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Gold slightly recovered before the DOWN trend⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: The most recent data from the United States presented a mixed picture. In January, Retail Sales experienced a decline of -0.8% on a month-to-month basis, falling short of both the previous month's numbers and the estimated contraction of -0.1%. This decrease was primarily attributed to reduced sales at auto dealerships and gasoline service stations, with stormy weather conditions further impacting sales. At the same time, Initial Jobless Claims for the latest week stood at 212K, lower than both the forecasts and the previous week's reading of 220K. This development is somewhat unexpected, considering that claims were expected to rise following announcements of layoffs by several companies. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold's short-term recovery in a DOWN trend, $2015 expectations. Today's economic data could help Gold get there ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $1975 - $1977 SL $1970 TP1: $1982 TP2: $1990 TP3: $2000 Pay attention to the $1980 support zone 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2014 - $2016 SL $2020 TP1: $2010 TP2: $2000 TP3: $1990 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
5
Continuing DOWN trend !! XAU DOWN⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Fed Chair Jerome Powell and a number of other Federal Reserve officials have expressed the central bank's desire to gather more positive data and confirm the direction of inflation before implementing any changes to monetary policy. As a result of these statements, the financial markets are currently putting an 80% probability on a rate cut by the Fed in June. This reduces previous expectations that the central bank would begin cutting rates in May, as indicated by the CME FedWatch Tool. It is important to note that higher interest rates decrease the attractiveness of non-yielding metals, as they face increased competition from higher-yielding investments. In addition to this, Israel carried out extensive and deadly airstrikes in southern Lebanon on Wednesday, in response to a missile attack that caused fatalities in northern Israel. Israeli leaders have warned that if the cross-border violence persists, they will take significantly stronger military action in Lebanon. The ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may contribute to an increase in the price of gold, which is traditionally seen as a safe-haven asset. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold's DOWN trend still prevails, strong selling pressure causes a lot of SELL volume. Gold prices are likely to continue to fall ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $1975 - $1977 SL $1970 TP1: $1982 TP2: $1987 TP3: $1993 Pay attention to the $2005 resistance area 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2015 - $2013 SL $2020 TP1: $2008 TP2: $2000 TP3: $1993 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
12
Setups, Planning and RISK: How to MANAGE your RISK vs REWARD📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈 For today's post, we're diving into the concept " Risk-Reward Ratio " We'll take a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. Let's jump right in ! You've all noticed the really helpful tool " long setup " or " short setup " on the left-hand column. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. It looks like this : 💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position. Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ? The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite , but your gains are not guaranteed . The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk. For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...) Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3 , or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL. Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example: Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3. Another way to express this visually: In the first chart example I have a really large increase for the long position and you can't easily simplify 7.21 so; here's a visual to break down what that looks like: If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable. Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy , which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. Dollar cost averaging is another helpfull way to further manage your risk. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post. A little bit more in-depth explanation on Dollar-Cost-Averaging here: And Finally, the last tool I'll give away today is an absolute MUST for all traders . Here's how to successfully set-up your own portfolio ratios: If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck
Education
by CryptoCheck-
Gold price dropped sharply below $2000, strong selling pressure⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: The price of gold (XAU/USD) has fallen below the psychological level of $2,000 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The stronger inflation data in the United States has caused some selling pressure on gold, as it reduces expectations of an early interest rate cut. Currently, the price of gold is trading around $1,992, remaining unchanged for the day. At the same time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of six major currencies, is trading near 104.85 after reaching a three-month high of 105.00. The US Treasury yields have increased, with the 10-year yield at 4.32% and the 2-year rate surging to 4.654%, marking the largest one-day increase since May 5, 2023. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: After yesterday's CPI news, Gold price dropped sharply, below $2000. Selling pressure is still very large, waiting for the recovery and SELL watch to continue for Gold ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $1980 - $1978 SL $1973 TP1: $1988 TP2: $1994 TP3: $2000 Pay attention to the $2005 resistance area 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2013 - $2015 SL $2020 TP1: $2005 TP2: $1997 TP3: $1990 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
9
#BTC #Bitcoin #Final #Update 'D' #Wyckoff #Distribution #Eddy#BTC #Bitcoin #Final #Update 'D' #Wyckoff #Distribution #Eddy Its My New Short Setup On BTCUSDT.P ;-) This is a new update of final (( BTC/USD )) Wyckoff update : check link : According to the warnings that were given and according to the analysis of the Tether chart that was sent, I expected the market to grow and also expected Bitcoin to touch the last level indicated on the Wyckoff Analysis on BTC/USD chart. Related Tether Market Cap USDT Dominance Analysis : (( USDT.D )) : Check Link :
Short
by Eddy_Trade_
Gold DOWN with CPI news today !! XAU ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: The price of gold (XAU/USD) is experiencing a decline for the fifth consecutive day during the early Asian trading session on Tuesday. The ongoing narrative of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) advocating for a prolonged period of higher interest rates is exerting downward pressure on the non-yielding yellow metal. Investors are eagerly awaiting the release of crucial US inflation data, as it may offer insights into the Fed's future decisions regarding interest rates. Currently, the price of gold is hovering around $2,018, reflecting a decrease of 0.06% for the day. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of six major world currencies, remains stable at approximately 104.12. The yields on US Treasury bonds are slightly increasing, with the 10-year yield currently standing at 4.17%. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices tend to continue DOWN during the Monday trading session, it is expected that the price will continue in the downtrend and can approach the price range of $2005. ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $1995 - $1997 SL $1990 TP1: $2000 TP2: $2005 TP3: $2010 Pay attention to 2 support zones: scalping BUY $2015 and BUY $2005 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2028 - $2030 SL $2035 TP1: $2024 TP2: $2020 TP3: $2015 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
8
EURAUD !! Trend DOWN, SELL now⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: DOWN trend, stable trading below the EMA lines, establishing a SELL signal ⭐️ SET UP EUR / AUD PRICE: 🔥SELL zone: 1.65200 - 1.65350 SL 1.65800 TP1: 1.65000 TP2: 1.64700 TP3: 1.64300 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Short
by Nova-Scalper
2
CADJPY: Bearish Divergence Warns of Trend Reversal📉 Overview: CADJPY, previously bullish, now shows bearish divergence on the 1-hour timeframe, forming its first lower high. With a strong 90% short market sentiment, there is significant support for an anticipated bearish reversal. 📊 Technical Analysis: Bearish divergence and the formation of a lower high suggest a potential shift from bullish to bearish. 📈 Market Sentiment: At 90% short sentiment, substantial support for the expected bearish reversal is evident. 📉 Trade Strategy: Consider short positions, aligning with the bearish signals, and anticipate further downward movement. 🛑 Risk Management: Mitigate risks with effective stop-loss orders to safeguard capital. 📈 Conclusion: CADJPY offers a concise opportunity for a bearish trend reversal, supported by bearish divergence and strong market sentiment. Monitor for confirmation and adjust positions accordingly.
Short
by miansarimhameed
BTCUSD - Ready for the storm? Trading in huge bear-flag! _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Hello traders investors and community, there are some interesting things going on with BTCUSD which i want to explain today. We have seen BTCUSD con- solidating the last days and weeks in the range between 9000 and 13700, this would not hold on forever! As momentum and volume decreases there will be an shift in price movement, either up or down. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ As you can see in my chart, looking on the 4-hour chart, BTCUSD is moving in a huge channel. Which i detected as a bear-flag. After we had the top at 13700 supply entered the market and BTCUSD felt down to 9200, where its consolidating now and forming a bear-flag. Those patterns are known to break in the di- rection its origin is, in this case to the downside. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ The RSI is forming some bearish divergence, i am expacting it to touch the oversold region before we go down, also you can see that the 200 and 50 EMA for- med a bearish cross-over. The 200 EMA is important in this case because we hold it steady in the recent up-trend, you can see it was touched several times before it felt down and formed the bearish cross-over. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Also, you can see in my chart, the percentage price projection of the bear-flag that will be intact when we confirmed the bear-flag. Of course this pattern can also confirm to the up-side (fake bear-flag), but normally it confirms in the direction where it came from, i give the bearish scenario a probability of 75 %. In my chart you can see also the blue trend-lines in which we are trading right now, i am expecting that we will stay in this range till the bear-flag target has reached. From there we have to look and wait for more information, i would be cautios of opening LONG positions here! A possible scenario after the bear-flag target has reached would be a second bear-flag! _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ This pattern can be either traded aggressive with a immediate SHORT entry, an entry in the sell zone (neutral), or conservative with waiting on confirmation of the bear-flag. I prefer the second and third scenario with waiting on confirmation of the bear-flag! I will look for a possible entry in the sell-zone and will add to position in the conservative entry-zone when the bear-flag has confirmed. _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ I hope everybody enjoyed my view! May all happiness and luck come to you! Feel free to give a follow or like to support my further analysis! This information is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets! _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by VincePrince
9
BTCUSD - Is the bull-rally over or just the beginning? Hello traders, investors and community. Today i am analysing BTCUSD and what will probably happen next. In my chart we are looking on the daily price of BTCUSD. In my chart you can see the huge suppy zone right where we got rejected the last days on june 26th. This is a critical zone because we have supply there from the bear-market 2018, you see the BTCUSD price has just marked some upthrust over the 11800 - 14000 level and got rejected in the supply zone, this is because traders taking profit and more important investors who held BTC from old days leaving the market. In my chart you can see this dashed dark blue trend line, this is an important area for BTCUSD because we have temporary support here. When we cross the blue trend line in this are which you can see on my chart the next target will be the second large blue trendline and the support zone in green which you can see on my chart. We have also good support there provided from the high 9900, you can see it at the dashed light blue trend line. My expectation is that BTCUSD gets some upthrust back in the supply area where it will be rejected by the huge supply lying in this area. When we come back to this area i will open a short position there at 13000 - 13700 with targets at 9500 - 9000. This is a good oportunity to trade the upcoming turbolences. Also looking on the RSI provided in my chart you can see that the RSI reached a critical level at overbought conditions, there is also a bearish divergence which makes the probability higher we are facing pull-backs in the future. Practically speaking the bull-rally can not be over, there are just some turbolences coming the next days! After the pull-back from the support zone we have to see if BTCUSD makes a comeback and is going to form new highs or if it fails. I am optimistic that we can easily reach new highs after the pull-back, but it is always better to keep the other possibilities in mind until then i will trade this market on the SHORT side. Have a great day! I hope you enjoyed my analysis! This is only educational information and should not be used to take action in the markets! Will be back analysing crypto, forex, stocks! Peace and love to everybody!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by VincePrince
1
Cumulative Gold prices prepare for INFLATION data⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: The price of gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade within a range as it enters the European session on Monday, currently sitting just above last week's monthly low. The prevailing belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain higher interest rates for a longer period of time in light of the resilient US economy is supporting elevated US Treasury bond yields. This, coupled with the positive sentiment surrounding the stock markets, is acting as a hindrance for the safe-haven precious metal. However, the uncertainty surrounding the timing and pace of interest rate cuts by the Fed is not helping the US Dollar (USD) gain significant traction, which in turn is offering some support to gold prices. Traders are also hesitant to take aggressive positions and are waiting for the release of the latest US consumer inflation data on Tuesday, as it will provide clues about the Fed's future policy decisions. This data will play a crucial role in influencing the short-term price dynamics of the USD and will impact the direction of movement for the non-yielding commodity. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: In the first trading session of the week, Gold prices continued sideways in the $2020 - $2035 price range waiting for important CPI data this week. ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2015 - $2017 SL $2010 TP1: $2022 TP2: $2026 TP3: $2031 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2029 - $2031 SL $2035 TP1: $2024 TP2: $2020 TP3: $2015 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
4
More Pressure on GBPUSDHi Traders! GBPUSD has a bearish outlook on the 4H chart, and we could have a breakout soon as further pressure is quickly mounting on the pound. Here are the details: Looking at the price action, it looks bearish due to the market swings; the market has tested the support trendline multiple times and has had a recent price rejection at 1.26548. Additionally, the market has broken below the 20 EMA. We also have BoE Governor Bailey speaking later, and the traders will be very nervous about the worse-than-expected results from the MPC vote earlier this month. As long as the market is still below the 20 EMA, our view will remain bearish. The confirmation signal will be either a break and close below the support trendline or an opening candle below the support trendline. Preferred Direction: Sell Technical Indicators: 20 EMA Resistance: 1.26548 Support: 1.26000 Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
Short
by BluetonaFX