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Shorting Nifty 50: Potential Reversal Signal at Bearish OBHey Traders, Thinking of taking a short ride on the Nifty 50? Here's why I'm feeling bearish about it. So, there's this Bearish Orderblock (OB) lurking around 0.30% above the current price, hinting at a market reversal. But wait, there's more! The Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) is also signaling some downward action, possibly even before we hit that OB. Now, let's talk strategy. Our entry point is 22343.70, a sweet spot where we expect things to turn south. And to play it safe, we've got our stop-loss (SL) set at 22637.55. As for the take-profit (TP) targets, we're aiming for TP1 at 21710.20 and TP2 at 20983.10. Feel free to cash out earlier if you're happy with your gains, and don't forget to trail that stop-loss. Oh, and here's a pro tip: keep some cash handy for dollar-cost averaging (DCA) around 22526.60. This way, we're ready to tweak our position if the market throws us a curveball. Our decision to enter the market is also influenced by Fibonacci retracement levels, particularly the presence of Golden Pockets, reinforcing the validity of our trade setup. In summary, the confluence of technical signals, including Bearish OB, Bearish FVG, and Fibonacci retracement, strengthens the rationale behind shorting the Nifty 50. By adhering to prudent risk management principles and remaining adaptable to market movements, we aim to capitalize on potential downside opportunities effectively. Note important thing: It could be that the market opens at monday and the market goes up, so we will wait a bit. Like (boost), follow, comment and share this trade idea! For the optimal TradingView experience, upgrade now to unlock the platform's full potential: www.tradingview.com
NSE:NIFTYShort
by smarttrader012
5
XAUUSD H4 - Short SignalXAUUSD H4 Now whilst we are seeing the dollar gain, we are still 'technically' in an uptrend with XAU here on the H4 timeframe, the dollar index is looking like it may want to correct a bit more, and this may see XAUUSD follow suit. We may see a short term retest on that $1940/oz price before dumping. Remember, trends are still valid until the HH/HL sequence is broken, trendlines mean nothing in our analysis, they're too subjective, we use previous high and low price to determine which direction we are pointing.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Trade_Simple_FX
First Republic Bank | FRCFirst Republic stock plummets after revealing deposit exodus in March The stock of First Republic FRC dropped more than 43% Tuesday after the bank surprised investors and analysts by revealing an outflow of more than $100 billion in deposits in March. The disclosure made during the release of its first-quarter results on Monday afternoon raised new questions about the fate of a San Francisco lender that was at the center of last month's banking turmoil.the company outlined its survival strategy Monday. It said it plans to increase its insured deposits, trim the borrowings it used to cover customer withdrawals, shrink its balance sheet and reduce its workforce by 20-25% to cut expenses. It is also pursuing other “strategic” options, including a sale or raising more capital.the bank is considering divesting HKEX:50 billion to $100 billion of long-dated securities and mortgages to make an eventual capital raise easier. Its stock, which was already down more than 85% this year, was briefly halted for volatility on Tuesday. Other bank stocks also dropped, including some of First Republic's regional rivals. PacWest (PACW), a lender based in Beverly Hills that reports earnings after the market close, was down more than 6%. HomeStreet (HMST), a lender in Seattle that reported earnings Monday, sank more than 36%. analysts said First Republic faces a lot of uncertainty as it tries to recover from last month's chaos. “First Republic appears to be in a holding pattern and burning fuel,” Evercore analysts said in a new research note. Wells Fargo analysts said in a separate note that First Republic's existence "very much hangs in the balance." "The future of this company is very uncertain," added CI Roosevelt Associate Partner Jason Benowitz in an interview with Yahoo Finance. First Republic, he added, "lost so much in deposits, they have to replace that funding somehow, so they’re doing it with borrowing.” The borrowing will “really weigh on their profitability both in the reported quarter and going forward.” Wedbush lowered its earnings estimates for that very reason, noting that the heavy deposit losses would weigh on profits. “Where does First Republic go from here?” Wedbush said in its note. “Our base case is that First Republic continues to move forward as a standalone company,” referencing an earlier note in April that argued First Republic faces a "Hobson's choice." Even a sale of First Republic at $0 a share is unlikely, Wedbush said in that earlier note, because any buyer would still essentially have to pay billions to absorb the unrealized losses on its balance sheet. Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein told Yahoo Finance earlier this month that the federal government will need to provide some help for First Republic to find a buyer due to this “hole” on the lender’s balance sheet. “I think First Republic Bank is clearly on a watchlist, and probably somebody at some point will buy it. But the challenge there is that it needs government assistance,” Rubenstein said earlier this month A lot of money is riding on its fate. Everyday investors have bet HKEX:245 million on First Republic stock since the fall of Silicon Valley Bank, according to Vanda Research, the third highest inflow to a specific bank stock behind Bank of America (BAC) and Charles Schwab (SCHW). It also has one of the highest levels of interest among so-called short sellers betting on the stock to decline, according to analytics firm S3 Partners, accounting for HKEX:480 million in such bets over the last 30 days. Its stock is now down more than 85% since the beginning of the year. First Republic "will be a bellwether of sentiment for the sector," Vanda said in a note last week. The new hand wringing about First Republic following the release of its first-quarter results Monday. Its first-quarter earnings of HKEX:269 million were down by 30% from the fourth quarter and 33% from the year earlier period. What surprised most observers is how many deposits it lost in March. As of March 9, the day before regulators seized Silicon Valley Bank, its deposits were $173.5 billion, down just slightly from the year end. On March 10, it began experiencing "unprecedented deposit outflows." The net total outflow by the end of March was HKEX:72 billion, but the actual number was above $100 million after stripping out a temporary infusion of HKEX:30 billion in uninsured deposits from 11 of the country’s largest banks. Those deposits have to stay at First Republic for 120 days, according to a person familiar with the rescue plan. The bank said Monday that outflows began to stabilize the week of March 27 and deposit activity "has remained stable" through April 21. Its balance as of Friday was $102.7 billion, a drop of 1.7% since the end of the quarter that the bank attributed to seasonal client tax payments. "Despite the uncertainty of the past two months, and while average account sizes have decreased, we have retained over 97% of client relationships that banked with us at the start of the first quarter," First Republic CEO Michael Roffler said on a conference call following the release of results. The company didn't take questions from analysts.
NYSE:FRCShort
by moonypto
BTCUSDT 27500 SHORT. Bitcoin! It's the calm before the storm! Bitcoin! Bitcoin! It's the calm before the storm! The bad news. The Cross of Death. The price is below 100MA! The problems with Binance and Coinbase are just beginning! We can see on the chart that Bitcoin's price is in the short zone. We are below the 100 MA. Today's trading level is 27500 below short, above long! We also have the moving averages drawing a Death Cross. Take a look at the history. Before the Death Cross, Bitcoin is usually down 30%. While bitcoin is below 27500 trade short on the short list. BUYSELLSTYLE trading levels at 0706 Long ETH 1918 BNB 299.5 BGB 0.4911 MX 3.50 BIT 0.4971 LTC 91.47 AVAX 15.06 ETC 17.68 NEAR 1.53 KAVA 1.227 XLM 0.0902 NKN 0.1187 ICP 4.525 WOO 0.2315 HBAR 0.0499 UNFI 4.287 Short ETH 1778 BNB 272 BGB 0.4313 MX 3.20 BIT 0.4711 LINA 0.01366 MATIC 0.7896 ADA 0.3365 GALA 0.02705 IDU 0.3514 DOT 5.11 MANA 0.448 TRX 0.07681 WAVES 1.664 ALGO 0.1310 AUDIO 0.21 ONT 0.1957 CELR 0.01774 FLOW 0.642 XEM 0.0292 LQTY 1.023 COTI 0.0593 Guide BTC 27500 Above long. Below short. BTC 25810 Avalanche BTC 28477 Rocket ru.tradingview.com
Short
by BuySellStyle_engl
2
GBP/NZD Fundamental, Technical & SignalFUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS GBP/NZD Price Impacting Economic Events *( GBP upcoming events are important and leading economic indicators and WILL impact price during trade, increasing volatility and unpredictability ) ……………………………………………………………………………………. GBP TODAY Economic Events: - Unemployment Rate ( 3.8 same as previous ) - Unemployment Claims ( -20.1k higher than previous ) GBP Upcoming Economic Events - Year over Year inflation rates ( Forecasted 9.5, .4% higher than previous ) - Gfk Consumer Confidence ( Forecasted -44.0, -3.0 lower than previous ) - Retail Sales ( Forecasted -0.2%, -0.3% higher than previous ) - S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Flash ( Forecasted 51.9, .9 lower than previous ) *GBP Economic Condition Thesis: Peak - Early Contraction - Overheated/reached peak, BoE ( Bank of England ) recognized, understands and expressed the upcoming of a slowing economy through forecasted rates for economic announcements. ……………………………………………………………………………………. NZD Previous Economic Events - .5% interest rare hike, total 2.5% interest rate - Business NZ PMI 49.7 ( falling below 50 supports contraction phase in equities market. Lowering earnings, income and free cash flow ) - Year over Year inflation rate 7.3%, higher than forecasted and previous - Quarter over quarter inflation rate 1.7%, higher than forecasted and lower than previous NZD upcoming economic events: - Balance of trade ( 398M forecasted to be higher than previous ) - ANZ Business confidence ( previous -62.6, supporting consumers decisions to spend less ) NZD Economic Conditions Thesis: Established contraction phase from reaching peak . Increasing inflation addressed with dovish interest rate hike. BUSINESS PMI and Confidence levels are well below healthy conditions supporting contraction phase in New Zealand's equity market caused by declining consumer spending and higher prices for goods and services. ………………………………………………………………..……………………. TECHNICAL ANALAYSIS Price Action: - Trading above Mid Term Downtrend( 8 months ), within short and long moving averages and near 52 week lows. Volume: - Relatively more selling than buying in most recent sessions and 1 random spike in both buying and selling volume above average 2 days short of 1 month. RSI: - Neutral between 50 - 25 Oversold Vortex: - Converged and starting to form a bearish cross above bullish trend momentum. ………………………………………………………………..……………………. SHORT SIGNAL: - Sell Limit 1.96600 - Profits 1.92700 - 1.89500
by charrison4300
GBP/AUD Sell 1.9K pips Chart 2/3Sell Limit: 1.76025-1.76500 Stop Loss: 1.76700-1.77000 Take Profits: 1.75300-1.74600 Risk/Reward: 2.8/1 AVG Hold: 2 days Expectancy: 1-3 days ........................................ Hedge Order: * Protects 33% of Trade Buy Limit/Stop: 1.76025-1.76500 * Hedge Entry MUST be equal to Sell Entry. Stop Loss: 0%-25% of gap between Open Entry and Open Take Profit Levels Take Profit: 1.76700-1.77000 * Hedge Take Profit MUST be equal to Initial Position Stop Loss ............................................ Trade P/L: Profits: 1.9K pips Losses: 0 - .975K pips * Careful Trading. Here's 1hr Sell Entry for GBP/AUD. Leave comments and/or question and feedback and follow for updates on new trading opportunities.
Short
by charrison4300
AUDJPY ShortWe just made a double top and now waiting for the price to pullback. We spotted a parallel Channel and we are expecting price to move close to the bottom line of the Channel. We need a move downwards to confirm the reversal of the trend. RSI : RSI lines crossed and we are looking for a reversal of the trend. Also RSI above 70 means Overbought. MACD : MACD is less bullish than before and we are waiting for lines to cross to confirm the reversal. ATR is 120 PIPS Entry : 93.3 Target : 86.5 ( Almost Bottom line of parallel Channel ) Invalidation : 95.65 ( 120 PIPS higher above last Higher High ) Ratio 1:3
Short
by vf_investment
XAUUSD facing bearish pressure, potential downsidePrice currently approaching the sell entry at 1808.590 which is in one with the horizontal overlap support, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and the 61.8% Fibonacci extension. Should price cross this level, we can expect a plunge towards the take profit at the horizontal overlap support in line with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 100% Fibonacci support. Our bearish bias is further supported by how price is currently holding below the EMA. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FXCM
SHORT Signal: YFI is overvaluedYFI has gained x10 over the past few weeks. it just recently got added on Coinbase which is a home for most retail traders so it pumped EVEN MORE! and that happened after a short break! In my opinion, this market has to CALM DOWN! It's not like this can rise forever and the way it rose is NOT NORMAL. Many investors are eventually going to take their next step which is CASHING OUT!. Think smart before buying. Many retail traders will get trapped by this while all you gotta do is DUMP IT!!! Stop: 41000 Enter: 34000-36000 TP: 18000-21000
by MarketSniping
8
Signal Stream - USDJPY Short SignalsJust now getting some time to sit down and make a few posts. There have been a number of excellent signals generated lately. ** Note - lines were drawn by me. The vertical lines are where the signal generated, and the horizontal lines are initial close range targets. USDJPY has been in a longer term uptrend since March / April, and while there have been strong short term moves down during that time, I don't expect huge bearish moves on each short signal. A short signal appeared in the middle of a short term range. There was enough supply to move price to the bottom of the range and hit the initial close range target at 110.881. Price rose sharply after hitting the target and has slowly been making it's way back down. Another short signal appeared recently, and price has been slowly moving towards target, 111.262. This target also coincides with some moderate support levels. Given the weird ranging of this pair lately, I would look to take immediate profits once price reaches target. There are many ways to trade Signal Stream. Signal Stream signals have a high chance of hitting their targets even if the market moves in the opposite direction, long after the signal appears. It's like the market is attracted back to these levels if they don't hit it immediately. Celebratory sale for signal stream happening now! Get lifetime access to this subscription indicator for a one time payment of $67 USD . This offer is good for the first 100 clients, after that it will be going to monthly subscription at a higher price. PM me for details or learn how to purchase Signal Stream here!
Short
by StreamTrader