🔔🔔🔔 USD/CHF news:
➡️ US President Donald Trump on Sunday announced a 100% tax on films produced outside the country. A move to reimpose tariffs by President D. Trump. This move, once again raised concerns about the Trump administration's tariff policy. At the same time, the uncertain context of potential trade agreements between the United States and its trading partners has not been completed, causing the USD bulls to decrease. The US dollar fell again amid trade uncertainty and repositioning before the Fed.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The trade agreements are still uncertain and it is positive only at the level of cooling down between the parties involved, causing the USD to decrease.
➡️ Analysis based on important support resistance and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell USD/CHF 0.8256 - 0.8270
❌SL: 0.8296 | ✅TP: 0.8200
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
EUR/USD Rejected at Resistance – Bearish Setup in Motion!Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
Designed for short-term or intraday trades.
Entry Zone (Short):
Price is reacting to a fresh supply zone around 1.13260–1.13280.
Stop Loss:
Just above the supply zone, near 1.13280 (tight SL setup).
Bearish Reaction:
Price rejected resistance with a wick and bearish body — strong confirmation of selling pressure.
Target Zone (Demand):
A wide green demand area is marked at 1.12810–1.12830, providing a solid take-profit level.
Structure Bias:
Current formation shows lower highs and clear resistance respect — indicating bearish momentum.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Strong RRR (more than 2:1) – minimal risk for decent reward.
Stay within the trend line and wait for US NFP news🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
➡️ EUR/USD is climbing above the 1.1300 level during Friday’s European session, rebounding from a three-day losing streak that had pushed the pair to its lowest level in over two weeks. The recovery is being driven by profit-taking on the US dollar as traders adjust their positions ahead of the upcoming US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Personal opinion:
➡️ EUR/USD will remain in a trending position after a significant increase today and await the results of the US NFP data
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.1345 - 1.1355
❌SL: 1.1390 | ✅TP: 1.1300
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Positive tariff news favors lower gold prices - wait for FOMC🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices ended the week down around 2.50% as improved risk appetite - driven by easing trade tensions and a strong US jobs report - prompted investors to book profits ahead of the weekend.
➡️ Over the weekend, China's Ministry of Commerce said the US was open to trade and tariff talks, reaffirming that Beijing's door to dialogue remains open.
➡️ Bullion prices continued to fall after April's non-farm payrolls unexpectedly rose, beating expectations, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged from March. XAU/USD fell to an intraday low of $3,222 as traders reduced expectations for four rate cuts from just three now.
Personal opinion:
➡️ There is still no strong enough momentum for gold to continue rising and must wait for the upcoming FMOC. Therefore, gold will maintain a short-term downtrend in the beginning of next week
➡️ Note: any information about the US-China trade war is given top priority
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3293 - 3296
❌SL: 3190 | ✅TP: 3200 - 3205 - 3210
👉Sell Gold 3255 - 3258 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3263 | ✅TP: 3251 - 3246 - 3240
FM wishes you a successful trading week 💰💰💰