Compression, rejection, and the trap belowPEPE isn’t random here — it’s in a calculated drawdown. Not a dump — a design. What looks like weakness is really compression into a reactive pocket.
The logic:
Price is descending inside a compression channel. But the real interest lies lower — specifically around the FVG and the untouched demand range down to 0.0000089. That’s the key.
The 0.0000103 zone is a surface-level fib level (0.382), but the deeper intention is beneath it — where Smart Money will want to accumulate before running it back into inefficiency.
Above us? There’s a massive void sitting between 0.0000115 and 0.0000126. That’s the draw — but not before a deeper sweep to fuel it.
Two key paths:
Ideal: Full sweep of 0.0000089 demand → strong reversal → drive back into the .5/.618 fib cluster near 0.0000115–0.0000126
If front-run: Hold near current level (0.0000103) and deliver into the FVG gap above
Anything below 0.0000083? That’s your invalidation. Until then, compression is the setup.
Final thought:
“Smart Money doesn’t chase the wick. It sets the trap — then steps in with size.”
Shortsetup
BTC - Update on Suspected Flash Crash ScenarioFor those of you who have been following my ideas, and I don’t think that would be many - understandably so, because these ideas seem so outrageous and out of the norm - I feel obligated to provide updated numbers per my own personal trade ideas.
I expect BTC to flash crash. In summary, here is why:
1. DXY is breaking down and retesting a major bearish trendline on the monthly. This alongside geopolitical events and sentiment, I expect the dollar to fall rapidly and store of value assets such as BTC to see a multi year bull run.
2. The market has been steadily bringing BTC up since late 2022. This leaves a trail of long position stop losses below the price, leaving a massive chain reaction of sell orders ready to set off one into the next. In other words, the orders required to make the drop are already in the chart.
3. It’s a question of when - BTC is under 3 intersecting bearish trendlines, and we can see how price breaks above and below these support / resistance levels historically. Eventually they will hold and play out, estimating when is tricky - that’s why I use DXY to predict it.
It’s difficult to pinpoint where the upper resistance is - but a pretty solid pick is around 105,200. I’ve used various numbers in the past for this idea, but it’s always refining and evolving based on what I see price doing.
I’m proposing two movements for a massive liquidation sweep of the lows prior to a 3-5 year bull run where BTC sees those quarter million dollar prices.
Scenario 1:
105,200 to 35,000
35,000 retrace to 77,000 ( although this doesn’t have to happen, I just anticipate a 3 wave corrective move)
77,000 to 10,000 (could be as low as 7,000)
7,000 and upwards of 200,000 (after all liquidity is absorbed and reclaimed)
Scenario 2:
105,200 straight down (for the most part) to 17,000 to 20,000
17-20,000 and upwards to 200,000 plus
Personally I feel scenario one is most likely. I’ve been trading this market since 2017 and the newfound “ stability “ of Bitcoin during the last 2 years cannot be trusted. This upwards move IS NOT a bull run. It’s a BEARISH RETEST.
Bearish retests typically move straight up, exactly as what’s been happening - following by a drop roughly 10 times as fast.
Same ideas on the larger time frames as smaller time frames.
WHEN DO I EXPECT THIS TO HAPPEN?
Starting any minute and spanning over the next several days to week.
Anyway - that’s my update for those of you who are interested.
Understand this stuff gets laughed at - but I experienced the same treatment when I told my group to long BTC at 16,500 in Jan 2023 to a target of 90,000. It’s not new to me and I expect it.
Doing my best to help advise and open your minds to alternative ideas.
ETH - Another Take - When in Doubt, Zoom OutETH on the multi day time frame appears to have been respecting this ascending series of support / resistances since its inception.
If this resistance holds, this is a major breakdown of ETH’s last support - assuming the chart does work best on these ascending channels (certainly has historically).
Due to this I am shorting ETH at 2550 appx - and my targets are marked on the chart (3 purple levels).
I don’t see why any formation on the chart should be dismissed if it has a strong interaction historically.
Let’s see what happens.
Happy trading
SUI — Trading with Geometry: Why Harmonics Work So WellSUI has been respecting technical levels with remarkable consistency. After bouncing from the $2.8467 low, it surged sharply — completing a clean Cypher Harmonic Pattern. This led to a high-probability short setup at the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement (Point D) around $3.5573.
🎯 Trade Setup Breakdown
Pattern: Cypher Harmonic
Entry (Point D): $3.5573 (0.786 retracement of XC)
Target: $3.1191 (0.618 retracement of CD)
Stop-Loss: Above Point X
The 0.618 fib retracement of the CD leg coincides with a significant key low from May 6, 2025, adding structural confluence. This is an ideal level to monitor for absorption, reaction, or potential reversal behaviour.
🧠 Educational Insight: How to Trade Harmonic Patterns Like a Pro
Harmonic patterns aren't just visually appealing — they represent high-probability setups based on market structure, Fibonacci geometry, and behavioural cycles. The most critical part of every harmonic pattern?
You enter at Point D.
Whether the pattern is bullish or bearish, Point D is your trigger:
In bearish patterns (like this Cypher), you short from Point D.
In bullish patterns, you long from Point D.
This works because Point D marks the exhaustion of the corrective leg, where trapped traders and liquidity often sit. The structure often aligns with supply or demand zones, order blocks, or FVGs (Fair Value Gaps).
💡 Important: Harmonic patterns are most effective on higher timeframes — 4H and above. On lower timeframes, noise increases and reliability drops significantly. For clean execution and meaningful structure, stay with mid to high timeframes.
Here’s how to trade it effectively:
✅ Wait for the full pattern to form — don’t front-run
✅ Use fib levels and structure confluence to validate Point D
✅ Use order flow tools (like Exocharts) to confirm absorption or volume shift
✅ Enter on Point D with your stop-loss just beyond X
✅ Take profits at common retracement levels like the 0.382 or 0.618 of the CD leg
Patience is key. Harmonic traders wait for the market to complete the cycle — then strike with a plan.
📌 Final Thoughts
SUI is delivering clean harmonic respect, and this setup is no exception. Whether you're already short or waiting for further confirmation, keep an eye on volume, liquidity zones, and reaction levels around $3.1191. If this zone holds, it may serve as a pivot for the next move.
Pattern. Precision. Patience. That's how you catch high-probability trades like this.
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25AUDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅15’ order block identification
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
BTC Short-term selling pressure due to war news💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (June 13)
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC:
Prices of Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) slipped as rising geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran sparked a wave of risk aversion across crypto markets. As uncertainty deepens, the three largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization are on track to close the week in the red, with current price action signaling the potential for a deeper correction.
Bitcoin bears regain control
After failing to reclaim its all-time high of $111,980 earlier in the week, Bitcoin lost upward momentum and began a steady pullback, slipping below key support at $106,406 on Thursday. As of Friday, BTC continues its downward trajectory, hovering near the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $102,447.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE:
We successfully identified the peak at the 110K resistance level. As predicted, BTC dropped $7,000 following disappointing CPI and PPI reports. Currently, the price has fallen back into a descending channel pattern and is expected to decline further.
Bitcoin’s upward trend is under threat as funding rates become more constrained.
Earlier this week, Bitcoin hovered near its all-time high of $111,980, but market sentiment remained alarmingly cautious—likely due to uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment.
The path of least resistance is gradually shifting downward, especially as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falls to the midline at 50 from a recent high of 64 on the daily chart. Traders will look for bearish confirmation signals from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator—signaled when the blue MACD line crosses below the red signal line.
Watch for long positions around the 100K price area, with a target back to 103K. If the price breaks below the 100K support level, we should avoid holding onto a bullish bias.
At this time, whether you’re a newcomer or experienced trader, it’s advisable to spend time practicing and reinforcing technical analysis knowledge. Explore educational posts on the channel to build a stronger foundation and avoid potential losses.
==> This analysis is for reference only. Wishing all investors successful trades!
BTC - On its way down from these trendlines How low can we go? We will find out.
Three bearish intersecting trendlines above.
Short began initiating from above as per my previous post.
I personally am not ruling out a flash crash to 10,000.
DXY is breaking down a major bearish trendline on the weekly / monthly - Market has a prime opportunity to manipulate Bitcoin into all of these long stop losses and trigger a massive liquidation event.
Stay alert and safe!
ETH $700 SWING SHORT MUST SEENext Prediction
$2600 to $3000
$3009 to $2300
⸻
Since the full Wedge failed to play out fully so now if we go up and inside the wedge has a higher higher giving us a huge swing
Target:
$2,300 is the full measured move if the rising wedge pattern plays out cleanly and fully resolves.
50x leverage no brainer short trade (easy profits)
Keep in mind:
With a big daily bearish engulfing candlestick we are most likely to continue the downtrend for the coming days. Looking at the RSI (daily timeframe) it is clear that we now are in a downtrend from previously being in overbought territory. We are most likely to go from overbought to oversold on the RSI and are now looking for a big downward movement! The MACD is showing weakness on the buy signal it has printed on the daily timeframe and is showing a strong sell signal on the 4 hourly timeframe.
Most important information:
Price action is the most important information you can get and trading on price action is what the pros do!
What we can see is that the price of BTC now is inside a strong key resistance area. Combining this with the huge rising wedge we are most likely to fall back down to the 75k area. Keep in mind that we didn’t really get a good backtest of the 69k-75k support zone so we could be looking to make a good backtest of this zone before continuing the macro uptrend.
I can also identify a failed bullish ascending triangle followed by a trend with lower highs. When the second lower high formed on the hourly I entered the 50x leverage trade at 108528,7 and placed the stop loss above that lower high. Keep in mind that the trend is your friend and that we most likely wont hit the SL. At least not before moving the SL into the profit zone (preferably above a lower high that will form). I have currently put my TP at 75950 (a long way down) because I want to ride this short as long as I possibly can. I also think that we are most likely to keep consolidating (until proven otherwise) between the given ranges (from 69k all the way up to 112k).
What about the news?
I think what president Trump does is the most important news we have to consider while trading. At the time of writing it is still unclear if the Musk VS Trump drama will continue. Bringing negativity into the market. The latest trade agreement with China was also not in favor of the United States (The relation between the two countries can strengthen but at a core financial view this ain’t good). Trump also kind of acted like a dictator in the Los Angeles event (this could bring negative energy into the markets). All in all I think that the news is a bit unstable and this strengthens the hypothesis that the price of BTC will consolidate until better times is around.
Conclusion:
I can always be wrong with either my complete analysis or parts of it. But I think that we at least is going to see a 1,65% move to the downside from my entry point. This move is extrapolated from the failed ascending triangle and seeing this move will give me the opportunity to make the trade risk free (I will keep you updated when this happens)!
CORN.c CORN.c Short Trade Plan (Daily Timeframe)
📍 Trade Setup
Direction: Short
Entry: Instant / Current Market Price (CMP)
Stop Loss (SL): 465.97
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 403.36 (≈ 1:1 Risk-Reward)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 387.00 (≈ 1:1.5 Risk-Reward)
📊 Technical Justification
Trend: Downtrend confirmed – price forming Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
Candle Pattern: Bearish shooting star near resistance – strong rejection signal.
🌽 Top 3 Bearish Fundamental Reasons
Favorable U.S. Weather Conditions
→ Ideal for crop growth → higher yield expectations → bearish pressure.
Weak Global Export Demand
→ Sluggish corn exports (e.g., China slowdown) → less global demand for U.S. corn.
Strong U.S. Dollar
→ Makes U.S. corn more expensive internationally → lowers export competitiveness.
🎯 Risk Management & Execution Plan
Risk-Reward (TP1): ~1:1
Risk-Reward (TP2): ~1:1.5
📌 Once TP1 is hit:
✅ Move SL to Entry (Breakeven) to protect capital and ride remaining position to TP2.
GBPCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25GBPCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside intraday confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly highs POI
✅1H order block rejection
✅4H order block rejection
✅15’ order block identification
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4H order block rejection
✅HTF 50 EMA
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure to be identified
✅15’ order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EUR/JPY Short🎯 Trade Setup Plan
👇 Aggressive Entry (Riskier)
Sell Limit: 164.90
SL: 165.90
TP1: 160.00
TP2: 157.00
TP3 (optional): 155.00
Use this only if you want to catch the wick, but recognize the higher chance of being swept.
✅ Conservative Entry (Recommended)
Wait for a daily candle close under 162.00 after touching 164. That confirms rejection.
Entry: On next day’s minor retest (e.g., 162.50–163.00)
SL: 165.50 (above recent highs)
TP1: 160.00
TP2: 157.00
TP3: 155.00
Risk: 1–2% depending on confirmation strength
📌 Optional Breakout Plan (In case resistance breaks cleanly)
Buy Stop: 165.60
SL: 164.30
TP: 170.00 (weekly resistance)
Use only if a strong daily close above 165 confirms breakout.
CPI, US inflation, gold price waiting to decrease⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) drew fresh bids in Wednesday’s Asian trading, reclaiming the $3,340 level and edging back toward this week’s high. A U.S. federal appeals court decision allowing President Donald Trump’s broad tariffs to remain in force—for now—added a fresh layer of trade uncertainty and stoked safe-haven demand. Heightened geopolitical tensions and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September further bolstered the non-yielding metal. Even so, optimism surrounding ongoing U.S.–China talks has lifted broader risk sentiment, while a mildly stronger U.S. Dollar is helping keep gold’s upside in check.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered, buying power increased gradually in Asian session, approaching resistance zone 3348
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3373- 3375 SL 3380
TP1: $3360
TP2: $3350
TP3: $3340
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3278- $3280 SL $3273
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3314
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BTC - Be mindful of resistance around 109,800 to 110,000Per my second last post about this red trendline - be mindful that there is a resistance located 109,800 to 110,000 zone.
Although Bitcoin can break above, that doesn’t mean the resistance is invalid. Price will weave above and below until it sticks and plays out.
Personally I watch these levels for sudden fast movement and confirmation that it’s holding as resistance.
If you see a fast drop initiate from these levels, be mindful that this could be indicative of intention to hit the lows around 20,000.
For more information see my previous posts.
Happy trading
Selling pressure, bears active⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) edge higher toward $3,325 during the early Asian session on Tuesday, supported by a softer US Dollar as markets turn cautious ahead of key developments in US-China trade negotiations.
Delegations from the United States and China are set to continue discussions for a second consecutive day in London. President Donald Trump expressed optimism, stating the talks “should go very well.” According to US officials, discussions may lead to Washington lifting certain tech export restrictions in exchange for Beijing easing controls on rare earth exports — materials vital to sectors ranging from energy and defense to advanced technology. The outcome of these negotiations could provide fresh direction for the precious metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The market is mainly sideways and accumulating, under selling pressure below 3300 due to the US-China trade negotiations taking place today.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3350- 3352 SL 3357
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3320
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3276- $3274 SL $3269
TP1: $3285
TP2: $3300
TP3: $3312
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold Bearish Outlook | Short Opportunity AheadGold has just tested a major resistance zone at $3,390–$3,400 and faced a sharp rejection, forming a possible double top. The price is still respecting the parallel ascending channel, but current momentum suggests a bearish move could be underway.
🔍 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: $3,390 – $3,400 (strong rejection zone)
Support: $3,282 (watch for reaction here)
Channel Structure: Price is still within an ascending channel
📉 Possible Scenarios:
1. Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below $3,340 and sustains momentum, we could see a drop to $3,282 support — a key level to watch for a potential bounce or further breakdown.
2. Bullish Scenario (less likely short-term):
If bulls regain control, watch for a breakout above $3,400, confirming upside continuation.
💡 Trading Idea:
Currently leaning bearish unless we see a confirmed breakout above resistance. Short setups could be considered on lower timeframes with targets near the support level.
💬 Let me know what you think — will gold break down or bounce back? 👇
👍 Like & follow for more trade ideas and updates!
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingView #Forex #Commodities
BTC Returns to Highest ATH💎 Update Plan BTC (June 10)
BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF has made history, becoming the fastest-growing exchange-traded fund (ETF) ever by surpassing $70 billion in assets under management (AUM).
The iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), launched in January 2024, has achieved this milestone in record time, reflecting surging demand for Bitcoin exposure through regulated, mainstream investment vehicles. IBIT’s exceptional growth trajectory has outpaced all previous ETFs, eclipsing even established funds like the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) in terms of asset accumulation speed.
The ETF recently returned to net inflows — posting a $274 million single-day increase — following a brief period of outflows during a broader market pullback. This rebound signals renewed investor confidence, with capital flowing in from both institutional players and retail investors alike, underscoring Bitcoin’s growing role in diversified portfolios.
Technical analysis angle
Congratulations to investors when the Plan transaction has detected the bottom of 100k and is currently the highest at 110.5k. It is a prosperous signal for investors who are holding this power currency
Another good news is that the organizers have breaked out of the decrease price channel to confirm the trend of increasing and confidence in the price increase continues to be enhanced by the Buyer.
Currently, the BTC price area is slowed by the resistance level with Fibo 0.786 around the 110k price area. We expect the adjustment of the investors to collect goods before the price area goes further around 111.5k even 115k
At this time, whether new or old, should spend more time to practice, load more knowledge about the PTKT, as well as find knowledge posts at the channel ..., to strengthen the solid foundation, as well as avoid losing money at this time offline
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
GOLD (XAU/USD) – 30M Trade Setup – June 9, 2025Bias: Short (Bearish Pullback Continuation Under $3,320)
SELL SETUP
Entry:
Below $3,309 (break of minor local support and confirmation of bearish continuation)
Stop-Loss (SL):
$3,324 (above recent local high and structure resistance)
Take-Profit 1 (TP1):
$3,290 (early June low – first demand area)
Take-Profit 2 (TP2):
$3,270 (stronger support + 1.618 extension zone)
Technical Confluence
MACD:
Bearish crossover active
Histogram turning red again after a short relief push
RSI:
Hovering around 47, rejected from the neutral 50–55 zone
Still in a bearish regime under the midline
Price Action:
Lower highs and lower lows forming
Last bullish candle rejected near $3,320
Bearish momentum holding after brief retrace
Risk Rating: Medium
Structure is clean, but risk of chop increases if price holds above $3,310
Watch for reaction at $3,309 — potential fakeout zone