Shortsetup
PNUTUSDT: Approaching a Key Level – Go Short or Wait for a Reteswww.tradingview.com
Hey, traders! 🐂🐻
Today, we’re looking at BINANCE:PNUTUSDT , and the chart looks tense. The price has dropped to 0.61254 USDT , and the bears seem to be gaining momentum. Looking at this diagonal resistance line, one thing is clear: the market is gearing up for a move.
The chart shows a classic downtrend structure, and the key support levels scream potential reversal points. But as they say, "don’t go all in until the setup is confirmed."
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🔑 Key Levels:
Support:
0.60223 USDT – a critical zone where buyers might try to hold the asset.
0.59000 USDT – the last line of defense before a potential dump.
Resistance:
0.62000 USDT – the nearest level where bears continue to apply pressure.
0.64000 USDT – the next resistance level holding back upward movement.
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🚩 Strategy:
Entry Point:
- Open a short position after a retest of 0.62000 USDT , provided bears maintain control.
Stop-Loss:
- Place your stop above 0.64000 USDT to avoid sharp moves against your position.
Take-Profit Targets:
0.60223 USDT – the first level to "skim the cream".
0.59000 USDT – the second target if bearish pressure persists.
0.58000 USDT – the final target in case of a full breakdown of support.
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📈 Technical Breakdown:
The downtrend remains dominant until the price breaks 0.62000 USDT .
Volume confirms bearish activity, especially around resistance levels.
A break below 0.60223 USDT could signal further downside.
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💡 What’s Next?
Bears seem to be in control, but the market might go for a local retest. What do you think? Wait for a bounce back to resistance or catch the move now? Share your insights – collective wisdom always wins! 🚀
Short Setup Masterclass: Perfect Retest of dOpenKey Observations
1.) Wave Structure & Flat Top Formation:
The completion of a 5-wave structure aligns with Elliott Wave Theory's indication of a potential reversal or corrective phase.
A flat top pattern at the 5th wave signifies a strong resistance level, which led to a structural break to the downside.
2.) Daily Open Retest:
Price perfectly retested the daily open (dOpen) before rejecting it. This level now acts as a strong resistance, offering a favorable risk-to-reward (R:R) ratio for short entries.
Stop-loss (SL) placement is ideal just above the daily open to minimize risk.
3.) Lack of Bullish Volume:
Current ranging behavior lacks bullish volume, further supporting the bearish case for a continuation to lower levels.
Support Zone & Confluence Factors
The immediate target for this short trade lies at the confluence-rich support zone near $3.3184, identified by the following factors:
1.) Fibonacci Levels:
0.382 Fibonacci retracement aligns with this zone, confirming its significance.
2.) VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price):
The VWAP from the swing high indicates $3.32 as a key level.
3.) Negative Fibonacci Extension (-0.618):
Projecting from the recent impulse points to this area as a potential corrective target.
4.) December 16th High:
This level now acts as a magnet for liquidity, increasing the likelihood of a revisit.
5.) Liquidity at Swing Low:
The swing low at $3.3184 holds significant liquidity, which could be swept during a bearish
move.
6.) Fibonacci Speed Fan (0.618):
The 0.618 speed fan intersects around $3.32, adding further confluence to the zone.
Trading Strategy
Short Trade Setup:
Entry: The ideal entry was at the dOpen retest. A short trade can now be initiated at the current price with a smaller position size.
Stop-Loss (SL): Above the daily open to minimise risk.
Take-Profit (TP): Targeting the confluence zone at $3.3184.
My plan keep SELLING GBPUSD all timeframe*Notice: It is Xmas and New Year holiday so that the Market is very slow and low volume. (reduce volume on your trading position)
About this Plan for OANDA:GBPUSD today:
- I saw a strong downtrend structure on almost timeframe of GU : D1 - H4 -H1
- I saw Confirmed downtrend signal on H1 and also H2 timeframe
So I make this plan for SHORT GBPUSD today:
Entry Zone: 1.25200 - 1.25300
Stoploss: 1.25700 (=1R)
Target Expected:
target 1: 1.24500
target 2: 1.23500 (RR= 4.1)
Will Bitcoin Go Up or Down from Here?Where does Bitcoin go from here?
In my previously published idea I supported the idea for a bounce from 95k. We did closed above 95K but looks like we are not going to hold it..
According to Fibonacci (using my Dynamic Fib Retracement indicator), if we now close below the preliminary fib line around 95K, this could spell trouble for Bitcoin and result in more downwards price action.
Also according to the DFR , targets for that would be:
80.5K USD (The Orange 'Median Line') and 70-73K USD (Inside the blue Fib Golden Pocket)
Follow me for more BTC analysis!
An other plan SHORT more for BTCUSD on H1 TF - continue FL break*Notice: It is Xmas and NewYear holiday so that the Market is very slow and low volume. ( reduce volume on your trading position )
About this Plan today:
I saw a downtrend structure clearly on H1 timeframe
I saw a confirmation Downtrend on Time Frame H1 (60)
I saw a Break Sell - continue FollowTrend signal
==> Let's make a Plan for SHORT SELL BTC today
Entry zone: 97500 - 98100
Stoploss: 99800 (and then trailing stoploss follow the SL-line)
*These are expected targets.
Target 1: 92000
Target 2: 86000
Target 3: 82000
BTC - Will Bitcoin Hold or Fold?Bitcoin has enjoyed a bullish 2024, reaching an all-time high (ATH) of 108K. However, the recent price action indicates a shift in momentum, with the market entering a phase of consolidation and correction. For the past 40 days, BTC has ranged between 90K and 108K, with the critical psychological level of 100K now acting as resistance. The structure of an ABC corrective pattern following a 5-wave downward impulse suggests the market is transitioning into a short-term bearish phase.
Key Levels and Patterns:
1.) Head and Shoulders Pattern:
A bearish Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, with 90K serving as the neckline.
Once 90K is broken with significant volume, it will confirm the pattern, potentially accelerating the move downward.
The target for this pattern aligns closely with the previously identified support zone at 84K–80K.
2.) Resistance at 100K:
The psychological barrier of 100K has flipped to resistance, making it a critical level for bulls to reclaim.
A sustained break above 100K with strong volume would indicate a possible trend reversal.
3.) Support Zone (84K to 80K):
Multiple confluences align between 84K and 80K:
Fibonacci Retracement (0.618): The 0.618 retracement level from the recent impulse low to the ATH is at $82,694.88.
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension: The 1:1 extension of the ABC correction points to 84K.
Anchored VWAP: Calculated from the significant low at 52.5K, the anchored VWAP aligns near 81K.
Fibonacci Speed Fan: The 0.618 speed fan from 52.5K to the ATH intersects around 80K, reinforcing this support zone.
4.) Liquidity Below 90K:
The current range-bound movement has likely trapped many long positions above 100K, creating significant liquidity below 90K.
A breakdown below 90K could trigger a liquidity sweep, driving prices rapidly toward the support zone at 84K–80K.
Current Market Dynamics:
Volume Analysis: Decreasing volume within the range highlights weakening bullish momentum. Confirmation of support at lower levels will require a substantial increase in buying volume.
Bearish Momentum: The head and shoulders pattern, coupled with the ABC correction, signals bearish momentum that may persist into early to mid-January 2025.
Neckline Support at 90K: A break below 90K would confirm the head and shoulders pattern, acting as a catalyst for further downside.
Next Steps and Outlook:
Short-Term Bearish Bias: Bitcoin is expected to continue its downward correction, with the head and shoulders neckline at 90K serving as a key pivot point. A confirmed break would likely drive BTC to the 84K–80K support zone.
Long Opportunity at Support: Should BTC reach the identified support zone, it presents a high-probability long setup. Entry should be contingent on confirmation through:
Increased buying volume.
Bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, engulfing).
Alignment with key moving averages and other technical indicators.
Mid-Term Recovery Potential: After the correction, Bitcoin may resume its bullish trajectory. Key factors to monitor include:
Reclaiming 100K as support.
Overall market sentiment and macroeconomic conditions.
Lack of liquidity at the end of the year, gold sideways⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices hold steady near $2,611 as markets adjust to a more cautious stance on US interest rates. The US Dollar remains strong, bolstered by expectations that the Federal Reserve will slow its pace of rate cuts in the coming year. Fed officials now project a federal funds rate of 3.9% by the end of 2025, reflecting a slower disinflation process and lingering uncertainties about President-elect Donald Trump's policies on trade, taxes, and immigration.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold continues to move sideways in the range of 2600 - 2650 by the end of 2024
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2650 - $2652 SL $2657
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2630
TP3: $2620
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2609 SL $2602
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2622
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
ZEN Skyrockets 244% – Is a Correction Around the Corner?ZEN has experienced an impressive +244% rally over the past 7 days, completing 7 consecutive bullish days.
Key Resistance Levels:
0.618 Fibonacci Retracement: Reached for the entire structure (logarithmic scale), providing an ideal short entry.
0.666 Fibonacci Retracement: Located at $53.55, perfectly aligning with the previous significant swing high, further strengthening resistance at this level.
Psychological Level: $50 serves as a critical psychological barrier.
The rally suggests an imminent correction due to overextension. Multiple resistance levels indicate a high probability of price cooling off.
Short Setup:
Elliott Wave Completion: 5-wave structure appears completed, signaling the end of the bullish trend.
Take-Profit Targets:
First TP: $39.68 (Fib 0.618 of the current wave).
Second TP: $33.74 (Fib 0.382 of the entire structure).
Risk-Reward Ratio: Targeting 0.382 offers a +25% gain.
VIRTUAL at Crucial Resistance: Short Setup with 18% Potential GaThe price is approaching the high from December 16th. A short opportunity arises only if the price gets rejected with confirmation at this level.
Target Levels:
Weekly Level: The next major support lies at $2.711, which aligns with the Point of Control (POC) observed on the Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP).
Support Zone: The anchored VWAP (yellow line) is currently at the same level, reinforcing $2.711 as a strong support zone.
Short Setup:
A short trade from the current high, upon rejection, could target a potential drop of +16% to +18%, offering a favorable Risk-to-Reward (R:R) ratio.
Key Condition: Entry should only be considered if clear rejection confirmation is observed at the high. Without confirmation, this setup remains invalid.
SCALPING XAU ! Gold sideway trend DOWN⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US central bank indicated last week that it plans to ease the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025. This supports elevated US Treasury yields, helping the US Dollar (USD) maintain its strength near a two-year high, which limits gains for the non-yielding Gold price. With trading volumes thin, it seems wise to wait for sustained buying momentum before anticipating a continued recovery from the one-month low reached last week.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold sideways price range 2610-2620, H1 trendline downtrend
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2618 - $2620 SL $2623 scalping
TP1: $2614
TP2: $2608
TP3: $2602
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold continues downtrend at the end of 2024⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) remains steady near $2,610 in the early Asian session on Tuesday, with trading subdued as markets anticipate a quieter pace ahead of the holiday week. Investors are keeping an eye on the US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for December, set to be released later in the day.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold sideways in 2 H1 trendlines - downtrend is dominant. At the end of the year, there will be a lack of trading liquidity, not many big fluctuations.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2627 - $2629 SL $2634
TP1: $2620
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2600
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2604 - $2602 SL $2597
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2618
TP3: $2627
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU recovers - returns to downtrend retest zone⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its December meeting as anticipated but signaled a slower pace of future reductions. The updated dot plot, which outlines projected rate trends, now suggests a half-percentage-point cut in 2025, down from the full percentage-point reduction forecasted in September. This shift continues to strengthen the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on USD-denominated Gold, as rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
On the other hand, weaker-than-expected US inflation data may help limit gold’s downside. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose to 2.4% year-over-year in November, up from 2.3% in October but slightly below the 2.5% market estimate. Meanwhile, Core PCE remained steady at 2.8% but fell short of the expected 2.9%.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold H1 frame recovered and retested the break zone in the downtrend, mainly sideways price below 2650 zone
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2651
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2620
TP3: $2610
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2628
TP3: $2640
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BTC ( Bitcoin ) will first need a correctionBitcoin will first need a correction and then continue its upward trajectory.
Given the current situation, it should correct to the highlighted area to evacuate sellers and bring in new buyers.
This support area is quite strong and has the intersection of two strong technical supports.
After that, it will either grow rapidly or, after a little bit of suffering and attracting liquidity from new buyers, it will start to grow incrementally.
If you have followed my ideas, you will see that they always point to the desired point and have a correct prediction trend.
Price target $35 remaining underweight for FY 2025- Ugly draw downs for NASDAQ:PLTR next year.
- Fundamentals don't support the rosy valuation. Stock is priced more than perfection.
- Investors expectations are way to high and will met with disappointment in upcoming quarters in FY 2025
- FY 2025 will likely trap bulls and lead to severe corrections at much lower levels than Twitter bulls claiming PLTR to the moon 100+
$SBUX Starbucks Corporation Daily Chart AnalysisThe chart depicts Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) on the daily timeframe, showing a recent breakdown from a rising wedge pattern. The price has sharply fallen below key support levels and moving averages, suggesting a shift in momentum to the downside. Here's a detailed walkthrough of the analysis:
Key Observations:
1. Trend Analysis:
Rising Wedge Breakdown:
The chart highlights a breakdown from a rising wedge, a bearish reversal pattern, indicating potential for further downside.
The price has decisively broken below the lower boundary of the wedge, confirming the bearish momentum.
Bearish Momentum:
SBUX is now trading below the 200-day moving average (red line) and other short-term EMAs (8 EMA, 21 EMA), which aligns with a bearish trend.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance Levels:
92.28-93.01: A key resistance zone aligned with prior dark pool activity and broken support, likely to act as a ceiling for any short-term rebounds.
95.79: Previous support turned resistance, near the 200-day moving average.
98.60: A strong resistance area near recent highs.
Support Levels:
87.00: Immediate support zone, tested recently with increased volume.
80.24-79.15: Major support area, aligning with historical levels and dark pool prints.
Below 79.15, the next significant level is 75.00, a psychological support area.
3. Volume Analysis:
A volume spike accompanies the recent sell-off, indicating strong selling pressure. However, this could also signal capitulation if buyers step in near support levels.
4. Moving Averages:
The price is trading significantly below the 200-day moving average, confirming bearish sentiment.
Short-term moving averages (8 EMA, 21 EMA) are sloping downward, suggesting that bearish momentum may persist.
5. Dark Pool Activity:
Recent dark pool levels around 93.01 and 92.28 may act as resistance if the price attempts a rebound.
Additional dark pool levels at 80.24 and 79.15 suggest institutional interest, making this area a critical support zone.
Trade Setup:
Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation
Trigger: If the price fails to reclaim the 92.28 resistance level and continues lower, the bearish trend is likely to persist.
Profit Targets:
87.00: Immediate short-term target.
80.24-79.15: Strong support zone with significant institutional interest.
75.00: Longer-term bearish target.
Stop-Loss: Above 93.50, as a break above this level would signal potential bullish recovery.
Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal
Trigger: A breakout above 92.28, accompanied by strong volume, would signal a potential reversal or relief rally.
Profit Targets:
95.79: Resistance near the 200-day moving average.
98.60: Strong resistance zone near recent highs.
Stop-Loss: Below 87.00, as a failure to hold this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
Scenario 3: Range-Bound Consolidation
If the price consolidates between 87.00 and 92.28, consider:
Long positions near 87.00, targeting 92.28.
Short positions near 92.28, targeting 87.00.
Volume and candlestick patterns will help confirm the direction of the breakout.
Final Thoughts:
Short-Term Outlook: Bearish momentum is strong, with the immediate downside target at 87.00. If this level breaks, watch for a move toward 80.24-79.15.
Long-Term Outlook: The dark pool levels near 80.24-79.15 suggest strong institutional support. If the price reaches this zone, it could provide a significant buying opportunity for long-term investors.
Technical Analysis of NIFTY Index - 30-Minute TimeframeDouble Top Pattern:
The chart shows a double top pattern (marked as "Top 1" and "Top 2"), which is a bearish reversal pattern.
The neckline for this pattern has been broken, confirming bearish momentum. The pattern suggests that the uptrend has reversed, leading to a downward move.
Falling Wedge Pattern:
After the double top, the index has formed a falling wedge, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern.
The price has broken out of the falling wedge, signaling the potential for a short-term bounce.
Targets:
Immediate Upside Target: The breakout from the falling wedge suggests a potential recovery toward 24,200–24,300.
Downside Target: If bearish momentum resumes, the index could move toward 23,500 as marked on the chart.
Volume Analysis:
The breakout from the falling wedge is accompanied by a slight increase in volume, which supports the bullish case. However, sustained volume is needed for the uptrend to continue.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support:
Immediate: 23,800
Stronger: 23,500
Resistance:
Immediate: 24,200–24,300
Extended: 24,500
Moving Averages:
The index is currently trading near its short-term moving averages, which could act as dynamic resistance. A breakout above these levels would confirm further bullish momentum.
Fundamental Analysis of NIFTY Index
Macroeconomic Environment:
Global Factors: Uncertainty in global markets, including rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions, have added to the volatility in Indian markets.
Domestic Growth: India's economy continues to grow steadily, supported by strong consumer demand, government infrastructure spending, and a robust services sector.
Sectoral Performance:
IT and Pharma: Defensive sectors like IT and Pharma have seen relative strength amid global uncertainties.
Banking and Financials: Despite some recent corrections, banking and financial services continue to drive the index, supported by rising credit growth and strong results from private banks.
Metals and Energy: Global commodity prices and demand from China remain key drivers for metals and energy stocks.
Corporate Earnings:
Indian corporates have shown resilience with steady earnings growth, particularly in the FMCG, banking, and auto sectors. However, margin pressures persist in some sectors due to higher input costs.
Valuation:
NIFTY's valuation remains slightly stretched compared to historical averages, suggesting room for further correction. However, strong long-term growth potential keeps the outlook positive.
Key Risks:
Rising interest rates globally could tighten liquidity.
Any further escalation in geopolitical tensions or slower global growth could impact market sentiment.
Conclusion:
Technical Outlook:
NIFTY has formed a double top, confirming bearish momentum, but a breakout from the falling wedge offers a short-term bullish opportunity.
Upside Targets: 24,200–24,300
Downside Risk: 23,500 (if bearish momentum resumes)
Fundamental Outlook:
India’s economic fundamentals remain strong, supported by consumer demand and government spending.
While the market faces short-term headwinds, the long-term outlook remains positive, making this an opportunity to accumulate quality stocks during corrections.
Will the interest rate cut in late 2024 happen? XAU UP OR DOWN ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/16 - 12/20/2024
🔥 World situation:
Although gold posted some losses, it remains up nearly 1% for the week, supported by a mix of US economic data. While inflation figures were varied, the latest Initial Jobless Claims report strengthened investor confidence in a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Attention now shifts to the Fed’s December 17-18 policy meeting, with traders pricing in a 93% likelihood of a 25 basis point cut, according to CBOT data. Following the announcement, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into the policy direction for 2025.
🔥 Identify:
H4 is seeing price close to the bullish trendline - which will be validating the last rate cut of the year. There will be some upside but it will still be difficult to break above the 2723 price zone
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2678, $2723
Support : $2613, $2590, $2535
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest