Another 682 point crash for S&P500 to 5,130?It's been a brutal year so far with the Trump Presidency.
And it's been a rough year for the S&P 500, dropping from 6,149 to 5,811.
The main culprit?
Political instability in the U.S.
The current administration’s unpredictable decisions, sudden tariff hikes, and policy shifts have left investors uneasy and consumers lacking confidence.
Here are six executive orders that have dragged the market down:
Tariff Hikes on China, Mexico, Canada and Europe –
Higher import costs hurt U.S. businesses, especially in tech and retail, slashing profits. Remember imposing tariffs are one thing but there will be retaliatory action.
Environmental Rollbacks –
ESG investors pulled back, hitting energy and industrial stocks.
Work Visa Cuts – Tech and healthcare struggled to hire, slowing innovation.
Healthcare Subsidy Cuts – Uncertainty in insurance and pharma led to stock drops.
Also with the cutting of USAID and with turbulence with WHO this isn't helping the situation
Trade Agreement Pullouts – Supply chain chaos hurt multinational corporations.
ALso with the cutting ties with Ukraine and now with the UK prohibiting funding to the Ukraine (latest on)
With shaky policies and no clear direction, market confidence is shot. Until stability returns, expect more turbulence.
With the price action, it is possible to see this M Formation play out for the SP500.
And it is looking bad, really bad - not great - In Trump's voice.
M Formation
Price<20MA
Needs to break <200MA
Then the next target will be around 5,130...
Let's actually hope I am wrong this time and something miraculously happens to pump up the market again.
We can take advantage and short stocks, indices etc... But there is a moral issue involved with wanting the market to crash. Remember that.
Shortsp500
Short Signal SP500We have just received a short signal for weekly SP500. A short signal has a profitability rate of 41% and an average winning trade of 7.4%. Overall this strategy will beat a buy and hold strategy for the SP500 as it turns period of negative return into profit by taking a short position.
This strategy has been backtested over 20 years and has proven to be consistent and profitable.