Why I See The Huge Sell-Off Intensifying:Please read
I have been so focussed on the VIX index. I wish I had checked its weekly stochastic levels in advance like I regularly do with Precious metals and Forex sometimes when i trade.
The USDX is pushing off this massive W/bottom on the 2 hour time frame. Imagine the double whammy effect this will have with the VIX and USDX rallying concurrently. Just my thoughts.
Shortsilver
Why I Shorted Silver In The Friday Asia Session
This is the 4HR chart for XAGUSD. I can see that price sold off on these 4HR candles and price has tried to retrace a series of times. But I see that price kept making a lower-high with each successive candles.
I did have a Short in Gold but not long ago I booked a profit. It is quite possible that Gold has further to fall especially if the USDX breaks above the 101.50 region which it could now at anytime.
XAUUSD reverses to bearish bias SHORTXAUUSD on a 120-minute chart is showing moving averages slowly converging into deth crosses
and the dual time frame RSI indicator of Chris Moody forecasted the move with bearish
divergence starting March 8th. I have closed my long positions in gold and silver and crossed
the aisle to take short positions . My target for XAUUSD is down to 2085 which is the middle
of the Fibonacci level from the prior uptrend. A predictive model based on Gaussian regression
lines by Luxalgo is showing a blue downtrending line for the remainder of the week with a
potential hihg pivot from which to take the short entry tomorrow.
SPOT SILVER XAGISD Short Swing SetupOn the 15-minute chart spot silver in the past few days dropped from a triple top and then reversed
in a Fib retracement. Since the price is now at the Fib 0.5 level and a MACD crossover above its histogram,
the time is ripe for an end of the reversal and a new reversal to ensue with the stop loss above the
Fib 0.5 level, the short trade entry is when the price drops below the POC of the volume profile of the
past week ( horizontal black line) with a target at the pivot low of the previous downtrend.
At the target price would either reverse again or break through the support and continue the
downtrend. Overall, this is a projected 2.5 % over a couple of days.
Overall, my trade idea is that spot silver will now drop to the bottom of the recent downtrend
and then reverse forming a double bottom and strong support for an uptrend to exploit for
another profitable trade.
SILVER more downtrend anticipated SHORTXAUUSD- had a big down move on the London Session ; it is now in a triangle with trend lines drawn on the 15 minute chart.
The upper resistance trendline has held from far more touches than the support trendline below.
I conclude it is more or most likely, that XAUUSD will breakout from this triangle on a relatively lower time frame
with bearish continuation trending down and following the equities markets.
ZSL SHORT SILVER with an INVERSE ETFZSL provides a short play on silver as an ETF using futures diversified for times to expiration.
At present, it has a strong up and scores a 6/8 by the Mark Minervini criteria.
A Doji candle a few days ago signaled the end of a brief pullback and so an entry point.
XAGUSD as shown on the thick red line is trending downward.
The RSI oscillator in conjunction with its IIchimoku Cloud shows strong RSI candles
above the cloud.
All in All, ZSL provides yet another way to play the weakness in silver similar
to DUST for the spot gold price action .
XAGUSD SWING SHORTSpot Silver has been in a general downtrend albeit it with a short rally.
On the weekly chart the context of the rise in the stochastic RSI to over 60
and the MACD approaching a K and D line touch as well as the print
of a weekly candle as a red Doji after the recent federal minutes release
and another federal calendar event on 8/22 I will take a short on spot silver.
The stop loss will above the POC of the high volume area on the profile
or $20.2 for a $0.4 less while the target will be just above the recent
market low on July 11th at $18.15 ( green horizontal) for a profit of
$1.65 per . This makes for a reward to risk of about 4.
SILVER XAGUSD SHORT SETUkist OANDA:XAGUSD
Silver ran up hard to close the week. The 10R shows the
supply and demand zones as well as RSI pivot and the volume
profile.
Essentially Friday afternoon's close forms a double top
with the high from the previous morning generating
a reversal pattern.
I think Silver is due to correct and reverse.
For the short setup, I will set a stop loss just above
the recent high of Thursday morning while targetting
just above the top of the support zone
This offers a narrow stop and a high reward for the narrow risk.
P lease comment offering your opinion. Thanks !
XAG/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSISOn the monthly and weekly analysis of silver, you can see the price has formed a double top pattern and broke the neckline. I expect the price to decline back to the area where covid started and that will be in confluence with the target of the double top pattern which is the 14.20 area unless any unpredictable events occur in the time being. This is a medium-term analysis so keep in mind prices can move up and down in the short term, rely on a lower time frame analysis for better entry prices.
XAGUSD Analysis: Sell ideaSilver is following a descending channel and just bounced from the channel resistance. The price also broke a support level and has retested it. I predict the price is highly likely to move further downwards.
Share your views of the pair in the comment section and like if you agree with the idea.
Silver needs more JUICEDefinetely everyone is waiting for a VERY STRONG LONG BREAKOUT for silver. And the key word here is: EVERYONE. We can be 80% sure, that silver will rally in the coming weeks/months. But what does a rally need? STRENGTH, ENERGY and MOMENTUM! That's what we still don't have.
Silver simply can not perform a BREAKOUT with RSI being near 60-80 on every timeframe!
So in my opinion we are going to touch the 16.9 level once again slowly. To gain strength for RSI. Even the Stochastic shows a coming SHORT.
I think we can WIN more money on these small but more predictable moves, than on a breakout. TRADE SAFE!
PLEASE SHARE YOUR OPINION! If don't agree, comment. If agree, like and follow for more, it is a nice feedback to me :)