Gold recovers - touch TREND H2 - SELL NOWXAU / USD trend forecast October 11, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) pulls back slightly from a three-day high, trading around $2,640 in early European trading on Friday, though still up over 0.40%. A rise in US jobless claims indicated labor market weakness, allowing the Federal Reserve to continue cutting rates. This led to a slight drop in US Treasury yields and a softer risk tone, helping gold gain for a second day.
However, stronger-than-expected US inflation data reduced the chances of another large Fed rate cut in November, supporting the US Dollar and limiting gold's gains. Traders now await the US PPI, Michigan Consumer Sentiment, and Fedspeak for further direction.
Gold recovered - broke the downtrend H1. However, the larger frame H2 - H4 still shows that the correction is still continuing. While the market psychology is worried that there will be no further interest rate cut in November.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2652-2655
SL: 2660
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2625)
Safe and profitable trading
Shortsetup
Alikze »» INJ | Reverse head and shoulders pattern - 12H🔍 Technical analysis: Suspect an inverted head and shoulders pattern
- In the analysis presented in the 12-hour time frame, it was mentioned that in case of selling pressure in the range of $25, the correction will continue until the Fibo range of 1.618 in the range of $18.75.
- It is currently moving in an ascending channel.
- It has faced selling pressure in the middle of the channel.
- Due to the formation of the inverted top pattern, in case of breaking the Fibo 1.618 and stabilizing below the 18.75 area, the correction will continue until the liquidity area and the origin of the movement.
- Therefore, according to the zigzag correction structure, this correction can extend to the liquidity area and complete the correction leg C in the specified areas.
💎 Alternative scenario , if it stabilizes in the range of 18.75, it can grow to the middle of the channel in the first step and then to the range of the supply area of $25.
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BINANCE:INJUSDT
The formation of a short stop on Bitcoin As mentioned in the previous analysis,The 4-hour POI range was suitable for the price return and make a long setup that closed break even afte the CPI
But now in 1H range we have unmitigated poi in 30M that can reject price to downside for reaching 58000 target
So o set a short order in this area For the possibility of forming a strong ceiling in the Asian session
XAU down! correction 10/10/2024XAU / USD trend forecast October 10, 2024
Gold continued its decline for the sixth straight day after the Federal Reserve (Fed) released its September Meeting Minutes. The Minutes revealed that most FOMC members supported a 50-basis-point cut, though XAU/USD remains near $2,610, down 0.37%.
While some officials preferred a 25 bps cut, all agreed on lowering rates. Most participants saw inflation risks decreasing, while concerns about the labor market increased.
H1 frame shows Gold price correction - amid news of China stopping gold purchases continuing to impact further bullish momentum. Price continues to correct below 2600
/// SELL XAU : zone 2623-2626
SL: 2631
TP: 50 - 100 - 300 pips (2596)
Safe and profitable trading
CPI ! Opportunity for gold price to fall below 2600⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) edged higher during the Asian session on Thursday, ending a six-day losing streak that brought it to a nearly three-week low. The US Dollar (USD) is in a consolidation phase as traders await the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. This repositioning has provided some support to gold.
However, a significant rally in gold seems unlikely due to reduced expectations for aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), as highlighted by the September FOMC meeting minutes. Elevated US Treasury yields may continue to limit gains, requiring strong buying to signal the end of gold's recent corrective decline from its all-time high.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The long-term framework H1, H4 shows that sellers prevail - the downward correction will continue towards below $2600
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2583 - $2585 SL $2578
TP1: $2590
TP2: $2600
TP3: $2610
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2649 - $2651 SL $2656
TP1: $2644
TP2: $2638
TP3: $2630
Pay attention to the trendline resistance area H1: 2633
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
DXY Set for a Retracement Towards Sell-Side Liquidity - OTE FVGDXY is showing clear signs of a retracement to the daily sell-side liquidity level around 100.215. Price wicked into a higher timeframe (HTF) daily order block near 102.860, and then closed below, signaling bearish momentum. Keep in mind, upcoming high-impact news could affect price action. If price doesn’t respect the order block, it may react to the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the optimal trade entry (OTE) zone.
DYOR
look Out, ITC exhausting!ITC appears to be exhausting its upmove, signaling a potential downmove. After a strong rally, the stock is showing signs of overbought conditions, with technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggesting a reversal. Additionally, profit-taking by investors and a lack of fresh buying interest could contribute to a downward trend. Market sentiment and external factors, such as economic data or sector performance, may further influence ITC’s price movement in the near term. View becomes invalid if daily close is above 515.
Disclaimer: All ideas are my personal views and not financial advise. I do not have any Telegram channel nor do I sell any courses.
FOMC ! Is this a sharp decline or correction?⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) dropped nearly 1.5% on Tuesday, reaching a three-week low but found support near the $2,600 level. The stronger US Dollar, driven by reduced expectations of a large Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut, pressured the non-yielding gold. Additionally, news of a potential ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel further weighed on the safe-haven metal, pushing it below $2,630.
However, the decline paused as traders await the release of the September FOMC meeting minutes on Wednesday, along with US inflation data (CPI and PPI) later this week, which will influence the Fed’s rate outlook. In the meantime, the subdued USD could help limit further losses for gold
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price BREAK through the zone 2625 - 2671 - following a downtrend after news that the Chinese government has unfavorable policies for gold. Adjusted cadence is necessary
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2595 - $2597 SL $2590
TP1: $2602
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2620
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2601
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2615
TP3: $2620
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2650
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2620
TP3: $2610
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Forming a sales position in SUIAs the daily channel listed on the channel, this queen, which has a powerful ascending rally, needs to be modified to continue the course of movement, so as in one hour and 5 minutes change The trend has taken place in this queen and with a liquidity that has not been formed for 5 minutes, it can regain the price and throw it to lower levels.
Sideways ! The explosion is about to take place in October! XAU⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) stays under pressure during Tuesday’s Asian session, hovering just above the lower end of a short-term range. Investors are lowering expectations for a large interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in November, as the US labor market shows signs of strength, which weighs on gold.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) has retreated from its seven-week high hit on Friday, as traders await Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes. Additionally, key US inflation data, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday and the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Friday, will shape the outlook for Fed rate cuts and impact both the USD and gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Frame H1 moves in the downtrend line, mainly sideways. Nova is inclined to reduce sideways to the 2624-2627 area to create liquidity and continue to increase. The long-term trend is still up
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2624 - $2626 SL $2618
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2672
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2661 - $2663 SL $2666 scalping
TP1: $2655
TP2: $2648
TP3: $2640
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2684 - $2686 SL $2691
TP1: $2678
TP2: $2670
TP3: $2660
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
short senario for BtCSince last day's bitcoin candle closed with a high downward volume and we are in a downward range in a higher time frame, so if the price reaches the range of 63600, I am waiting for confirmation to sell, and if the price goes below 62000, I am waiting for confirmation to sell.
In the same area, it was formed in the Asian session, if the price reaches above 62600, you can wait for the formation of a setup in the time frame of 5 minutes or 3 minutes for buying.
Sideway - little volatility on the first Monday of the week⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues its decline for the fourth straight day, trading near $2,650 during early Monday’s Asian session. The stronger US Dollar, following Friday's upbeat Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, is putting downward pressure on gold.
The US added 254,000 jobs in September, exceeding August’s revised 159,000 and the market expectation of 140,000. The Unemployment Rate fell to 4.1% from 4.2%. These positive US data reduce hopes of deeper interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, boosting the USD and weighing on gold, which is priced in dollars.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
There is not too much information and important economic news, sideway gold price on Monday at the beginning of the week: 2625 - 2660
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2628 - $2630 SL $2623
TP1: $2638
TP2: $2644
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2670 - $2672 SL $2677
TP1: $2660
TP2: $2650
TP3: $2640
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
The possibility of forming a sell position in WIFAccording to the mark-ups that have been done since the above time, which you can see the link of those analyzes in the channel, we had a reaction to the daily POI in the 15-minute time frame and we are witnessing a change in structure, so we expect rejection in the New York session in the upward movement of the marked POI. Let's be and come to the lower regions.
The possibility of forming a selling position for SolanaAs shown in the 4-hour chart, after a sharp downward movement near the main daily support, the price has created an upward movement, which in fact created liquidity to take further liquidity.
Currently, due to reaching the range of the daily key level and the 4-hour breaker block that I have specified, as well as the weakness of the trend that can be seen in reaching the resistance, I expect a rejection and a selling position from this area.
ALGORAND (ALGO) Looks like it could drop another 15% - 16% here.The crypto markets as a whole have taken quite a beating in the past week but appear to be getting close to forming a bottom. ALGO is showing signs that a rejection off the FVG (Fair Value Gap) currently presenting above the current price on the daily chart could signal a further 15% to 16% drop in the coming weeks.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
TATN 5M Daytrade Short Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- long impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weakness
- didn't wait for test to complete
+ target before 1/2 of hourly wave
Calculated affordable stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
1H Trend
"+ exhaustion volume
+ short impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ SOW / T2 volumed level
+ volumed manipulation"
1D CounterTrend
"- long impulse
- T1 level
+ resistance level
+ biggest volume manipulation"
1M Trend
"+ short impulse
+ SOW level
+ 1/2 correction
+ resistance level"
Convertible to Swing / Investment trade if 1H and 1D close right.
Watch out for the gap since it's a stop market!
Bitcoin scenarios updateDue to the supply of Bitcoin liquidity in the support area of the previous day and the downward range within which it is located, we are still in the bearish market structure in the 4-hour and 1-hour time frames, and it is possible to enter a sell position with confirmation in the specified areas, and this confirmation can be taken in the time frame of 5 minutes with the formation of QM, but direct entry in this area is risky because we are being rejected from the 4-hour level.
GBPJPY Down? - (Update)GBPJPY . Potential short opportunity.
This is an update on the previous analysis we have posted.
We have been waiting on the break of our 192.000 level since our yesterday’s analysis.
We believe that GBPJPY will continue to the downside after coming down to our PBA 2 (Pull Back Area) and breaking it (192.000). Our entry is sitting at the break at 192.000 . Breaking our PBA 1 at 190.000 would be confirming our sells and possible lower lows. Our SL (Stop Loss) is sitting slightly above PBA 2 at 193.590 . Our TP (Take Profit) is at 188.055 .
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 192.000
- SL: 193.590
- TP: 188.055
KEY NOTES
- GBPJPY has broken below our PBA 2.
- Break below 190.000 would confirm our sells
- Break above our SL would result in higher highs and invalidate the trade idea.
Happy trading!
FxPocket